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Stock Ratings / Industrials / DUKR
BAER (47) UAVS (25) MOB (45) FLYE (20) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

DUKE Robotics Corp. (DUKR) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$3.59 -6.51% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.54

DUKE Robotics Corp. (DUKR) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 35/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $13.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on DUKR Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DUKR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, DUKE Robotics Corp. (NASDAQ: DUKR) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $3.59 (-6.51% 1D, market cap $13.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 7/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, DUKR ranks #375 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DUKR compare to BAER and UAVS in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Aerospace), DUKR carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, BAER (Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings Inc.) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 5.8x, ROIC —, cap $24.8M) and UAVS (AgEagle Aerial Systems Inc.) posts a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -32.4%, cap $29.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BAER leads on earnings multiple (5.8x) while FLYE leads on capital efficiency (-24.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DUKR?
▼

Per DUKR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001638911), DUKE Robotics Corp. generated $377.0K in revenue (+249.1% YoY), $1.2M in net income, and -$1.0M in free cash flow against $1.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.54 (-1.36%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (35/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510035
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E · Rk D
Cash (5)Whales (3)SEC (13)Macro (7)CEO (7)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.3% Base Target
$15 Bull$3 Base$3 Bear
📬 FREE DUKR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DUKR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (35/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY DUKR SCORES 35/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (37% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+7/20 pts (20% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 24% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 36.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
43
Grade D$4.44-3.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
40
Grade D$4.27-1.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
38
Grade E$4.19-14.3% Next Q
Current
35
Grade D-$3.59-8.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (43) → D- (35)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DUKR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While DUKR currently carries a cautious 35/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.98) and Max Pain ($3.77) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $14.91.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DUKR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “DUKR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 35%NO 65%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
36.530 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
4 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE24% OF RANGE
L: $0$3.59H: $14
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 5 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 10 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 20 / 40
MULTI-MODEL QUANT PANEL DELIBERATION

2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning on DUKR

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (25)

-35.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and -6.98% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (28)

10/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 7/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like DUKR
  • ✓Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DUKR)

  • ✓Walkthrough of DUKR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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DUKR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -70.08%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $4.25H $4.25L $3.59C $3.59VOL 20.3K
RES: $5.98SUP: $3.36SMA50: $4.98SMA200: $5.63
$12.69$9.83$6.98$4.12$1.26RES $5.98SUP $3.36$3.592026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DUKR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 DUKR Butterfly Map → + Track DUKR →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
2.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +249.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DUKR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DUKR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DUKR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DUKR)

Industrials Rank #375 of 486 ⚔️ BAER vs DUKR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (DUKR vs. BAER, UAVS, MOB, FLYE)

Industry: Aerospace (31 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, DUKE Robotics Corp. (DUKR) ranks #375 by composite RQD confidence (35/100, grade D-) and #445 by equity capitalization ($13.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BAER leads on earnings valuation at 5.8x trailing P/E, while FLYE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -24.2% ROIC and 24.4% gross margin. BAER currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 47/100 (D) compared with DUKR at 35/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
DUKR ACTIVE
DUKE Robotics Corp.
D- 35/100 11.7x — -35.0% -6.51% $13.2M Benchmark Subject
BAER
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings Inc.
D 47/100 5.8x 42.1% — -10.26% $24.8M /baer-vs-dukr →
UAVS
AgEagle Aerial Systems Inc.
E 25/100 — 51.8% -32.4% -14.48% $29.1M /uavs-vs-dukr →
MOB
Mobilicom Limited
D 45/100 — — — -5.81% $42.1M /mob-vs-dukr →
FLYE
Fly-E Group Inc.
E 20/100 — 24.4% -24.2% +0.58% $2.8M /flye-vs-dukr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001638911 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), DUKE Robotics Corp. (DUKR) reported GAAP revenue of $377.0K (+249.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $108.0K , and +25.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.2M, operating cash flow of -$811.0K, and free cash flow of -$1.0M (-2.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, DUKR closed FY2025 with $1.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $377.0K $1.2M -$811.0K -$1.0M $1.2M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $108.0K $985.0K -$918.0K -$995.0K $1.6M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $300.0K $726.0K -$548.0K -$548.0K — —

3. DUKR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DUKR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, DUKE Robotics Corp. (NASDAQ: DUKR) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $3.59 (-6.51% 1D, market cap $13.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 7/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, DUKR ranks #375 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DUKR compare to BAER and UAVS in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Aerospace), DUKR carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, BAER (Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings Inc.) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 5.8x, ROIC —, cap $24.8M) and UAVS (AgEagle Aerial Systems Inc.) posts a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -32.4%, cap $29.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BAER leads on earnings multiple (5.8x) while FLYE leads on capital efficiency (-24.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DUKR?

Per DUKR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001638911), DUKE Robotics Corp. generated $377.0K in revenue (+249.1% YoY), $1.2M in net income, and -$1.0M in free cash flow against $1.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DUKR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DUKR last traded at $3.59 (-6.51% on volume of 13,443 shares), positioning the stock -27.91% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.98) and -36.23% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.63). Across its 52-week range of $0.19 to $14.20, DUKR sits at the 24.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($3.14 to $4.04).

Direct Sub-Reports: DUKR RQD Cockpit DUKR 12M Forecast DUKR Earnings & Move DUKR Dividends & DRIP DUKR Insiders & 13F DUKR Whale Options DUKR Profit Sankey DUKR News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 35/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

DUKR — DUKE Robotics Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

DUKE Robotics Corp. (DUKR) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 35/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $3.59 (-6.51% 1D, market capitalization $13.2M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (5/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of -6.98%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (7/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

DUKE Robotics Corp. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Industrials sector and Aerospace industry. News headlines reference insulator-cleaning drones and a 2026 IEC order with expanded utility deployment, per the Recent Catalysts section, but the source does not confirm these details beyond headline references. Market capitalization is shown as $0.0B in the profile and $14.6M in market data.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), DUKE Robotics Corp. (DUKR) reported $377.0K in annual revenue (up from $108.0K in FY2024, +249.1% YoY) and $1.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($300.0K revenue, $726.0K net income) through FY2025, DUKR scaled operating cash flow to -$811.0K and free cash flow to -$1.0M, backed by $1.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 35/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -6.98% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 5/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $0.19 – $14.20 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 11.7x trailing P/E against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The source therefore provides no upstream or downstream dependency data, no sector correlation data, and no identified second-order bottlenecks. A prospective investor should note that the absence of recorded links is itself a data gap rather than evidence of independence from suppliers or customers. The utility-deployment reference in the news wire is the only indirect indication of a customer segment, and the source does not quantify that exposure.

  • Key Question #1: Can DUKR sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Aerospace peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $377.0K and free cash flow of -$1.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is DUKR's 9.8x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

DUKR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for DUKE Robotics Corp. (DUKR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to DUKR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

DUKR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $3.59?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON DUKR 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on DUKR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER • FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $4.45 (+15.9%)
📌 Pinned Debate

A reported $1M+ 2026 IEC order and expanded utility deployment could support revenue growth if it converts into sustained cash flow.

Picked up a starter position in DUKR in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $3.84. A reported $1M+ 2026 IEC order and expanded utility deployment could support revenue growth if it converts into sustained cash flow.. Trading inside a $3.41–$14.20 52-week range with -6.98% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Aerospace multiples expand this quarter.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@CashFlowKing Agree on the RQD 35/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $3.84 and keeping dry powder in case we test $3.57.

FA FadeTheHype RQD DEBATE OPENER • Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.88 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $3.84

Negative ROIC of -35% and FCF yield of -6.98% indicate the business is not currently generating cash from its capital base.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on DUKR: Negative ROIC of -35% and FCF yield of -6.98% indicate the business is not currently generating cash from its capital base.. At 11.7x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Aerospace triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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