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Energy Services of America Corporation (ESOA) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$9.03 -3.94% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.95

Energy Services of America Corporation (ESOA) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $175.4M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ESOA Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ESOA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Energy Services of America Corporation (NASDAQ: ESOA) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $9.03 (-3.94% 1D, market cap $175.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 6/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, ESOA ranks #377 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ESOA compare to RNTZ and ITG in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Water Sewer Pipeline Comm & Power Line Construction), ESOA carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 9.4%, and ROIC of 3.9%. By comparison, RNTZ (Rantizo (Class A)) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -16.2%, cap $232.3M) and ITG (ITG Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $741.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PRIM leads on earnings multiple (14.8x) while PRIM leads on capital efficiency (20.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ESOA?
▼

Per ESOA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001357971), Energy Services of America Corporation generated $411.0M in revenue (+16.8% YoY), $0 in net income, and -$2.2M in free cash flow against $201.0M in total assets and $40.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.95 (-0.90%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510034
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E · Rk D
Cash (7)Whales (3)SEC (14)Macro (4)CEO (6)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.9% Base Target
$21 Bull$8 Base$6 Bear
📬 FREE ESOA RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ESOA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (34/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ESOA SCORES 34/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (41% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.13 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+7/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 9.4% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (39.5) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
42
Grade D$10.19-8.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
39
Grade E$9.35+0.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
37
Grade E$9.43-4.2% Next Q
Current
34
Grade E$9.03-8.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (42) → E (34)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ESOA Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ESOA currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($10.62) and Max Pain ($9.48) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $20.94.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ESOA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ESOA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 34%NO 66%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your ESOA Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $9.03: 1107.4 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $6.28
$6,955
$-3,045 (-30.5%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $8.05
$8,915
$-1,085 (-10.9%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $20.94
$23,189
+$13,189 (+131.9%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$874%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$2069%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$758%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ESOA)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ESOA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ESOA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -47.35%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $9.78H $9.78L $9.03C $9.03VOL 75.3K
RES: $10.05SUP: $8.54SMA50: $10.62SMA200: $13.70
$20.71$17.52$14.34$11.16$7.97RES $10.05SUP $8.54$9.032026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ESOA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ESOA Butterfly Map → + Track ESOA →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
20.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +16.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ESOA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ESOA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ESOA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ESOA)

Industrials Rank #377 of 486 ⚔️ RNTZ vs ESOA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (ESOA vs. RNTZ, ITG, PLPC, PRIM)

Industry: Water Sewer Pipeline Comm & Power Line Construction (8 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Energy Services of America Corporation (ESOA) ranks #377 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #356 by equity capitalization ($175.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PRIM leads on earnings valuation at 14.8x trailing P/E, while PRIM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.9% ROIC and 10.7% gross margin. PRIM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with ESOA at 34/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ESOA ACTIVE
Energy Services of America Corporation
E 34/100 — 9.4% 3.9% -3.94% $175.4M Benchmark Subject
RNTZ
Rantizo (Class A)
E 29/100 — 25.1% -16.2% -8.46% $232.3M /rntz-vs-esoa →
ITG
ITG Inc. (Class A)
D- 43/100 — — — +2.35% $741.2M /itg-vs-esoa →
PLPC
Preformed Line Products Company
D 50/100 44.3x 31.2% 8.6% -4.28% $1.42B /plpc-vs-esoa →
PRIM
Primoris Services Corporation
C+ 67/100 14.8x 10.7% 20.9% +1.40% $3.92B /prim-vs-esoa →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0001357971 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Energy Services of America Corporation (ESOA) reported GAAP revenue of $411.0M (+16.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $351.9M ) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $4.1M, and free cash flow of -$2.2M (-122.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, ESOA closed FY2025 with $201.0M in total assets against $40.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.13, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-30 $411.0M $0 $4.1M -$2.2M $201.0M $40.5M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-30 $351.9M $0 $18.7M $9.9M $192.1M $39.2M

3. ESOA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ESOA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Energy Services of America Corporation (NASDAQ: ESOA) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $9.03 (-3.94% 1D, market cap $175.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 6/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, ESOA ranks #377 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ESOA compare to RNTZ and ITG in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Water Sewer Pipeline Comm & Power Line Construction), ESOA carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 9.4%, and ROIC of 3.9%. By comparison, RNTZ (Rantizo (Class A)) holds a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -16.2%, cap $232.3M) and ITG (ITG Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $741.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PRIM leads on earnings multiple (14.8x) while PRIM leads on capital efficiency (20.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ESOA?

Per ESOA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001357971), Energy Services of America Corporation generated $411.0M in revenue (+16.8% YoY), $0 in net income, and -$2.2M in free cash flow against $201.0M in total assets and $40.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ESOA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ESOA last traded at $9.03 (-3.94% on volume of 105,384 shares), positioning the stock -14.97% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.62) and -34.09% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.70). Across its 52-week range of $7.84 to $19.94, ESOA sits at the 9.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.2% ($8.29 to $9.77).

Direct Sub-Reports: ESOA RQD Cockpit ESOA 12M Forecast ESOA Earnings & Move ESOA Dividends & DRIP ESOA Insiders & 13F ESOA Whale Options ESOA Profit Sankey ESOA News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 34/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

ESOA — Energy Services of America Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-09-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Energy Services of America Corporation (ESOA) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 34/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $9.03 (-3.94% 1D, market capitalization $175.4M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (7/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 3.9%, gross margin of 9.4%, operating margin of 1.0%, and free cash flow yield of -1.21%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (6/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (4/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (14/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.13, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.67x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Energy Services of America Corporation (ESOA) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Industrials sector, within the Water Sewer Pipeline Comm & Power Line Construction industry. It operates in this construction-related space. Revenue and margin data are provided in the financial sections below.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-09-30), Energy Services of America Corporation (ESOA) reported $411.0M in annual revenue (up from $351.9M in FY2024, +16.8% YoY) and $0 in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2024 ($351.9M revenue, $0 net income) through FY2025, ESOA scaled operating cash flow to $4.1M and free cash flow to -$2.2M, backed by $201.0M in total assets against $40.5M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 34/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -1.21% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $7.84 – $19.94 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation and 21.5x EV/EBITDA against 1.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream supplier and downstream customer dependencies: — Sector correlation data beyond the stated Industrials classification and beta of 1.

  • Key Question #1: Can ESOA sustain or expand its 1.0% operating margin and 3.9% ROIC against Water Sewer Pipeline Comm & Power Line Construction peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $411.0M and free cash flow of -$2.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $40.5M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is ESOA's equity valuation to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

ESOA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Energy Services of America Corporation (ESOA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ESOA Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ESOA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $9.03?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ESOA 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ESOA:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $11.19 (+19.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet scores 14/20 with Altman Z 3.13 and Debt/Equity 0.67, and a FAMCO acquisition has closed.

Don't sleep on ESOA's setup in Industrials. Forensic balance sheet scores 14/20 with Altman Z 3.13 and Debt/Equity 0.67, and a FAMCO acquisition has closed.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (34/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

@MeanReversion_88 Shorting a 3/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $9.40 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Industrials.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $7.43 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $9.40

Operating income fell from $19.8M to $4.2M and FCF turned to -$2.2M while the RQD score is 36 (D-).

Fading this rally in ESOA at $9.40. Operating income fell from $19.8M to $4.2M and FCF turned to -$2.2M while the RQD score is 36 (D-).. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $9.40 (52-wk range $7.84–$19.94), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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