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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / DLHC / forecast
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DLH Holdings Corp. (DLHC) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$3.65 +0.55% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.65

DLH Holdings Corp. (DLHC) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 40/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $52.6M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on DLHC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DLHC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, DLH Holdings Corp. (NASDAQ: DLHC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $3.65 (+0.55% 1D, market cap $52.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 7/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DLHC ranks #729 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DLHC compare to CTM and BGSF in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Professional Services), DLHC carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.8%. By comparison, CTM (Castellum Inc.) holds a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.2%, cap $46.0M) and BGSF (BGSF Inc.) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -24.2%, cap $45.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DLHC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while DLHC leads on capital efficiency (5.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DLHC?
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Per DLHC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000785557), DLH Holdings Corp. generated $47.0M in revenue (-32.6% YoY), $0 in net income, and $23.2M in free cash flow against $283.5M in total assets and $116.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.65 (-0.09%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 49.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (40/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510040
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D
Cash (12)Whales (3)SEC (10)Macro (8)CEO (7)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.2% Base Target
$7 Bull$3 Base$3 Bear
📬 FREE DLHC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DLHC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (40/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY DLHC SCORES 40/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (30% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 49.4% FCF Margin ($23.2M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
48
Grade D$4.01-3.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
45
Grade D$3.86-5.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
43
Grade D$3.64+0.3% Next Q
Current
40
Grade D-$3.65-7.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (48) → D- (40)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DLHC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While DLHC currently carries a cautious 40/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.94) and Max Pain ($3.83) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.22.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DLHC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “DLHC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 40%NO 60%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your DLHC Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $3.65: 2739.7 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $2.61
$7,151
$-2,849 (-28.5%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $3.35
$9,178
$-822 (-8.2%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $7.22
$19,781
+$9,781 (+97.8%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$374%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$769%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$358%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DLHC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of DLHC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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DLHC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -35.51%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $3.66H $3.66L $3.63C $3.65VOL 5.0K
RES: $5.23SUP: $2.67SMA50: $3.94SMA200: $5.15
$6.08$5.35$4.61$3.88$3.15RES $5.23SUP $2.67$3.652026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DLHC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 DLHC Butterfly Map → + Track DLHC →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
3.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -32.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DLHC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DLHC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DLHC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DLHC)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #729 of 1009 ⚔️ CTM vs DLHC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (DLHC vs. CTM, BGSF, MHH, STRR)

Industry: Professional Services (48 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, DLH Holdings Corp. (DLHC) ranks #729 by composite RQD confidence (40/100, grade D-) and #805 by equity capitalization ($52.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DLHC leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while DLHC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.8% ROIC and — gross margin. MHH currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 53/100 (D+) compared with DLHC at 40/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
DLHC ACTIVE
DLH Holdings Corp.
D- 40/100 — — 5.8% +0.55% $52.6M Benchmark Subject
CTM
Castellum Inc.
E 32/100 — 36.6% -6.2% -1.86% $46.0M /ctm-vs-dlhc →
BGSF
BGSF Inc.
D- 41/100 — 35.7% -24.2% -5.90% $45.3M /bgsf-vs-dlhc →
MHH
Mastech Digital Inc
D+ 53/100 — 27.7% 0.0% +3.50% $75.4M /mhh-vs-dlhc →
STRR
Star Equity Holdings Inc.
E 18/100 — 46.4% -5.3% -1.99% $36.2M /strr-vs-dlhc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0000785557 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), DLH Holdings Corp. (DLHC) reported GAAP revenue of $47.0M (-32.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $69.7M ) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $23.2M, and free cash flow of $23.2M (-15.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, DLHC closed FY2025 with $283.5M in total assets against $116.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-30 $47.0M $0 $23.2M $23.2M $283.5M $116.0M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-30 $69.7M $0 $27.4M $27.4M $325.0M $134.6M

3. DLHC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DLHC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, DLH Holdings Corp. (NASDAQ: DLHC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $3.65 (+0.55% 1D, market cap $52.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 7/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DLHC ranks #729 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DLHC compare to CTM and BGSF in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Professional Services), DLHC carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.8%. By comparison, CTM (Castellum Inc.) holds a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.2%, cap $46.0M) and BGSF (BGSF Inc.) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -24.2%, cap $45.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DLHC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while DLHC leads on capital efficiency (5.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DLHC?

Per DLHC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000785557), DLH Holdings Corp. generated $47.0M in revenue (-32.6% YoY), $0 in net income, and $23.2M in free cash flow against $283.5M in total assets and $116.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DLHC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DLHC last traded at $3.65 (+0.55% on volume of 4,767 shares), positioning the stock -7.36% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.94) and -29.13% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.15). Across its 52-week range of $3.38 to $6.88, DLHC sits at the 7.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.8% ($3.37 to $3.93).

Direct Sub-Reports: DLHC RQD Cockpit DLHC 12M Forecast DLHC Earnings & Move DLHC Dividends & DRIP DLHC Insiders & 13F DLHC Whale Options DLHC Profit Sankey DLHC News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 40/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

DLHC — DLH Holdings Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-09-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

DLH Holdings Corp. (DLHC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 40/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $3.65 (+0.55% 1D, market capitalization $52.6M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 5.8%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (7/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.03x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

DLH Holdings Corp. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and Professional Services industry, and company profile. The profile lists a market capitalization of $0.1B. Customer base and specific service lines are — The company's revenue model is — beyond the reported period figures below.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-09-30), DLH Holdings Corp. (DLHC) reported $47.0M in annual revenue (up from $69.7M in FY2024, -32.6% YoY) and $0 in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2024 ($69.7M revenue, $0 net income) through FY2025, DLHC scaled operating cash flow to $23.2M and free cash flow to $23.2M, backed by $283.5M in total assets against $116.0M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 40/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $3.38 – $6.88 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation and 10.1x EV/EBITDA against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Professional Services (Consumer Discretionary), DLHC carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can DLHC sustain or expand its — operating margin and 5.8% ROIC against Professional Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $47.0M and free cash flow of $23.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $116.0M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is DLHC's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

DLHC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for DLH Holdings Corp. (DLHC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to DLHC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

DLHC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $3.65?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON DLHC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on DLHC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $4.76 (+31.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Stock trades at $3.66 near the low of its $3.38 to $8.1 52-week range with a 5.8% ROIC and an NIH order win reported in the news wire.

Don't sleep on DLHC's setup in Consumer Discretionary. Stock trades at $3.66 near the low of its $3.38 to $8.1 52-week range with a 5.8% ROIC and an NIH order win reported in the news wire.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (40/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — DLHC's 10/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.98 (-17.9%)
Spot @ $3.63

Revenue and net income show $0.0M in both reported years, and the Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 with Debt/Equity of 1.03 signals a weak bala

Fading this rally in DLHC at $3.63. Revenue and net income show $0.0M in both reported years, and the Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 with Debt/Equity of 1.03 signals a weak balance sheet.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $3.63 (52-wk range $3.38–$6.88), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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