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Why CTRI Stock slipped -0.98% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$21.28 -0.98% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.20

Centuri Holdings Inc. (CTRI) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 33/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $2.15B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CTRI Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CTRI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Centuri Holdings Inc. (NYSE: CTRI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $21.28 (-0.98% 1D, market cap $2.15B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, CTRI ranks #188 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CTRI compare to BKV and VET in the Energy sector?
▼

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), CTRI carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 97.1x, gross margin of 8.3%, and ROIC of 5.0%. By comparison, BKV (BKV Corporation) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E 12.8x, ROIC 9.0%, cap $2.20B) and VET (Vermilion Energy Inc. Common (Canada)) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.91B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BKV leads on earnings multiple (12.8x) while BKV leads on capital efficiency (9.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CTRI?
▼

Per CTRI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0001981599), Centuri Holdings Inc. generated $2.98B in revenue (+13.1% YoY), $22.4M in net income, and -$8.2M in free cash flow against $2.41B in total assets and $708.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.20 (-0.37%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (33/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510033
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (5)Whales (9)SEC (11)Macro (3)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.2% Base Target
$45 Bull$19 Base$15 Bear
📬 FREE CTRI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CTRI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (33/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CTRI SCORES 33/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (33% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.34 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+9/20 pts (27% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (57.1) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
25
Grade E$19.77+0.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
28
Grade E$19.79+6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
30
Grade E$20.98+1.4% Next Q
Current
33
Grade E$21.28-8.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (25) → E (33)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CTRI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CTRI currently carries a cautious 33/100 (E) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($20.38) and Max Pain ($22.34) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $45.14.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CTRI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CTRI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 27, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 33%NO 67%Trade / Inspect Odds →
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why CTRI Stock slipped -0.98% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Centuri Holdings Inc. (CTRI) slipped -0.98% to $21.28, trading at 11% of its 52-week range ($18.6 – $42.99). Stretched risk/reward at 97x P/E (5% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 11% of its 52-week range ($18.6 – $42.99) with RSI-14 at 57.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8% around $21.28 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 8.3% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live CTRI Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREMarketBeat • 2d ago
Top Centuri (CTRI) Competitors 2026

MarketBeat report covering Centuri Holdings Inc. (CTRI) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CTRI)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CTRI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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CTRI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -48.82%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-04O $21.49H $21.49L $21.28C $21.28VOL 1.41M
RES: $21.53SUP: $16.05SMA50: $20.38SMA200: $27.30
$44.70$37.62$30.55$23.48$16.40RES $21.53SUP $16.05$21.282026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CTRI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CTRI Butterfly Map → + Track CTRI →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +13.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CTRI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CTRI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CTRI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CTRI)

Energy Rank #188 of 211 ⚔️ BKV vs CTRI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (CTRI vs. BKV, VET, EROK, NEXT)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Centuri Holdings Inc. (CTRI) ranks #188 by composite RQD confidence (33/100, grade E) and #115 by equity capitalization ($2.15B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BKV leads on earnings valuation at 12.8x trailing P/E, while BKV leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.0% ROIC and — gross margin. VET currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with CTRI at 33/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CTRI ACTIVE
Centuri Holdings Inc.
E 33/100 97.1x 8.3% 5.0% -0.98% $2.15B Benchmark Subject
BKV
BKV Corporation
D- 36/100 12.8x — 9.0% -4.01% $2.20B /bkv-vs-ctri →
VET
Vermilion Energy Inc. Common (Canada)
C 63/100 — — — -8.91% $1.91B /vet-vs-ctri →
EROK
EagleRock Land LLC representing limited liability company interests (Class A)
D 47/100 — — — -4.39% $2.49B /erok-vs-ctri →
NEXT
NextDecade Corporation
D- 37/100 — — -2.1% -9.76% $1.79B /next-vs-ctri →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-28 • CIK 0001981599 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28), Centuri Holdings Inc. (CTRI) reported GAAP revenue of $2.98B (+13.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.64B , and +2.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $22.4M, operating cash flow of $78.1M, and free cash flow of -$8.2M (-113.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, CTRI closed FY2025 with $2.41B in total assets against $708.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.34, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-28 $2.98B $22.4M $78.1M -$8.2M $2.41B $708.1M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-29 $2.64B -$6.7M $158.2M $58.9M $2.07B $843.9M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $2.90B -$186.2M $167.5M $167.5M — —

3. CTRI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CTRI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Centuri Holdings Inc. (NYSE: CTRI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $21.28 (-0.98% 1D, market cap $2.15B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, CTRI ranks #188 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CTRI compare to BKV and VET in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), CTRI carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 97.1x, gross margin of 8.3%, and ROIC of 5.0%. By comparison, BKV (BKV Corporation) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E 12.8x, ROIC 9.0%, cap $2.20B) and VET (Vermilion Energy Inc. Common (Canada)) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.91B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BKV leads on earnings multiple (12.8x) while BKV leads on capital efficiency (9.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CTRI?

Per CTRI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-28, CIK 0001981599), Centuri Holdings Inc. generated $2.98B in revenue (+13.1% YoY), $22.4M in net income, and -$8.2M in free cash flow against $2.41B in total assets and $708.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CTRI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CTRI last traded at $21.28 (-0.98% on volume of 1,406,217 shares), positioning the stock +4.42% above its 50-day simple moving average ($20.38) and -22.05% below its 200-day simple moving average ($27.30). Across its 52-week range of $18.60 to $42.99, CTRI sits at the 11.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.0% ($19.58 to $22.98).

Direct Sub-Reports: CTRI RQD Cockpit CTRI 12M Forecast CTRI Earnings & Move CTRI Dividends & DRIP CTRI Insiders & 13F CTRI Whale Options CTRI Profit Sankey CTRI News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 33/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CTRI — Centuri Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-28

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Centuri Holdings Inc. (CTRI) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 33/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $21.28 (-0.98% 1D, market capitalization $2.15B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (5/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 5.0%, gross margin of 8.3%, operating margin of 3.1%, and free cash flow yield of -0.38%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (9/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (3/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (11/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.34, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.81x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Centuri Holdings Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Energy sector, classified under Oil & Gas Production..2B. Specific products, customer base, and revenue-generation model are — Gross margin of 8.3% per the market data suggests a thin-margin operating structure, but the nature of the underlying operations is not described in the sources.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-28), Centuri Holdings Inc. (CTRI) reported $2.98B in annual revenue (up from $2.64B in FY2024, +13.1% YoY) and $22.4M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($2.90B revenue, -$186.2M net income) through FY2025, CTRI scaled operating cash flow to $78.1M and free cash flow to -$8.2M, backed by $2.41B in total assets against $708.1M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 33/100): Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -0.38% and institutional whale pillar of 9/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 5/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 9/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $18.60 – $42.99 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 97.1x trailing P/E and 16.6x EV/EBITDA against 3.1% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

— for upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks.

  • Key Question #1: Can CTRI sustain or expand its 3.1% operating margin and 5.0% ROIC against Oil & Gas Production peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.98B and free cash flow of -$8.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $708.1M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CTRI's 81.6x forward P/E multiple to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

CTRI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Centuri Holdings Inc. (CTRI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CTRI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CTRI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $21.28?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CTRI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CTRI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $27.08 (+26.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Revenue grew from $2.64B to $2.98B and net income swung to $22.4M, while reported debt fell from $843.9M to $708.1M.

Long CTRI at $21.49 targeting $27.08. Revenue grew from $2.64B to $2.98B and net income swung to $22.4M, while reported debt fell from $843.9M to $708.1M.. Institutional whale score is 9/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $18.60 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@DeltaGamma_99 Agree on the RQD 33/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $21.49 and keeping dry powder in case we test $19.99.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $18.05 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $21.49

A P/E (TTM) of 97.1 with ROIC of 5% and FCF yield of -0.38% leaves the valuation resting on earnings expectations the current cash flow

I respect the product at Centuri Holdings Inc., but the stock at $21.49 is a different story. A P/E (TTM) of 97.1 with ROIC of 5% and FCF yield of -0.38% leaves the valuation resting on earnings expectations the current cash flow does not support.. FCF yield is -0.38% and RQD sits at 33/100 (E) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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