Why EXFY Stock dropped -3.29% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$2.35 -3.29% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.33

Expensify Inc. (Class A) (EXFY) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $214.3M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is EXFY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Expensify Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: EXFY) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $2.35 (-3.29% 1D, market cap $214.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, EXFY ranks #309 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does EXFY compare to SVCO and GRRR in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), EXFY carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 50.3%, and ROIC of -20.4%. By comparison, SVCO (Silvaco Group Inc.) holds a E grade (20/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $208.1M) and GRRR (Gorilla Technology Group Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $207.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, EXFY leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while XNET leads on capital efficiency (0.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EXFY?
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Per EXFY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001476840), Expensify Inc. (Class A) generated $142.1M in revenue (+2.1% YoY), -$21.4M in net income, and $20.1M in free cash flow against $186.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.33 (-0.78%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 14.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510053
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Cash (11)Whales (11)SEC (10)Macro (12)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.1% Base Target
$3 Bull$2 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE EXFY RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for EXFY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY EXFY SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 78% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 46.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 14.1% FCF Margin ($20.1M FCF) & 50.3% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
61
Grade C$2.44+4.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
58
Grade C$2.55-4.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
56
Grade C$2.44-3.7% Next Q
Current
53
Grade D+$2.35-0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (61) → D+ (53)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a EXFY Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While EXFY currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (9/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.39) and Max Pain ($2.47) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.95.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $EXFY• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “EXFY Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why EXFY Stock dropped -3.29% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Expensify Inc. (Class A) (EXFY) dropped -3.29% to $2.35, trading at 78% of its 52-week range ($0.69 – $2.81). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-20% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 78% of its 52-week range ($0.69 – $2.81) with RSI-14 at 46.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.6% around $2.35 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 50.3% gross margin and $20.1M annual free cash flow.
Live EXFY Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 21h ago
Expensify to Announce Q3 2026 Results

Yahoo Finance report covering Expensify Inc. (Class A) (EXFY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring EXFY)

  • ✓Walkthrough of EXFY's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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EXFY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +109.82%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $2.43H $2.43L $2.35C $2.35VOL 429.8K
RES: $2.63SUP: $2.25SMA50: $2.39SMA200: $1.61
$2.94$2.39$1.84$1.28$0.73RES $2.63SUP $2.25$2.352026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

EXFY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EXFY today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EXFY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for EXFY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (EXFY)

Technology Rank #309 of 714 ⚔️ SVCO vs EXFY Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (EXFY vs. SVCO, GRRR, KLTR, XNET)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Expensify Inc. (Class A) (EXFY) ranks #309 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #467 by equity capitalization ($214.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EXFY leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while XNET leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 0.4% ROIC and — gross margin. EXFY currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
EXFY ACTIVE
Expensify Inc. (Class A)
D+ 53/100 — 50.3% -20.4% -3.29% $214.3M Benchmark Subject
SVCO
Silvaco Group Inc.
E 20/100 — 78.3% -35.0% -8.77% $208.1M /svco-vs-exfy →
GRRR
Gorilla Technology Group Inc.
D 46/100 — — — -17.50% $207.9M /grrr-vs-exfy →
KLTR
Kaltura Inc.
D 44/100 — 70.6% -34.3% -3.33% $221.2M /kltr-vs-exfy →
XNET
Xunlei Limited
D- 39/100 — — 0.4% -2.47% $226.0M /xnet-vs-exfy →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001476840

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Expensify Inc. (Class A) (EXFY) reported GAAP revenue of $142.1M (+2.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $139.2M , and -5.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$21.4M, operating cash flow of $20.1M, and free cash flow of $20.1M (-15.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, EXFY closed FY2025 with $186.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.33, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $142.1M -$21.4M $20.1M $20.1M $186.0M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $139.2M -$10.1M $23.9M $23.9M $173.7M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $150.7M -$41.5M $1.6M $1.6M — —

3. EXFY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is EXFY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Expensify Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: EXFY) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $2.35 (-3.29% 1D, market cap $214.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, EXFY ranks #309 in composite RQD confidence.

How does EXFY compare to SVCO and GRRR in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), EXFY carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 50.3%, and ROIC of -20.4%. By comparison, SVCO (Silvaco Group Inc.) holds a E grade (20/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $208.1M) and GRRR (Gorilla Technology Group Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $207.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, EXFY leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while XNET leads on capital efficiency (0.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EXFY?

Per EXFY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001476840), Expensify Inc. (Class A) generated $142.1M in revenue (+2.1% YoY), -$21.4M in net income, and $20.1M in free cash flow against $186.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is EXFY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

EXFY last traded at $2.35 (-3.29% on volume of 429,838 shares), positioning the stock -1.67% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.39) and +45.96% above its 200-day simple moving average ($1.61). Across its 52-week range of $0.69 to $2.81, EXFY sits at the 78.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.6% ($2.12 to $2.58).

EXFY Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is EXFY stock moving today?

Why EXFY Stock dropped -3.29% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-20% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 53/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

EXFY — Expensify Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:40:40Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, EXFY scores 53 out of 100, equating to a letter grade of D+ and the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The fundamental cash engine pillar scores 11 out of 20, reflecting a ROIC of -20.4% alongside an FCF yield of 9.06%; the positive FCF yield is the main offset to negative returns on invested capital. Whale/13F flow scores 11 out of 20, reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning, though no holder detail is supplied in the source data. Insider conviction scores 9 out of 20, reflecting SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow, the weakest pillar on the scorecard. Macro regime fit scores 12 out of 20, with a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity as the stated inputs. Forensic balance sheet scores 10 out of 20, reflecting an Altman Z-Score of 2.33, a Piotroski F-Score of 5 out of 9, and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.5.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the pillar profile points to weak operating economics offset partially by cash generation and a moderate balance sheet. Upside drivers would need to come from a durable improvement in returns on capital and stronger insider or institutional conviction, neither of which the source data demonstrates. Valuation tradeoffs are difficult to assess because P/E, forward P/E, EV/EBITDA, and EPS are not available in source data. The rating is an analytical summary of the supplied data and is not personalized financial advice.

Business

Per the profile, Expensify Inc. (Class A) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector and Computer Software: Prepackaged Software industry. Its market capitalization is $0.2B per the profile. Per the SEC financials, the company reported revenue of $142.1M for FY 2025. Customer segments and detailed revenue-generation mechanics are not available in source data.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$142.1M$-18.0M$-21.4MN/A$20.1M$63.1MN/A
FY 2024$139.2M$-0.8M$-10.1MN/A$23.9M$48.8MN/A
FY 2023$150.7M$-33.1M$-41.5MN/A$1.6MN/AN/A

Per the market data, gross margin is 50.3%, operating margin is -12.7%, and net margin is -15.1%, with ROIC at -20.4%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.33 and the Piotroski F-Score is 5 out of 9. Debt-to-equity is 0.5 per the RQD forensic inputs. Reported operating and net losses persisted across all three periods shown, while FCF was positive in each reported period.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, all five items are flagged YELLOW with the impact label MARKET WIRE. Items reference an upcoming Q3 2026 results announcement, a native integration with the Campfire ERP platform, and general market-positioning coverage from Stocktwits, TradingView, Yahoo Finance, Investing.com UK, and Simply Wall St. The Q3 2026 results announcement is a dated catalyst to monitor. The feed does not provide the content of the results or the terms of the integration. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no proprietary signals or supply-chain links are recorded.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply chain status is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals recorded. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations beyond the stated sector and industry, and second-order bottlenecks are not available in source data.

Analyst View & Smart Money Ownership

Analyst consensus, price targets, and holder data are not available in source data.

Open Questions

  • What drove the operating and net losses reported in FY 2025 and FY 2024, and what is management's trajectory for operating margin?
  • What are the EPS, debt, and cash figures for the periods where the source data shows N/A or blank values?
  • What is the content and outcome of the upcoming Q3 2026 results announcement?
  • What is the composition of the ownership base and any recent insider or institutional transactions?
  • How does the Campfire integration affect revenue or customer retention, if at all?

EXFY Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Expensify Inc. (Class A) (EXFY) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to EXFY Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

EXFY Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.35?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON EXFY 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on EXFY:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $2.62 (+7.8%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is EXFY (D+ • RQD 53/100) a Buy at $2.43?

Welcome to the EXFY (Expensify Inc. (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 53/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.92 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $2.43

Pump the brakes on EXFY — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on EXFY, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 50.3% gross margins. Unless Expensify Inc. (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $2.77 (+14.0%)
Spot @ $2.43

EXFY cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on EXFY, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $2.43 (52-wk range $0.69 - $2.81), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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