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Why DEO Stock surged +4.48% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$97.63 +4.48% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $98.23

Diageo plc (DEO) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 69/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $52.01B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DEO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Diageo plc (NYSE: DEO) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $97.63 (+4.48% 1D, market cap $52.01B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, DEO ranks #19 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DEO compare to CCEP and KDP in the Consumer Staples sector?
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Within the Consumer Staples sector (Beverages (Production/Distribution)), DEO carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, CCEP (Coca-Cola Europacific Partners plc) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $51.40B) and KDP (Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 23.1x, ROIC 7.5%, cap $48.77B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KDP leads on earnings multiple (23.1x) while DEO leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DEO?
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For Diageo plc (DEO), key quantitative strengths include Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side and Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs., while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $98.24 (+0.62%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 15.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 69/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+2.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 57.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510069
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw C · Rk B
Cash (12)Whales (15)SEC (16)Macro (14)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.9% Base Target
$121 Bull$102 Base$80 Bear
📬 FREE DEO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DEO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (69/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY DEO SCORES 69/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±3.3% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 8 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
61
Grade C$92.00+0.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
64
Grade C+$92.85-1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
66
Grade B-$91.96+6.2% Next Q
Current
69
Grade C+$97.63+2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (61) → C+ (69)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the DEO Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 69/100 (C+) score, DEO faces multiple-compression risk if 32.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($89.47) or 200D SMA ($85.82) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($102.46) toward Bear Floor ($79.92).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DEO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “DEO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 69%NO 31%Trade / Inspect Odds →
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why DEO Stock surged +4.48% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Diageo plc (DEO) surged +4.48% to $97.63, trading at 83% of its 52-week range ($72.45 – $102.74). Solid steady margins (10% return on capital), mixed timing at 33x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 83% of its 52-week range ($72.45 – $102.74) with RSI-14 at 56.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±3.3% around $97.63 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $1.1B annual free cash flow.
Live DEO Headlines & Catalysts
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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (DEO Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
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DEO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +24.35%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $91.33H $97.63L $91.33C $97.63VOL 928.4K
RES: $96.97SUP: $85.00SMA50: $89.47SMA200: $85.82
$99.02$93.27$87.51$81.76$76.00RES $96.97SUP $85.00$97.632026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DEO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 DEO Butterfly Map → + Track DEO →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DEO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DEO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DEO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DEO)

Consumer Staples Rank #19 of 147 ⚔️ CCEP vs DEO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (DEO vs. CCEP, KDP, FMX, ABEV)

Industry: Beverages (Production/Distribution) (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Diageo plc (DEO) ranks #19 by composite RQD confidence (69/100, grade C+) and #12 by equity capitalization ($52.01B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KDP leads on earnings valuation at 23.1x trailing P/E, while DEO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.9% ROIC and — gross margin. CCEP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with DEO at 69/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
DEO ACTIVE
Diageo plc
C+ 69/100 32.8x — 9.9% +4.48% $52.01B Benchmark Subject
CCEP
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners plc
B- 71/100 32.8x — 9.9% +2.08% $51.40B /ccep-vs-deo →
KDP
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.
C 65/100 23.1x 54.2% 7.5% +2.73% $48.77B /kdp-vs-deo →
FMX
Fomento Economico Mexicano S.A.B. de C.V.
C+ 68/100 32.8x — 9.9% +0.87% $42.96B /fmx-vs-deo →
ABEV
Ambev S.A. American
D+ 53/100 32.8x — 9.9% +1.13% $41.93B /abev-vs-deo →

2. DEO Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Diageo plc (DEO) operates in Beverages (Production/Distribution) (Consumer Staples) with an equity capitalization of $52.01B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 30.5x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9.

3. DEO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DEO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Diageo plc (NYSE: DEO) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $97.63 (+4.48% 1D, market cap $52.01B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 147 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, DEO ranks #19 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DEO compare to CCEP and KDP in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Beverages (Production/Distribution)), DEO carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, CCEP (Coca-Cola Europacific Partners plc) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $51.40B) and KDP (Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 23.1x, ROIC 7.5%, cap $48.77B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KDP leads on earnings multiple (23.1x) while DEO leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DEO?

For Diageo plc (DEO), key quantitative strengths include Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side and Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs., while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DEO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DEO last traded at $97.63 (+4.48% on volume of 1,313,020 shares), positioning the stock +9.12% above its 50-day simple moving average ($89.47) and +13.76% above its 200-day simple moving average ($85.82). Across its 52-week range of $72.45 to $102.74, DEO sits at the 83.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 56.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.3% ($94.41 to $100.85).

Direct Sub-Reports: DEO RQD Cockpit DEO 12M Forecast DEO Earnings & Move DEO Dividends & DRIP DEO Insiders & 13F DEO Whale Options DEO Profit Sankey DEO News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 69/100 (C+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

DEO — Diageo plc: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Diageo plc (DEO) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 69/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $97.63 (+4.48% 1D, market capitalization $52.01B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 9.9%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (15/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (14/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 0.98x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.74, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.39x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Sector: Consumer Staples. Industry: Beverages (Production/Distribution). Exchange: NYSE. Diageo plc (DEO) is a NYSE-listed issuer in beverage production and distribution with a market capitalization of $50.8B. —: product lines, customer segments, and revenue mix.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C+ • RQD 69/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 15/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $72.45 – $102.74 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 32.8x trailing P/E and 21.0x EV/EBITDA against 13.9% operating margins and a 0.98x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies cannot be mapped from the source data. Sector context is limited to Consumer Staples and Beverages (Production/Distribution).

  • Key Question #1: Can DEO sustain or expand its 13.9% operating margin and 9.9% ROIC against Beverages (Production/Distribution) peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (2.21% FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score 3.74) toward the $102.74 52-week high?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is DEO's 30.5x forward P/E multiple to Consumer Staples capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.98x)?

DEO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Diageo plc (DEO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to DEO Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

DEO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $97.63?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON DEO 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on DEO:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $108.39 (+16.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet is the strongest RQD pillar at 16 of 20, with Altman Z 3.74, Piotroski F 7/9, and Debt/Equity 0.39.

Picked up a starter position in DEO in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $93.44. Forensic balance sheet is the strongest RQD pillar at 16 of 20, with Altman Z 3.74, Piotroski F 7/9, and Debt/Equity 0.39.. Trading inside a $72.45–$102.74 52-week range with 2.21% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Beverages (Production/Distribution) multiples expand this quarter.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@RiskArb_Desk Fair point on 32.8x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Beverages (Production/Distribution). If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $76.62 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $93.44

Valuation is rich at 32.8 trailing P/E and 21 EV/EBITDA against a 2.21% FCF yield and 9.9% ROIC.

Valuation is rich at 32.8 trailing P/E and 21 EV/EBITDA against a 2.21% FCF yield and 9.9% ROIC.. Look at the math on DEO: paying 32.8x trailing P/E for 9.9% ROIC and 13.9% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Beverages (Production/Distribution) demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $82.23 before getting long.

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