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Dawson Geophysical Company (DWSN) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$1.74 +1.75% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.74

Dawson Geophysical Company (DWSN) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $53.1M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on DWSN Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DWSN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Dawson Geophysical Company (NASDAQ: DWSN) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $1.74 (+1.75% 1D, market cap $53.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, DWSN ranks #137 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DWSN compare to PROP and BATL in the Energy sector?
▼

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), DWSN carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -12.1%. By comparison, PROP (Prairie Operating Co.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 39.8%, cap $50.0M) and BATL (Battalion Oil Corporation) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 4.3x, ROIC -4.4%, cap $46.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BATL leads on earnings multiple (4.3x) while PROP leads on capital efficiency (39.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DWSN?
▼

Per DWSN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000799165), Dawson Geophysical Company generated $4.7M in revenue (-63.4% YoY), -$1.9M in net income, and $7.1M in free cash flow against $56.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
🎯 DWSN TRADE EXECUTION LEVELS + TODAY'S TOP 3 TRADES EXACT ENTRY • HARD STOP-LOSS (SUP) • TARGET (RES) • WHY

Where to Enter $DWSN, Where to Set Your Hard Stop-Loss & Today's Top 3 High-Conviction Trades

🏆 RECENT ALERT WINNERS: $XYZ +15.6% (2d) $PLTR +13.7% (4d) $VRT +8.4% (2d)
CURRENT TICKER SETUP • $DWSN R/R 2.2 : 1 • RQD 50/100 (D)
$DWSN
Spot $1.74
1. GET IN (ENTRY)
$1.73–$1.75
2. HARD STOP (SUP)
$1.65 (-5.2%)
3. GET OUT (T1/T2)
$1.85 / $1.94
STOP-LOSS FLOOR (SUP $1.65): Hard stop sits 5.2% below spot to cap downside below key institutional support. If $DWSN closes a daily candle below $1.65, step aside.
PROFIT TARGETS (RES $1.85 / $1.94): Scale out 50% at T1 (+6.5%) and trail stop to breakeven for T2 (+11.5%).
Want this $DWSN sheet + Today's Top 3 Trades emailed free? Paper Trade $DWSN →
⚡ TODAY'S TOP 3 SUGGESTED TRADES OF THE DAY (100% FREE CHEAT SHEET) Trade #1 Unlocked • Enter Email Below to Unblur #2 & #3 + Get $DWSN Sheet
#1 • $MU R/R 3.2 : 1
Micron Technology, Inc.
IN
$108.50
STOP
$103.90
OUT
$117.50
#2 • 🔒 LOCKED R/R 3.4 : 1
AI Liquid-Cooling Leader
Target: +8.53% to +14.86% | Stop: -3.89%
#3 • 🔒 LOCKED R/R 3.1 : 1
Cash-Flow Buyback Machine
Target: +8.38% to +14.53% | Stop: -3.93%
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.74 (+0.13%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 153.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510050
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (3)SEC (13)Macro (10)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.4% Base Target
$8 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE DWSN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DWSN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY DWSN SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 153.4% FCF Margin ($7.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
58
Grade C$2.36-8.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
55
Grade C$2.15-3.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
53
Grade C-$2.07-15.9% Next Q
Current
50
Grade D$1.74-1.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (58) → D (50)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DWSN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While DWSN currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.74) and Max Pain ($1.83) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $8.24.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DWSN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “DWSN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERSOLD (<32)
21.930 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
4 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE4% OF RANGE
L: $2$1.74H: $8
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 15 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40
MULTI-MODEL QUANT PANEL DELIBERATION

Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground) on DWSN

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (60)

-12.1% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 12.24% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (42)

15/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like DWSN
  • ✓Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DWSN)

  • ✓Walkthrough of DWSN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
DWSN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -52.46%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-04O $1.83H $1.83L $1.71C $1.74VOL 74.0K
$8.28$6.48$4.68$2.88$1.08RES $1.68SUP $1.59$1.742026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DWSN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -63.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DWSN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DWSN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DWSN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DWSN)

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (DWSN vs. PROP, BATL, NRT, INDO)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Dawson Geophysical Company (DWSN) ranks #137 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #194 by equity capitalization ($53.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BATL leads on earnings valuation at 4.3x trailing P/E, while PROP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 39.8% ROIC and — gross margin. PROP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with DWSN at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
DWSN ACTIVE
Dawson Geophysical Company
D 50/100 — — -12.1% +1.75% $53.1M Benchmark Subject
PROP
Prairie Operating Co.
C- 61/100 — — 39.8% -7.99% $50.0M /prop-vs-dwsn →
BATL
Battalion Oil Corporation
D 46/100 4.3x — -4.4% +2.34% $46.5M /batl-vs-dwsn →
NRT
North European Oil Royality Trust
D 45/100 — — — -0.14% $65.9M /nrt-vs-dwsn →
INDO
Indonesia Energy Corporation Limited
E 28/100 — — -18.4% +2.69% $40.0M /indo-vs-dwsn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000799165 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Dawson Geophysical Company (DWSN) reported GAAP revenue of $4.7M (-63.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $12.7M , and -87.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$1.9M, operating cash flow of $14.0M, and free cash flow of $7.1M (+291.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, DWSN closed FY2025 with $56.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $4.7M -$1.9M $14.0M $7.1M $56.0M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $12.7M -$4.1M -$1.9M -$3.7M $30.9M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $36.6M -$12.1M $814.0K $814.0K — —

3. DWSN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DWSN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Dawson Geophysical Company (NASDAQ: DWSN) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $1.74 (+1.75% 1D, market cap $53.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, DWSN ranks #137 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DWSN compare to PROP and BATL in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), DWSN carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -12.1%. By comparison, PROP (Prairie Operating Co.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 39.8%, cap $50.0M) and BATL (Battalion Oil Corporation) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 4.3x, ROIC -4.4%, cap $46.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BATL leads on earnings multiple (4.3x) while PROP leads on capital efficiency (39.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DWSN?

Per DWSN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000799165), Dawson Geophysical Company generated $4.7M in revenue (-63.4% YoY), -$1.9M in net income, and $7.1M in free cash flow against $56.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DWSN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DWSN last traded at $1.74 (+1.75% on volume of 39,393 shares), positioning the stock -36.50% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.74) and -50.14% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.49). Across its 52-week range of $1.50 to $7.85, DWSN sits at the 3.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 21.9 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.52 to $1.96).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 50/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

DWSN — Dawson Geophysical Company: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Dawson Geophysical Company (DWSN) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 50/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $1.74 (+1.75% 1D, market capitalization $53.1M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -12.1%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of 12.24%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Dawson Geophysical Company (DWSN) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Energy sector and the Oil & Gas Production industry. The profile reports a market capitalization of $0.1B. Specific products, customers, and revenue model details are — The reported revenue across the FY 2023, FY 2024, and FY 2025 periods is — in each, so revenue-generation mechanics cannot be confirmed from the provided data.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Dawson Geophysical Company (DWSN) reported $4.7M in annual revenue (up from $12.7M in FY2024, -63.4% YoY) and -$1.9M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($36.6M revenue, -$12.1M net income) through FY2025, DWSN scaled operating cash flow to $14.0M and free cash flow to $7.1M, backed by $56.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 50/100): Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 12.24% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.50 – $7.85 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Oil & Gas Production (Energy), DWSN carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can DWSN sustain or expand its — operating margin and -12.1% ROIC against Oil & Gas Production peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $4.7M and free cash flow of $7.1M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is DWSN's equity valuation to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

DWSN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Dawson Geophysical Company (DWSN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to DWSN Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

DWSN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.74?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON DWSN 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on DWSN:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.18 (+19.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Free cash flow of $7.1M in FY 2025 and a 12.24% FCF yield suggest cash generation that a low share price may not fully reflect.

Don't sleep on DWSN's setup in Energy. Free cash flow of $7.1M in FY 2025 and a 12.24% FCF yield suggest cash generation that a low share price may not fully reflect.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (50/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@FadeTheHype Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Oil & Gas Production. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

FA FadeTheHype RQD DEBATE OPENER • Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.50 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $1.83

Reported revenue of $0.0M across three periods, negative ROIC of -12.1%, and a 3/20 institutional flow score point to weak economics an

Fading this rally in DWSN at $1.83. Reported revenue of $0.0M across three periods, negative ROIC of -12.1%, and a 3/20 institutional flow score point to weak economics and little institutional support.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $1.83 (52-wk range $1.50–$7.85), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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