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ESCO Technologies Inc. (ESE) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$241.05 +1.41% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $241.20

ESCO Technologies Inc. (ESE) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $7.37B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ESE Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ESE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, ESCO Technologies Inc. (NYSE: ESE) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $241.05 (+1.41% 1D, market cap $7.37B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, ESE ranks #43 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ESE compare to KT and TIMB in the Communication Services sector?
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Within the Communication Services sector (Telecommunications Equipment), ESE carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 25.4x, gross margin of 42.1%, and ROIC of 8.5%. By comparison, KT (KT Corporation) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $8.33B) and TIMB (TIM S.A. American) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $8.46B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ESE leads on earnings multiple (25.4x) while KT leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ESE?
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Per ESE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000866706), ESCO Technologies Inc. generated $1.10B in revenue (+19.2% YoY), $299.2M in net income, and $192.6M in free cash flow against $2.40B in total assets and $125.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $241.19 (+0.06%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 17.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510056
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C+
Cash (11)Whales (5)SEC (18)Macro (9)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.9% Base Target
$380 Bull$239 Base$186 Bear
📬 FREE ESE RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ESE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (56/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ESE SCORES 56/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (32% of score)

Altman Z-Score 7.03 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
64
Grade C+$257.45-3.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
61
Grade C$247.53-3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
59
Grade C$240.00+0.4% Next Q
Current
56
Grade D+$241.05-0.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (64) → D+ (56)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ESE Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, ESE faces multiple-compression risk if 25.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 39.6% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($259.60) or 200D SMA ($287.62) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($238.88) toward Bear Floor ($186.33).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ESE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ESE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 56%NO 44%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your ESE Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $241.05: 41.5 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $186.33
$7,730
$-2,270 (-22.7%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $238.88
$9,910
$-90 (-0.9%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $380.26
$15,775
+$5,775 (+57.8%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$24874%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$35769%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$21358%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ESE)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ESE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ESE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -26.43%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $244.9H $244.9L $237.7C $241.1VOL 234.0K
RES: $281.6SUP: $216.6SMA50: $259.6SMA200: $287.6
$371.7$332.0$292.2$252.5$212.7RES $281.6SUP $216.6$241.12026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ESE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ESE Butterfly Map → + Track ESE →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
19.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +19.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ESE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ESE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ESE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ESE)

Communication Services Rank #43 of 132 ⚔️ KT vs ESE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (ESE vs. KT, TIMB, VEON, LUMN)

Industry: Telecommunications Equipment (81 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ESCO Technologies Inc. (ESE) ranks #43 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #34 by equity capitalization ($7.37B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ESE leads on earnings valuation at 25.4x trailing P/E, while KT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.9% ROIC and — gross margin. VEON currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 62/100 (C) compared with ESE at 56/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ESE ACTIVE
ESCO Technologies Inc.
D+ 56/100 25.4x 42.1% 8.5% +1.41% $7.37B Benchmark Subject
KT
KT Corporation
D+ 53/100 32.8x — 9.9% +0.46% $8.33B /kt-vs-ese →
TIMB
TIM S.A. American
D+ 52/100 32.8x — 9.9% +0.28% $8.46B /timb-vs-ese →
VEON
VEON Ltd. ADS
C 62/100 — — — -3.73% $5.68B /veon-vs-ese →
LUMN
Lumen Technologies Inc.
D- 37/100 — 41.4% -13.4% -1.02% $5.03B /lumn-vs-ese →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0000866706 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), ESCO Technologies Inc. (ESE) reported GAAP revenue of $1.10B (+19.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $919.1M , and +28.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $299.2M, operating cash flow of $241.9M, and free cash flow of $192.6M (+123.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, ESE closed FY2025 with $2.40B in total assets against $125.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 7.03, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-30 $1.10B $299.2M $241.9M $192.6M $2.40B $125.0M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-30 $919.1M $101.9M $127.5M $86.2M $1.80B $92.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $855.8M $92.5M $76.9M $38.4M $4.18B $977.3M

3. ESE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ESE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, ESCO Technologies Inc. (NYSE: ESE) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $241.05 (+1.41% 1D, market cap $7.37B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, ESE ranks #43 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ESE compare to KT and TIMB in the Communication Services sector?

Within the Communication Services sector (Telecommunications Equipment), ESE carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 25.4x, gross margin of 42.1%, and ROIC of 8.5%. By comparison, KT (KT Corporation) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $8.33B) and TIMB (TIM S.A. American) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $8.46B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ESE leads on earnings multiple (25.4x) while KT leads on capital efficiency (9.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ESE?

Per ESE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000866706), ESCO Technologies Inc. generated $1.10B in revenue (+19.2% YoY), $299.2M in net income, and $192.6M in free cash flow against $2.40B in total assets and $125.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ESE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ESE last traded at $241.05 (+1.41% on volume of 228,932 shares), positioning the stock -7.15% below its 50-day simple moving average ($259.60) and -16.19% below its 200-day simple moving average ($287.62). Across its 52-week range of $193.68 to $362.15, ESE sits at the 28.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.1% ($226.35 to $255.75).

Direct Sub-Reports: ESE RQD Cockpit ESE 12M Forecast ESE Earnings & Move ESE Dividends & DRIP ESE Insiders & 13F ESE Whale Options ESE Profit Sankey ESE News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 56/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ESE — ESCO Technologies Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-09-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

ESCO Technologies Inc. (ESE) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 56/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $241.05 (+1.41% 1D, market capitalization $7.37B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (11/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 8.5%, gross margin of 42.1%, operating margin of 15.6%, and free cash flow yield of 2.54%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (18/20): Incorporates a 1.03x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 7.03, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.08x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

ESCO Technologies Inc. (ESE) operates in the Telecommunications Equipment industry (Communication Services sector) with an equity capitalization of $7.37B, gross margin of 42.1%, operating margin of 15.6%, and return on invested capital (ROIC) of 8.5%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-09-30), ESCO Technologies Inc. (ESE) reported $1.10B in annual revenue (up from $919.1M in FY2024, +19.2% YoY) and $299.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($855.8M revenue, $92.5M net income) through FY2025, ESE scaled operating cash flow to $241.9M and free cash flow to $192.6M, backed by $2.40B in total assets against $125.0M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 56/100): Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Free cash flow yield of 2.54% and institutional whale pillar of 5/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 11/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $193.68 – $362.15 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 25.4x trailing P/E and 35.9x EV/EBITDA against 15.6% operating margins and a 1.03x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream suppliers, downstream customers, and sector correlation metrics are — Second-order bottlenecks cannot be identified from the provided data.

  • Key Question #1: Can ESE sustain or expand its 15.6% operating margin and 8.5% ROIC against Telecommunications Equipment peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.10B and free cash flow of $192.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $125.0M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ESE's 21.3x forward P/E multiple to Communication Services capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.03x)?

ESE Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for ESCO Technologies Inc. (ESE) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ESE Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ESE Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $241.05?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ESE 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ESE:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER • Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $309.01 (+30.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet is strong (Altman Z 7.03, Piotroski F 8/9, Debt/Equity 0.08), with reported debt down from $977.3M to $125.0M an

Here is why I am bullish on ESE here at $237.70: Forensic balance sheet is strong (Altman Z 7.03, Piotroski F 8/9, Debt/Equity 0.08), with reported debt down from $977.3M to $125.0M and FCF up to $192.6M in FY 2025.. Compare ESE's 15.6% operating margin and 8.5% ROIC against the rest of Telecommunications Equipment. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $225.81 are getting bought.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@BreakoutHunter Agree on the RQD 56/100 quality, though with 1.03 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $237.70 and keeping dry powder in case we test $221.06.

FA FadeTheHype RQD DEBATE OPENER • Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $197.29 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $237.70

Weak institutional flow (5/20 whale score), modest cash yield (FCF yield 2.54%), and a 35.9 EV/EBITDA leave valuation dependent on grow

Careful chasing ESE at $237.70. Weak institutional flow (5/20 whale score), modest cash yield (FCF yield 2.54%), and a 35.9 EV/EBITDA leave valuation dependent on growth the RQD framework does not confirm.. Gross margin is 42.1%, but operating margin is 15.6%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $197.29 on multiple compression.

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