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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / DECK / insiders
CROX (68) ONON (59) BIRK (54) SHOO (62) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$85.00 +3.67% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $85.77

Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 75/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (57.7% gross margin, 74% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B β€’ BUY Cap $10.94B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on DECK Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DECK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Deckers Outdoor Corporation (NYSE: DECK) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 75/100 at a spot price of $85.00 (+3.67% 1D, market cap $10.94B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 20/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 19/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DECK ranks #60 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DECK compare to CROX and ONON in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Shoe Manufacturing), DECK carries a Roarable B (75/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.0x, gross margin of 57.7%, and ROIC of 73.9%. By comparison, CROX (Crocs Inc.) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.9%, cap $6.88B) and ONON (On Holding AG (Class A)) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $20.38B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DECK leads on earnings multiple (11.0x) while DECK leads on capital efficiency (73.9% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DECK?
β–Ό

Per DECK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0000910521), Deckers Outdoor Corporation generated $5.47B in revenue (+9.8% YoY), $1.02B in net income, and $1.10B in free cash flow against $4.10B in total assets and $959.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (57.7% gross margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $85.76 (+0.90%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 20/20 (A+) β€’ 20.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 75/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 69.7% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY β€’ B
025507510075
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw B+ Β· Rk B-
Cash (20)Whales (8)SEC (18)Macro (10)CEO (19)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+7.6% Base Target
$128 Bull$92 Base$70 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE DECK RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DECK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±6.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (75/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY DECK SCORES 75/100 (B) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+20/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 20.1% FCF Margin ($1.10B FCF) & 57.7% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+19/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
67
Grade B-$82.82+3.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
70
Grade B$85.49-5.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
72
Grade B$80.74+5.3% Next Q
Current
75
Grade B$85.00+7.4% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: B- (67) β†’ B (75)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the DECK Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 75/100 (B) score, DECK faces multiple-compression risk if 11.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 55.2% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($82.16) or 200D SMA ($98.99) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($91.50) toward Bear Floor ($69.70).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DECKβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œDECK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 75%NO 25%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
SEC FORM 4 Γ— 13F HEDGE FUNDS Γ— CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

DECK Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales β†’
β–² Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)β–Ό Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (DECK)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on DECK. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (DECK Tape Review)

  • βœ“Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • βœ“Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • βœ“Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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DECK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.95%β–² RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $82.76H $85.00L $81.99C $85.00VOL 2.61M
RES: $84.57SUP: $62.83SMA50: $82.16SMA200: $98.99
$119.3$107.9$96.46$85.06$73.66RES $84.57SUP $62.83$85.002026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DECK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ DECK Butterfly Map β†’ + Track DECK β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
0.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +9.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DECK today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DECK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DECK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DECK)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #60 of 1009 βš”οΈ CROX vs DECK Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (DECK vs. CROX, ONON, BIRK, SHOO)

Industry: Shoe Manufacturing (9 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK) ranks #60 by composite RQD confidence (75/100, grade B) and #155 by equity capitalization ($10.94B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DECK leads on earnings valuation at 11.0x trailing P/E, while DECK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 73.9% ROIC and 57.7% gross margin. DECK currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 75/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
DECK ACTIVE
Deckers Outdoor Corporation
B 75/100 11.0x 57.7% 73.9% +3.67% $10.94B Benchmark Subject
CROX
Crocs Inc.
C+ 68/100 β€” 58.3% 4.9% +1.73% $6.88B /crox-vs-deck β†’
ONON
On Holding AG (Class A)
C- 59/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% +5.15% $20.38B /onon-vs-deck β†’
BIRK
Birkenstock Holding plc
D+ 54/100 32.8x β€” 9.9% +6.31% $5.52B /birk-vs-deck β†’
SHOO
Steven Madden Ltd.
C 62/100 73.6x 41.6% 6.5% +0.07% $3.18B /shoo-vs-deck β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2026-03-31 β€’ CIK 0000910521 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK) reported GAAP revenue of $5.47B (+9.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.99B , and +27.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.02B, operating cash flow of $1.18B, and free cash flow of $1.10B (+14.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, DECK closed FY2025 with $4.10B in total assets against $959.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 7.22, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-03-31 $5.47B $1.02B $1.18B $1.10B $4.10B $959.9M
FY2024 (FY) 2025-03-31 $4.99B $966.1M $1.04B $958.4M $3.96B $927.7M
FY2023 (FY) 2024-03-31 $4.29B $759.6M $1.03B $840.2M $6.21B $1.45B

3. DECK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DECK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Deckers Outdoor Corporation (NYSE: DECK) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 75/100 at a spot price of $85.00 (+3.67% 1D, market cap $10.94B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 20/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 19/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DECK ranks #60 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DECK compare to CROX and ONON in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Shoe Manufacturing), DECK carries a Roarable B (75/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.0x, gross margin of 57.7%, and ROIC of 73.9%. By comparison, CROX (Crocs Inc.) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.9%, cap $6.88B) and ONON (On Holding AG (Class A)) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $20.38B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DECK leads on earnings multiple (11.0x) while DECK leads on capital efficiency (73.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DECK?

Per DECK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0000910521), Deckers Outdoor Corporation generated $5.47B in revenue (+9.8% YoY), $1.02B in net income, and $1.10B in free cash flow against $4.10B in total assets and $959.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (57.7% gross margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DECK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DECK last traded at $85.00 (+3.67% on volume of 2,910,892 shares), positioning the stock +3.46% above its 50-day simple moving average ($82.16) and -14.13% below its 200-day simple moving average ($98.99). Across its 52-week range of $77.20 to $122.29, DECK sits at the 17.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±6.7% ($79.30 to $90.70).

Direct Sub-Reports: DECK RQD Cockpit DECK 12M Forecast DECK Earnings & Move DECK Dividends & DRIP DECK Insiders & 13F DECK Whale Options DECK Profit Sankey DECK News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 75/100 (B) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

DECK β€” Deckers Outdoor Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-03-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 75/100, corresponding to a B letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $85.00 (+3.67% 1D, market capitalization $10.94B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (20/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 73.9%, gross margin of 57.7%, operating margin of 23.1%, and free cash flow yield of 9.72%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (19/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (18/20): Incorporates a 1.09x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 7.22, Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.32x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, within the Shoe Manufacturing industry. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 57.7%, an operating margin of 23.1%, and a net margin of 18.7%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-03-31), Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK) reported $5.47B in annual revenue (up from $4.99B in FY2024, +9.8% YoY) and $1.02B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($4.29B revenue, $759.6M net income) through FY2025, DECK scaled operating cash flow to $1.18B and free cash flow to $1.10B, backed by $4.10B in total assets against $959.9M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (B β€’ RQD 75/100): Strong cash generator (57.7% gross margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 20/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $77.20 – $122.29 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 11.0x trailing P/E and 7.5x EV/EBITDA against 23.1% operating margins and a 1.09x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Second-order bottlenecks cannot be identified from the provided sources.

  • Key Question #1: Can DECK sustain or expand its 23.1% operating margin and 73.9% ROIC against Shoe Manufacturing peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $5.47B and free cash flow of $1.10B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $959.9M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is DECK's 10.2x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.09x)?

DECK Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to DECK Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

DECK Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $85.00?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON DECK 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on DECK:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Fundamental Long-Only πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $102.49 (+25.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

DECK (B β€’ RQD 75/100) operating leverage in Shoe Manufacturing is mispriced at $81.99

Don't sleep on DECK's setup in Consumer Discretionary. DECK (B β€’ RQD 75/100) operating leverage in Shoe Manufacturing is mispriced at $81.99. Beta of 1.09 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (75/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

EarningsSniper πŸ‚ BULL

@MeanReversion_88 Shorting a 8/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $81.99 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $61.49 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $81.99

Per the RQD rating, the whale 13F flow pillar scores only 8 of 20 and macro regime fit scores 10 of 20, indicating weak institutional s

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short DECK above $81.99. Per the RQD rating, the whale 13F flow pillar scores only 8 of 20 and macro regime fit scores 10 of 20, indicating weak institutional signals and a sector-sensitive beta of 1.09.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (20/20) and FCF yield (9.72%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $122.29.

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