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Why DAL Stock surged +4.08% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$83.42 +4.08% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $83.87

Delta Air Lines Inc. (DAL) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $52.73B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DAL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Delta Air Lines Inc. (NYSE: DAL) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $83.42 (+4.08% 1D, market cap $52.73B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 18/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DAL ranks #177 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DAL compare to FDX and UAL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Air Freight/Delivery Services), DAL carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 16.2%. By comparison, FDX (FedEx Corporation) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 10.9%, cap $73.37B) and UAL (United Airlines Holdings Inc.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 10.2x, ROIC 14.0%, cap $33.87B). Among the 5-stock peer group, UAL leads on earnings multiple (10.2x) while DAL leads on capital efficiency (16.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DAL?
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Per DAL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000027904), Delta Air Lines Inc. generated $63.36B in revenue (+2.8% YoY), $5.00B in net income, and $5.49B in free cash flow against $81.32B in total assets and $11.94B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $83.87 (+0.54%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 8.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510068
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk C
Cash (12)Whales (12)SEC (14)Macro (12)CEO (18)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target
$103 Bull$87 Base$68 Bear
📬 FREE DAL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DAL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (68/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY DAL SCORES 68/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 1.83 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (49.6) create a -8 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
60
Grade C$76.65+1.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
63
Grade C+$77.67+3.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
65
Grade C+$80.35+3.8% Next Q
Current
68
Grade C+$83.42+1.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (60) → C+ (68)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the DAL Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, DAL faces multiple-compression risk if 10.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($80.37) or 200D SMA ($76.87) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($87.17) toward Bear Floor ($67.99).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DAL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “DAL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 68%NO 32%Trade / Inspect Odds →
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why DAL Stock surged +4.08% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Delta Air Lines Inc. (DAL) surged +4.08% to $83.42, trading at 70% of its 52-week range ($55.03 – $95.68). Solid steady margins (16% return on capital), mixed timing at 11x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 70% of its 52-week range ($55.03 – $95.68) with RSI-14 at 49.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.1% around $83.42 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $5.5B annual free cash flow.
Live DAL Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (DAL Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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DAL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +21.78%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $81.64H $83.42L $80.15C $83.42VOL 4.35M
RES: $82.75SUP: $73.54SMA50: $80.37SMA200: $76.87
$97.93$88.59$79.25$69.91$60.57RES $82.75SUP $73.54$83.422026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DAL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 DAL Butterfly Map → + Track DAL →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
0.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DAL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DAL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DAL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DAL)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #177 of 1009 ⚔️ FDX vs DAL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (DAL vs. FDX, UAL, RYAAY, LUV)

Industry: Air Freight/Delivery Services (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Delta Air Lines Inc. (DAL) ranks #177 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #41 by equity capitalization ($52.73B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, UAL leads on earnings valuation at 10.2x trailing P/E, while DAL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.2% ROIC and — gross margin. FDX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with DAL at 68/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
DAL ACTIVE
Delta Air Lines Inc.
C+ 68/100 10.7x — 16.2% +4.08% $52.73B Benchmark Subject
FDX
FedEx Corporation
B 73/100 — — 10.9% +1.59% $73.37B /fdx-vs-dal →
UAL
United Airlines Holdings Inc.
D+ 56/100 10.2x — 14.0% +4.80% $33.87B /ual-vs-dal →
RYAAY
Ryanair Holdings plc
D+ 54/100 32.8x — 9.9% +2.92% $28.27B /ryaay-vs-dal →
LUV
Southwest Airlines Company
D 50/100 48.5x — 3.2% +3.61% $20.77B /luv-vs-dal →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000027904 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Delta Air Lines Inc. (DAL) reported GAAP revenue of $63.36B (+2.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $61.64B , and +9.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $5.00B, operating cash flow of $8.34B, and free cash flow of $5.49B (+4.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, DAL closed FY2025 with $81.32B in total assets against $11.94B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.83, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $63.36B $5.00B $8.34B $5.49B $81.32B $11.94B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $61.64B $3.46B $8.03B $5.25B $75.37B $13.55B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $58.05B $4.61B $6.46B $3.85B $69.66B $16.30B

3. DAL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DAL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Delta Air Lines Inc. (NYSE: DAL) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $83.42 (+4.08% 1D, market cap $52.73B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 18/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DAL ranks #177 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DAL compare to FDX and UAL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Air Freight/Delivery Services), DAL carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 16.2%. By comparison, FDX (FedEx Corporation) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 10.9%, cap $73.37B) and UAL (United Airlines Holdings Inc.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 10.2x, ROIC 14.0%, cap $33.87B). Among the 5-stock peer group, UAL leads on earnings multiple (10.2x) while DAL leads on capital efficiency (16.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DAL?

Per DAL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000027904), Delta Air Lines Inc. generated $63.36B in revenue (+2.8% YoY), $5.00B in net income, and $5.49B in free cash flow against $81.32B in total assets and $11.94B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DAL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DAL last traded at $83.42 (+4.08% on volume of 7,590,303 shares), positioning the stock +3.79% above its 50-day simple moving average ($80.37) and +8.52% above its 200-day simple moving average ($76.87). Across its 52-week range of $55.03 to $95.68, DAL sits at the 69.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.1% ($77.50 to $89.34).

Direct Sub-Reports: DAL RQD Cockpit DAL 12M Forecast DAL Earnings & Move DAL Dividends & DRIP DAL Insiders & 13F DAL Whale Options DAL Profit Sankey DAL News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 68/100 (C+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

DAL — Delta Air Lines Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Delta Air Lines Inc. (DAL) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 68/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $83.42 (+4.08% 1D, market capitalization $52.73B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 16.2%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 9.2%, and free cash flow yield of 10.22%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (12/20) + Insider Conviction (18/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (12/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.09x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 1.83, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.57x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Delta Air Lines Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Air Freight/Delivery Services industry. The profile identifies its market capitalization as $53.7B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Delta Air Lines Inc. (DAL) reported $63.36B in annual revenue (up from $61.64B in FY2024, +2.8% YoY) and $5.00B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($58.05B revenue, $4.61B net income) through FY2025, DAL scaled operating cash flow to $8.34B and free cash flow to $5.49B, backed by $81.32B in total assets against $11.94B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C+ • RQD 68/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Free cash flow yield of 10.22% and institutional whale pillar of 12/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 12/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $55.03 – $95.68 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 10.7x trailing P/E and 7.4x EV/EBITDA against 9.2% operating margins and a 1.09x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependency mapping is therefore — Sector correlations beyond the Consumer Discretionary / Air Freight/Delivery Services classification are — From the news wire, fuel costs appear as the recurring second-order variable: the cited forecast cut is attributed to a fuel surge, so fuel price movements are the most directly evidenced ripple to monitor.

  • Key Question #1: Can DAL sustain or expand its 9.2% operating margin and 16.2% ROIC against Air Freight/Delivery Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $63.36B and free cash flow of $5.49B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $11.94B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is DAL's 10.0x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.09x)?

DAL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Delta Air Lines Inc. (DAL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to DAL Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

DAL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $83.42?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON DAL 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on DAL:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $92.17 (+15.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Insider and congressional buying clusters (18/20) plus a 10.22% FCF yield and 16.2% ROIC point to strong cash generation at a low 10.7x

Insider and congressional buying clusters (18/20) plus a 10.22% FCF yield and 16.2% ROIC point to strong cash generation at a low 10.7x trailing P/E.. When you look under the hood at DAL, Fundamental Cash Engine is 12/20 with 0.0% gross margins and 16.2% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (12/20) has been quietly accumulating below $95.68. My 12M target is $92.17.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — DAL's 14/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $68.13 (-15.0%)
Spot @ $80.15

Fuel-price pressure has already prompted a 2026 forecast cut, and the 1.83 Altman Z-Score with a 1.09 beta leaves the stock exposed to

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on DAL: Fuel-price pressure has already prompted a 2026 forecast cut, and the 1.83 Altman Z-Score with a 1.09 beta leaves the stock exposed to macro shocks.. At 10.7x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Air Freight/Delivery Services triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

LIVE TAPE