Chevron Corporation (CVX) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$235.52 +1.75% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $236.83

Chevron Corporation (CVX) earns a Roarable Rating of A- (Buy) with 82/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (41% profit margin, 6% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE A- β€’ BUY Cap $457.31B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CVX Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CVX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Chevron Corporation (NYSE: CVX) is rated A- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 82/100 at a spot price of $235.52 (+1.75% 1D, market cap $457.31B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 19/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, CVX ranks #4 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CVX compare to COP and BP in the Energy sector?
β–Ό

Within the Energy sector (Integrated oil Companies), CVX carries a Roarable A- (82/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 37.2x, gross margin of 41.3%, and ROIC of 5.8%. By comparison, COP (ConocoPhillips) holds a A- grade (82/100 RQD, P/E 22.6x, ROIC 9.4%, cap $180.24B) and BP (BP p.l.c.) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $131.81B). Among the 5-stock peer group, COP leads on earnings multiple (22.6x) while MPC leads on capital efficiency (16.9% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CVX?
β–Ό

Per CVX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000093410), Chevron Corporation generated $184.43B in revenue (-4.6% YoY), $12.30B in net income, and $25.64B in free cash flow against $324.01B in total assets and $59.33B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $236.82 (+0.55%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) β€’ 13.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 82/100 (A-) historically ranked in the Top 7% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+8.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 71.9% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY β€’ A-
025507510082
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ Β· Rk A-
Cash (14)Whales (19)SEC (16)Macro (18)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+10.8% Base Target
$308 Bull$261 Base$193 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE CVX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CVX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±3.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (82/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY CVX SCORES 82/100 (A-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+19/20 pts (23% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±3.9% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+18/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 99% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 64.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality14/20 pts (-6 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 7.9% operating margin leave 6 pts on the table

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
74
Grade B+$217.73+3.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
77
Grade B+$225.71+1.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
79
Grade A-$228.23+3.2% Next Q
Current
82
Grade A-$235.52+8.6% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: B+ (74) β†’ A- (82)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CVX Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 82/100 (A-) score, CVX faces multiple-compression risk if 37.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 38.8% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($214.24) or 200D SMA ($193.99) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($260.96) toward Bear Floor ($193.13).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CVXβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œCVX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±3.9%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (CVX)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for CVX.

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FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating CVX & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • βœ“Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on CVX
  • βœ“How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CVX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +22.49%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $229.2H $235.5L $229.2C $235.5VOL 5.65M
RES: $237.6SUP: $205.3SMA50: $214.2SMA200: $194.0
$241.5$220.7$199.9$179.1$158.3RES $237.6SUP $205.3$235.52026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CVX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
28.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -4.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CVX today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CVX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video πŸ›οΈ PROPOSAL: Bipartisan Grid Permitting Reform, NRC SMR Brownfield Siting & Multi-Year Munitions Bill Draft (U.S. Senate Energy & Natural Resources / Armed Services Committees (119th Congress))
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CVX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CVX)

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (CVX vs. COP, BP, MPC, EQNR)

Industry: Integrated oil Companies (15 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Chevron Corporation (CVX) ranks #4 by composite RQD confidence (82/100, grade A-) and #2 by equity capitalization ($457.31B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, COP leads on earnings valuation at 22.6x trailing P/E, while MPC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.9% ROIC and 10.0% gross margin. CVX currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 82/100 (A-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CVX ACTIVE
Chevron Corporation
A- 82/100 37.2x 41.3% 5.8% +1.75% $457.31B Benchmark Subject
COP
ConocoPhillips
A- 82/100 22.6x 56.9% 9.4% +2.67% $180.24B /cop-vs-cvx β†’
BP
BP p.l.c.
B 72/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% +0.08% $131.81B /bp-vs-cvx β†’
MPC
Marathon Petroleum Corporation
B- 70/100 30.0x 10.0% 16.9% +2.83% $121.46B /mpc-vs-cvx β†’
EQNR
Equinor ASA
B 74/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% +2.46% $118.96B /eqnr-vs-cvx β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0000093410

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Chevron Corporation (CVX) reported GAAP revenue of $184.43B (-4.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $193.41B , and -6.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $12.30B, operating cash flow of $33.94B, and free cash flow of $25.64B (+12.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, CVX closed FY2025 with $324.01B in total assets against $59.33B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.71, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $184.43B $12.30B $33.94B $25.64B $324.01B $59.33B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $193.41B $17.70B $31.49B $22.79B $256.94B $46.70B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $196.91B $21.40B $35.61B $26.75B $251.52B $58.86B

3. CVX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CVX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Chevron Corporation (NYSE: CVX) is rated A- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 82/100 at a spot price of $235.52 (+1.75% 1D, market cap $457.31B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 19/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, CVX ranks #4 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CVX compare to COP and BP in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Integrated oil Companies), CVX carries a Roarable A- (82/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 37.2x, gross margin of 41.3%, and ROIC of 5.8%. By comparison, COP (ConocoPhillips) holds a A- grade (82/100 RQD, P/E 22.6x, ROIC 9.4%, cap $180.24B) and BP (BP p.l.c.) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $131.81B). Among the 5-stock peer group, COP leads on earnings multiple (22.6x) while MPC leads on capital efficiency (16.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CVX?

Per CVX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000093410), Chevron Corporation generated $184.43B in revenue (-4.6% YoY), $12.30B in net income, and $25.64B in free cash flow against $324.01B in total assets and $59.33B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CVX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CVX last traded at $235.52 (+1.75% on volume of 11,016,742 shares), positioning the stock +9.93% above its 50-day simple moving average ($214.24) and +21.41% above its 200-day simple moving average ($193.99). Across its 52-week range of $146.49 to $236.48, CVX sits at the 98.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 64.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±3.9% ($226.33 to $244.71).

CVX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is CVX's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for CVX.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 82/100 (A-) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CVX β€” Chevron Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:08:47Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, CVX scores 82 out of 100, a letter grade of A-, labeled "Roarable Buy β€” Superior Risk/Reward." The score is built from five pillars. Fundamental Cash Engine scores 14 of 20, citing ROIC of 5.8% and an FCF yield of 5.61%; this is the weakest pillar relative to its maximum, suggesting that cash generation per dollar of invested capital is modest even though free cash flow yield is positive. Whale 13F Flow scores 19 of 20, reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning, the strongest pillar and a signal of broad professional interest. Insider Conviction scores 15 of 20 on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Macro Regime Fit scores 18 of 20, with beta of 1.07 and sector sensitivity; a beta slightly above 1.0 implies the stock has tended to move modestly more than the broad market. Forensic Balance Sheet scores 16 of 20, citing Altman Z of 3.71, Piotroski F of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.3, indicating a financially sound profile. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on institutional and insider positioning and balance-sheet strength. The valuation tradeoff is significant: trailing P/E of 37.2 and EV/EBITDA of 21.5 are elevated against the cash-return metrics above, so the rating reflects quality and momentum more than cheapness.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
231.46$457.31B37.234.621.56.232.79%1.07$146.49 - $236.485.8%

Business

Chevron Corporation is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Energy sector, Integrated oil Companies industry, per the profile section. The source data does not describe its specific products, customer segments, or revenue model beyond sector classification. Gross margin is 41.3%, operating margin 8.1%, and net margin 6.7% per the market data section.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news section, six headlines reference CVX within roughly the prior 15 hours. Headline themes include trending-stock coverage, a report titled around new all-time highs "as oil surges," a report of a fresh 52-week high, earnings estimates moving higher, and a balanced "reasons to watch and stay cautious" piece. One item is flagged as a CATALYST (GREEN light) referencing oil price momentum; the others are flagged as market wire (YELLOW). The source data contains no specific quantitative catalyst figures. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's specific products, customer segments, and revenue mix behind the sector classification?
  • Which supply-chain relationships and upstream or downstream dependencies connect CVX to other issuers?
  • What are the reported EPS and cash balances for FY 2023 through FY 2025, which the financials section lists as N/A?
  • What drove the decline in revenue and net income across FY 2023 to FY 2025, and is the FCF increase in FY 2025 sustainable?
  • Who are the holders behind the RQD whale and insider pillar scores, and what are the consensus analyst rating and price targets?

CVX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Chevron Corporation (CVX) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to CVX Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CVX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $235.52?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CVX 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CVX:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $273.12 (+18.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CVX (A- β€’ RQD 82/100) a Buy at $231.46?

Welcome to the CVX (Chevron Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 82/100 (Roarable Buy β€” Superior Risk/Reward) in Integrated oil Companies. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (37.2x trailing P/E). Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $194.43 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $231.46

Pump the brakes on CVX β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CVX, but look at what you are paying: 37.2x trailing P/E with 41.3% gross margins. Unless Chevron Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $287.01 (+24.0%)
Spot @ $231.46

CVX cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CVX, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Integrated oil Companies and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $231.46 (52-wk range $146.49 - $236.48), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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