Why DFLI Stock dropped -4.21% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) (DFLI) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 25/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is DFLI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) (NASDAQ: DFLI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 25/100 at a spot price of $1.82 (-4.21% 1D, market cap $3.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, DFLI ranks #451 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does DFLI compare to XPON and FCUV in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), DFLI carries a Roarable E (25/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 26.7%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, XPON (Expion Energy Inc.) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $3.6M) and FCUV (Focus Universal Inc.) posts a E grade (20/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $3.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DFLI leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while DFLI leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DFLI?
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Per DFLI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001847986), Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) generated $58.6M in revenue (+15.8% YoY), -$69.9M in net income, and -$27.9M in free cash flow against $86.5M in total assets and $9.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9
FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 22.2 (OVERSOLD (<32))
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DFLI Turnaround Squeeze
While DFLI currently carries a cautious 25/100 (E) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.72) and Max Pain ($1.91) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $99.96.
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
Why DFLI Stock dropped -4.21% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) (DFLI) dropped -4.21% to $1.82, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($1.83 – $95.2). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($1.83 – $95.2) with RSI-14 at 22.2 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $1.82 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 26.7% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DFLI)
- ✓Walkthrough of DFLI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
DFLI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +15.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DFLI today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DFLI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DFLI)
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (DFLI vs. XPON, FCUV, RETO, POLA)
Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) (DFLI) ranks #451 by composite RQD confidence (25/100, grade E) and #469 by equity capitalization ($3.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DFLI leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while DFLI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and 26.7% gross margin. XPON currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 33/100 (E) compared with DFLI at 25/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DFLI
ACTIVE
Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) | E | 25/100 | — | 26.7% | -35.0% | -4.21% | $3.6M | Benchmark Subject |
| XPON Expion Energy Inc. | E | 33/100 | — | 13.9% | -35.0% | +1.96% | $3.6M | /xpon-vs-dfli → |
| FCUV Focus Universal Inc. | E | 20/100 | — | -13.8% | -35.0% | +1.22% | $3.2M | /fcuv-vs-dfli → |
| RETO ReTo Eco-Solutions Inc. (Class A) | E | 21/100 | — | 35.3% | -35.0% | -6.59% | $4.2M | /reto-vs-dfli → |
| POLA Polar Power Inc. | E | 26/100 | — | -30.0% | -35.0% | +1.64% | $2.7M | /pola-vs-dfli → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001847986 ↗In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) (DFLI) reported GAAP revenue of $58.6M (+15.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $50.6M , and -8.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$69.9M, operating cash flow of -$26.0M, and free cash flow of -$27.9M (-182.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, DFLI closed FY2025 with $86.5M in total assets against $9.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $58.6M | -$69.9M | -$26.0M | -$27.9M | $86.5M | $9.2M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $50.6M | -$40.6M | -$7.2M | -$9.9M | $75.2M | $29.6M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $64.4M | -$13.8M | -$17.7M | -$17.7M | — | — |
3. DFLI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs DFLI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-03, Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) (NASDAQ: DFLI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 25/100 at a spot price of $1.82 (-4.21% 1D, market cap $3.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, DFLI ranks #451 in composite RQD confidence.
How does DFLI compare to XPON and FCUV in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), DFLI carries a Roarable E (25/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 26.7%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, XPON (Expion Energy Inc.) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $3.6M) and FCUV (Focus Universal Inc.) posts a E grade (20/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $3.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DFLI leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while DFLI leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DFLI?
Per DFLI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001847986), Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) generated $58.6M in revenue (+15.8% YoY), -$69.9M in net income, and -$27.9M in free cash flow against $86.5M in total assets and $9.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is DFLI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
DFLI last traded at $1.82 (-4.21% on volume of 59,485 shares), positioning the stock -68.18% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.72) and -86.88% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.87). Across its 52-week range of $1.83 to $95.20, DFLI sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 22.2 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.59 to $2.05).
DFLI — Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) (DFLI) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 25/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $1.82 (-4.21% 1D, market capitalization $3.6M).
- Fundamental Cash Engine (3/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of 26.7%, operating margin of -39.5%, and free cash flow yield of —.
- Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
- Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.20, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.80x.
2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory
. (NV) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, within the Industrial Machinery/Components industry. Revenue was $58.6M in FY 2025, $50.6M in FY 2024, and $64.4M in FY 2023.
In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) (DFLI) reported $58.6M in annual revenue (up from $50.6M in FY2024, +15.8% YoY) and -$69.9M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($64.4M revenue, -$13.8M net income) through FY2025, DFLI scaled operating cash flow to -$26.0M and free cash flow to -$27.9M, backed by $86.5M in total assets against $9.2M in total debt.
3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff
- 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 25/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 3/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.83 – $95.20 52-week range.
- 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -39.5% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.
4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch
Operating in Industrial Machinery/Components (Industrials), DFLI carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 26.7%.
- Key Question #1: Can DFLI sustain or expand its -39.5% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Industrial Machinery/Components peers over the next 4 quarters?
- Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $58.6M and free cash flow of -$27.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $9.2M in total debt?
- Key Question #3: How sensitive is DFLI's equity valuation to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?
DFLI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp. (NV) (DFLI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
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DFLI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.82?
Cash rose from $4.8M to $18.3M while debt fell from $29.6M to $9.2M between FY 2024 and FY 2025.
Here is why I am bullish on DFLI here at $1.90: Cash rose from $4.8M to $18.3M while debt fell from $29.6M to $9.2M between FY 2024 and FY 2025.. Compare DFLI's -39.5% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against the rest of Industrial Machinery/Components. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $1.80 are getting bought.
@CreditSpread_Watch Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Industrial Machinery/Components. If gross margin (26.7%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.
Operating losses in every reported period, with FY 2025 net loss of -$69.9M against cash of $18.3M and FCF of -$27.9M.
Careful chasing DFLI at $1.90. Operating losses in every reported period, with FY 2025 net loss of -$69.9M against cash of $18.3M and FCF of -$27.9M.. Gross margin is 26.7%, but operating margin is -39.5%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $1.48 on multiple compression.