Alpha Tau Medical Ltd. (DRTS) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±9.6% Move

$13.06 -1.28% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.01

Alpha Tau Medical Ltd. (DRTS) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 39/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $1.22B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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As of 2026-11-02, Alpha Tau Medical Ltd. (NASDAQ: DRTS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $13.06 (-1.28% 1D, market cap $1.22B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, DRTS ranks #546 in composite RQD confidence.

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🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DRTS compare to BVS and PRCT in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Medical/Dental Instruments), DRTS carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, BVS (Bioventus Inc. (Class A)) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 55.0x, ROIC 10.4%, cap $1.25B) and PRCT (PROCEPT BioRobotics Corporation) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.16B). Among the 5-stock peer group, IRMD leads on earnings multiple (48.8x) while IRMD leads on capital efficiency (37.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DRTS?
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Per DRTS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001871321), Alpha Tau Medical Ltd. generated $0 in revenue, -$42.6M in net income, and -$32.8M in free cash flow against $105.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.01 (-0.42%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510039
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Cash (6)Whales (10)SEC (10)Macro (10)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.6% Base Target
$17 Bull$12 Base$9 Bear
📬 FREE DRTS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DRTS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (39/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY DRTS SCORES 39/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+10/20 pts (26% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±9.6% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
47
Grade D$14.26-11.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
44
Grade D$12.62+2.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
42
Grade D$12.89+1.3% Next Q
Current
39
Grade D-$13.06-7.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (47) → D- (39)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DRTS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While DRTS currently carries a cautious 39/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($14.23) and Max Pain ($13.71) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $16.58.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DRTS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “DRTS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±9.6% Swing Band

±$1.25 Expected Swing
$11.81 (-9.6%)Spot $13.06$14.31 (+9.6%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

DRTS Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 39/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (39/100)Model Risk Weight (61/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$0-$42.6M-$32.8M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$0-$31.8M-$22.0M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$0-$29.2M-$18.0M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DRTS)

  • ✓Walkthrough of DRTS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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DRTS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +73.44%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $13.35H $13.35L $13.06C $13.06VOL 293.6K
RES: $17.23SUP: $12.19SMA50: $14.23SMA200: $10.63
$16.53$13.48$10.43$7.38$4.33RES $17.23SUP $12.19$13.062026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DRTS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DRTS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DRTS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DRTS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DRTS)

Health Care Rank #546 of 1016 ⚔️ BVS vs DRTS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (DRTS vs. BVS, PRCT, AORT, IRMD)

Industry: Medical/Dental Instruments (120 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Alpha Tau Medical Ltd. (DRTS) ranks #546 by composite RQD confidence (39/100, grade D-) and #337 by equity capitalization ($1.22B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IRMD leads on earnings valuation at 48.8x trailing P/E, while IRMD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 37.7% ROIC and 76.7% gross margin. BVS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with DRTS at 39/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
DRTS ACTIVE
Alpha Tau Medical Ltd.
D- 39/100 — — -35.0% -1.28% $1.22B Benchmark Subject
BVS
Bioventus Inc. (Class A)
C 65/100 55.0x 68.3% 10.4% -10.39% $1.25B /bvs-vs-drts →
PRCT
PROCEPT BioRobotics Corporation
D- 40/100 — 63.7% -35.0% -5.42% $1.16B /prct-vs-drts →
AORT
Artivion Inc.
D- 41/100 117.0x 64.4% 4.5% -3.67% $1.14B /aort-vs-drts →
IRMD
iRadimed Corporation
C- 59/100 48.8x 76.7% 37.7% -10.57% $1.10B /irmd-vs-drts →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001871321

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Alpha Tau Medical Ltd. (DRTS) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$42.6M, operating cash flow of -$26.7M, and free cash flow of -$32.8M (-48.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, DRTS closed FY2025 with $105.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$42.6M -$26.7M -$32.8M $105.7M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$31.8M -$19.8M -$22.0M $86.2M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$29.2M -$18.0M -$18.0M — —

3. DRTS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DRTS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Alpha Tau Medical Ltd. (NASDAQ: DRTS) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $13.06 (-1.28% 1D, market cap $1.22B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, DRTS ranks #546 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DRTS compare to BVS and PRCT in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Medical/Dental Instruments), DRTS carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, BVS (Bioventus Inc. (Class A)) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 55.0x, ROIC 10.4%, cap $1.25B) and PRCT (PROCEPT BioRobotics Corporation) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.16B). Among the 5-stock peer group, IRMD leads on earnings multiple (48.8x) while IRMD leads on capital efficiency (37.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DRTS?

Per DRTS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001871321), Alpha Tau Medical Ltd. generated $0 in revenue, -$42.6M in net income, and -$32.8M in free cash flow against $105.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DRTS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DRTS last traded at $13.06 (-1.28% on volume of 475,361 shares), positioning the stock -8.22% below its 50-day simple moving average ($14.23) and +22.86% above its 200-day simple moving average ($10.63). Across its 52-week range of $3.43 to $15.79, DRTS sits at the 77.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.6% ($11.81 to $14.31).

DRTS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is DRTS's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Alpha Tau Medical Ltd. (DRTS)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is DRTS stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±9.6% event move for DRTS, spanning a range between $11.81 and $14.31.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 39/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

DRTS — Alpha Tau Medical Ltd.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:30:09Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, DRTS scores 39 out of 100, earning a D- grade and the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 6 / 20. Per the RQD rating, ROIC is -35% and FCF yield is -2.68%. This is the weakest pillar and signals that the business is currently consuming cash rather than generating it. For a prospective investor, the upside case depends on a future cash-generating inflection that the source data does not show.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 10 / 20. The RQD rating describes institutional accumulation and options positioning, but the holders section in the source data is empty, so the specific flows cannot be verified here. Institutional interest may support the price in the near term, but it is not independently confirmed in this dossier.
  • Insider Conviction: 3 / 20. The lowest-scoring pillar after Cash Engine, reflecting SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow per the RQD rating. Weak insider conviction is a caution signal, since insiders typically have the deepest information about the company's trajectory.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 10 / 20. Per the RQD rating, beta is 1.0 and the score reflects sector sensitivity. A beta of 1.0 means the stock is expected to move broadly in line with the market, so it offers no defensive cushion in a downturn.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 10 / 20. Per the RQD rating, Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 2/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. The Piotroski score is weak and the Altman figure sits in an intermediate zone, so balance sheet resilience is moderate at best.

Taken together, the valuation tradeoff is stark: the market capitalization of $1.22B is being supported by a business that reports no revenue and deep operating losses. A prospective investor is therefore pricing in future commercial success, and the RQD rating indicates that the current evidence for that success is limited.

Business

Alpha Tau Medical Ltd. (DRTS) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, operating within the Medical/Dental Instruments industry. Per the profile, the company has a market capitalization of $1.2B. The source data does not describe its specific products, customers, or revenue model. Reported revenue is $0.0M in each period shown, so the source data does not establish a commercial revenue stream.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$-42.3M$-42.6MN/A$-32.8M$12.2MN/A
FY 2024$0.0M$-36.0M$-31.8MN/A$-22.0M$13.7MN/A
FY 2023$0.0M$-35.7M$-29.2MN/A$-18.0MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, operating losses widened from $-35.7M in FY 2023 to $-42.3M in FY 2025, and free cash flow outflows grew from $-18.0M to $-32.8M over the same span. Gross, operating, and net margins are each reported as 0% per the market data, consistent with zero revenue. ROIC is -35% per the market data. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 2/9. Cash declined from $13.7M in FY 2024 to $12.2M in FY 2025, and debt is reported as N/A in every period, so the balance sheet posture cannot be fully characterized from the source data.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, the most prominent items concern clinical and regulatory expansion:

  • An item reports an expanded brain cancer trial, and a separate item covers an expanded glioblastoma trial and its potential impact on the stock.
  • An item reports that the FDA allows a larger cancer trial at three U.S. centers.
  • An item reports a memorandum of understanding with Samsung Medical Center for a pancreatic cancer trial in Korea.
  • An item reports H.C. Wainwright reiterating its rating on the trial expansion.

All six items are tagged with a YELLOW light and MARKET WIRE impact label. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. The catalysts therefore represent clinical and regulatory milestones rather than quantified commercial signals. Key watch items are the progress and outcomes of the expanded trials, and whether the clinical expansion converts to revenue, which the financials do not yet show.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, there are no butterfly links, and no proprietary signals are present. Upstream suppliers, downstream customers, and sector correlations therefore cannot be mapped from the source data. The only sector context available is the classification of Health Care / Medical/Dental Instruments. A prospective investor should note that 2nd-order ripple effects, such as dependence on trial sites, partners, or regulators, are not documented in the supplied data.

Open Questions

  • What specific product or technology does Alpha Tau Medical commercialize, and what is its expected path to revenue given zero reported revenue in FY 2023 through FY 2025?
  • What are the terms and milestones of the Samsung Medical Center memorandum of understanding, and how material are the expanded trials to near-term cash needs?
  • How will the company fund operating losses of $-42.3M in FY 2025 given cash of $12.2M, and what is its debt position, which is reported as N/A?
  • What drove the stock's 52-week range of $3.43 to $15.79, and what institutional or insider activity accompanied those moves?
  • Why are the P/E, EPS, and EV/EBITDA metrics unavailable, and what would a valuation framework look like for a pre-revenue company at this market capitalization?

DRTS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Alpha Tau Medical Ltd. (DRTS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to DRTS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

DRTS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $13.06?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON DRTS 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on DRTS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $11.64 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is DRTS (D- • RQD 39/100) a Buy at $13.23?

Welcome to the DRTS (Alpha Tau Medical Ltd.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 39/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Medical/Dental Instruments. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $9.92 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $13.23

Pump the brakes on DRTS — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on DRTS, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Alpha Tau Medical Ltd. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $16.27 (+23.0%)
Spot @ $13.23

DRTS cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on DRTS, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Medical/Dental Instruments and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $13.23 (52-wk range $3.43 - $15.79), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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