Why EQPT Stock dropped -5.50% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$17.18 -5.50% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.98

EquipmentShare.com Inc (EQPT) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $4.35B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is EQPT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, EquipmentShare.com Inc (NASDAQ: EQPT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $17.18 (-5.50% 1D, market cap $4.35B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, EQPT ranks #764 in composite RQD confidence.

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🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does EQPT compare to KFY and FTDR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Diversified Commercial Services), EQPT carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 115.2x, gross margin of 60.7%, and ROIC of 6.7%. By comparison, KFY (Korn Ferry) holds a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 14.8x, ROIC 20.2%, cap $4.18B) and FTDR (Frontdoor Inc.) posts a A grade (86/100 RQD, P/E 23.6x, ROIC 51.1%, cap $6.04B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KFY leads on earnings multiple (14.8x) while FTDR leads on capital efficiency (51.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EQPT?
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Per EQPT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001693736), EquipmentShare.com Inc generated $2.04B in revenue (+3.2% YoY), $40.0M in net income, and $172.2M in free cash flow against $5.99B in total assets and $3.27B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.98 (-1.18%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 8.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510037
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk E
Cash (8)Whales (7)SEC (7)Macro (4)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.4% Base Target
$37 Bull$16 Base$12 Bear
📬 FREE EQPT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for EQPT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY EQPT SCORES 37/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+11/20 pts (30% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 55% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 8.4% FCF Margin ($172.2M FCF) & 60.7% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (51.1) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
29
Grade E$13.71+22.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
32
Grade E$16.85+6.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
34
Grade E$17.93-4.2% Next Q
Current
37
Grade D-$17.18-8.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (29) → D- (37)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a EQPT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While EQPT currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($17.27) and Max Pain ($18.04) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $37.27.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $EQPT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “EQPT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why EQPT Stock dropped -5.50% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

EquipmentShare.com Inc (EQPT) dropped -5.50% to $17.18, trading at 19% of its 52-week range ($13 – $35.5). Stretched risk/reward at 115x P/E (7% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 19% of its 52-week range ($13 – $35.5) with RSI-14 at 51.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $17.18 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 60.7% gross margin and $172.2M annual free cash flow.
Live EQPT Headlines & Catalysts
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring EQPT)

  • ✓Walkthrough of EQPT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
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EQPT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -6.63%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $18.18H $18.18L $17.18C $17.18VOL 3.81M
RES: $18.89SUP: $11.34SMA50: $17.27SMA200: $21.56
$28.25$24.12$19.98$15.85$11.72RES $18.89SUP $11.34$17.182026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

EQPT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EQPT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EQPT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for EQPT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (EQPT)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #764 of 1011 ⚔️ KFY vs EQPT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (EQPT vs. KFY, FTDR, ABM, MGRC)

Industry: Diversified Commercial Services (32 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, EquipmentShare.com Inc (EQPT) ranks #764 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #295 by equity capitalization ($4.35B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KFY leads on earnings valuation at 14.8x trailing P/E, while FTDR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 51.1% ROIC and 55.3% gross margin. FTDR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 86/100 (A) compared with EQPT at 37/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
EQPT ACTIVE
EquipmentShare.com Inc
D- 37/100 115.2x 60.7% 6.7% -5.50% $4.35B Benchmark Subject
KFY
Korn Ferry
B+ 78/100 14.8x — 20.2% +0.83% $4.18B /kfy-vs-eqpt →
FTDR
Frontdoor Inc.
A 86/100 23.6x 55.3% 51.1% +0.31% $6.04B /ftdr-vs-eqpt →
ABM
ABM Industries Incorporated
C 64/100 19.5x 12.3% 7.6% -0.83% $3.13B /abm-vs-eqpt →
MGRC
McGrath RentCorp
C+ 67/100 18.6x 48.2% 15.6% -1.10% $2.88B /mgrc-vs-eqpt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001693736

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), EquipmentShare.com Inc (EQPT) reported GAAP revenue of $2.04B (+3.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.98B , and +83.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $40.0M, operating cash flow of $264.0M, and free cash flow of $172.2M (-10.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, EQPT closed FY2025 with $5.99B in total assets against $3.27B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.22, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.04B $40.0M $264.0M $172.2M $5.99B $3.27B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.98B $3.0M $282.0M $193.0M $4.82B $2.53B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.11B $17.0M $279.0M $229.1M $2.53B $592.8M

3. EQPT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is EQPT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, EquipmentShare.com Inc (NASDAQ: EQPT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $17.18 (-5.50% 1D, market cap $4.35B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, EQPT ranks #764 in composite RQD confidence.

How does EQPT compare to KFY and FTDR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Diversified Commercial Services), EQPT carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 115.2x, gross margin of 60.7%, and ROIC of 6.7%. By comparison, KFY (Korn Ferry) holds a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 14.8x, ROIC 20.2%, cap $4.18B) and FTDR (Frontdoor Inc.) posts a A grade (86/100 RQD, P/E 23.6x, ROIC 51.1%, cap $6.04B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KFY leads on earnings multiple (14.8x) while FTDR leads on capital efficiency (51.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EQPT?

Per EQPT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001693736), EquipmentShare.com Inc generated $2.04B in revenue (+3.2% YoY), $40.0M in net income, and $172.2M in free cash flow against $5.99B in total assets and $3.27B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is EQPT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

EQPT last traded at $17.18 (-5.50% on volume of 3,811,388 shares), positioning the stock -0.52% below its 50-day simple moving average ($17.27) and -20.32% below its 200-day simple moving average ($21.56). Across its 52-week range of $13.00 to $35.50, EQPT sits at the 18.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($15.03 to $19.33).

EQPT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is EQPT stock moving today?

Why EQPT Stock dropped -5.50% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 115x P/E (7% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 37/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

EQPT — EquipmentShare.com Inc: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:21:21Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, EQPT scores 40 out of 100 and carries a letter grade of D-, with the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." Across the five pillars, the fundamental cash engine scores 8 of 20 (ROIC 6.7%; FCF yield 3.74%), indicating thin returns on invested capital relative to the cash the business generates. Whale 13F flow scores 9 of 20 for institutional accumulation and options positioning, a below-midpoint read on smart-money support. Insider conviction scores 11 of 20 on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow, the strongest of the five pillars but still below half. Macro regime fit scores 5 of 20 (Beta 1.12; sector sensitivity), signaling that the stock is expected to move more than the market and is exposed to sector conditions. Forensic balance sheet scores 7 of 20 (Altman Z 1.22; Piotroski F 7/9; Debt/Equity 6.19), which is the clearest warning in the rating given the heavy leverage shown in the financials.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the upside case rests on improving operating momentum and a valuation that the source data does not frame as cheap on earnings: the stock trades at a P/E (TTM) of 115.2 against EPS (TTM) of 0.16. The trade-off is that the rating highlights a fragile balance sheet, debt of $3268.0M against cash of $306.0M, and a net margin of 2%, leaving little cushion if flow or sector conditions deteriorate. This is an analytical read of the rating components, not personalized financial advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
18.18$4.61B115.2107.120.20.160.8%1.12$13 - $35.56.7%

Business

EquipmentShare.com Inc (EQPT) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and Diversified Commercial Services industry. Per the source profile, the company operates in the commercial services space with a market capitalization of $4.6B. Not available in source data: specific product lines, customer segments, and revenue monetization model.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$2040.0M$297.0M$40.0MN/A$172.2M$306.0M$3268.0M
FY 2024$1977.0M$218.0M$3.0MN/A$193.0M$407.0M$2528.0M
FY 2023$1110.0M$250.0M$17.0MN/A$229.1MN/A$592.8M

Profitability is thin: gross margin is 60.7%, operating margin 14.6%, and net margin 2%, with ROIC of 6.7%. The Altman Z-Score is 1.22 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9 per the Roarable RQD rating. Debt/Equity is 6.19, and reported debt rose from $592.8M (FY 2023) to $3268.0M (FY 2025) while cash declined from $407.0M to $306.0M over FY 2024–FY 2025, indicating a leveraged posture.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, headlines include a short-report dispute ("Short Report Fight Continues," YELLOW), a headquarters expansion groundbreaking (YELLOW), a 2026 forecast boost tied to rental network performance (Benzinga, YELLOW), a "raised outlook" pop (TradingView, GREEN, CATALYST), a revenue-composition piece (Moomoo, YELLOW), and a MarketBeat report of shares down 8.3% (YELLOW). Risk watch items are the short-report controversy and the 8.3% decline; the strongest positive catalyst is the raised outlook. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no supply chain is mapped (supply_chain: NONE) and no proprietary signals are listed.

Open Questions

  • What is the composition of the debt increase from $592.8M to $3268.0M, and what are its maturities and rates?
  • What were the outcomes and substance of the short-report dispute referenced in the news flow?
  • Why are FY 2024 and FY 2025 net income so low ($3.0M and $40.0M) against operating income of $218.0M and $297.0M?
  • What drives the 115.2 P/E multiple on EPS of 0.16, and how do the reported EPS values (N/A) reconcile?
  • Which institutional and insider holders stand behind the flow scores, given that holder data is unavailable?

EQPT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for EquipmentShare.com Inc (EQPT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to EQPT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

EQPT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $17.18?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON EQPT 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on EQPT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $16.00 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is EQPT (D- • RQD 40/100) a Buy at $18.18?

Welcome to the EQPT (EquipmentShare.com Inc) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 40/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Diversified Commercial Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (115.2x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $13.82 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $18.18

Pump the brakes on EQPT — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on EQPT, but look at what you are paying: 115.2x trailing P/E with 60.7% gross margins. Unless EquipmentShare.com Inc expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $22.18 (+22.0%)
Spot @ $18.18

EQPT cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on EQPT, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Diversified Commercial Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $18.18 (52-wk range $13.00 - $35.50), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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