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Stock Ratings / Energy / EPSN / forecast
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Epsilon Energy Ltd. Common Share (EPSN) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$5.83 -3.48% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.78

Epsilon Energy Ltd. Common Share (EPSN) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $182.9M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on EPSN Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is EPSN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Epsilon Energy Ltd. Common Share (NASDAQ: EPSN) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $5.83 (-3.48% 1D, market cap $182.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, EPSN ranks #59 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does EPSN compare to MINE and PED in the Energy sector?
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Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), EPSN carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -7.2%. By comparison, MINE (Mayfair Gold Corp.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $170.2M) and PED (Pedevco Corp.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.0%, cap $203.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AMPY leads on earnings multiple (4.1x) while AMPY leads on capital efficiency (15.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EPSN?
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Per EPSN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001726126), Epsilon Energy Ltd. Common Share generated $29.4M in revenue (+207.1% YoY), -$5.8M in net income, and $20.6M in free cash flow against $228.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.78 (-0.82%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 70% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510066
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw C · Rk B-
Cash (12)Whales (14)SEC (13)Macro (15)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target
$7 Bull$6 Base$5 Bear
📬 FREE EPSN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for EPSN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (66/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY EPSN SCORES 66/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 67% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 44.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±5.9% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 8 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
74
Grade B+$5.94+3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
71
Grade B$6.12+4.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
69
Grade B-$6.39-8.8% Next Q
Current
66
Grade C+$5.83+1.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B+ (74) → C+ (66)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the EPSN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 66/100 (C+) score, EPSN faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($6.10) or 200D SMA ($5.74) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($6.04) toward Bear Floor ($4.71).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $EPSN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “EPSN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 66%NO 34%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your EPSN Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $5.83: 1715.3 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $4.71
$8,079
$-1,921 (-19.2%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $6.04
$10,360
+$360 (+3.6%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $7.13
$12,230
+$2,230 (+22.3%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$674%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$769%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$558%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (EPSN Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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EPSN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -7.61%▲ ASCENDING TRIANGLE
2026-11-04O $6.46H $6.46L $5.83C $5.83VOL 65.1K
RES: $6.49SUP: $5.57SMA50: $6.10SMA200: $5.74
$6.76$6.30$5.85$5.39$4.94RES $6.49SUP $5.57$5.832026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

EPSN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 EPSN Butterfly Map → + Track EPSN →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +207.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EPSN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EPSN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for EPSN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (EPSN)

Energy Rank #59 of 211 ⚔️ MINE vs EPSN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (EPSN vs. MINE, PED, ANNA, AMPY)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Epsilon Energy Ltd. Common Share (EPSN) ranks #59 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #175 by equity capitalization ($182.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AMPY leads on earnings valuation at 4.1x trailing P/E, while AMPY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.3% ROIC and 93.2% gross margin. EPSN currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 66/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
EPSN ACTIVE
Epsilon Energy Ltd. Common Share
C+ 66/100 — — -7.2% -3.48% $182.9M Benchmark Subject
MINE
Mayfair Gold Corp.
D 45/100 — — — -4.90% $170.2M /mine-vs-epsn →
PED
Pedevco Corp.
D 48/100 — — -3.0% -0.52% $203.2M /ped-vs-epsn →
ANNA
AleAnna Inc. (Class A)
D 50/100 — — 8.5% -1.68% $159.3M /anna-vs-epsn →
AMPY
Amplify Energy Corp.
D+ 54/100 4.1x 93.2% 15.3% -2.08% $159.2M /ampy-vs-epsn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001726126 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Epsilon Energy Ltd. Common Share (EPSN) reported GAAP revenue of $29.4M (+207.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $9.6M , and +94.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$5.8M, operating cash flow of $20.6M, and free cash flow of $20.6M (+22.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, EPSN closed FY2025 with $228.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $29.4M -$5.8M $20.6M $20.6M $228.2M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $9.6M $1.9M $16.8M $16.8M $120.5M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $15.2M $6.9M $18.2M $18.2M — —

3. EPSN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is EPSN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Epsilon Energy Ltd. Common Share (NASDAQ: EPSN) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $5.83 (-3.48% 1D, market cap $182.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, EPSN ranks #59 in composite RQD confidence.

How does EPSN compare to MINE and PED in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), EPSN carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -7.2%. By comparison, MINE (Mayfair Gold Corp.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $170.2M) and PED (Pedevco Corp.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.0%, cap $203.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AMPY leads on earnings multiple (4.1x) while AMPY leads on capital efficiency (15.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EPSN?

Per EPSN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001726126), Epsilon Energy Ltd. Common Share generated $29.4M in revenue (+207.1% YoY), -$5.8M in net income, and $20.6M in free cash flow against $228.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is EPSN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

EPSN last traded at $5.83 (-3.48% on volume of 69,384 shares), positioning the stock -4.43% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.10) and +1.57% above its 200-day simple moving average ($5.74). Across its 52-week range of $4.20 to $6.65, EPSN sits at the 66.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.9% ($5.49 to $6.17).

Direct Sub-Reports: EPSN RQD Cockpit EPSN 12M Forecast EPSN Earnings & Move EPSN Dividends & DRIP EPSN Insiders & 13F EPSN Whale Options EPSN Profit Sankey EPSN News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 66/100 (C+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

EPSN — Epsilon Energy Ltd. Common Share: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Epsilon Energy Ltd. Common Share (EPSN) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 66/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $5.83 (-3.48% 1D, market capitalization $182.9M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -7.2%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of 10.61%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (14/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (15/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Epsilon Energy Ltd. Common Share (EPSN) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Energy sector, operating within Oil & Gas Production. The profile does not describe its specific products, customers, or revenue model. The source data reports revenue of — in each listed fiscal year, so how the company generates income cannot be confirmed from the provided materials.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Epsilon Energy Ltd. Common Share (EPSN) reported $29.4M in annual revenue (up from $9.6M in FY2024, +207.1% YoY) and -$5.8M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($15.2M revenue, $6.9M net income) through FY2025, EPSN scaled operating cash flow to $20.6M and free cash flow to $20.6M, backed by $228.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C+ • RQD 66/100): Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 10.61% and institutional whale pillar of 14/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 14/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $4.20 – $6.65 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Oil & Gas Production (Energy), EPSN carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can EPSN sustain or expand its — operating margin and -7.2% ROIC against Oil & Gas Production peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $29.4M and free cash flow of $20.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is EPSN's equity valuation to Energy capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

EPSN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Epsilon Energy Ltd. Common Share (EPSN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to EPSN Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 83d ago
Epsilon Energy Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

Epsilon Energy (NASDAQ:EPSN) said its second-quarter production marked a low point for 2026 as new development activity began contributing late in the period, and management expects output to increase sequentially throug

Read Full Source ↗
🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 167d ago
Epsilon Announces 2026 AGM Results

HOUSTON, May 20, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Epsilon Energy Ltd. (“Epsilon” or the “Company”) (NASDAQ: EPSN) is pleased to announce that all the nominees listed in its Proxy Statement, Schedule 14A dated on April 17, 2026,

Read Full Source ↗
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

EPSN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $5.83?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON EPSN 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on EPSN:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER • Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $8.14 (+26.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Positive free cash flow in every reported period, with a 10.61% FCF yield and a beta of 1.0 supporting a favorable macro regime fit.

Long EPSN at $6.46 targeting $8.14. Positive free cash flow in every reported period, with a 10.61% FCF yield and a beta of 1.0 supporting a favorable macro regime fit.. Institutional whale score is 14/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $4.20 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@BreakoutHunter Agree on the RQD 66/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $6.46 and keeping dry powder in case we test $6.01.

FA FadeTheHype RQD DEBATE OPENER • Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $4.84 (-25.1%)
Spot @ $6.46

Operating income turned to -$10.5M in FY 2025 while ROIC sits at -7.2%, with revenue reported at $0.0M across all periods.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short EPSN above $6.46. Operating income turned to -$10.5M in FY 2025 while ROIC sits at -7.2%, with revenue reported at $0.0M across all periods.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20) and FCF yield (10.61%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $6.65.

LIVE TAPE