Carvana Co. (CVNA) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

Per the Roarable RQD rating, CVNA scores 58 out of 100, a D+ grade labeled "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 15/20 (ROIC 24.6%; FCF yield 1.18%), Whale 13F Flow at 13/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 10/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 4/20 (Beta 1.04; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 16/20 (Altman Z 7.49; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 1.4). The strongest pillar is the forensic balance sheet, and the weakest is macro regime fit, which is the pillar a prospective investor should weigh most heavily given the stock's recent 15.68% single-session move and 52-week range of $54.46 to $97.38. The high ROIC supports the cash-engine case, but the low FCF yield means the market is pricing in substantial future growth rather than current cash returns. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the overall posture is trim-oriented, so an investor evaluating the stock today would be weighing a quality-of-operations signal against valuation and sector-sensitivity concerns.

Carvana Co. is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, operating in the Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations industry, per the company profile. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 20.6%, an operating margin of 9.3%, and a net margin of 6.9%. The source data does not describe the company's product lineup, customer base, or revenue model beyond its sector and industry classification.

Per the SEC financials, revenue grew from $10771.0M in FY 2023 to $20322.0M in FY 2025, and operating income moved from $-80.0M to $1881.0M over the same span. Net income in FY 2023 ($450.0M) exceeded FY 2024 ($210.0M), so earnings did not rise monotonically. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 7.49 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6 out of 9, and per the market data, ROIC is 24.6% and Debt/Equity is 1.4. Debt declined from $9699.3M in FY 2023 to $4830.0M in FY 2025, while reported cash rose to $2327.0M.

Per the recent news and catalysts feed, the most recent items are: a Yahoo Finance report on market action and institutional positioning (YELLOW); a Trefis piece titled "Two Reasons To Stay Away From Carvana Stock" (YELLOW); a 24/7 Wall St. report on the stock being down 31% this year (GREEN, catalyst); a TradingKey report on an Oct 12 move of 5.63% (YELLOW); a Yahoo Finance piece asking whether the drop is a buying opportunity (RED, risk watch); and a Trefis piece on a possible risk in a record quarter (GREEN, catalyst). The feed carries a mix of signals, with two risk-oriented items and two catalyst-tagged items. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

• What is the company's revenue breakdown by product, customer, or channel, given the source data gives only sector classification?
• Why does the reported FY 2025 EPS field read N/A while TTM EPS is 1.28, and how does the FCF yield of 1.18% reconcile with the reported FCF of $889.0M?
• What drove the sharp swing from the FY 2023 operating loss of $-80.0M to the FY 2025 operating income of $1881.0M?
• Which specific events underlie the recent 15.68% single-session move and the 31% year-to-date decline cited in news headlines?
• What are the consensus analyst ratings and price targets, and who holds the stock among institutional and insider holders?