Custom Truck One Source Inc. (CTOS) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
As of 2026-11-02, Custom Truck One Source Inc. (NYSE: CTOS) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $10.60 (-2.93% 1D, market cap $2.48B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CTOS ranks #323 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Diversified Commercial Services), CTOS carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 28.5%, and ROIC of 4.1%. By comparison, VVX (V2X Inc.) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 32.4x, ROIC 7.1%, cap $2.52B) and MGRC (McGrath RentCorp) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 18.6x, ROIC 15.6%, cap $2.91B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MGRC leads on earnings multiple (18.6x) while MGRC leads on capital efficiency (15.6% ROIC).
Per CTOS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001709682), Custom Truck One Source Inc. generated $1.45B in revenue (+6.4% YoY), -$31.1M in net income, and $310.1M in free cash flow against $3.44B in total assets and $1.62B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±11.2% realized swing band)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 21.4% FCF Margin ($310.1M FCF) & 28.5% Gross Margin
Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 11 pts from forensic ceiling
Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, CTOS faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 26.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($9.44) or 200D SMA ($8.90) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($10.74) toward Bear Floor ($8.38).
Custom Truck One Source Inc. (CTOS) dropped -2.93% to $10.60, trading at 77% of its 52-week range ($5.18 – $12.23). Solid 29% profit margin (4% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Custom Truck One Source Inc. (CTOS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Custom Truck One Source Inc. (CTOS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Custom Truck One Source Inc. (CTOS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Moomoo report covering Custom Truck One Source Inc. (CTOS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering Custom Truck One Source Inc. (CTOS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Custom Truck One Source Inc. (CTOS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering Custom Truck One Source Inc. (CTOS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Custom Truck One Source Inc. (CTOS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Custom Truck One Source’s third quarter was marked by strong performance in its rental business, which management credited to continued high demand in the transmission and distribution (T&D) end markets. CEO Ryan McMonag
Custom Truck One Source (CTOS) just put fresh numbers on the board, reporting third quarter 2026 results and updating full year guidance that gives investors more detail on revenue and profitability expectations. The ear
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +6.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CTOS today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CTOS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Custom Truck One Source Inc. (CTOS) ranks #323 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #388 by equity capitalization ($2.48B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MGRC leads on earnings valuation at 18.6x trailing P/E, while MGRC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.6% ROIC and 48.2% gross margin. MGRC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with CTOS at 61/100 (C-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CTOS
ACTIVE
Custom Truck One Source Inc. | C- | 61/100 | — | 28.5% | 4.1% | -2.93% | $2.48B | Benchmark Subject |
| VVX V2X Inc. | C+ | 66/100 | 32.4x | 8.3% | 7.1% | -0.19% | $2.52B | /vvx-vs-ctos → |
| MGRC McGrath RentCorp | C+ | 68/100 | 18.6x | 48.2% | 15.6% | -1.10% | $2.91B | /mgrc-vs-ctos → |
| ABM ABM Industries Incorporated | C | 64/100 | 19.5x | 12.3% | 7.6% | -0.83% | $3.16B | /abm-vs-ctos → |
| ARLO Arlo Technologies Inc. | C | 62/100 | 106.3x | 44.0% | 6.0% | -1.90% | $1.59B | /arlo-vs-ctos → |
In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Custom Truck One Source Inc. (CTOS) reported GAAP revenue of $1.45B (+6.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.36B , and +8.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$31.1M, operating cash flow of $310.1M, and free cash flow of $310.1M (+154.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, CTOS closed FY2025 with $3.44B in total assets against $1.62B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $1.45B | -$31.1M | $310.1M | $310.1M | $3.44B | $1.62B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $1.36B | -$28.7M | $122.0M | $122.0M | $3.50B | $1.52B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.33B | $50.7M | -$30.9M | -$30.9M | — | — |
As of 2026-11-02, Custom Truck One Source Inc. (NYSE: CTOS) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $10.60 (-2.93% 1D, market cap $2.48B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CTOS ranks #323 in composite RQD confidence.
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Diversified Commercial Services), CTOS carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 28.5%, and ROIC of 4.1%. By comparison, VVX (V2X Inc.) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 32.4x, ROIC 7.1%, cap $2.52B) and MGRC (McGrath RentCorp) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 18.6x, ROIC 15.6%, cap $2.91B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MGRC leads on earnings multiple (18.6x) while MGRC leads on capital efficiency (15.6% ROIC).
Per CTOS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001709682), Custom Truck One Source Inc. generated $1.45B in revenue (+6.4% YoY), -$31.1M in net income, and $310.1M in free cash flow against $3.44B in total assets and $1.62B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
CTOS last traded at $10.60 (-2.93% on volume of 1,101,244 shares), positioning the stock +12.29% above its 50-day simple moving average ($9.44) and +19.10% above its 200-day simple moving average ($8.90). Across its 52-week range of $5.18 to $12.23, CTOS sits at the 76.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 66.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.2% ($9.41 to $11.79).
Why CTOS Stock dropped -2.93% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 29% profit margin (4% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
Per the Roarable RQD rating, CTOS scores 61 out of 100, a letter grade of C-, with a verdict label of "Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral." The five pillars are:
For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on the cash-flow yield and institutional interest, while the valuation and balance-sheet pillars temper enthusiasm. The rating's verdict of a cautious neutral stance implies that, on this data, the risk-reward is not clearly skewed in either direction. Elevated enterprise-value multiples and high leverage mean that operational improvements would need to be substantial to drive meaningful re-rating. This is an analytical framing, not personalized advice.
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $1446.4M | $124.9M | $-31.1M | N/A | $310.1M | $6.3M | $1619.4M |
| FY 2024 | $1360.0M | $126.4M | $-28.7M | N/A | $122.0M | $3.8M | $1519.9M |
| FY 2023 | $1331.2M | $170.9M | $50.7M | N/A | $-30.9M | N/A | N/A |
Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $1331.2M in FY 2023 to $1446.4M in FY 2025, while net income moved from $50.7M to $-31.1M over the same span. Reported gross margin is 28.5%, operating margin 8.6%, and net margin -2.2%. ROIC is 4.1%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9. Debt/Equity is cited as 2 in the rating, and reported debt of $1619.4M against cash of $6.3M in FY 2025 indicates a leveraged balance sheet.
The news flow is mixed: the most recent earnings reaction is described in both positive and negative terms across different outlets, and the sources do not reconcile the two.
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Custom Truck One Source Inc. (CTOS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Custom Truck One Source Inc. (CTOS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
TradingView report covering Custom Truck One Source Inc. (CTOS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Custom Truck One Source Inc. (CTOS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Moomoo report covering Custom Truck One Source Inc. (CTOS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering Custom Truck One Source Inc. (CTOS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Custom Truck One Source Inc. (CTOS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Investing.com report covering Custom Truck One Source Inc. (CTOS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Custom Truck One Source Inc. (CTOS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Welcome to the CTOS (Custom Truck One Source Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 61/100 (Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral) in Diversified Commercial Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CTOS, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 28.5% gross margins. Unless Custom Truck One Source Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CTOS, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Diversified Commercial Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $10.92 (52-wk range $5.18 - $12.23), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.
To protect compute speed and zero-delay Cboe BZX data quality for active members, our current $9.95/month Roarable Pro cohort is 100% full. Join the priority waiting list below and we will notify you the moment the next batch of Pro accounts opens (and lock in your $9.95/mo rate).
Link your personal ChatGPT, Claude Desktop, or Cursor via Roarable's Model Context Protocol (`mcp.roarable.com`) to query all 5,289 stocks, inspect Butterfly supply chains, and trade your `$100K Arena` account.
Interrogate SEC 10-K/10-Q filings on demand and ask custom ticker, valuation, or short-thesis questions directly to any of our 8 specialized AI Quant Analysts.
Command our AI agents to sort and sift 5,289 stocks by custom formulas, follow multi-indicator technical & cash-flow setups, and send you instant Email/SMS breakout & downgrade alerts.
Unlock sub-second Cboe BZX streaming quotes, pre-market/after-hours delta scanners, instant SEC Form 4 insider cluster alerts, and unlimited portfolio stress-testing.
All 8 Roarable Analysts (Mara Quenwick, Devon Kess, Gideon Vane, Eliott Vance, Sorel Thorne, Corin Hale, Tessa Rane, and Felix Orven) are proprietary AI Quant Analysts and automated algorithmic specialists — not human financial advisors, fiduciaries, or registered broker-dealers. While one-to-many daily stock ratings and briefings are free, custom 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alert agents, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections consume dedicated per-user compute and require a $9.95/month Roarable Pro membership. All AI outputs are for educational and research purposes only and never constitute individualized investment advice.
Enter your Google email below for instant 1-step account activation, daily A–E stock rating alerts, and immediate access to your $100,000.00 Virtual Cash Arena account (100% free — no credit card required).