Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.4% Move

$62.47 -5.55% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $61.73

Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $94.98B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on FCX Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FCX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-02, Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (NYSE: FCX) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $62.47 (-5.55% 1D, market cap $94.98B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, FCX ranks #21 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FCX compare to RIO and SCCO in the Materials sector?
▼

Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), FCX carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 43.1x, gross margin of 26.1%, and ROIC of 21.5%. By comparison, RIO (Rio Tinto Plc) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $104.57B) and SCCO (Southern Copper Corporation) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 37.3x, ROIC 41.0%, cap $161.89B). Among the 5-stock peer group, RIO leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while SCCO leads on capital efficiency (41.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FCX?
▼

Per FCX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000831259), Freeport-McMoRan Inc. generated $25.19B in revenue (+0.1% YoY), $2.20B in net income, and $4.48B in free cash flow against $58.17B in total assets and $8.91B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 43x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $61.73 (-1.19%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 17.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510065
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B-
Cash (14)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (12)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.2% Base Target
$84 Bull$64 Base$50 Bear
📬 FREE FCX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FCX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FCX SCORES 65/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.08 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 17.8% FCF Margin ($4.48B FCF) & 26.1% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-10 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
73
Grade B$72.42-4.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
70
Grade B$68.87-4.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
68
Grade B-$65.95-5.3% Next Q
Current
65
Grade C$62.47+1.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (73) → C (65)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the FCX Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 65/100 (C) score, FCX faces multiple-compression risk if 43.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 43x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 23.6% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($71.14) or 200D SMA ($65.28) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($64.44) toward Bear Floor ($50.26).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FCX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FCX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.4% Swing Band

±$4.00 Expected Swing
$58.47 (-6.4%)Spot $62.47$66.47 (+6.4%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

FCX Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 65/100

Trailing EPS: $1.53 • YoY Revenue Growth: 0.1%

Model Bullish Setup (65/100)Model Risk Weight (35/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$25.19B$2.20B$4.48B26.1%
FY 20242024-12-31$25.17B$1.89B$6.03B29.3%
FY 20232023-12-31$22.70B$1.85B$4.26B26.1%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating FCX & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on FCX
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
FCX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +12.42%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $66.60H $66.60L $62.47C $62.47VOL 11.20M
RES: $86.87SUP: $61.28SMA50: $71.14SMA200: $65.28
$82.30$73.76$65.21$56.66$48.12RES $86.87SUP $61.28$62.472026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FCX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
32.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FCX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FCX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FCX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FCX)

Materials Rank #21 of 270 ⚔️ RIO vs FCX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (FCX vs. RIO, SCCO, VALE, HBM)

Industry: Metal Mining (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX) ranks #21 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #5 by equity capitalization ($94.98B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RIO leads on earnings valuation at 32.8x trailing P/E, while SCCO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 41.0% ROIC and 60.1% gross margin. SCCO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with FCX at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FCX ACTIVE
Freeport-McMoRan Inc.
C 65/100 43.1x 26.1% 21.5% -5.55% $94.98B Benchmark Subject
RIO
Rio Tinto Plc
D+ 53/100 32.8x — 9.9% -1.63% $104.57B /rio-vs-fcx →
SCCO
Southern Copper Corporation
C+ 69/100 37.3x 60.1% 41.0% -7.42% $161.89B /scco-vs-fcx →
VALE
VALE S.A. American
D+ 52/100 32.8x — 9.9% +1.88% $47.73B /vale-vs-fcx →
HBM
Hudbay Minerals Inc. (Canada)
D+ 53/100 32.8x — 9.9% -7.11% $10.38B /hbm-vs-fcx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000831259

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX) reported GAAP revenue of $25.19B (+0.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $25.17B , and +10.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $2.20B, operating cash flow of $5.61B, and free cash flow of $4.48B (-25.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, FCX closed FY2025 with $58.17B in total assets against $8.91B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.08, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $25.19B $2.20B $5.61B $4.48B $58.17B $8.91B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $25.17B $1.89B $7.16B $6.03B $54.85B $8.91B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $22.70B $1.85B $5.28B $4.26B $52.24B $12.22B

3. FCX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FCX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (NYSE: FCX) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $62.47 (-5.55% 1D, market cap $94.98B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, FCX ranks #21 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FCX compare to RIO and SCCO in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), FCX carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 43.1x, gross margin of 26.1%, and ROIC of 21.5%. By comparison, RIO (Rio Tinto Plc) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $104.57B) and SCCO (Southern Copper Corporation) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 37.3x, ROIC 41.0%, cap $161.89B). Among the 5-stock peer group, RIO leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while SCCO leads on capital efficiency (41.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FCX?

Per FCX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000831259), Freeport-McMoRan Inc. generated $25.19B in revenue (+0.1% YoY), $2.20B in net income, and $4.48B in free cash flow against $58.17B in total assets and $8.91B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 43x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FCX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FCX last traded at $62.47 (-5.55% on volume of 17,937,398 shares), positioning the stock -12.19% below its 50-day simple moving average ($71.14) and -4.30% below its 200-day simple moving average ($65.28). Across its 52-week range of $38.54 to $80.24, FCX sits at the 57.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.4% ($58.47 to $66.47).

FCX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is FCX's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is FCX stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±6.4% event move for FCX, spanning a range between $58.47 and $66.47.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 65/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

FCX — Freeport-McMoRan Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:09:54Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, FCX scores 65 out of 100 (letter grade C, verdict "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward"). The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 14 of 20 (ROIC 21.5%; FCF yield 4.71%); Whale 13F Flow at 10 of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 13 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 12 of 20 (Beta 0.95; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 16 of 20 (Altman Z 3.08; Piotroski F 7/9; Debt/Equity 0.47).

For a prospective investor, the strongest pillar is the forensic balance sheet, which indicates financial stability relative to the other pillars. The fundamental cash engine is solid rather than exceptional, with the ROIC and FCF yield figures supporting cash generation at the current price. The weakest pillar is whale 13F flow at 10 of 20, meaning institutional accumulation signals are comparatively muted. Insider conviction and macro regime fit sit in the middle of the range. The overall verdict implies that upside drivers and valuation tradeoffs are roughly balanced at the current price: the company's cash and balance-sheet metrics offset valuation figures that are elevated on earnings-based measures (P/E TTM 43.1; Forward P/E 40.1).

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
66.14$94.98B43.140.113.41.530.91%0.95$38.54 - $80.2421.5%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$25186.0M$6518.0M$2204.0MN/A$4476.6M$3824.0M$8913.0M
FY 2024$25169.0M$6864.0M$1889.0MN/A$6027.4M$3923.0M$8907.0M
FY 2023$22703.0M$6225.0M$1848.0MN/A$4257.4MN/A$12223.7M

Per the SEC financials, revenue was broadly flat between FY 2024 and FY 2025 while net income rose from $1889.0M to $2204.0M. Per the market data, the gross margin is 26.1%, the operating margin 25.9%, and the net margin 8.8%, with ROIC at 21.5%. The Altman Z-Score is 3.08 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, both per the Forensic Balance Sheet pillar of the RQD rating. Debt/Equity is 0.47 per the same source, and reported debt declined from $12223.7M in FY 2023 to $8913.0M in FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

The news wire contains six items, all relating to FCX:

  • Catalyst (GREEN): a Yahoo Finance report on the stock's market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts, noting it sank while the market gained.
  • Market wire (YELLOW): a Motley Fool report on whether buying the stock today could set an investor up for life.
  • Market wire (YELLOW): a second Yahoo Finance report on the stock's market action and positioning.
  • Market wire (YELLOW): a Yahoo Finance headline flagging copper prices as a potential key test for the stock.
  • Market wire (YELLOW): a Yahoo Finance headline noting Q3 earnings valuation questions.
  • Catalyst (GREEN): a Yahoo Finance headline asking whether FCX will beat estimates again in its next earnings report.

Risk watch items: the copper price sensitivity noted in the news wire, and valuation questions around the upcoming earnings report. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph contains no proprietary signals and no links, so no supply-chain signal is available beyond the news wire.

Open Questions

  • What is the company's revenue breakdown by product, commodity, and geography, and how is it exposed to copper price movements?
  • Why are EPS figures reported as N/A for all three periods when net income is available, and what share count underlies the TTM EPS of 1.53?
  • What is the cash balance for FY 2023, which is listed as N/A in the source data?
  • What specific institutional 13F and insider Form 4 transactions underlie the whale and insider pillar scores?
  • What is the forward earnings outlook behind the Forward P/E of 40.1 and the Q3 earnings valuation questions mentioned in the news wire?

FCX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FCX Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FCX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $62.47?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FCX 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FCX:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $71.43 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is FCX (C • RQD 65/100) a Buy at $66.14?

Welcome to the FCX (Freeport-McMoRan Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 65/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Metal Mining. Bulls point to capital efficiency (21.5% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (43.1x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $51.59 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $66.14

Pump the brakes on FCX — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on FCX, but look at what you are paying: 43.1x trailing P/E with 26.1% gross margins. Unless Freeport-McMoRan Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $79.37 (+20.0%)
Spot @ $66.14

FCX cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on FCX, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Metal Mining and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $66.14 (52-wk range $38.54 - $80.24), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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