Why ESI Stock dropped -3.19% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$34.27 -3.19% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $34.01

Element Solutions Inc. (ESI) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $8.59B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ESI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Element Solutions Inc. (NYSE: ESI) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $34.27 (-3.19% 1D, market cap $8.59B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, ESI ranks #91 in composite RQD confidence.

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🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ESI compare to WLK and EMN in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), ESI carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 45.0x, gross margin of 42.0%, and ROIC of 8.8%. By comparison, WLK (Westlake Corporation) holds a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -11.2%, cap $8.44B) and EMN (Eastman Chemical Company) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 16.4x, ROIC 4.8%, cap $7.77B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EMN leads on earnings multiple (16.4x) while NEU leads on capital efficiency (16.6% ROIC).

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🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ESI?
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Per ESI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001590714), Element Solutions Inc. generated $2.55B in revenue (+3.8% YoY), $190.8M in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $5.10B in total assets and $1.09B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $34.01 (-0.76%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 6.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510052
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D
Cash (12)Whales (9)SEC (14)Macro (6)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.7% Base Target
$52 Bull$33 Base$26 Bear
📬 FREE ESI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ESI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (52/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ESI SCORES 52/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.88 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 6.1% FCF Margin ($155.4M FCF) & 42% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (50.3) create a -14 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
60
Grade C$37.20-4.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
57
Grade C$35.67-1.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
55
Grade C$35.03-2.2% Next Q
Current
52
Grade D+$34.27-1.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (60) → D+ (52)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ESI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ESI currently carries a cautious 52/100 (D+) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($35.22) and Max Pain ($35.98) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $51.71.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ESI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ESI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why ESI Stock dropped -3.19% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Element Solutions Inc. (ESI) dropped -3.19% to $34.27, trading at 43% of its 52-week range ($22.86 – $49.25). Stretched risk/reward at 45x P/E (9% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 43% of its 52-week range ($22.86 – $49.25) with RSI-14 at 50.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8.1% around $34.27 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 42% gross margin and $155.4M annual free cash flow.
Live ESI Headlines & Catalysts
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ESI)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ESI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
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ESI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -19.93%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $35.79H $35.79L $34.27C $34.27VOL 2.62M
RES: $37.65SUP: $28.62SMA50: $35.22SMA200: $36.97
$50.68$44.75$38.82$32.88$26.95RES $37.65SUP $28.62$34.272026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ESI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
33.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ESI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ESI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ESI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ESI)

Materials Rank #91 of 270 ⚔️ WLK vs ESI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (ESI vs. WLK, EMN, SOLS, NEU)

Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Element Solutions Inc. (ESI) ranks #91 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #49 by equity capitalization ($8.59B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EMN leads on earnings valuation at 16.4x trailing P/E, while NEU leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.6% ROIC and 31.5% gross margin. NEU currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with ESI at 52/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ESI ACTIVE
Element Solutions Inc.
D+ 52/100 45.0x 42.0% 8.8% -3.19% $8.59B Benchmark Subject
WLK
Westlake Corporation
E 27/100 — 7.3% -11.2% +3.44% $8.44B /wlk-vs-esi →
EMN
Eastman Chemical Company
D+ 58/100 16.4x 21.1% 4.8% -2.06% $7.77B /emn-vs-esi →
SOLS
Solstice Advanced Materials Inc.
D 47/100 41.9x 32.2% 8.0% -3.21% $9.94B /sols-vs-esi →
NEU
NewMarket Corp
B 73/100 17.6x 31.5% 16.6% -2.42% $7.39B /neu-vs-esi →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001590714

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Element Solutions Inc. (ESI) reported GAAP revenue of $2.55B (+3.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.46B , and +9.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $190.8M, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, ESI closed FY2025 with $5.10B in total assets against $1.09B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.88, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.55B $190.8M — — $5.10B $1.09B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.46B $244.2M — — $4.87B $1.11B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $2.33B $118.1M — — $4.72B $1.11B

3. ESI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ESI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Element Solutions Inc. (NYSE: ESI) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $34.27 (-3.19% 1D, market cap $8.59B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, ESI ranks #91 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ESI compare to WLK and EMN in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), ESI carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 45.0x, gross margin of 42.0%, and ROIC of 8.8%. By comparison, WLK (Westlake Corporation) holds a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -11.2%, cap $8.44B) and EMN (Eastman Chemical Company) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 16.4x, ROIC 4.8%, cap $7.77B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EMN leads on earnings multiple (16.4x) while NEU leads on capital efficiency (16.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ESI?

Per ESI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001590714), Element Solutions Inc. generated $2.55B in revenue (+3.8% YoY), $190.8M in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $5.10B in total assets and $1.09B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ESI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ESI last traded at $34.27 (-3.19% on volume of 5,082,606 shares), positioning the stock -2.70% below its 50-day simple moving average ($35.22) and -7.30% below its 200-day simple moving average ($36.97). Across its 52-week range of $22.86 to $49.25, ESI sits at the 43.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.1% ($31.49 to $37.05).

ESI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is ESI stock moving today?

Why ESI Stock dropped -3.19% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 45x P/E (9% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 52/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ESI — Element Solutions Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:17:25Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ESI scores 52 out of 100, grading D+ with a verdict label of "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." Its five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 (ROIC 8.8%; FCF yield 1.81%); Whale 13F Flow at 9/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 11/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 6/20 (Beta 0.91; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 14/20 (Altman Z 2.88; Piotroski F 7/9; Debt/Equity 0.38). The two weakest pillars, Macro Regime Fit and Whale 13F Flow, indicate that the rating's main concerns are sector sensitivity and limited institutional conviction rather than solvency. The balance-sheet pillar is the strongest. For a prospective investor, the rating suggests that upside depends on improving cash generation, since the 1.81% FCF yield sits against a trailing P/E of 45 and forward P/E of 41.9, implying that much of the expected earnings growth is already priced in. The rating is an analytical signal, not a recommendation.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$35.4$8.59B4541.922.70.790.91%0.91$22.86 - $49.258.8%

Business

Per the profile, Element Solutions Inc. is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Materials sector, Major Chemicals industry. Not available in source data for product lines, customer base, or revenue model detail. The source data reports gross margin of 42% and operating margin of 13.4%, with FY 2025 revenue of $2551.2M.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$2551.2M$342.2M$190.8MN/AN/A$626.5M$1085.4M
FY 2024$2456.9M$343.9M$244.2MN/AN/A$359.4M$1114.0M
FY 2023$2333.2M$173.6M$118.1MN/AN/AN/A$1105.3M

Per the SEC financials, revenue grew from $2333.2M in FY 2023 to $2551.2M in FY 2025, while net income declined from $244.2M in FY 2024 to $190.8M in FY 2025. Net margin is 7.5% and ROIC is 8.8% per market data. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.88 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.38. Cash rose to $626.5M in FY 2025 from $359.4M in FY 2024, while debt declined modestly to $1085.4M.

Open Questions

  • What were the Q3 2026 earnings results, given that the call was scheduled but its figures are not in the source data?
  • What drove the decline in net income from $244.2M in FY 2024 to $190.8M in FY 2025 despite revenue growth?
  • What are the FCF figures for any reported period, since FCF is listed as N/A across all filings?
  • Which institutional and insider holders are accumulating or reducing positions, given that holders data is absent?
  • What is the basis for the $45.50 consensus price target referenced in the news feed?

ESI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Element Solutions Inc. (ESI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ESI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ESI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $34.27?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ESI 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ESI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $38.23 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ESI (D+ • RQD 52/100) a Buy at $35.40?

Welcome to the ESI (Element Solutions Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 52/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Major Chemicals. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (45.0x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $29.03 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $35.40

Pump the brakes on ESI — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ESI, but look at what you are paying: 45.0x trailing P/E with 42.0% gross margins. Unless Element Solutions Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $44.60 (+26.0%)
Spot @ $35.40

ESI cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ESI, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Major Chemicals and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $35.40 (52-wk range $22.86 - $49.25), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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