PPTA (27) EXK (46) SIND (44) SSMR (43) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

DRDGOLD Limited (DRD) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$22.63 -6.80% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.31

DRDGOLD Limited (DRD) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.11B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on DRD Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DRD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, DRDGOLD Limited (NYSE: DRD) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $22.63 (-6.80% 1D, market cap $2.11B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, DRD ranks #126 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DRD compare to PPTA and EXK in the Materials sector?

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Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), DRD carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, PPTA (Perpetua Resources Corp.) holds a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $2.26B) and EXK (Endeavour Silver Corporation (Canada)) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.30B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DRD leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while PPTA leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DRD?

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For DRDGOLD Limited (DRD), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #126 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.31 (-1.41%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 1.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DRD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (47/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY DRD SCORES 47/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 1.5% FCF Margin ($59.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$24.69+0.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$24.80-1.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$24.53-7.7% Next Q

Current

Grade D$22.63-5.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (55) → D (47)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DRD Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While DRD currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($25.93) and Max Pain ($23.76) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $41.34.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DRD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “DRD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 47%NO 53%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

47.630 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

7 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE16% OF RANGE

L: $19$22.63H: $39

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 14 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on DRD

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (60)

14.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (37)

14/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 8/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like DRD

✓Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DRD)

✓Walkthrough of DRD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

DRD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -15.31%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN

2026-11-02O $25.13H $25.13L $22.63C $22.63VOL 173.4K

RES: $31.50SUP: $24.39SMA50: $25.93SMA200: $27.49

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DRD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 DRD Butterfly Map → + Track DRD →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DRD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DRD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DRD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DRD)

Materials Rank #126 of 270 ⚔️ PPTA vs DRD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (DRD vs. PPTA, EXK, SIND, SSMR)

Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, DRDGOLD Limited (DRD) ranks #126 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #110 by equity capitalization ($2.11B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DRD leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while PPTA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and — gross margin. DRD currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 47/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
DRD ACTIVE DRDGOLD Limited	D	47/100	—	—	—	-6.80%	$2.11B	Benchmark Subject
PPTA Perpetua Resources Corp.	E	27/100	—	—	-35.0%	-7.81%	$2.26B	/ppta-vs-drd →
EXK Endeavour Silver Corporation (Canada)	D	46/100	—	—	—	-7.09%	$2.30B	/exk-vs-drd →
SIND Sinda Ltd.	D	44/100	—	—	—	-2.91%	$1.91B	/sind-vs-drd →
SSMR Sunshine Silver Mining & Refining Company	D-	43/100	—	—	—	-7.25%	$1.90B	/ssmr-vs-drd →

2. DRD Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

DRDGOLD Limited (DRD) operates in Precious Metals (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $2.11B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. DRD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DRD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does DRD compare to PPTA and EXK in the Materials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DRD?

Where is DRD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DRD last traded at $22.63 (-6.80% on volume of 313,069 shares), positioning the stock -12.73% below its 50-day simple moving average ($25.93) and -17.68% below its 200-day simple moving average ($27.49). Across its 52-week range of $19.47 to $39.37, DRD sits at the 15.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.8% ($21.32 to $23.94).

DRD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell DRD stock right now?

DRDGOLD Limited (DRD) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 47/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is DRD's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

DRD's 12-month base price target is $21.51 (range $16.78 to $41.34), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: DRD RQD Cockpit DRD 12M Forecast DRD Earnings & Move DRD Dividends & DRIP DRD Insiders & 13F DRD Whale Options DRD Profit Sankey DRD News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 47/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

DRD — DRDGOLD Limited: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T14:12:38Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

The Roarable RQD rating is 47 out of 20-point pillars totaling 100, graded D, with a verdict of "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning" (per the Roarable RQD rating). The five pillars are:

Fundamental cash engine: 12/20. The rating cites ROIC of 0% and FCF yield of 0% (per the Roarable RQD rating and market data). For a prospective investor, this means the source data does not show the business currently converting capital into returns or free cash flow at a level that supports the valuation on cash-flow grounds.
Whale 13F flow: 5/20. This is the weakest pillar, covering institutional accumulation and options positioning (per the Roarable RQD rating). The source does not provide the underlying 13F or options detail (see Holders section), so the low score signals limited institutional support rather than a quantified flow figure.
Insider conviction: 9/20. The rating references SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow (per the Roarable RQD rating). The recent news wire includes insider-related headlines (see Catalysts), which the rating incorporates as a mixed-to-negative conviction signal.
Macro regime fit: 8/20. Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity are cited (per the Roarable RQD rating and market data). A beta of 1.0 implies the stock moves in line with the market; the score reflects limited regime-based tailwinds.
Forensic balance sheet: 13/20. Altman Z of 2.5, Piotroski F of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5 are cited (per the Roarable RQD rating). These are the strongest pillar and suggest a moderately sound balance sheet relative to the other pillars, though the source does not supply the underlying financial statements to verify them.

Taken together, the investor implication is that the rating's upside case rests mainly on balance-sheet resilience, while the valuation case is weakened by zero reported ROIC and FCF yield and by weak institutional and macro-fit scores. The 52-week range of $19.47 – $39.37 against a current price of 24.28 (per market data) places the stock in the lower portion of that range, which the rating interprets as distribution rather than accumulation.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the news wire, the recent items fall into three themes:

Insider and incentive-scheme activity: Headlines describe an incentive scheme purchasing 500,000 and then 914,973 DRD shares on-market, participants selling shares after 60% of eligible awards vested, and a manager forfeiting 40% of awards while selling 48,948 vested shares. These are flagged YELLOW (watch) items.
Price action and analyst targets: A headline reports DRD sliding 5.83% to $24.40 as the gold-linked ADR retreats toward key support; another states a consensus target leaves the stock 39.32% below USD 35.00. These are flagged YELLOW.
Revenue growth: A headline reports 31 percent revenue growth alongside a stock yield of 4.16 percent. This is the only GREEN (catalyst) item and the only positive operating datapoint in the feed, though the source does not provide the underlying revenue figures.

The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports supply chain as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

What are the underlying revenue, operating income, and net income figures behind the reported 31 percent revenue growth headline?
What are the specific holdings, size, and direction of the institutional 13F filings and options positioning that underpin the 5/20 whale-flow score?
What are the terms and timing of the incentive-scheme share purchases and subsequent participant sales, and how material are they relative to shares outstanding?
Why are ROIC and FCF yield reported as 0%, and is this a structural condition or a reporting gap?
What are the consensus rating and price-target distribution behind the 39.32% gap to USD 35.00?

DRD Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for DRDGOLD Limited (DRD) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to DRD Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 9h ago

An incentive scheme buys 500,000, then 914,973 DRDGOLD (DRD) shares on-market.

Stock Titan report covering DRDGOLD Limited (DRD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 12h ago

After 60% of eligible awards vested, DRDGOLD (DRD) participants sold shares.

Stock Titan report covering DRDGOLD Limited (DRD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE https://www.siam.in/ • 15h ago

DRDGOLD Limited (DRD) Slides 5.83% to $24.40 as Gold-Linked ADR Retreats Toward Key Support - Leading Diagonal

https://www.siam.in/ report covering DRDGOLD Limited (DRD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE ad-hoc-news.de • 18h ago

Consensus target leaves DRDGOLD stock 39.32 percent below USD 35.00

ad-hoc-news.de report covering DRDGOLD Limited (DRD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 21h ago

A manager forfeits 40% of awards and sells 48,948 vested shares at DRDGOLD (DRD).

Stock Titan report covering DRDGOLD Limited (DRD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST ad-hoc-news.de • 1d ago

DRDGOLD reports 31 percent revenue growth: DRDGOLD stock yields 4.16 percent

ad-hoc-news.de report covering DRDGOLD Limited (DRD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

After 40% of a share grant was forfeited, DRDGOLD (DRD) CEO sells shares.

Stock Titan report covering DRDGOLD Limited (DRD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

40% of a manager’s 2023 awards were forfeited; he also sold 8,388 DRDGOLD (DRD) shares.

Stock Titan report covering DRDGOLD Limited (DRD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

DRD Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $22.63?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON DRD 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $26.22 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is DRD (D • RQD 47/100) a Buy at $24.28?

Welcome to the DRD (DRDGOLD Limited) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 47/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Precious Metals. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $20.15 (-17.0%)

Spot @ $24.28

Pump the brakes on DRD — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on DRD, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless DRDGOLD Limited expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $29.14 (+20.0%)

Spot @ $24.28

DRD cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on DRD, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Precious Metals and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $24.28 (52-wk range $19.47 - $39.37), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.