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FGI Industries Ltd. (FGI) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$7.61 -3.86% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.54

FGI Industries Ltd. (FGI) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 39/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $15.3M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FGI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, FGI Industries Ltd. (NASDAQ: FGI) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $7.61 (-3.86% 1D, market cap $15.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, FGI ranks #347 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FGI compare to NTIC and AMRO in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Specialties), FGI carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 27.0%, and ROIC of -12.3%. By comparison, NTIC (Northern Technologies International Corporation) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 3.1%, cap $71.5M) and AMRO (Amaero Inc.) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $132.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OFLX leads on earnings multiple (18.0x) while OFLX leads on capital efficiency (43.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FGI?
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Per FGI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001864943), FGI Industries Ltd. generated $130.5M in revenue (-1.0% YoY), -$6.1M in net income, and -$212.5K in free cash flow against $69.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.54 (-0.88%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510039
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Cash (7)Whales (9)SEC (10)Macro (10)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.5% Base Target
$21 Bull$7 Base$5 Bear
📬 FREE FGI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FGI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (39/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FGI SCORES 39/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.02 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 27% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 53.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
31
Grade E$7.19+0.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
34
Grade E$7.20+1.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
36
Grade E$7.30+4.2% Next Q
Current
39
Grade D-$7.61-7.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (31) → D- (39)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FGI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While FGI currently carries a cautious 39/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($7.81) and Max Pain ($7.99) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $20.93.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FGI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FGI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 39%NO 61%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (FGI)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for FGI.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FGI)

  • ✓Walkthrough of FGI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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FGI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +3.40%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $8.39H $8.39L $7.61C $7.61VOL 11.9K
RES: $12.05SUP: $6.28SMA50: $7.81SMA200: $6.04
$21.08$16.33$11.58$6.83$2.08RES $12.05SUP $6.28$7.612026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FGI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 FGI Butterfly Map → + Track FGI →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FGI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FGI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FGI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FGI)

Industrials Rank #347 of 486 ⚔️ NTIC vs FGI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (FGI vs. NTIC, AMRO, BOOM, OFLX)

Industry: Industrial Specialties (55 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, FGI Industries Ltd. (FGI) ranks #347 by composite RQD confidence (39/100, grade D-) and #440 by equity capitalization ($15.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OFLX leads on earnings valuation at 18.0x trailing P/E, while OFLX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 43.2% ROIC and 60.0% gross margin. OFLX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with FGI at 39/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FGI ACTIVE
FGI Industries Ltd.
D- 39/100 — 27.0% -12.3% -3.86% $15.3M Benchmark Subject
NTIC
Northern Technologies International Corporation
D 45/100 — 37.6% 3.1% -0.53% $71.5M /ntic-vs-fgi →
AMRO
Amaero Inc.
D 49/100 — — — +2.88% $132.5M /amro-vs-fgi →
BOOM
DMC Global Inc.
D 51/100 — 22.2% 0.0% -1.18% $192.1M /boom-vs-fgi →
OFLX
Omega Flex Inc.
C+ 67/100 18.0x 60.0% 43.2% +3.53% $265.9M /oflx-vs-fgi →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001864943 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), FGI Industries Ltd. (FGI) reported GAAP revenue of $130.5M (-1.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $131.8M , and +11.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$6.1M, operating cash flow of $673.2K, and free cash flow of -$212.5K (+97.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, FGI closed FY2025 with $69.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.02, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $130.5M -$6.1M $673.2K -$212.5K $69.5M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $131.8M -$1.2M -$7.4M -$9.6M $75.5M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $117.2M $733.6K $2.2M $2.2M — —

3. FGI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FGI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, FGI Industries Ltd. (NASDAQ: FGI) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $7.61 (-3.86% 1D, market cap $15.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, FGI ranks #347 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FGI compare to NTIC and AMRO in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Specialties), FGI carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 27.0%, and ROIC of -12.3%. By comparison, NTIC (Northern Technologies International Corporation) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 3.1%, cap $71.5M) and AMRO (Amaero Inc.) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $132.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, OFLX leads on earnings multiple (18.0x) while OFLX leads on capital efficiency (43.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FGI?

Per FGI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001864943), FGI Industries Ltd. generated $130.5M in revenue (-1.0% YoY), -$6.1M in net income, and -$212.5K in free cash flow against $69.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FGI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FGI last traded at $7.61 (-3.86% on volume of 9,724 shares), positioning the stock -2.56% below its 50-day simple moving average ($7.81) and +25.99% above its 200-day simple moving average ($6.04). Across its 52-week range of $3.14 to $19.93, FGI sits at the 26.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($6.66 to $8.56).

Direct Sub-Reports: FGI RQD Cockpit FGI 12M Forecast FGI Earnings & Move FGI Dividends & DRIP FGI Insiders & 13F FGI Whale Options FGI Profit Sankey FGI News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 39/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

FGI — FGI Industries Ltd.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

FGI Industries Ltd. (FGI) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 39/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $7.61 (-3.86% 1D, market capitalization $15.3M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (7/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -12.3%, gross margin of 27.0%, operating margin of -1.8%, and free cash flow yield of -1.31%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (9/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (10/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.02, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

FGI Industries Ltd. (FGI) is a NASDAQ-listed operating company in the Industrial Specialties industry (Industrials sector) with an equity market capitalization of $15.3M. The business operates with a gross margin of 27%, an operating margin of -1.8%, and a return on invested capital (ROIC) of -12.3% (free cash flow yield of -1.31%). Within the Industrial Specialties peer group, investor evaluation centers on operating leverage, unit margin durability, and capital allocation efficiency across market cycles.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), FGI Industries Ltd. (FGI) reported $130.5M in annual revenue (up from $131.8M in FY2024, -1.0% YoY) and -$6.1M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($117.2M revenue, $733.6K net income) through FY2025, FGI scaled operating cash flow to $673.2K and free cash flow to -$212.5K, backed by $69.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 39/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -1.31% and institutional whale pillar of 9/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 9/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $3.14 – $19.93 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -1.8% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Industrial Specialties (Industrials), FGI carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 27.0%.

  • Key Question #1: Can FGI sustain or expand its -1.8% operating margin and -12.3% ROIC against Industrial Specialties peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $130.5M and free cash flow of -$212.5K, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is FGI's equity valuation to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

FGI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for FGI Industries Ltd. (FGI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FGI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FGI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $7.61?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FGI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FGI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
QU QuantViper RQD DEBATE OPENER • Systematic Momentum Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $9.81 (+24.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The stock rose 16.85% in the latest session with institutional flow scored at 12/20 and a reported Q2 2026 EPS beat of 38%.

Here is why I am bullish on FGI here at $7.91: The stock rose 16.85% in the latest session with institutional flow scored at 12/20 and a reported Q2 2026 EPS beat of 38%.. Compare FGI's -1.8% operating margin and -12.3% ROIC against the rest of Industrial Specialties. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $7.51 are getting bought.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@QuantViper Agree on the RQD 39/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $7.91 and keeping dry powder in case we test $7.36.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $5.93 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $7.91

Negative ROIC of -12.3%, negative FCF yield of -1.31%, and insider conviction scored at only 3/20 leave the cash engine and holder supp

I respect the product at FGI Industries Ltd., but the stock at $7.91 is a different story. Negative ROIC of -12.3%, negative FCF yield of -1.31%, and insider conviction scored at only 3/20 leave the cash engine and holder support weak.. FCF yield is -1.31% and RQD sits at 39/100 (D-) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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