Stocktwits report covering Dollar Tree Inc. (DLTR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why DLTR Stock advanced +1.39% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Dollar Tree Inc. (DLTR) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 79/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (36% profit margin, 24% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is DLTR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Dollar Tree Inc. (NASDAQ: DLTR) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 79/100 at a spot price of $133.87 (+1.39% 1D, market cap $24.77B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DLTR ranks #25 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does DLTR compare to DG and BURL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Department/Specialty Retail Stores), DLTR carries a Roarable B+ (79/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 19.3x, gross margin of 36.4%, and ROIC of 23.9%. By comparison, DG (Dollar General Corporation) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 19.0x, ROIC 10.4%, cap $28.70B) and BURL (Burlington Stores Inc.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 25.0x, ROIC 22.8%, cap $15.22B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DG leads on earnings multiple (19.0x) while BJ leads on capital efficiency (25.3% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DLTR?
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Per DLTR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0000935703), Dollar Tree Inc. generated $19.40B in revenue (+10.4% YoY), $1.28B in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $13.47B in total assets and $2.43B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (36% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 3% FCF Margin ($589.6M FCF) & 36.4% Gross Margin
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.1% realized swing band)
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (63.6) create a -7 pt regime headwind
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the DLTR Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 79/100 (B+) score, DLTR faces multiple-compression risk if 19.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 33.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($121.71) or 200D SMA ($116.62) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($146.52) toward Bear Floor ($109.77).
Why DLTR Stock advanced +1.39% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Dollar Tree Inc. (DLTR) advanced +1.39% to $133.87, trading at 85% of its 52-week range ($85.88 – $142.4). High-quality cash engine (36% profit margin, 24% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 85% of its 52-week range ($85.88 – $142.4) with RSI-14 at 63.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.1% around $133.87 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B+ (Buy) backed by 36.4% gross margin and $589.6M annual free cash flow.
Yahoo Finance report covering Dollar Tree Inc. (DLTR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Dollar Tree Inc. (DLTR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
24/7 Wall St. report covering Dollar Tree Inc. (DLTR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Benzinga report covering Dollar Tree Inc. (DLTR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Dollar Tree Inc. (DLTR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GuruFocus report covering Dollar Tree Inc. (DLTR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Dollar Tree Inc. (DLTR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Dollar Tree will release its third-quarter earnings soon, and analysts anticipate a double-digit profit dip.
For questions about this article or underlying research, email help@trefis.com.
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (DLTR Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
DLTR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +10.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DLTR today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DLTR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DLTR)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (DLTR vs. DG, BURL, FIVE, BJ)
Industry: Department/Specialty Retail Stores (11 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Dollar Tree Inc. (DLTR) ranks #25 by composite RQD confidence (79/100, grade B+) and #83 by equity capitalization ($24.77B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DG leads on earnings valuation at 19.0x trailing P/E, while BJ leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 25.3% ROIC and 18.6% gross margin. BJ currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 81/100 (A-) compared with DLTR at 79/100 (B+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DLTR
ACTIVE
Dollar Tree Inc. | B+ | 79/100 | 19.3x | 36.4% | 23.9% | +1.39% | $24.77B | Benchmark Subject |
| DG Dollar General Corporation | B | 73/100 | 19.0x | 30.7% | 10.4% | +1.70% | $28.70B | /dg-vs-dltr → |
| BURL Burlington Stores Inc. | D+ | 58/100 | 25.0x | 43.8% | 22.8% | -2.17% | $15.22B | /burl-vs-dltr → |
| FIVE Five Below Inc. | B+ | 76/100 | 37.7x | 36.0% | 13.8% | -1.85% | $13.52B | /five-vs-dltr → |
| BJ BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc. | A- | 81/100 | 23.0x | 18.6% | 25.3% | +1.81% | $13.31B | /bj-vs-dltr → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0000935703In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), Dollar Tree Inc. (DLTR) reported GAAP revenue of $19.40B (+10.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $17.57B , and +15.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.28B, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, DLTR closed FY2025 with $13.47B in total assets against $2.43B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.79, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2026-01-31 | $19.40B | $1.28B | — | — | $13.47B | $2.43B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2025-02-01 | $17.57B | -$3.03B | — | — | $18.64B | $2.43B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2024-02-03 | $16.77B | -$998.4M | $2.68B | $1.93B | $20.12B | $4.71B |
3. DLTR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs DLTR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Dollar Tree Inc. (NASDAQ: DLTR) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 79/100 at a spot price of $133.87 (+1.39% 1D, market cap $24.77B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DLTR ranks #25 in composite RQD confidence.
How does DLTR compare to DG and BURL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Department/Specialty Retail Stores), DLTR carries a Roarable B+ (79/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 19.3x, gross margin of 36.4%, and ROIC of 23.9%. By comparison, DG (Dollar General Corporation) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 19.0x, ROIC 10.4%, cap $28.70B) and BURL (Burlington Stores Inc.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 25.0x, ROIC 22.8%, cap $15.22B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DG leads on earnings multiple (19.0x) while BJ leads on capital efficiency (25.3% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DLTR?
Per DLTR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0000935703), Dollar Tree Inc. generated $19.40B in revenue (+10.4% YoY), $1.28B in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $13.47B in total assets and $2.43B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (36% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is DLTR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
DLTR last traded at $133.87 (+1.39% on volume of 2,254,293 shares), positioning the stock +9.99% above its 50-day simple moving average ($121.71) and +14.79% above its 200-day simple moving average ($116.62). Across its 52-week range of $85.88 to $142.40, DLTR sits at the 84.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.1% ($124.37 to $143.37).
DLTR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is DLTR stock moving today?
Why DLTR Stock advanced +1.39% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (36% profit margin, 24% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
DLTR — Dollar Tree Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, DLTR scores 79 out of 100, grade B+, with the verdict "Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow." The five pillars are:
- Fundamental Cash Engine: 17 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 23.9% and an FCF yield of 2.38%. For an investor, the high return on invested capital is the strongest quality signal in the rating, while the modest FCF yield indicates the market is pricing the stock at a level where the cash generated is a smaller share of its value.
- Whale 13F Flow: 17 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The source data does not include the underlying 13F holdings, so the strength of this signal cannot be traced to specific holders here.
- Insider Conviction: 16 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The underlying transactions are not itemized in the source data.
- Macro Regime Fit: 13 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects a beta of 1.08 and sector sensitivity. This is the lowest pillar, indicating the stock tends to move somewhat more than the broad market and is exposed to consumer-discretionary cycles.
- Forensic Balance Sheet: 16 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects an Altman Z-Score of 3.79, a Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.65. These readings are consistent with a financially sound balance sheet on the metrics provided.
Taken together, the rating points to strong capital efficiency and balance-sheet quality, paired with market-sensitivity risk. Valuation is a tradeoff: per the market data, the stock trades at a trailing P/E of 19.3 and forward P/E of 17.9, but the free-cash-flow yield of 2.38% is comparatively low. The stock's position within its 52-week range ($85.88 – $142.4) at a price of $132.03 is also relevant, since the price sits near the upper portion of that band.
Snapshot
Business
Dollar Tree Inc. (DLTR) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, operating within the Department/Specialty Retail Stores industry. Per the company profile, it has a market capitalization of $24.8B. Not available in source data for product mix, customer base detail, or revenue-generation specifics beyond the sector and industry classification.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
Per the recent news feed, the items are:
- Market-wire coverage (Stocktwits, Yahoo Finance, Benzinga): Yellow-flag items describing market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts, with no specific event detailed in the summaries.
- Seeking Alpha: Yellow-flag headline citing "traffic reacceleration" as a defensive argument.
- 24/7 Wall St. (RISK WATCH, red flag): Reports a sector selloff in which Dollar Tree and Dollar General dropped 6%.
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the sector is Consumer Discretionary, the industry is Department/Specialty Retail Stores, and the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links or proprietary signals.
Open Questions
- What are the EPS and free cash flow figures for FY 2025 and FY 2024, which are listed as N/A in the financials?
- What drove the net loss in FY 2024 and the narrowing to positive net income in FY 2025?
- What specific insider, 13F, and Congressional transactions underlie the Insider Conviction and Whale Flow pillar scores?
- What is the cash flow and capital allocation picture behind the FY 2023 FCF of $1929.8M relative to later periods?
- What specifically triggered the sector selloff referenced by 24/7 Wall St., and how durable is the "traffic reacceleration" argument?
DLTR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Dollar Tree Inc. (DLTR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Stocktwits report covering Dollar Tree Inc. (DLTR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Dollar Tree Inc. (DLTR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Dollar Tree Inc. (DLTR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
24/7 Wall St. report covering Dollar Tree Inc. (DLTR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Benzinga report covering Dollar Tree Inc. (DLTR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Dollar Tree Inc. (DLTR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
GuruFocus report covering Dollar Tree Inc. (DLTR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Dollar Tree Inc. (DLTR) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
DLTR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $133.87?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is DLTR (B+ • RQD 79/100) a Buy at $132.03?
Welcome to the DLTR (Dollar Tree Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 79/100 (Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow) in Department/Specialty Retail Stores. Bulls point to capital efficiency (23.9% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on DLTR — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on DLTR, but look at what you are paying: 19.3x trailing P/E with 36.4% gross margins. Unless Dollar Tree Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
DLTR cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on DLTR, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Department/Specialty Retail Stores and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $132.03 (52-wk range $85.88 - $142.40), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.