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Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) (each representing four (4) ) (ELPC) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$10.43 -1.14% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.39

Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) (each representing four (4) ) (ELPC) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $7.87B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ELPC Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ELPC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) (each representing four (4) ) (NYSE: ELPC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $10.43 (-1.14% 1D, market cap $7.87B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 116 tracked Utilities issuers, ELPC ranks #72 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ELPC compare to IDA and ENLT in the Utilities sector?
▼

Within the Utilities sector (Electric Utilities: Central), ELPC carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, IDA (IDACORP Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E 25.7x, ROIC 4.2%, cap $8.56B) and ENLT (Enlight Renewable Energy Ltd.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $9.25B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BKH leads on earnings multiple (21.3x) while BKH leads on capital efficiency (5.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ELPC?
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For Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) (each representing four (4) ) (ELPC), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #72 in Utilities, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.39 (-0.40%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 5.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510046
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (4)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target
$15 Bull$10 Base$8 Bear
📬 FREE ELPC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ELPC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ELPC SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 5.5% FCF Margin ($220.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
54
Grade C-$14.18-1.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
51
Grade C-$13.95-19.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
49
Grade D$11.19-6.8% Next Q
Current
46
Grade D$10.43-6.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (54) → D (46)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ELPC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ELPC currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($12.55) and Max Pain ($10.95) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $15.24.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ELPC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ELPC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 46%NO 54%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your ELPC Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $10.43: 958.8 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $7.70
$7,383
$-2,617 (-26.2%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $9.87
$9,463
$-537 (-5.4%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $15.24
$14,612
+$4,612 (+46.1%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$1074%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$1469%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$958%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ELPC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ELPC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ELPC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -17.81%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $10.59H $10.73L $10.43C $10.43VOL 354.7K
RES: $15.28SUP: $9.88SMA50: $12.55SMA200: $11.81
$14.83$13.51$12.18$10.86$9.54RES $15.28SUP $9.88$10.432026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ELPC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ELPC Butterfly Map → + Track ELPC →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ELPC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ELPC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ELPC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ELPC)

Utilities Rank #72 of 116 ⚔️ IDA vs ELPC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (ELPC vs. IDA, ENLT, TXNM, BKH)

Industry: Electric Utilities: Central (56 Tracked Issuers)

Across 116 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) (each representing four (4) ) (ELPC) ranks #72 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #48 by equity capitalization ($7.87B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BKH leads on earnings valuation at 21.3x trailing P/E, while BKH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.1% ROIC and — gross margin. TXNM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 53/100 (D+) compared with ELPC at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ELPC ACTIVE
Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) (each representing four (4) )
D 46/100 — — — -1.14% $7.87B Benchmark Subject
IDA
IDACORP Inc.
D 45/100 25.7x — 4.2% +1.12% $8.56B /ida-vs-elpc →
ENLT
Enlight Renewable Energy Ltd.
D 46/100 — — — +0.27% $9.25B /enlt-vs-elpc →
TXNM
TXNM Energy Inc.
D+ 53/100 38.0x — 4.1% +0.55% $6.43B /txnm-vs-elpc →
BKH
Black Hills Corporation
D+ 53/100 21.3x — 5.1% +0.61% $6.25B /bkh-vs-elpc →

2. ELPC Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) (each representing four (4) ) (ELPC) operates in Electric Utilities: Central (Utilities) with an equity capitalization of $7.87B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. ELPC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ELPC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) (each representing four (4) ) (NYSE: ELPC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $10.43 (-1.14% 1D, market cap $7.87B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 116 tracked Utilities issuers, ELPC ranks #72 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ELPC compare to IDA and ENLT in the Utilities sector?

Within the Utilities sector (Electric Utilities: Central), ELPC carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, IDA (IDACORP Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E 25.7x, ROIC 4.2%, cap $8.56B) and ENLT (Enlight Renewable Energy Ltd.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $9.25B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BKH leads on earnings multiple (21.3x) while BKH leads on capital efficiency (5.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ELPC?

For Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) (each representing four (4) ) (ELPC), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity and sector rank #72 in Utilities, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ELPC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ELPC last traded at $10.43 (-1.14% on volume of 354,769 shares), positioning the stock -16.89% below its 50-day simple moving average ($12.55) and -11.69% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.81). Across its 52-week range of $8.86 to $14.51, ELPC sits at the 27.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 23.9 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.7% ($9.73 to $11.13).

Direct Sub-Reports: ELPC RQD Cockpit ELPC 12M Forecast ELPC Earnings & Move ELPC Dividends & DRIP ELPC Insiders & 13F ELPC Whale Options ELPC Profit Sankey ELPC News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 46/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ELPC — Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) (each representing four (4) ): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-11-03

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) (each representing four (4) ) (ELPC) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 46/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $10.43 (-1.14% 1D, market capitalization $7.87B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (4/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of N/A, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Per the SEC profile, Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) (each representing four (4) ) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Utilities sector, classified under Electric Utilities: Central. The profile states a market capitalization of $8.0B. — describes the company's products, customers, or revenue model.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 46/100): Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 4/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 4/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $8.86 – $14.51 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

No upstream or downstream dependencies are recorded (supply_chain: "NONE"; butterfly_links: empty). Sector is listed as Utilities and industry as Electric Utilities: Central. — identifies specific sector correlations or second-order bottlenecks.

  • Key Question #1: Can ELPC sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Electric Utilities: Central peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Will free cash flow conversion (— FCF yield) strengthen balance-sheet liquidity (Altman Z-Score N/A) toward the $14.51 52-week high?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ELPC's equity valuation to Utilities capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

ELPC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) (each representing four (4) ) (ELPC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ELPC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟡 MARKET WIRE Copel Unsponsored ADR (ELPC): Can Its 8.2% Jump Turn into More Strength? • 28d ago
Strength Seen in Companhia Paranaense de Energia

Companhia Paranaense de Energia - Copel Unsponsored ADR (ELPC) was a big mover last session on higher-than-average trading volume. The latest trend in earnings estimate revisions might not help the stock continue moving

Read Full Source ↗
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ELPC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $10.43?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ELPC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ELPC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $13.08 (+24.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scores 13 of 20, supported by an Altman Z of 2.5, a Piotroski F of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5.

Here is why I am bullish on ELPC here at $10.55: The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scores 13 of 20, supported by an Altman Z of 2.5, a Piotroski F of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5.. Compare ELPC's 0.0% operating margin and 0.0% ROIC against the rest of Electric Utilities: Central. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $10.02 are getting bought.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — ELPC's 13/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $8.97 (-15.0%)
Spot @ $10.55

The Whale 13F Flow pillar scores only 4 of 20, with ROIC and FCF yield both reported at 0%.

The Whale 13F Flow pillar scores only 4 of 20, with ROIC and FCF yield both reported at 0%.. Look at the math on ELPC: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for 0.0% ROIC and 0.0% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Electric Utilities: Central demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $9.28 before getting long.

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