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Stock Ratings / Financials / ELS / news
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Why ELS Stock surged +2.41% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$60.45 +2.41% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $60.60

Equity Lifestyle Properties Inc. (ELS) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $11.50B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ELS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Equity Lifestyle Properties Inc. (NYSE: ELS) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $60.45 (+2.41% 1D, market cap $11.50B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, ELS ranks #327 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ELS compare to UDR and AMH in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), ELS carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 28.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.4%. By comparison, UDR (UDR Inc.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 30.1x, ROIC 7.3%, cap $11.41B) and AMH (American Homes 4 Rent Common) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 3.8%, cap $11.35B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AGNC leads on earnings multiple (6.4x) while GLPI leads on capital efficiency (14.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ELS?
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Per ELS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000895417), Equity Lifestyle Properties Inc. generated $1.53B in revenue (+0.3% YoY), $402.1M in net income, and $502.2M in free cash flow against $5.75B in total assets and $1.77B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $60.60 (+0.24%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 32.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510062
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw C · Rk C
Cash (14)Whales (8)SEC (15)Macro (10)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.8% Base Target
$73 Bull$62 Base$48 Bear
📬 FREE ELS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ELS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (62/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ELS SCORES 62/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
54
Grade C-$59.61-0.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
57
Grade C$59.16-2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
59
Grade C$57.97+4.3% Next Q
Current
62
Grade C$60.45+0.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (54) → C (62)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ELS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 62/100 (C) score, ELS faces multiple-compression risk if 28.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($60.32) or 200D SMA ($63.46) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($61.54) toward Bear Floor ($48.00).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ELS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ELS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 62%NO 38%Trade / Inspect Odds →
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why ELS Stock surged +2.41% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Equity Lifestyle Properties Inc. (ELS) surged +2.41% to $60.45, trading at 26% of its 52-week range ($57.46 – $69). Solid steady margins (11% return on capital), mixed timing at 29x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 26% of its 52-week range ($57.46 – $69) with RSI-14 at 45.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±4.6% around $60.45 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $502.2M annual free cash flow.
Live ELS Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ELS Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
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ELS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -3.48%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $58.85H $60.45L $58.85C $60.45VOL 2.09M
RES: $62.01SUP: $55.16SMA50: $60.32SMA200: $63.46
$68.50$65.51$62.52$59.52$56.53RES $62.01SUP $55.16$60.452026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ELS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ELS Butterfly Map → + Track ELS →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
21.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ELS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ELS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ELS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ELS)

Financials Rank #327 of 1097 ⚔️ UDR vs ELS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (ELS vs. UDR, AMH, GLPI, AGNC)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Equity Lifestyle Properties Inc. (ELS) ranks #327 by composite RQD confidence (62/100, grade C) and #169 by equity capitalization ($11.50B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AGNC leads on earnings valuation at 6.4x trailing P/E, while GLPI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.8% ROIC and — gross margin. GLPI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with ELS at 62/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ELS ACTIVE
Equity Lifestyle Properties Inc.
C 62/100 28.5x — 11.4% +2.41% $11.50B Benchmark Subject
UDR
UDR Inc.
C 63/100 30.1x — 7.3% +1.10% $11.41B /udr-vs-els →
AMH
American Homes 4 Rent Common
C 62/100 32.8x — 3.8% +0.92% $11.35B /amh-vs-els →
GLPI
Gaming and Leisure Properties Inc.
C+ 66/100 — — 14.8% +0.92% $11.34B /glpi-vs-els →
AGNC
AGNC Investment Corp.
D+ 52/100 6.4x — 2.9% +0.46% $11.02B /agnc-vs-els →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000895417 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Equity Lifestyle Properties Inc. (ELS) reported GAAP revenue of $1.53B (+0.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.53B , and +2.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $402.1M, operating cash flow of $571.1M, and free cash flow of $502.2M (-4.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, ELS closed FY2025 with $5.75B in total assets against $1.77B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.53B $402.1M $571.1M $502.2M $5.75B $1.77B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.53B $384.8M $596.7M $528.0M $5.65B $1.72B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.49B $329.7M $548.0M $481.0M $6.30B $1.48B

3. ELS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ELS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Equity Lifestyle Properties Inc. (NYSE: ELS) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $60.45 (+2.41% 1D, market cap $11.50B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, ELS ranks #327 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ELS compare to UDR and AMH in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), ELS carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 28.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.4%. By comparison, UDR (UDR Inc.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 30.1x, ROIC 7.3%, cap $11.41B) and AMH (American Homes 4 Rent Common) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 3.8%, cap $11.35B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AGNC leads on earnings multiple (6.4x) while GLPI leads on capital efficiency (14.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ELS?

Per ELS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000895417), Equity Lifestyle Properties Inc. generated $1.53B in revenue (+0.3% YoY), $402.1M in net income, and $502.2M in free cash flow against $5.75B in total assets and $1.77B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ELS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ELS last traded at $60.45 (+2.41% on volume of 2,511,683 shares), positioning the stock +0.22% above its 50-day simple moving average ($60.32) and -4.74% below its 200-day simple moving average ($63.46). Across its 52-week range of $57.46 to $69.00, ELS sits at the 25.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.6% ($57.67 to $63.23).

Direct Sub-Reports: ELS RQD Cockpit ELS 12M Forecast ELS Earnings & Move ELS Dividends & DRIP ELS Insiders & 13F ELS Whale Options ELS Profit Sankey ELS News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 62/100 (C) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ELS — Equity Lifestyle Properties Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Equity Lifestyle Properties Inc. (ELS) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 62/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $60.45 (+2.41% 1D, market capitalization $11.50B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 11.4%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 25.6%, and free cash flow yield of 4.38%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (15/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (15/20): Incorporates a 1.12x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Equity Lifestyle Properties Inc. (ELS) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Financials sector, Real Estate Investment Trusts industry..5B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Equity Lifestyle Properties Inc. (ELS) reported $1.53B in annual revenue (up from $1.53B in FY2024, +0.3% YoY) and $402.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.49B revenue, $329.7M net income) through FY2025, ELS scaled operating cash flow to $571.1M and free cash flow to $502.2M, backed by $5.75B in total assets against $1.77B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 62/100): Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $57.46 – $69.00 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 28.5x trailing P/E and 27.6x EV/EBITDA against 25.6% operating margins and a 1.12x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Real Estate Investment Trusts (Financials), ELS carries a macro regime beta of 1.12 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can ELS sustain or expand its 25.6% operating margin and 11.4% ROIC against Real Estate Investment Trusts peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.53B and free cash flow of $502.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.77B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ELS's 26.5x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.12x)?

ELS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Equity Lifestyle Properties Inc. (ELS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ELS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ELS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $60.45?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ELS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ELS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $71.43 (+21.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet (Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 8/9, Debt/Equity 0.5) and a 4.38% FCF yield support the cash engine.

Forensic balance sheet (Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 8/9, Debt/Equity 0.5) and a 4.38% FCF yield support the cash engine.. When you look under the hood at ELS, Fundamental Cash Engine is 14/20 with 0.0% gross margins and 11.4% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (8/20) has been quietly accumulating below $69.00. My 12M target is $71.43.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@BearTrap_Alert Shorting a 8/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $59.03 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Financials.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $44.27 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $59.03

A 28.5 trailing P/E paired with a 6/20 institutional flow score leaves little valuation cushion or ownership conviction.

Careful chasing ELS at $59.03. A 28.5 trailing P/E paired with a 6/20 institutional flow score leaves little valuation cushion or ownership conviction.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 25.6%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $44.27 on multiple compression.

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