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Why DFLI Stock dropped -4.21% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$1.82 -4.21% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.80

Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) (DFLI) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 25/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $3.6M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DFLI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) (NASDAQ: DFLI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 25/100 at a spot price of $1.82 (-4.21% 1D, market cap $3.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, DFLI ranks #451 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DFLI compare to XPON and FCUV in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), DFLI carries a Roarable E (25/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 26.7%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, XPON (Expion Energy Inc.) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $3.6M) and FCUV (Focus Universal Inc.) posts a E grade (20/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $3.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DFLI leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while DFLI leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DFLI?
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Per DFLI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001847986), Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) generated $58.6M in revenue (+15.8% YoY), -$69.9M in net income, and -$27.9M in free cash flow against $86.5M in total assets and $9.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.80 (-0.95%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (25/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510025
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (3)Whales (3)SEC (8)Macro (7)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-14.8% Base Target
$100 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE DFLI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DFLI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (25/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY DFLI SCORES 25/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (32% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+7/20 pts (28% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 22.2 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
33
Grade E$3.26-14.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
30
Grade E$2.78-15.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
28
Grade E$2.36-22.9% Next Q
Current
25
Grade E$1.82-10.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (33) → E (25)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DFLI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While DFLI currently carries a cautious 25/100 (E) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.72) and Max Pain ($1.91) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $99.96.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DFLI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “DFLI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why DFLI Stock dropped -4.21% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) (DFLI) dropped -4.21% to $1.82, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($1.83 – $95.2). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($1.83 – $95.2) with RSI-14 at 22.2 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $1.82 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 26.7% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live DFLI Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREBenzinga • 7d ago
12 Industrials Stocks Moving In Monday's After-Market Session

Gainers JetBlue Airways (NASDAQ:JBLU) stock increased by 10.6% to $2.62 during Monday&#39;s after-market session. The company&#39;s market cap stands at $999.8 million. As per the press release, Q3 earnings came out

MARKET WIREBenzinga • 8d ago
12 Industrials Stocks Moving In Monday's Pre-Market Session

Gainers DSS (AMEX:DSS) shares moved upwards by 13.7% to $0.58 during Monday&#39;s pre-market session. The company&#39;s market cap stands at $5.3 million. Stem (NYSE:STEM) stock moved upwards by 8.63% to $3.27. The

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DFLI)

  • ✓Walkthrough of DFLI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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DFLI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -88.63%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $2.32H $2.32L $1.82C $1.82VOL 96.8K
RES: $4.03SUP: $1.48SMA50: $5.72SMA200: $13.87
$41.66$30.86$20.06$9.27$-1.53RES $4.03SUP $1.48$1.822026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DFLI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +15.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DFLI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DFLI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DFLI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DFLI)

Industrials Rank #451 of 486 ⚔️ XPON vs DFLI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (DFLI vs. XPON, FCUV, RETO, POLA)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) (DFLI) ranks #451 by composite RQD confidence (25/100, grade E) and #469 by equity capitalization ($3.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DFLI leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while DFLI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and 26.7% gross margin. XPON currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 33/100 (E) compared with DFLI at 25/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
DFLI ACTIVE
Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV)
E 25/100 — 26.7% -35.0% -4.21% $3.6M Benchmark Subject
XPON
Expion Energy Inc.
E 33/100 — 13.9% -35.0% +1.96% $3.6M /xpon-vs-dfli →
FCUV
Focus Universal Inc.
E 20/100 — -13.8% -35.0% +1.22% $3.2M /fcuv-vs-dfli →
RETO
ReTo Eco-Solutions Inc. (Class A)
E 21/100 — 35.3% -35.0% -6.59% $4.2M /reto-vs-dfli →
POLA
Polar Power Inc.
E 26/100 — -30.0% -35.0% +1.64% $2.7M /pola-vs-dfli →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001847986 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) (DFLI) reported GAAP revenue of $58.6M (+15.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $50.6M , and -8.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$69.9M, operating cash flow of -$26.0M, and free cash flow of -$27.9M (-182.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, DFLI closed FY2025 with $86.5M in total assets against $9.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $58.6M -$69.9M -$26.0M -$27.9M $86.5M $9.2M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $50.6M -$40.6M -$7.2M -$9.9M $75.2M $29.6M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $64.4M -$13.8M -$17.7M -$17.7M — —

3. DFLI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DFLI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) (NASDAQ: DFLI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 25/100 at a spot price of $1.82 (-4.21% 1D, market cap $3.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, DFLI ranks #451 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DFLI compare to XPON and FCUV in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), DFLI carries a Roarable E (25/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 26.7%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, XPON (Expion Energy Inc.) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $3.6M) and FCUV (Focus Universal Inc.) posts a E grade (20/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $3.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DFLI leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while DFLI leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DFLI?

Per DFLI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001847986), Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) generated $58.6M in revenue (+15.8% YoY), -$69.9M in net income, and -$27.9M in free cash flow against $86.5M in total assets and $9.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DFLI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DFLI last traded at $1.82 (-4.21% on volume of 59,485 shares), positioning the stock -68.18% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.72) and -86.88% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.87). Across its 52-week range of $1.83 to $95.20, DFLI sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 22.2 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.59 to $2.05).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 25/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

DFLI — Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) (DFLI) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 25/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $1.82 (-4.21% 1D, market capitalization $3.6M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (3/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of 26.7%, operating margin of -39.5%, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.20, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.80x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. (NV) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, within the Industrial Machinery/Components industry. Revenue was $58.6M in FY 2025, $50.6M in FY 2024, and $64.4M in FY 2023.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) (DFLI) reported $58.6M in annual revenue (up from $50.6M in FY2024, +15.8% YoY) and -$69.9M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($64.4M revenue, -$13.8M net income) through FY2025, DFLI scaled operating cash flow to -$26.0M and free cash flow to -$27.9M, backed by $86.5M in total assets against $9.2M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 25/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 3/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.83 – $95.20 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -39.5% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Industrial Machinery/Components (Industrials), DFLI carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 26.7%.

  • Key Question #1: Can DFLI sustain or expand its -39.5% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Industrial Machinery/Components peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $58.6M and free cash flow of -$27.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $9.2M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is DFLI's equity valuation to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

DFLI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) (DFLI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to DFLI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

DFLI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.82?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON DFLI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on DFLI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.47 (+30.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Cash rose from $4.8M to $18.3M while debt fell from $29.6M to $9.2M between FY 2024 and FY 2025.

Here is why I am bullish on DFLI here at $1.90: Cash rose from $4.8M to $18.3M while debt fell from $29.6M to $9.2M between FY 2024 and FY 2025.. Compare DFLI's -39.5% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against the rest of Industrial Machinery/Components. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $1.80 are getting bought.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@CreditSpread_Watch Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Industrial Machinery/Components. If gross margin (26.7%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.48 (-22.1%)
Spot @ $1.90

Operating losses in every reported period, with FY 2025 net loss of -$69.9M against cash of $18.3M and FCF of -$27.9M.

Careful chasing DFLI at $1.90. Operating losses in every reported period, with FY 2025 net loss of -$69.9M against cash of $18.3M and FCF of -$27.9M.. Gross margin is 26.7%, but operating margin is -39.5%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $1.48 on multiple compression.

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