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Stock Ratings / Technology / ESP / options
SHMD (46) VELO (26) ASYS (41) MPTI (56) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp. (ESP) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$53.20 -4.16% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $52.70

Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp. (ESP) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →
ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $168.7M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ESP Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ESP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp. (NYSE: ESP) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $53.20 (-4.16% 1D, market cap $168.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, ESP ranks #141 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ESP compare to SHMD and VELO in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), ESP carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.7x, gross margin of 28.9%, and ROIC of 18.1%. By comparison, SHMD (SCHMID Group N.V. (Class A)) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $186.5M) and VELO (Velo3D Inc.) posts a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $227.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ESP leads on earnings multiple (20.7x) while MPTI leads on capital efficiency (19.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ESP?
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Per ESP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0000033533), Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp. generated $44.0M in revenue (+13.5% YoY), $8.1M in net income, and $16.6M in free cash flow against $85.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (29% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $52.70 (-0.94%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 18/20 (A) • 37.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510067
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk C
Cash (18)Whales (7)SEC (15)Macro (10)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4% Base Target
$79 Bull$55 Base$43 Bear
📬 FREE ESP RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ESP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (67/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ESP SCORES 67/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+18/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 37.8% FCF Margin ($16.6M FCF) & 28.9% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
75
Grade B+$58.68-9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
72
Grade B$53.41-0.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
70
Grade B$53.04+0.3% Next Q
Current
67
Grade C+$53.20+1.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B+ (75) → C+ (67)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ESP Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, ESP faces multiple-compression risk if 20.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 26.4% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($60.34) or 200D SMA ($60.28) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($55.35) toward Bear Floor ($43.17).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ESP• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ESP Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 67%NO 33%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±7.3%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (ESP)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for ESP.

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FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating ESP & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on ESP
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
ESP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -22.65%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $55.32H $55.51L $53.20C $53.20VOL 20.0K
RES: $67.13SUP: $49.48SMA50: $60.34SMA200: $60.28
$76.57$69.10$61.62$54.15$46.67RES $67.13SUP $49.48$53.202026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ESP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ESP Butterfly Map → + Track ESP →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
14.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +13.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ESP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ESP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ESP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ESP)

Technology Rank #141 of 714 ⚔️ SHMD vs ESP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (ESP vs. SHMD, VELO, ASYS, MPTI)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp. (ESP) ranks #141 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #493 by equity capitalization ($168.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ESP leads on earnings valuation at 20.7x trailing P/E, while MPTI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.2% ROIC and — gross margin. ESP currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 67/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ESP ACTIVE
Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp.
C+ 67/100 20.7x 28.9% 18.1% -4.16% $168.7M Benchmark Subject
SHMD
SCHMID Group N.V. (Class A)
D 46/100 — — — -8.42% $186.5M /shmd-vs-esp →
VELO
Velo3D Inc.
E 26/100 — -16.1% -35.0% -7.21% $227.3M /velo-vs-esp →
ASYS
Amtech Systems Inc.
D- 41/100 — 34.0% -35.0% -6.80% $239.5M /asys-vs-esp →
MPTI
M-tron Industries Inc.
D+ 56/100 35.5x — 19.2% -4.10% $300.0M /mpti-vs-esp →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0000033533

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp. (ESP) reported GAAP revenue of $44.0M (+13.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $38.7M , and +23.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $8.1M, operating cash flow of $21.0M, and free cash flow of $16.6M (+206.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, ESP closed FY2025 with $85.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.23, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-06-30 $44.0M $8.1M $21.0M $16.6M $85.2M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-06-30 $38.7M $5.8M $10.6M $5.4M $60.2M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-06-30 $35.6M $3.7M $3.9M $3.9M — —

3. ESP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ESP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp. (NYSE: ESP) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $53.20 (-4.16% 1D, market cap $168.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, ESP ranks #141 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ESP compare to SHMD and VELO in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), ESP carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.7x, gross margin of 28.9%, and ROIC of 18.1%. By comparison, SHMD (SCHMID Group N.V. (Class A)) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $186.5M) and VELO (Velo3D Inc.) posts a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $227.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ESP leads on earnings multiple (20.7x) while MPTI leads on capital efficiency (19.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ESP?

Per ESP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0000033533), Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp. generated $44.0M in revenue (+13.5% YoY), $8.1M in net income, and $16.6M in free cash flow against $85.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (29% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ESP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ESP last traded at $53.20 (-4.16% on volume of 24,785 shares), positioning the stock -11.83% below its 50-day simple moving average ($60.34) and -11.75% below its 200-day simple moving average ($60.28). Across its 52-week range of $36.82 to $74.77, ESP sits at the 43.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.3% ($49.32 to $57.08).

ESP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is ESP's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for ESP.

Direct Sub-Reports: ESP RQD Cockpit ESP 12M Forecast ESP Earnings & Move ESP Dividends & DRIP ESP Insiders & 13F ESP Whale Options ESP Profit Sankey ESP News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 67/100 (C+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ESP — Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:42:11Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ESP scores 67 out of 100, a C+ grade with the verdict label "Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 18/20 (ROIC 18.1%; FCF yield 9.85%), the strongest contributor; Insider Conviction at 17/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Forensic Balance Sheet at 15/20 (Altman Z 5.23; Piotroski F 8/9; Debt/Equity 0.5); Macro Regime Fit at 10/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Whale 13F Flow at 7/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), the weakest pillar. For a prospective investor, the profile suggests strong cash generation and balance-sheet strength supported by insider activity, offset by weaker institutional-flow evidence and only neutral macro positioning. The verdict's "watch for breakout" framing implies the rating does not yet confirm a directional signal. Valuation tradeoffs are visible in the multiples: P/E (TTM) of 20.7 versus a Forward P/E of 17.4 implies expected earnings growth in the source's own terms, while the stock trades near the upper part of its 52-week range. These are analytical observations, not a recommendation.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
55.51$168.7M20.717.412.82.681.54%1.0$36.82 - $74.7718.1%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$44.0M$8.1M$8.1MN/A$16.6M$17.8MN/A
FY 2024$38.7M$6.5M$5.8MN/A$5.4M$8.0MN/A
FY 2023$35.6M$4.3M$3.7MN/A$3.9MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $35.6M (FY 2023) to $44.0M (FY 2025), and net income from $3.7M to $8.1M. Per the market data, gross margin is 28.9%, operating margin 18.5%, and net margin 18.5%, with ROIC at 18.1%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 5.23 and the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, with Debt/Equity of 0.5 — all consistent with a strong-looking balance sheet. The FY 2025 operating income ($8.1M) equals net income ($8.1M) in the source table.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Director insider sales (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): Multiple reports describe director Paul Corr selling stock, cited at $13,544 and $137,178 (the latter appearing in two reports).
  • Short interest decline (RED, RISK WATCH): A MarketBeat report headlined a 45.1% fall in short interest, flagged as a risk-watch item in the source.
  • Moving-average crossover (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): A MarketBeat report describes shares crossing below the 200-day moving average.
  • Volatility coverage (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE): A Stock Traders Daily piece references trading systems reacting to ESP volatility.
  • Proprietary signals: Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no proprietary signals are present.

Open Questions

  • What are Espey's products, end markets, and customer concentration, given that the source describes only sector and industry labels?
  • The financials show EPS as N/A and debt as N/A across all periods — what is the actual per-share earnings and debt load?
  • What drove the FY 2025 revenue step-up and the cash build from $8.0M to $17.8M?
  • Who are the institutional holders behind the 7/20 Whale 13F Flow pillar, and what is the composition of the director sales?
  • Does the Roarable "watch for breakout" verdict reference a specific trigger level, and what would confirm or invalidate it?

ESP Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp. (ESP) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ESP Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ESP Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $53.20?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ESP 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ESP:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $59.95 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ESP (C+ • RQD 67/100) a Buy at $55.51?

Welcome to the ESP (Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 67/100 (Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in Industrial Machinery/Components. Bulls point to capital efficiency (18.1% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $41.63 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $55.51

Pump the brakes on ESP — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ESP, but look at what you are paying: 20.7x trailing P/E with 28.9% gross margins. Unless Espey Mfg. & Electronics Corp. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $68.28 (+23.0%)
Spot @ $55.51

ESP cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ESP, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Industrial Machinery/Components and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $55.51 (52-wk range $36.82 - $74.77), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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