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Stock Ratings / Financials / FBRT / earnings
NXRT (41) FVR (45) BRSP (35) ILPT (49) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Franklin BSP Realty Trust Inc. (FBRT) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.8% Move

$6.19 +1.48% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.19

Franklin BSP Realty Trust Inc. (FBRT) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $461.6M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on FBRT Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FBRT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Franklin BSP Realty Trust Inc. (NYSE: FBRT) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $6.19 (+1.48% 1D, market cap $461.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, FBRT ranks #674 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FBRT compare to NXRT and FVR in the Financials sector?
▼

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), FBRT carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 5.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.8%. By comparison, NXRT (NexPoint Residential Trust Inc.) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 7.8%, cap $460.9M) and FVR (FrontView REIT Inc.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.2%, cap $459.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FBRT leads on earnings multiple (5.5x) while NXRT leads on capital efficiency (7.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FBRT?
▼

Per FBRT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001562528), Franklin BSP Realty Trust Inc. generated $29.6M in revenue (+29.7% YoY), $84.1M in net income, and $291.9M in free cash flow against $6.06B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.19 (+0.08%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 985.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510049
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D · Rk D+
Cash (13)Whales (3)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4% Base Target
$11 Bull$6 Base$5 Bear
📬 FREE FBRT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FBRT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (49/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FBRT SCORES 49/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 985.2% FCF Margin ($291.9M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
41
Grade D$6.02+0% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
44
Grade D$6.02+5.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
46
Grade D$6.34-2.4% Next Q
Current
49
Grade D$6.19-5.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (41) → D (49)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FBRT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While FBRT currently carries a cautious 49/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.98) and Max Pain ($6.50) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $11.36.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FBRT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FBRT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 49%NO 51%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~55 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.8% Swing Band

±$0.42 Expected Swing
$5.77 (-6.8%)Spot $6.19$6.61 (+6.8%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

FBRT Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 49/100

Trailing EPS: $1.11 • YoY Revenue Growth: 29.7%

Model Bullish Setup (49/100)Model Risk Weight (51/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$29.6M$84.1M$291.9M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$22.8M$92.4M$57.2M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$17.0M$144.5M$197.4M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FBRT)

  • ✓Walkthrough of FBRT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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FBRT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -32.13%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-04O $6.01H $6.19L $6.01C $6.19VOL 887.0K
RES: $8.43SUP: $5.60SMA50: $6.98SMA200: $8.29
$10.43$9.20$7.97$6.75$5.52RES $8.43SUP $5.60$6.192026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FBRT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 FBRT Butterfly Map → + Track FBRT →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-12.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +29.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FBRT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FBRT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FBRT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FBRT)

Financials Rank #674 of 1097 ⚔️ NXRT vs FBRT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (FBRT vs. NXRT, FVR, BRSP, ILPT)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Franklin BSP Realty Trust Inc. (FBRT) ranks #674 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #719 by equity capitalization ($461.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FBRT leads on earnings valuation at 5.5x trailing P/E, while NXRT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.8% ROIC and — gross margin. FBRT currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 49/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FBRT ACTIVE
Franklin BSP Realty Trust Inc.
D 49/100 5.5x — 5.8% +1.48% $461.6M Benchmark Subject
NXRT
NexPoint Residential Trust Inc.
D- 41/100 — — 7.8% -8.65% $460.9M /nxrt-vs-fbrt →
FVR
FrontView REIT Inc.
D 45/100 — — -1.2% -0.11% $459.8M /fvr-vs-fbrt →
BRSP
BrightSpire Capital Inc. (Class A)
D- 35/100 — — -3.3% -2.52% $445.1M /brsp-vs-fbrt →
ILPT
Industrial Logistics Properties Trust of
D 49/100 — — -13.5% -2.42% $442.1M /ilpt-vs-fbrt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001562528 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Franklin BSP Realty Trust Inc. (FBRT) reported GAAP revenue of $29.6M (+29.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $22.8M , and +74.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $84.1M, operating cash flow of $291.9M, and free cash flow of $291.9M (+410.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, FBRT closed FY2025 with $6.06B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $29.6M $84.1M $291.9M $291.9M $6.06B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $22.8M $92.4M $57.2M $57.2M $6.00B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $17.0M $144.5M $197.4M $197.4M — —

3. FBRT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FBRT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Franklin BSP Realty Trust Inc. (NYSE: FBRT) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $6.19 (+1.48% 1D, market cap $461.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, FBRT ranks #674 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FBRT compare to NXRT and FVR in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), FBRT carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 5.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.8%. By comparison, NXRT (NexPoint Residential Trust Inc.) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 7.8%, cap $460.9M) and FVR (FrontView REIT Inc.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.2%, cap $459.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FBRT leads on earnings multiple (5.5x) while NXRT leads on capital efficiency (7.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FBRT?

Per FBRT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001562528), Franklin BSP Realty Trust Inc. generated $29.6M in revenue (+29.7% YoY), $84.1M in net income, and $291.9M in free cash flow against $6.06B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FBRT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FBRT last traded at $6.19 (+1.48% on volume of 1,290,406 shares), positioning the stock -11.32% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.98) and -25.33% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.29). Across its 52-week range of $5.90 to $10.82, FBRT sits at the 5.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.8% ($5.77 to $6.61).

Direct Sub-Reports: FBRT RQD Cockpit FBRT 12M Forecast FBRT Earnings & Move FBRT Dividends & DRIP FBRT Insiders & 13F FBRT Whale Options FBRT Profit Sankey FBRT News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 49/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

FBRT — Franklin BSP Realty Trust Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Franklin BSP Realty Trust Inc. (FBRT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 49/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $6.19 (+1.48% 1D, market capitalization $461.6M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 5.8%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Franklin BSP Realty Trust Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under the Financials sector and the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry,. The company's market capitalization is $466.1M per the Market Data section.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Franklin BSP Realty Trust Inc. (FBRT) reported $29.6M in annual revenue (up from $22.8M in FY2024, +29.7% YoY) and $84.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($17.0M revenue, $144.5M net income) through FY2025, FBRT scaled operating cash flow to $291.9M and free cash flow to $291.9M, backed by $6.06B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 49/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $5.90 – $10.82 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 5.5x trailing P/E against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The one sector-level signal in the source data is the news item grouping FBRT with other real estate finance names in a joint decline, which points to co-movement within the group but is not quantified.

  • Key Question #1: Can FBRT sustain or expand its — operating margin and 5.8% ROIC against Real Estate Investment Trusts peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $29.6M and free cash flow of $291.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is FBRT's 4.6x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

FBRT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Franklin BSP Realty Trust Inc. (FBRT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FBRT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FBRT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $6.19?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FBRT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FBRT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $7.81 (+30.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Low trailing and forward P/E of 5.5 and 4.6 combined with a forensic balance sheet score of 13 of 20 and Debt/Equity of 0.5.

Here is why I am bullish on FBRT here at $6.01: Low trailing and forward P/E of 5.5 and 4.6 combined with a forensic balance sheet score of 13 of 20 and Debt/Equity of 0.5.. Compare FBRT's 0.0% operating margin and 5.8% ROIC against the rest of Real Estate Investment Trusts. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $5.71 are getting bought.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@QuantViper Agree on the RQD 49/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $6.01 and keeping dry powder in case we test $5.59.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $4.81 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $6.01

Whale 13F Flow scores just 4 of 20 with ROIC at 5.8%, FCF yield at 0%, and recent RED risk-watch items citing credit concerns.

Whale 13F Flow scores just 4 of 20 with ROIC at 5.8%, FCF yield at 0%, and recent RED risk-watch items citing credit concerns.. Look at the math on FBRT: paying 5.5x trailing P/E for 5.8% ROIC and 0.0% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Real Estate Investment Trusts demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $5.29 before getting long.

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