MARKET WIREInvesting.com • 17h ago
Castellum CFO David Bell buys $747 in company stockInvesting.com report covering Castellum Inc. (CTM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why CTM Stock dropped -4.00% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$0.49 -4.00% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.49
Castellum Inc. (CTM) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 32/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE E • RED ALERT
Cap $46.0M
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER
Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CTM Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is CTM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Castellum Inc. (NYSE: CTM) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $0.49 (-4.00% 1D, market cap $46.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CTM ranks #851 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does CTM compare to BGSF and DLHC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Professional Services), CTM carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 36.6%, and ROIC of -6.2%. By comparison, BGSF (BGSF Inc.) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -24.2%, cap $45.3M) and DLHC (DLH Holdings Corp.) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.8%, cap $52.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACCL leads on earnings multiple (35.4x) while DLHC leads on capital efficiency (5.8% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CTM?
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Per CTM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001877939), Castellum Inc. generated $52.9M in revenue (+18.1% YoY), -$2.4M in net income, and -$2.1M in free cash flow against $41.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.49 (-0.91%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (32/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.2% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CTM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (32/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CTM SCORES 32/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (34% of score)
Altman Z-Score 4.37 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+9/20 pts (28% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±10.5% realized swing band)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$0.59-3.4% Next Q
40
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$0.57-10.5% Next Q
37
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$0.51-3.9% Next Q
35
CurrentGrade E$0.49-9.2% Hist 90D α
32
Trajectory: D (40) → E (32)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CTM Turnaround Squeeze
While CTM currently carries a cautious 32/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.59) and Max Pain ($0.51) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $1.42.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CTM• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CTM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why CTM Stock dropped -4.00% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Castellum Inc. (CTM) dropped -4.00% to $0.49, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($0.48 – $1.35). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($0.48 – $1.35) with RSI-14 at 33.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±10.5% around $0.49 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 36.6% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live CTM Headlines & Catalysts
CATALYSTYahoo Finance • 20h ago
Castellum to Participate in the 2026 Maxim Group Growth Summit on October 14Yahoo Finance report covering Castellum Inc. (CTM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
CATALYSTTradingView • 23h ago
Castellum Aktiebolag (CTM) OKs Buyback Authority, Cancels 46.5M SharesTradingView report covering Castellum Inc. (CTM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREMarketBeat • 1d ago
Castellum (CTM) Institutional Ownership 2026 $CTMMarketBeat report covering Castellum Inc. (CTM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREInvesting.com • 1d ago
Castellum CEO Ives acquires $909 in common stockInvesting.com report covering Castellum Inc. (CTM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREInvesting.com • 1d ago
Castellum general counsel buys $747 in company stockInvesting.com report covering Castellum Inc. (CTM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREInvesting.com • 1d ago
Castellum COO Andrew Merriman buys $747 in company stockInvesting.com report covering Castellum Inc. (CTM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 5d ago
Castellum Schedules Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Release and Conference CallCall Scheduled for 10:00 am ET on Friday, November 6, 2026VIENNA, Va., Oct. 28, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Castellum, Inc. (NYSE-American: CTM) (“Castellum” or the “Company”), a defense tech services and solutions provider
MARKET WIREYahoo • 17d ago
Six Weeks, Five Companies: Defense and National Security Tech Insiders Are Buying Their Own SharesMarket Updates News Commentary - Executives and directors receive stock in many ways: grants, option exercises, performance awards. None of those require them to spend their own money. An open-market purchase does. When
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CTM)
- ✓Walkthrough of CTM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CTM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -27.94%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $0.51H $0.51L $0.49C $0.49VOL 499.5K
RES: $0.56SUP: $0.48SMA50: $0.59SMA200: $0.71
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
CTM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +18.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CTM today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CTM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CTM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CTM)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #851 of 1011
⚔️ BGSF vs CTM Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CTM vs. BGSF, DLHC, STRR, ACCL)
Industry: Professional Services (48 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Castellum Inc. (CTM) ranks #851 by composite RQD confidence (32/100, grade E) and #820 by equity capitalization ($46.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ACCL leads on earnings valuation at 35.4x trailing P/E, while DLHC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.8% ROIC and — gross margin. ACCL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with CTM at 32/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CTM
ACTIVE
Castellum Inc. | E | 32/100 | — | 36.6% | -6.2% | -4.00% | $46.0M | Benchmark Subject |
| BGSF BGSF Inc. | D- | 41/100 | — | 35.7% | -24.2% | -1.17% | $45.3M | /bgsf-vs-ctm → |
| DLHC DLH Holdings Corp. | D- | 40/100 | — | — | 5.8% | -0.82% | $52.6M | /dlhc-vs-ctm → |
| STRR Star Equity Holdings Inc. | E | 18/100 | — | 46.4% | -5.3% | -0.10% | $36.2M | /strr-vs-ctm → |
| ACCL Acco Group Holdings Limited (Class A) | C+ | 66/100 | 35.4x | 44.1% | — | -3.47% | $34.9M | /accl-vs-ctm → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001877939In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Castellum Inc. (CTM) reported GAAP revenue of $52.9M (+18.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $44.8M , and +16.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$2.4M, operating cash flow of -$1.9M, and free cash flow of -$2.1M (-288.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, CTM closed FY2025 with $41.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.37, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $52.9M | -$2.4M | -$1.9M | -$2.1M | $41.9M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $44.8M | -$10.0M | $1.1M | $1.1M | $37.8M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $45.2M | -$17.8M | -$2.3M | -$2.3M | — | — |
3. CTM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs CTM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Castellum Inc. (NYSE: CTM) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 32/100 at a spot price of $0.49 (-4.00% 1D, market cap $46.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CTM ranks #851 in composite RQD confidence.
How does CTM compare to BGSF and DLHC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Professional Services), CTM carries a Roarable E (32/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 36.6%, and ROIC of -6.2%. By comparison, BGSF (BGSF Inc.) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -24.2%, cap $45.3M) and DLHC (DLH Holdings Corp.) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.8%, cap $52.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACCL leads on earnings multiple (35.4x) while DLHC leads on capital efficiency (5.8% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CTM?
Per CTM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001877939), Castellum Inc. generated $52.9M in revenue (+18.1% YoY), -$2.4M in net income, and -$2.1M in free cash flow against $41.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is CTM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
CTM last traded at $0.49 (-4.00% on volume of 499,471 shares), positioning the stock -16.95% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.59) and -30.99% below its 200-day simple moving average ($0.71). Across its 52-week range of $0.48 to $1.35, CTM sits at the 1.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.5% ($1.00 to $0.54).
CTM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is CTM stock moving today?
Why CTM Stock dropped -4.00% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 32/100 (E)
✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED
CTM — Castellum Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:47:06Z
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, CTM scores 33 out of 100 with a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20 (ROIC -6.2%; FCF yield -4.39%), Whale 13F Flow 10/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction 3/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit 4/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet 11/20 (Altman Z 4.37; Piotroski F 5/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).
For a prospective investor, the weakest pillars are the cash engine and insider conviction. A negative ROIC and negative FCF yield indicate the business is not currently generating returns on invested capital or free cash flow relative to its value, which is the core source of upside in most equity theses. The balance sheet pillar is the relative bright spot: a Altman Z of 4.37 and a Piotroski F of 5/9 sit within the supplied scoring frameworks as more stable than the operating pillars, and Debt/Equity of 0.5 is reported. The insider pillar scoring 3/20 reflects that the flow profile in the source data does not show strong conviction signals. Macro fit scoring 4/20 with a Beta of 1.0 means the stock's sensitivity to market moves is at market-level, so the rating does not rest on beta risk alone. The overall read is that the rating's negatives are concentrated in cash generation and conviction, not in leverage.
Open Questions
- What are the reported cash and debt balances for FY 2023 through FY 2025, which would clarify the balance sheet beyond the Debt/Equity ratio?
- What are the EPS and P/E (TTM) figures, given that current valuation multiples are not available in the source data?
- What is the customer and service-line mix behind the Professional Services revenue base?
- What institutional holdings and 13F changes underlie the whale flow score of 10/20?
- What drove the swing from a $-17.8M net loss in FY 2023 to $-2.4M in FY 2025, and is the trend sustainable?
CTM Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Castellum Inc. (CTM) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
🟡 MARKET WIRE Investing.com • 17h ago
Castellum CFO David Bell buys $747 in company stock Investing.com report covering Castellum Inc. (CTM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 20h ago
Castellum to Participate in the 2026 Maxim Group Growth Summit on October 14 Yahoo Finance report covering Castellum Inc. (CTM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟢 CATALYST TradingView • 23h ago
Castellum Aktiebolag (CTM) OKs Buyback Authority, Cancels 46.5M Shares TradingView report covering Castellum Inc. (CTM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago
Castellum (CTM) Institutional Ownership 2026 $CTM MarketBeat report covering Castellum Inc. (CTM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Investing.com • 1d ago
Castellum CEO Ives acquires $909 in common stock Investing.com report covering Castellum Inc. (CTM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Investing.com • 1d ago
Castellum general counsel buys $747 in company stock Investing.com report covering Castellum Inc. (CTM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Investing.com • 1d ago
Castellum COO Andrew Merriman buys $747 in company stock Investing.com report covering Castellum Inc. (CTM) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 5d ago
Castellum Schedules Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Release and Conference Call Call Scheduled for 10:00 am ET on Friday, November 6, 2026VIENNA, Va., Oct. 28, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Castellum, Inc. (NYSE-American: CTM) (“Castellum” or the “Company”), a defense tech services and solutions provider
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE
3 Active Posts & Replies
CTM Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $0.49?
🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CTM 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH
🎯 Target: $0.45 (-11.8%)
📌 Pinned Debate 🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CTM (E • RQD 33/100) a Buy at $0.51?
Welcome to the CTM (Castellum Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 33/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Professional Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH
🎯 Target: $0.42 (-17.6%)
Spot @ $0.51 Pump the brakes on CTM — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CTM, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 36.6% gross margins. Unless Castellum Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH
🎯 Target: $0.59 (+15.7%)
Spot @ $0.51 CTM cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CTM, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Professional Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $0.51 (52-wk range $0.48 - $1.36), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.