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CoreCivic Inc. (CXW) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$30.97 +2.11% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $31.03

CoreCivic Inc. (CXW) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $3.00B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CXW Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CXW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, CoreCivic Inc. (NYSE: CXW) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $30.97 (+2.11% 1D, market cap $3.00B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, CXW ranks #362 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CXW compare to DRH and DX in the Financials sector?
▼

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), CXW carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, DRH (Diamondrock Hospitality Company) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 29.2x, ROIC 7.0%, cap $2.97B) and DX (Dynex Capital Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.0%, cap $2.75B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NHI leads on earnings multiple (23.1x) while NHI leads on capital efficiency (9.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CXW?
▼

Per CXW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001070985), CoreCivic Inc. generated $2.21B in revenue (+12.7% YoY), $0 in net income, and $194.6M in free cash flow against $3.26B in total assets and $1.21B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
🎯 CXW TRADE EXECUTION LEVELS + TODAY'S TOP 3 TRADES EXACT ENTRY • HARD STOP-LOSS (SUP) • TARGET (RES) • WHY

Where to Enter $CXW, Where to Set Your Hard Stop-Loss & Today's Top 3 High-Conviction Trades

🏆 RECENT ALERT WINNERS: $XYZ +15.6% (2d) $PLTR +13.7% (4d) $VRT +8.4% (2d)
CURRENT TICKER SETUP • $CXW R/R 2.9 : 1 • RQD 61/100 (C-)
$CXW
Spot $30.97
1. GET IN (ENTRY)
$30.78–$31.12
2. HARD STOP (SUP)
$29.58 (-4.5%)
3. GET OUT (T1/T2)
$33.39 / $35.06
STOP-LOSS FLOOR (SUP $29.58): Hard stop sits 4.5% below spot to cap downside below key institutional support. If $CXW closes a daily candle below $29.58, step aside.
PROFIT TARGETS (RES $33.39 / $35.06): Scale out 50% at T1 (+7.8%) and trail stop to breakeven for T2 (+13.2%).
Want this $CXW sheet + Today's Top 3 Trades emailed free? Paper Trade $CXW →
⚡ TODAY'S TOP 3 SUGGESTED TRADES OF THE DAY (100% FREE CHEAT SHEET) Trade #1 Unlocked • Enter Email Below to Unblur #2 & #3 + Get $CXW Sheet
#1 • $MU R/R 3.2 : 1
Micron Technology, Inc.
IN
$108.50
STOP
$103.90
OUT
$117.50
#2 • 🔒 LOCKED R/R 3.4 : 1
AI Liquid-Cooling Leader
Target: +8.53% to +14.86% | Stop: -3.89%
#3 • 🔒 LOCKED R/R 3.1 : 1
Cash-Flow Buyback Machine
Target: +8.38% to +14.53% | Stop: -3.93%
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $31.03 (+0.19%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 8.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510061
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw C- · Rk C
Cash (12)Whales (11)SEC (10)Macro (15)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.4% Base Target
$38 Bull$31 Base$24 Bear
📬 FREE CXW RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CXW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CXW SCORES 61/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 73% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 43.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 10 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
69
Grade B-$32.56-9.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
66
Grade B-$29.52+3.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
64
Grade C+$30.63+1.1% Next Q
Current
61
Grade C-$30.97+0.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (69) → C- (61)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CXW Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, CXW faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($32.55) or 200D SMA ($25.90) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($31.39) toward Bear Floor ($24.48).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CXW• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CXW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
43.230 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
4 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE73% OF RANGE
L: $16$30.97H: $37
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 24 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: CRQD 25 / 40
MULTI-MODEL QUANT PANEL DELIBERATION

Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground) on CXW

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (60)

14.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 6.33% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (65)

24/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 15/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like CXW
  • ✓Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CXW Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
CXW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +59.47%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-04O $30.88H $30.97L $30.33C $30.97VOL 2.88M
$37.76$32.75$27.73$22.72$17.70RES $38.54SUP $27.91$30.972026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CXW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +12.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CXW today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CXW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CXW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CXW)

Financials Rank #362 of 1097 ⚔️ DRH vs CXW Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (CXW vs. DRH, DX, NHI, BNL)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, CoreCivic Inc. (CXW) ranks #362 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #369 by equity capitalization ($3.00B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NHI leads on earnings valuation at 23.1x trailing P/E, while NHI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.3% ROIC and — gross margin. DRH currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with CXW at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CXW ACTIVE
CoreCivic Inc.
C- 61/100 — — — +2.11% $3.00B Benchmark Subject
DRH
Diamondrock Hospitality Company
C+ 67/100 29.2x — 7.0% 0.00% $2.97B /drh-vs-cxw →
DX
Dynex Capital Inc.
D 46/100 — — 0.0% -1.70% $2.75B /dx-vs-cxw →
NHI
National Health Investors Inc.
D- 43/100 23.1x — 9.3% +0.39% $3.36B /nhi-vs-cxw →
BNL
Broadstone Net Lease Inc.
D+ 55/100 34.6x — 2.3% +2.22% $3.38B /bnl-vs-cxw →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001070985 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), CoreCivic Inc. (CXW) reported GAAP revenue of $2.21B (+12.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.96B , and +16.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $194.6M, and free cash flow of $194.6M (-27.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, CXW closed FY2025 with $3.26B in total assets against $1.21B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.21B $0 $194.6M $194.6M $3.26B $1.21B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.96B $0 $269.2M $269.2M $2.93B $973.1M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.90B $0 $231.9M $231.9M — —

3. CXW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CXW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, CoreCivic Inc. (NYSE: CXW) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $30.97 (+2.11% 1D, market cap $3.00B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, CXW ranks #362 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CXW compare to DRH and DX in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), CXW carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, DRH (Diamondrock Hospitality Company) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 29.2x, ROIC 7.0%, cap $2.97B) and DX (Dynex Capital Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.0%, cap $2.75B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NHI leads on earnings multiple (23.1x) while NHI leads on capital efficiency (9.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CXW?

Per CXW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001070985), CoreCivic Inc. generated $2.21B in revenue (+12.7% YoY), $0 in net income, and $194.6M in free cash flow against $3.26B in total assets and $1.21B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CXW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CXW last traded at $30.97 (+2.11% on volume of 2,289,358 shares), positioning the stock -4.85% below its 50-day simple moving average ($32.55) and +19.58% above its 200-day simple moving average ($25.90). Across its 52-week range of $15.74 to $36.55, CXW sits at the 73.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.6% ($28.31 to $33.63).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 61/100 (C-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CXW — CoreCivic Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

CoreCivic Inc. (CXW) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 61/100, corresponding to a C- letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $30.97 (+2.11% 1D, market capitalization $3.00B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of 6.33%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (11/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (15/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

CoreCivic Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Financials sector and the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry,. — for detailed business description.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), CoreCivic Inc. (CXW) reported $2.21B in annual revenue (up from $1.96B in FY2024, +12.7% YoY) and $0 in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.90B revenue, $0 net income) through FY2025, CXW scaled operating cash flow to $194.6M and free cash flow to $194.6M, backed by $3.26B in total assets against $1.21B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C- • RQD 61/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 6.33% and institutional whale pillar of 11/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 11/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $15.74 – $36.55 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Real Estate Investment Trusts (Financials), CXW carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can CXW sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Real Estate Investment Trusts peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $2.21B and free cash flow of $194.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.21B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CXW's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

CXW Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for CoreCivic Inc. (CXW) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CXW Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CXW Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $30.97?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CXW 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CXW:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $40.45 (+31.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Free cash flow of $194.6M in FY 2025 and a 6.33% FCF yield offer a cash-generation signal despite a 1.0 beta.

Don't sleep on CXW's setup in Financials. Free cash flow of $194.6M in FY 2025 and a 6.33% FCF yield offer a cash-generation signal despite a 1.0 beta.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (61/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@MacroHawk_NYC Agree on the RQD 61/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $30.88 and keeping dry powder in case we test $28.72.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $25.63 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $30.88

A 0% ROIC, 0% net margin, and debt rising to $1.21B in FY 2025 weaken the forensic balance-sheet profile.

Fading this rally in CXW at $30.88. A 0% ROIC, 0% net margin, and debt rising to $1.21B in FY 2025 weaken the forensic balance-sheet profile.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $30.88 (52-wk range $15.74–$36.55), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

LIVE TAPE