Elbit Systems Ltd. (ESLT) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±5.6% Move

$779.68 -3.43% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $776.74

Elbit Systems Ltd. (ESLT) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 74/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (24% profit margin, 15% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $37.55B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ESLT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Elbit Systems Ltd. (NASDAQ: ESLT) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 74/100 at a spot price of $779.68 (-3.43% 1D, market cap $37.55B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, ESLT ranks #26 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ESLT compare to RKLB and FER in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), ESLT carries a Roarable B (74/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 70.3x, gross margin of 24.4%, and ROIC of 15.1%. By comparison, RKLB (Rocket Lab Corporation) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.1%, cap $37.10B) and FER (Ferrovial N.V.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $40.95B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TDG leads on earnings multiple (31.3x) while TDG leads on capital efficiency (63.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ESLT?
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Per ESLT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001027664), Elbit Systems Ltd. generated $7.94B in revenue (+16.3% YoY), $534.3M in net income, and $552.8M in free cash flow against $12.66B in total assets and $18.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (24% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 70x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $776.72 (-0.38%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 74/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.4% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510074
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk B+
Cash (17)Whales (14)SEC (18)Macro (14)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+7.2% Base Target
$1067 Bull$836 Base$639 Bear
📬 FREE ESLT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ESLT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (74/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ESLT SCORES 74/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 5.02 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 7% FCF Margin ($552.8M FCF) & 24.4% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.24% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 9 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
66
Grade B-$667.67+11.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
69
Grade B-$744.33+6.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
71
Grade B$790.00-1.3% Next Q
Current
74
Grade B$779.68+7.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (66) → B (74)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ESLT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 74/100 (B) score, ESLT faces multiple-compression risk if 70.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 70x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (+0.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 21.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($726.71) or 200D SMA ($786.34) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($835.82) toward Bear Floor ($639.34).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ESLT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ESLT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±5.6% Swing Band

±$43.66 Expected Swing
$736.02 (-5.6%)Spot $779.68$823.34 (+5.6%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

ESLT Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 74/100

Trailing EPS: $11.49 • YoY Revenue Growth: 16.3%

Model Bullish Setup (74/100)Model Risk Weight (26/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$7.94B$534.3M$552.8M24.4%
FY 20242024-12-31$6.83B$321.1M$319.6M24%
FY 20232023-12-31$5.97B$215.1M-$155.2M24.4%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating ESLT & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on ESLT
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ESLT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -9.11%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $779.3H $807.4L $779.3C $779.7VOL 111.0K
RES: $812.0SUP: $622.7SMA50: $726.7SMA200: $786.3
$937.3$851.2$765.1$678.9$592.8RES $812.0SUP $622.7$779.72026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ESLT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
46.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +16.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ESLT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ESLT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ESLT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ESLT)

Industrials Rank #26 of 485 ⚔️ RKLB vs ESLT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (ESLT vs. RKLB, FER, ARXS, TDG)

Industry: Military/Government/Technical (43 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Elbit Systems Ltd. (ESLT) ranks #26 by composite RQD confidence (74/100, grade B) and #43 by equity capitalization ($37.55B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TDG leads on earnings valuation at 31.3x trailing P/E, while TDG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 63.3% ROIC and 60.1% gross margin. ESLT currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 74/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ESLT ACTIVE
Elbit Systems Ltd.
B 74/100 70.3x 24.4% 15.1% -3.43% $37.55B Benchmark Subject
RKLB
Rocket Lab Corporation
D- 39/100 — 34.4% -6.1% -7.39% $37.10B /rklb-vs-eslt →
FER
Ferrovial N.V.
D+ 56/100 32.8x — 9.9% -2.86% $40.95B /fer-vs-eslt →
ARXS
Arxis Inc.
B 72/100 — 47.4% 4.0% -7.48% $23.66B /arxs-vs-eslt →
TDG
Transdigm Group Incorporated
C 63/100 31.3x 60.1% 63.3% -2.47% $65.00B /tdg-vs-eslt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001027664

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Elbit Systems Ltd. (ESLT) reported GAAP revenue of $7.94B (+16.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $6.83B , and +32.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $534.3M, operating cash flow of $778.4M, and free cash flow of $552.8M (+73.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, ESLT closed FY2025 with $12.66B in total assets against $18.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.02, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $7.94B $534.3M $778.4M $552.8M $12.66B $18.0M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $6.83B $321.1M $534.6M $319.6M $10.97B $27.4M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $5.97B $215.1M $113.7M -$155.2M $20.65B $4.83B

3. ESLT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ESLT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Elbit Systems Ltd. (NASDAQ: ESLT) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 74/100 at a spot price of $779.68 (-3.43% 1D, market cap $37.55B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, ESLT ranks #26 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ESLT compare to RKLB and FER in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), ESLT carries a Roarable B (74/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 70.3x, gross margin of 24.4%, and ROIC of 15.1%. By comparison, RKLB (Rocket Lab Corporation) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -6.1%, cap $37.10B) and FER (Ferrovial N.V.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $40.95B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TDG leads on earnings multiple (31.3x) while TDG leads on capital efficiency (63.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ESLT?

Per ESLT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001027664), Elbit Systems Ltd. generated $7.94B in revenue (+16.3% YoY), $534.3M in net income, and $552.8M in free cash flow against $12.66B in total assets and $18.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (24% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 70x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ESLT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ESLT last traded at $779.68 (-3.43% on volume of 91,684 shares), positioning the stock +7.29% above its 50-day simple moving average ($726.71) and -0.85% below its 200-day simple moving average ($786.34). Across its 52-week range of $453.00 to $1,016.06, ESLT sits at the 58.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 64.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.6% ($736.02 to $823.34).

ESLT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is ESLT's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Elbit Systems Ltd. (ESLT)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is ESLT stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±5.6% event move for ESLT, spanning a range between $736.02 and $823.34.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 74/100 (B) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ESLT — Elbit Systems Ltd.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:11:48Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ESLT scores 74 out of 100, a letter grade of B, with the verdict label "Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward." The five pillars break down as follows:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 17 / 20. Supported by ROIC of 15.1% and an FCF yield of 1.47%. The strong return on invested capital is the upside driver here; the low FCF yield signals that the cash generated is large relative to the company's size but is being priced richly by the market.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 14 / 20. Reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. Positive institutional participation is a supportive signal, though the source data does not provide the underlying 13F detail.
  • Insider Conviction: 11 / 20. Reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. This is the weakest pillar relative to the others, meaning insider-side conviction is less compelling than fundamentals or institutional flow.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 14 / 20. Beta of 0.94 indicates the stock has tracked broad market movement roughly in line with the market, with sector sensitivity as a factor. This suggests moderate rather than amplified exposure to market swings.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 18 / 20. Altman Z of 5.02, Piotroski F of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5 point to a sound balance sheet, the strongest pillar in the rating.

Investor implication: the rating's strength is concentrated in cash generation and balance-sheet quality. The main valuation tradeoff is visible in the market data: trailing P/E of 70.3 and forward P/E of 59.1 with EV/EBITDA of 42.8 imply that much of the operating strength is already reflected in the share price. A prospective investor would weigh the quality signals against this elevated multiple, and against a 1.47% FCF yield and 0.3% dividend yield that offer little current cash return. This is an analytical framing, not personalized advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$807.41$37.55B70.359.142.811.490.3%0.94$453 - $1016.0615.1%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$7938.6M$671.4M$534.3MN/A$552.8M$635.1M$18.0M
FY 2024$6827.9M$489.1M$321.1MN/A$319.6M$265.4M$27.4M
FY 2023$5974.7M$369.1M$215.1MN/A$-155.2MN/A$4832.9M

Per the market data, gross margin is 24.4%, operating margin 8.5%, and net margin 6.7%, with ROIC at 15.1%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 5.02 and the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.5. Reported debt declined from $4832.9M in FY 2023 to $18.0M in FY 2025 and cash rose to $635.1M, consistent with the forensic balance-sheet pillar score of 18/20. Per-share EPS for the reported periods is listed as N/A in the SEC financials.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Positive catalyst (GREEN): Coverage reports the company secured $200M in Asia-Pacific contracts (Stocktwits). This is the only item flagged as a catalyst in the feed.
  • Risk watch (RED): A coverage piece titled around a 28% pullback and valuation demands on execution (Seeking Alpha) is flagged as a risk item.
  • Scheduled event: Coverage notes the company has set a November 17 release date for Q3 2026 results (The Globe and Mail).
  • Market wire items (YELLOW): Several general stock-price, history, and performance pieces (Yahoo! Finance Canada, Yahoo Finance UK, Benzinga) with no specific fundamental content.
  • Butterfly graph: Sector Industrials, industry Military/Government/Technical, supply chain NONE, no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are the specific drivers of the $200M Asia-Pacific contract win, and what is its revenue timing?
  • What underlies the 28% pullback flagged in the risk-watch item, and how does it reconcile with the 52-week range of $453 to $1016.06?
  • What are the FY 2023 cash balance and per-share EPS figures, which are listed as N/A in the source data?
  • What is the composition of the institutional 13F and insider Form 4 activity behind the 14/20 and 11/20 pillar scores?
  • How does the Q3 2026 results release on November 17 bear on the FCF yield and the elevated forward P/E of 59.1?

ESLT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Elbit Systems Ltd. (ESLT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ESLT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ESLT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $779.68?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ESLT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ESLT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $952.74 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ESLT (B • RQD 74/100) a Buy at $807.41?

Welcome to the ESLT (Elbit Systems Ltd.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 74/100 (Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward) in Military/Government/Technical. Bulls point to capital efficiency (15.1% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (70.3x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $637.85 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $807.41

Pump the brakes on ESLT — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ESLT, but look at what you are paying: 70.3x trailing P/E with 24.4% gross margins. Unless Elbit Systems Ltd. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $920.45 (+14.0%)
Spot @ $807.41

ESLT cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ESLT, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Military/Government/Technical and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $807.41 (52-wk range $453.00 - $1016.06), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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