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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / DG / earnings
DLTR (79) BURL (58) FIVE (76) BJ (81) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Dollar General Corporation (DG) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±7.1% Move

$132.30 +1.70% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $133.02

Dollar General Corporation (DG) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 73/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (31% profit margin, 10% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 73/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.0% hit rate) →
ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $28.70B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on DG Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Dollar General Corporation (NYSE: DG) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 73/100 at a spot price of $132.30 (+1.70% 1D, market cap $28.70B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DG ranks #87 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DG compare to DLTR and BURL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Department/Specialty Retail Stores), DG carries a Roarable B (73/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 19.0x, gross margin of 30.7%, and ROIC of 10.4%. By comparison, DLTR (Dollar Tree Inc.) holds a B+ grade (79/100 RQD, P/E 19.3x, ROIC 23.9%, cap $24.77B) and BURL (Burlington Stores Inc.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 25.0x, ROIC 22.8%, cap $15.22B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DG leads on earnings multiple (19.0x) while BJ leads on capital efficiency (25.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DG?
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Per DG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-30, CIK 0000029534), Dollar General Corporation generated $42.72B in revenue (+5.2% YoY), $1.51B in net income, and $1.71B in free cash flow against $30.96B in total assets and $10.10B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (31% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $133.03 (+0.55%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 73/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510073
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B
Cash (15)Whales (13)SEC (14)Macro (15)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.7% Base Target
$167 Bull$141 Base$108 Bear
📬 FREE DG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (73/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY DG SCORES 73/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 4% FCF Margin ($1.71B FCF) & 30.7% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-7 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
65
Grade C+$125.00+7.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
68
Grade B-$134.19-5.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
70
Grade B$126.86+4.3% Next Q
Current
73
Grade B$132.30+7.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (65) → B (73)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the DG Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 73/100 (B) score, DG faces multiple-compression risk if 19.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 28.2% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($126.60) or 200D SMA ($125.56) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($141.23) toward Bear Floor ($108.49).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “DG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 29, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 73%NO 27%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Jan 29, 2027 (~87 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±7.1% Swing Band

±$9.39 Expected Swing
$122.91 (-7.1%)Spot $132.30$141.69 (+7.1%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

DG Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 73/100

Trailing EPS: $6.85 • YoY Revenue Growth: 5.2%

Model Bullish Setup (73/100)Model Risk Weight (27/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252026-01-30$42.72B$1.51B$1.71B30.7%
FY 20242025-01-31$40.61B$1.13B$1.17B29.6%
FY 20232024-02-02$38.69B$1.66B$650.7M30.7%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating DG & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on DG
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
DG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +15.57%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $126.2H $132.3L $126.2C $132.3VOL 1.96M
RES: $140.1SUP: $117.2SMA50: $126.6SMA200: $125.6
$141.9$130.4$118.9$107.5$96.01RES $140.1SUP $117.2$132.32026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 DG Butterfly Map → + Track DG →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
12.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DG)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #87 of 1011 ⚔️ DLTR vs DG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (DG vs. DLTR, BURL, FIVE, BJ)

Industry: Department/Specialty Retail Stores (11 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Dollar General Corporation (DG) ranks #87 by composite RQD confidence (73/100, grade B) and #69 by equity capitalization ($28.70B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DG leads on earnings valuation at 19.0x trailing P/E, while BJ leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 25.3% ROIC and 18.6% gross margin. BJ currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 81/100 (A-) compared with DG at 73/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
DG ACTIVE
Dollar General Corporation
B 73/100 19.0x 30.7% 10.4% +1.70% $28.70B Benchmark Subject
DLTR
Dollar Tree Inc.
B+ 79/100 19.3x 36.4% 23.9% +1.39% $24.77B /dltr-vs-dg →
BURL
Burlington Stores Inc.
D+ 58/100 25.0x 43.8% 22.8% -2.17% $15.22B /burl-vs-dg →
FIVE
Five Below Inc.
B+ 76/100 37.7x 36.0% 13.8% -1.85% $13.52B /five-vs-dg →
BJ
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc.
A- 81/100 23.0x 18.6% 25.3% +1.81% $13.31B /bj-vs-dg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-30 • CIK 0000029534

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-30), Dollar General Corporation (DG) reported GAAP revenue of $42.72B (+5.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $40.61B , and +10.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.51B, operating cash flow of $3.63B, and free cash flow of $1.71B (+46.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, DG closed FY2025 with $30.96B in total assets against $10.10B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.62, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-01-30 $42.72B $1.51B $3.63B $1.71B $30.96B $10.10B
FY2024 (FY) 2025-01-31 $40.61B $1.13B $3.00B $1.17B $31.13B $10.67B
FY2023 (FY) 2024-02-02 $38.69B $1.66B $2.39B $650.7M $46.43B $10.86B

3. DG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Dollar General Corporation (NYSE: DG) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 73/100 at a spot price of $132.30 (+1.70% 1D, market cap $28.70B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DG ranks #87 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DG compare to DLTR and BURL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Department/Specialty Retail Stores), DG carries a Roarable B (73/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 19.0x, gross margin of 30.7%, and ROIC of 10.4%. By comparison, DLTR (Dollar Tree Inc.) holds a B+ grade (79/100 RQD, P/E 19.3x, ROIC 23.9%, cap $24.77B) and BURL (Burlington Stores Inc.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 25.0x, ROIC 22.8%, cap $15.22B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DG leads on earnings multiple (19.0x) while BJ leads on capital efficiency (25.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DG?

Per DG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-30, CIK 0000029534), Dollar General Corporation generated $42.72B in revenue (+5.2% YoY), $1.51B in net income, and $1.71B in free cash flow against $30.96B in total assets and $10.10B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (31% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DG last traded at $132.30 (+1.70% on volume of 1,772,572 shares), positioning the stock +4.50% above its 50-day simple moving average ($126.60) and +5.37% above its 200-day simple moving average ($125.56). Across its 52-week range of $95.11 to $158.23, DG sits at the 58.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.1% ($122.91 to $141.69).

DG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is DG's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Dollar General Corporation (DG)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Jan 29, 2027.

How much is DG stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±7.1% event move for DG, spanning a range between $122.91 and $141.69.

Direct Sub-Reports: DG RQD Cockpit DG 12M Forecast DG Earnings & Move DG Dividends & DRIP DG Insiders & 13F DG Whale Options DG Profit Sankey DG News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 73/100 (B) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

DG — Dollar General Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:12:28Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, DG scores 73 out of 100, graded B and labeled "Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 15/20 (ROIC 10.4%; FCF yield 5.96%); Whale 13F Flow at 13/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 16/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 15/20 (Beta 0.97; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 14/20 (Altman Z 2.62; Piotroski F 7/9; Debt/Equity 1.11).

For a prospective investor, the strongest pillar is Insider Conviction, which the rating treats as the highest-scoring factor, while Whale 13F Flow is the weakest at 13/20, suggesting institutional positioning is less decisive than insider activity. The Fundamental Cash Engine pillar points to a reasonable return on capital and free-cash yield, but the 5.2% operating margin per the market data leaves limited cushion against cost pressure. Macro Regime Fit at a Beta of 0.97 implies the stock has historically moved roughly in line with the broader market, so it offers neither a defensive nor an aggressive profile on this measure. The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar reflects moderate financial health: a Piotroski F-Score of 7 out of 9 is supportive, while a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.11 is a meaningful leverage consideration. Valuation tradeoffs are visible in the P/E of 19 (TTM) and 17.7 (forward), with EV/EBITDA of 9.6. The rating is a model output, not a guarantee of outcome, and this brief describes the factors involved rather than recommending action.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$130.09$28.7B1917.79.66.851.81%0.97$95.11 - $158.2310.4%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025 (filed 2026-01-30)$42724.4M$2203.7M$1512.3MN/A$1711.9M$1138.5M$10103.3M
FY 2024 (filed 2025-01-31)$40612.3M$1714.1M$1125.3MN/A$1168.5M$932.6M$10673.6M
FY 2023 (filed 2024-02-02)$38691.6M$2446.3M$1661.3MN/A$650.7MN/A$10864.6M

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose across the three reported periods, and FY 2025 operating income of $2203.7M and net income of $1512.3M both exceed FY 2024. Per the market data, the operating margin is 5.2% and the net margin is 3.5%, with a gross margin of 30.7%. ROIC is 10.4%, and the Altman Z-Score of 2.62 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 are cited within the Roarable RQD rating. Debt declined from $10864.6M (FY 2023) to $10103.3M (FY 2025), and the Debt/Equity ratio is 1.11.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, six headlines are tagged to DG:

  • Catalyst (GREEN): "Bull of the Day: Dollar General (DG)," Yahoo Finance.
  • Market Wire (YELLOW): "Dollar General Analysis - Will DG Break Out and Head Higher?," Benzinga.
  • Market Wire (YELLOW): "Dollar General: Internal Turnaround Meets Macro Tailwinds," Seeking Alpha.
  • Catalyst (GREEN): "Dollar General Shares Rise After Gordon Haskett Upgrade," marketscreener.com.
  • Market Wire (YELLOW): "Dollar General Corporation (NYSE:DG) Stock Has Average Target Price of $137.96 According to Analysts," MarketBeat.
  • Market Wire (YELLOW): "Costco vs. Dollar General: Which Retail Stock Is the Better Buy Now?," Yahoo Finance.

The feed contains two items tagged CATALYST and four tagged MARKET WIRE; no item is labeled as a risk-watch or proprietary signal. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply_chain is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. The sources do not specify the content of the cited upgrade or target changes beyond the headlines.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's product categories, customer base, and revenue mix, given the profile provides only sector and industry labels?
  • What is the reported EPS for FY 2025 and FY 2024, since the financials list EPS as N/A?
  • What was the FY 2023 cash balance, which is listed as N/A?
  • What is the consensus analyst rating and price target, given the headline citing a $137.96 average target is not supported by an analyst data section?
  • What insider, 13F, and Congressional transactions underlie the Insider Conviction and Whale Flow pillar scores, since the holders section is empty?

DG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Dollar General Corporation (DG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to DG Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

DG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $132.30?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON DG 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on DG:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $153.51 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is DG (B • RQD 73/100) a Buy at $130.09?

Welcome to the DG (Dollar General Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 73/100 (Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward) in Department/Specialty Retail Stores. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $102.77 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $130.09

Pump the brakes on DG — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on DG, but look at what you are paying: 19.0x trailing P/E with 30.7% gross margins. Unless Dollar General Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $161.31 (+24.0%)
Spot @ $130.09

DG cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on DG, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Department/Specialty Retail Stores and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $130.09 (52-wk range $95.11 - $158.23), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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