Why EMBJ Stock dropped -3.31% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$73.40 -3.31% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $72.82

Embraer S.A. (EMBJ) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $13.72B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is EMBJ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Embraer S.A. (NYSE: EMBJ) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $73.40 (-3.31% 1D, market cap $13.72B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, EMBJ ranks #57 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does EMBJ compare to TXT and SARO in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Aerospace), EMBJ carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, TXT (Textron Inc.) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 16.3x, ROIC 8.9%, cap $15.04B) and SARO (StandardAero Inc.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 18.3x, ROIC 10.7%, cap $7.87B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TXT leads on earnings multiple (16.3x) while SARO leads on capital efficiency (10.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EMBJ?
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For Embraer S.A. (EMBJ), key quantitative strengths include Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. and Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs., while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $72.82 (-0.79%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 7.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510068
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B-
Cash (12)Whales (16)SEC (16)Macro (12)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target
$91 Bull$77 Base$60 Bear
📬 FREE EMBJ RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for EMBJ)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (68/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY EMBJ SCORES 68/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.74 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 8 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
60
Grade C$71.86+0.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
63
Grade C+$72.37+0.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
65
Grade C+$72.73+0.9% Next Q
Current
68
Grade C+$73.40+1.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (60) → C+ (68)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the EMBJ Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, EMBJ faces multiple-compression risk if 32.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($73.88) or 200D SMA ($67.66) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($76.70) toward Bear Floor ($59.83).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $EMBJ• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “EMBJ Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why EMBJ Stock dropped -3.31% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Embraer S.A. (EMBJ) dropped -3.31% to $73.40, trading at 73% of its 52-week range ($53.56 – $80.75). Solid steady margins (10% return on capital), mixed timing at 33x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 73% of its 52-week range ($53.56 – $80.75) with RSI-14 at 57.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.5% around $73.40 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $303.1M annual free cash flow.
Live EMBJ Headlines & Catalysts
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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (EMBJ Tape Review)

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EMBJ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +15.37%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $72.11H $75.91L $72.11C $73.40VOL 1.59M
RES: $78.44SUP: $65.47SMA50: $73.88SMA200: $67.66
$81.59$74.00$66.40$58.80$51.20RES $78.44SUP $65.47$73.402026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

EMBJ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +16.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EMBJ today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EMBJ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for EMBJ today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (EMBJ)

Industrials Rank #57 of 485 ⚔️ TXT vs EMBJ Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (EMBJ vs. TXT, SARO, AVAV, JOBY)

Industry: Aerospace (31 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Embraer S.A. (EMBJ) ranks #57 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #83 by equity capitalization ($13.72B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TXT leads on earnings valuation at 16.3x trailing P/E, while SARO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.7% ROIC and 14.8% gross margin. EMBJ currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 68/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
EMBJ ACTIVE
Embraer S.A.
C+ 68/100 32.8x — 9.9% -3.31% $13.72B Benchmark Subject
TXT
Textron Inc.
C 64/100 16.3x — 8.9% -2.01% $15.04B /txt-vs-embj →
SARO
StandardAero Inc.
D+ 58/100 18.3x 14.8% 10.7% -1.72% $7.87B /saro-vs-embj →
AVAV
AeroVironment Inc.
E 31/100 — 25.3% -7.6% -6.50% $6.85B /avav-vs-embj →
JOBY
Joby Aviation Inc.
D- 38/100 — — -35.0% -3.54% $5.05B /joby-vs-embj →

2. EMBJ Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Embraer S.A. (EMBJ) operates in Aerospace (Industrials) with an equity capitalization of $13.72B, trailing P/E of 32.8x, forward P/E of 27.6x, and EV/EBITDA of 21.0x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of 13.9%, net profit margin of 10.9%, ROIC of 9.9%, and free cash flow yield of 2.21%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.74 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9.

3. EMBJ Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is EMBJ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Embraer S.A. (NYSE: EMBJ) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $73.40 (-3.31% 1D, market cap $13.72B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, EMBJ ranks #57 in composite RQD confidence.

How does EMBJ compare to TXT and SARO in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Aerospace), EMBJ carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, TXT (Textron Inc.) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 16.3x, ROIC 8.9%, cap $15.04B) and SARO (StandardAero Inc.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 18.3x, ROIC 10.7%, cap $7.87B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TXT leads on earnings multiple (16.3x) while SARO leads on capital efficiency (10.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EMBJ?

For Embraer S.A. (EMBJ), key quantitative strengths include Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. and Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs., while primary risk factors center on Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 25.3%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is EMBJ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

EMBJ last traded at $73.40 (-3.31% on volume of 1,320,479 shares), positioning the stock -0.65% below its 50-day simple moving average ($73.88) and +8.48% above its 200-day simple moving average ($67.66). Across its 52-week range of $53.56 to $80.75, EMBJ sits at the 73.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.5% ($67.90 to $78.90).

EMBJ Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is EMBJ stock moving today?

Why EMBJ Stock dropped -3.31% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (10% return on capital), mixed timing at 33x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 68/100 (C+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

EMBJ — Embraer S.A.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:09:59Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, EMBJ scores 68 out of 100 with a letter grade of C+ and a verdict label of "Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 9.9% and FCF yield of 2.21%. For a prospective investor, a 9.9% ROIC is a moderate return on invested capital, and a 2.21% FCF yield indicates limited free cash generation relative to the $13.72B market cap.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 16 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. This is the strongest pillar in the rating and suggests institutional interest is a supportive factor.
  • Insider Conviction: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The score is moderate, indicating insider signals are neither a strong positive nor a strong negative.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects a beta of 0.96 and sector sensitivity. A beta near 1.0 implies the stock has tended to move roughly in line with the broader market.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 16 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects an Altman Z-Score of 3.74, a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.39. These are the second-strongest inputs and point to a comparatively sound balance sheet.

Valuation tradeoff: Per the market data, the stock trades at a trailing P/E of 32.8 and a forward P/E of 27.6, with EV/EBITDA of 21. These multiples are elevated relative to the cash-generation metrics above (FCF yield 2.21%), which is the central tension in the rating: strong balance-sheet and institutional-flow signals against a rich multiple and modest cash yield. The "Watch for Breakout" label implies the rating view is conditional on a change in one or more of these pillars.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
75.91$13.72B32.827.6212.310%0.96$53.56 - $80.759.9%

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, five items reference EMBJ:

  • A Yahoo Finance piece asking whether EMBJ is worth buying as it outperforms aerospace peers (flagged CATALYST, green light).
  • A Seeking Alpha piece titled "Strong Buy As Guidance Improves" (market wire, yellow light).
  • A GuruFocus piece noting the stock is down 3.3% but still overvalued (market wire, yellow light).
  • A Yahoo Finance value comparison of EMBJ versus RTX (market wire, yellow light).
  • A Stock Titan item describing a distribution to holders of U.S.-traded units (market wire, yellow light).
  • A MarketBeat item reporting sell-side brokerages rate the stock "Buy" (market wire, yellow light).

Risk watch items: the GuruFocus headline characterizes the stock as overvalued, which aligns with the elevated multiples in the Snapshot. Proprietary signals from the Butterfly graph: Not available in source data (none listed).

Open Questions

  • What are EMBJ's reported revenue, operating income, net income, EPS, free cash flow, cash, and debt by period? The financials section is empty.
  • What is the analyst consensus rating and price target range? The analyst section is empty.
  • Which institutions and insiders hold shares, and what are the recent 13F and Form 4 transactions? The holders section is empty.
  • What are the upstream suppliers and downstream customers, and what does the butterfly graph show? The graph lists no links.
  • What does the "guidance improves" reference in the Seeking Alpha headline correspond to in the company's reported figures? Guidance detail is not in the sources.

EMBJ Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Embraer S.A. (EMBJ) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to EMBJ Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

EMBJ Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $73.40?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON EMBJ 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on EMBJ:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $81.98 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is EMBJ (C+ • RQD 68/100) a Buy at $75.91?

Welcome to the EMBJ (Embraer S.A.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 68/100 (Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in Aerospace. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (32.8x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $56.93 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $75.91

Pump the brakes on EMBJ — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on EMBJ, but look at what you are paying: 32.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Embraer S.A. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $93.37 (+23.0%)
Spot @ $75.91

EMBJ cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on EMBJ, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Aerospace and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $75.91 (52-wk range $53.56 - $80.75), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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