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China Yuchai International Limited (CYD) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$22.03 -1.87% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.91

China Yuchai International Limited (CYD) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $842.3M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CYD Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CYD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, China Yuchai International Limited (NYSE: CYD) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $22.03 (-1.87% 1D, market cap $842.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, CYD ranks #290 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CYD compare to GHM and KRNT in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), CYD carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, GHM (Graham Corporation) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E 67.3x, ROIC 10.9%, cap $821.0M) and KRNT (Kornit Digital Ltd.) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.0%, cap $752.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GHM leads on earnings multiple (67.3x) while GHM leads on capital efficiency (10.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CYD?
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For China Yuchai International Limited (CYD), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #290 in Industrials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.91 (-0.53%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510045
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (3)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.9% Base Target
$65 Bull$21 Base$16 Bear
📬 FREE CYD RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CYD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (45/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CYD SCORES 45/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0.6% FCF Margin ($23.6M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
53
Grade C-$27.79-9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
50
Grade C-$25.30-7.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
48
Grade D$23.41-5.9% Next Q
Current
45
Grade D$22.03-6.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (53) → D (45)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CYD Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CYD currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($31.32) and Max Pain ($23.13) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $64.55.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CYD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CYD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 45%NO 55%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your CYD Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $22.03: 453.9 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $16.18
$7,345
$-2,655 (-26.6%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $20.74
$9,414
$-586 (-5.9%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $64.55
$29,301
+$19,301 (+193.0%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$2274%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$6169%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$1858%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CYD)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CYD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CYD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -43.80%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $23.26H $23.26L $22.03C $22.03VOL 137.7K
RES: $36.80SUP: $21.41SMA50: $31.32SMA200: $42.61
$64.24$52.80$41.36$29.91$18.47RES $36.80SUP $21.41$22.032026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CYD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CYD Butterfly Map → + Track CYD →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CYD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CYD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CYD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CYD)

Industrials Rank #290 of 486 ⚔️ GHM vs CYD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (CYD vs. GHM, KRNT, MLAB, ENVX)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, China Yuchai International Limited (CYD) ranks #290 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #265 by equity capitalization ($842.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GHM leads on earnings valuation at 67.3x trailing P/E, while GHM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.9% ROIC and 23.5% gross margin. MLAB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with CYD at 45/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CYD ACTIVE
China Yuchai International Limited
D 45/100 — — — -1.87% $842.3M Benchmark Subject
GHM
Graham Corporation
D- 37/100 67.3x 23.5% 10.9% +1.10% $821.0M /ghm-vs-cyd →
KRNT
Kornit Digital Ltd.
D 49/100 — 44.3% -4.0% -0.46% $752.8M /krnt-vs-cyd →
MLAB
Mesa Laboratories Inc.
C- 59/100 110.9x 63.5% 9.3% -4.57% $715.2M /mlab-vs-cyd →
ENVX
Enovix Corporation
E 22/100 — 19.2% -20.5% -5.71% $691.3M /envx-vs-cyd →

2. CYD Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

China Yuchai International Limited (CYD) operates in Industrial Machinery/Components (Industrials) with an equity capitalization of $842.3M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. CYD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CYD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, China Yuchai International Limited (NYSE: CYD) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $22.03 (-1.87% 1D, market cap $842.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, CYD ranks #290 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CYD compare to GHM and KRNT in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), CYD carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, GHM (Graham Corporation) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E 67.3x, ROIC 10.9%, cap $821.0M) and KRNT (Kornit Digital Ltd.) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.0%, cap $752.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GHM leads on earnings multiple (67.3x) while GHM leads on capital efficiency (10.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CYD?

For China Yuchai International Limited (CYD), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #290 in Industrials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CYD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CYD last traded at $22.03 (-1.87% on volume of 115,818 shares), positioning the stock -29.66% below its 50-day simple moving average ($31.32) and -48.30% below its 200-day simple moving average ($42.61). Across its 52-week range of $22.02 to $61.48, CYD sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 27.0 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.6% ($19.69 to $24.37).

Direct Sub-Reports: CYD RQD Cockpit CYD 12M Forecast CYD Earnings & Move CYD Dividends & DRIP CYD Insiders & 13F CYD Whale Options CYD Profit Sankey CYD News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 45/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CYD — China Yuchai International Limited: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

China Yuchai International Limited (CYD) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 45/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $22.03 (-1.87% 1D, market capitalization $842.3M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of N/A, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

China Yuchai International Limited (CYD) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, operating in the Industrial Machinery/Components industry..9B. — describes its products, customers, or revenue model.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 45/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $22.02 – $61.48 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Industrial Machinery/Components (Industrials), CYD carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can CYD sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Industrial Machinery/Components peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (— FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score N/A) toward the $61.48 52-week high?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CYD's equity valuation to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

CYD Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for China Yuchai International Limited (CYD) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CYD Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CYD Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $22.03?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CYD 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CYD:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $25.82 (+15.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet scores 13/20 with Altman Z 2.5 and Piotroski F 6/9, the strongest pillar in the rating.

Forensic balance sheet scores 13/20 with Altman Z 2.5 and Piotroski F 6/9, the strongest pillar in the rating.. When you look under the hood at CYD, Fundamental Cash Engine is 12/20 with 0.0% gross margins and 0.0% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (3/20) has been quietly accumulating below $61.48. My 12M target is $25.82.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — CYD's 13/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $19.31 (-14.0%)
Spot @ $22.45

ROIC and FCF yield both at 0% with whale flow scored 3/20, signaling no measurable cash returns or institutional accumulation.

Fading this rally in CYD at $22.45. ROIC and FCF yield both at 0% with whale flow scored 3/20, signaling no measurable cash returns or institutional accumulation.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $22.45 (52-wk range $22.02–$61.48), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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