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Stock Ratings / Energy / EP / dividends
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Empire Petroleum Corporation (EP) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$2.06 -7.62% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.03

Empire Petroleum Corporation (EP) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 27/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $92.8M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on EP Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is EP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Empire Petroleum Corporation (NYSE: EP) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 27/100 at a spot price of $2.06 (-7.62% 1D, market cap $92.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, EP ranks #198 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does EP compare to BSIN and CRT in the Energy sector?
▼

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), EP carries a Roarable E (27/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, BSIN (Big Sky Industrial Inc.) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $77.7M) and CRT (Cross Timbers Royalty Trust) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $77.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, EP leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while EP leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EP?
▼

Per EP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000887396), Empire Petroleum Corporation generated $34.2M in revenue (-21.6% YoY), -$72.1M in net income, and -$3.9M in free cash flow against $65.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
🎯 EP TRADE EXECUTION LEVELS + TODAY'S TOP 3 TRADES EXACT ENTRY • HARD STOP-LOSS (SUP) • TARGET (RES) • WHY

Where to Enter $EP, Where to Set Your Hard Stop-Loss & Today's Top 3 High-Conviction Trades

🏆 RECENT ALERT WINNERS: $XYZ +15.6% (2d) $PLTR +13.7% (4d) $VRT +8.4% (2d)
CURRENT TICKER SETUP • $EP R/R 2.2 : 1 • RQD 27/100 (E)
$EP
Spot $2.06
1. GET IN (ENTRY)
$2.05–$2.07
2. HARD STOP (SUP)
$1.95 (-5.2%)
3. GET OUT (T1/T2)
$2.19 / $2.30
STOP-LOSS FLOOR (SUP $1.95): Hard stop sits 5.2% below spot to cap downside below key institutional support. If $EP closes a daily candle below $1.95, step aside.
PROFIT TARGETS (RES $2.19 / $2.30): Scale out 50% at T1 (+6.5%) and trail stop to breakeven for T2 (+11.5%).
Want this $EP sheet + Today's Top 3 Trades emailed free? Paper Trade $EP →
⚡ TODAY'S TOP 3 SUGGESTED TRADES OF THE DAY (100% FREE CHEAT SHEET) Trade #1 Unlocked • Enter Email Below to Unblur #2 & #3 + Get $EP Sheet
#1 • $MU R/R 3.2 : 1
Micron Technology, Inc.
IN
$108.50
STOP
$103.90
OUT
$117.50
#2 • 🔒 LOCKED R/R 3.4 : 1
AI Liquid-Cooling Leader
Target: +8.53% to +14.86% | Stop: -3.89%
#3 • 🔒 LOCKED R/R 3.1 : 1
Cash-Flow Buyback Machine
Target: +8.38% to +14.53% | Stop: -3.93%
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.03 (-1.56%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (27/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510027
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (7)Whales (5)SEC (8)Macro (4)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-14.1% Base Target
$4 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE EP RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for EP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (27/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY EP SCORES 27/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+7/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
35
Grade E$3.20+4.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
32
Grade E$3.35-15.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
30
Grade E$2.83-27.2% Next Q
Current
27
Grade E$2.06-10.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (35) → E (27)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a EP Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While EP currently carries a cautious 27/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.78) and Max Pain ($2.16) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.20.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $EP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “EP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 27%NO 73%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
0.6% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $102/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring EP)

  • ✓Walkthrough of EP's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
EP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -25.63%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-04O $2.64H $2.64L $2.06C $2.06VOL 103.6K
RES: $3.60SUP: $1.98🎯 Entry / Stop & Top 3 Trades ↑SMA50: $2.78SMA200: $2.84
$3.65$3.22$2.79$2.36$1.93RES $3.60SUP $1.98$2.062026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

EP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 EP Butterfly Map → + Track EP →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -21.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for EP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (EP)

Energy Rank #198 of 211 ⚔️ BSIN vs EP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (EP vs. BSIN, CRT, GLND, NRT)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Empire Petroleum Corporation (EP) ranks #198 by composite RQD confidence (27/100, grade E) and #186 by equity capitalization ($92.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EP leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while EP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and — gross margin. CRT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 60/100 (C-) compared with EP at 27/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
EP ACTIVE
Empire Petroleum Corporation
E 27/100 — — -35.0% -7.62% $92.8M Benchmark Subject
BSIN
Big Sky Industrial Inc.
E 33/100 — — -35.0% -1.35% $77.7M /bsin-vs-ep →
CRT
Cross Timbers Royalty Trust
C- 60/100 — — — +1.87% $77.2M /crt-vs-ep →
GLND
Greenland Energy Company
D 50/100 — — — +3.36% $117.2M /glnd-vs-ep →
NRT
North European Oil Royality Trust
D 45/100 — — — -0.14% $65.9M /nrt-vs-ep →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000887396 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Empire Petroleum Corporation (EP) reported GAAP revenue of $34.2M (-21.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $43.6M , and -14.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$72.1M, operating cash flow of -$3.9M, and free cash flow of -$3.9M (-164.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, EP closed FY2025 with $65.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $34.2M -$72.1M -$3.9M -$3.9M $65.9M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $43.6M -$16.2M $6.2M $6.2M $123.9M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $40.1M -$12.5M -$9.9M -$9.9M — —

3. EP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is EP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Empire Petroleum Corporation (NYSE: EP) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 27/100 at a spot price of $2.06 (-7.62% 1D, market cap $92.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, EP ranks #198 in composite RQD confidence.

How does EP compare to BSIN and CRT in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), EP carries a Roarable E (27/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, BSIN (Big Sky Industrial Inc.) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $77.7M) and CRT (Cross Timbers Royalty Trust) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $77.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, EP leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while EP leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EP?

Per EP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000887396), Empire Petroleum Corporation generated $34.2M in revenue (-21.6% YoY), -$72.1M in net income, and -$3.9M in free cash flow against $65.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is EP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

EP last traded at $2.06 (-7.62% on volume of 33,746 shares), positioning the stock -25.90% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.78) and -27.46% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.84). Across its 52-week range of $2.08 to $4.00, EP sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 30.2 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.80 to $2.32).

Direct Sub-Reports: EP RQD Cockpit EP 12M Forecast EP Earnings & Move EP Dividends & DRIP EP Insiders & 13F EP Whale Options EP Profit Sankey EP News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 27/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

EP — Empire Petroleum Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Empire Petroleum Corporation (EP) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 27/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $2.06 (-7.62% 1D, market capitalization $92.8M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (7/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of -3.51%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (4/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Empire Petroleum Corporation is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Energy sector, classified under Oil & Gas Production..1B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Empire Petroleum Corporation (EP) reported $34.2M in annual revenue (up from $43.6M in FY2024, -21.6% YoY) and -$72.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($40.1M revenue, -$12.5M net income) through FY2025, EP scaled operating cash flow to -$3.9M and free cash flow to -$3.9M, backed by $65.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 27/100): Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -3.51% and institutional whale pillar of 5/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $2.08 – $4.00 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The source data therefore does not identify upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or sector co-movement relationships for EP. Within the sector classification of Energy and Oil & Gas Production, the data does not establish specific 2nd-order bottlenecks. Investors should note that the absence of recorded links is a limitation of the source data, not evidence of the absence of dependencies.

  • Key Question #1: Can EP sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Oil & Gas Production peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $34.2M and free cash flow of -$3.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is EP's equity valuation to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

EP Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Empire Petroleum Corporation (EP) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to EP Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

EP Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.06?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON EP 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on EP:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $3.06 (+15.9%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The stock closed up 6.97% to $2.61 as buyers defended key support, per a recent news headline.

Picked up a starter position in EP in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $2.64. The stock closed up 6.97% to $2.61 as buyers defended key support, per a recent news headline.. Trading inside a $2.08–$4.00 52-week range with -3.51% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Oil & Gas Production multiples expand this quarter.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — EP's 8/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.24 (-15.2%)
Spot @ $2.64

ROIC of -35% and FCF yield of -3.51% show the business is not currently generating cash returns on its capital.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on EP: ROIC of -35% and FCF yield of -3.51% show the business is not currently generating cash returns on its capital.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Oil & Gas Production triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

LIVE TAPE