Stock Ratings / Technology / FIRY / options

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Firy Inc. (Class A) (FIRY) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$12.79 -4.69% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.66

Firy Inc. (Class A) (FIRY) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 43/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (43/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $223.1M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FIRY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Firy Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: FIRY) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $12.79 (-4.69% 1D, market cap $223.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, FIRY ranks #472 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FIRY compare to MOVE and ASUR in the Technology sector?

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Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), FIRY carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 87.5%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, MOVE (Corvex Inc.) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $227.8M) and ASUR (Asure Software Inc) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.8%, cap $217.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FIRY leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while RDNW leads on capital efficiency (-0.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FIRY?

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Per FIRY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001801661), Firy Inc. (Class A) generated $104.5M in revenue (+12.5% YoY), -$70.4M in net income, and -$70.3M in free cash flow against $293.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.66 (-1.03%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (43/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FIRY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (43/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY FIRY SCORES 43/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (33% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (33% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 59% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 64.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$12.39-10.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$11.09+3.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$11.46+11.6% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$12.79-6.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (35) → D- (43)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FIRY Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While FIRY currently carries a cautious 43/100 (D-) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($11.29) and Max Pain ($13.43) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $21.00.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FIRY• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “FIRY Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 43%NO 57%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±12.5%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (FIRY)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for FIRY.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FIRY)

✓Walkthrough of FIRY's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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FIRY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +88.09%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-02O $12.29H $13.42L $12.29C $12.79VOL 409.5K

RES: $16.46SUP: $10.79SMA50: $11.29SMA200: $7.57

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FIRY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 FIRY Butterfly Map → + Track FIRY →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +12.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FIRY today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FIRY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FIRY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FIRY)

Technology Rank #472 of 714 ⚔️ MOVE vs FIRY Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (FIRY vs. MOVE, ASUR, DMRC, RDNW)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Firy Inc. (Class A) (FIRY) ranks #472 by composite RQD confidence (43/100, grade D-) and #469 by equity capitalization ($223.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FIRY leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while RDNW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -0.1% ROIC and 27.5% gross margin. DMRC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 54/100 (D+) compared with FIRY at 43/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
FIRY ACTIVE Firy Inc. (Class A)	D-	43/100	—	87.5%	-35.0%	-4.69%	$223.1M	Benchmark Subject
MOVE Corvex Inc.	E	25/100	—	-30.0%	-35.0%	-7.48%	$227.8M	/move-vs-firy →
ASUR Asure Software Inc	D-	40/100	—	67.5%	-2.8%	+30.15%	$217.5M	/asur-vs-firy →
DMRC Digimarc Corporation	D+	54/100	—	—	—	+0.68%	$237.2M	/dmrc-vs-firy →
RDNW RideNow Group Inc. (Class B)	E	32/100	—	27.5%	-0.1%	-3.23%	$205.6M	/rdnw-vs-firy →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001801661

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Firy Inc. (Class A) (FIRY) reported GAAP revenue of $104.5M (+12.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $92.9M , and -31.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$70.4M, operating cash flow of -$68.9M, and free cash flow of -$70.3M (-808.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, FIRY closed FY2025 with $293.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$104.5M	-$70.4M	-$68.9M	-$70.3M	$293.5M	$0
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$92.9M	-$46.8M	-$7.1M	-$7.7M	$374.3M	$125.7M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$152.1M	-$101.4M	-$71.8M	-$71.8M	—	—

3. FIRY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FIRY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does FIRY compare to MOVE and ASUR in the Technology sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FIRY?

Where is FIRY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FIRY last traded at $12.79 (-4.69% on volume of 247,647 shares), positioning the stock +13.29% above its 50-day simple moving average ($11.29) and +68.96% above its 200-day simple moving average ($7.57). Across its 52-week range of $2.23 to $20.00, FIRY sits at the 59.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 64.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($11.19 to $14.39).

FIRY Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is FIRY's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for FIRY.

Direct Sub-Reports: FIRY RQD Cockpit FIRY 12M Forecast FIRY Earnings & Move FIRY Dividends & DRIP FIRY Insiders & 13F FIRY Whale Options FIRY Profit Sankey FIRY News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 43/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

FIRY — Firy Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:40:38Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, FIRY scores 43 out of 100, a letter grade of D-, with the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow."

Fundamental Cash Engine: 2 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is -35% and FCF yield is 0%. This pillar is the weakest in the framework, indicating the business is not currently generating returns on invested capital or free cash flow that would support valuation on cash-earnings grounds.
Whale 13F Flow: 14 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The underlying holder detail is not available in source data, so the score cannot be traced to specific filers here.
Insider Conviction: 5 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. It is the second-weakest pillar and points to limited insider-side conviction in the current setup.
Macro Regime Fit: 14 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.0 and the score reflects sector sensitivity. The stock's market-relative volatility is in line with the broad market per the source, but the rating does not indicate a favorable macro fit.
Forensic Balance Sheet: 8 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z is 0.2, Piotroski F is 5/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. The Altman reading sits in a distress-type range and is the central forensic concern.

Investor implications: the upside case rests on a sharp recovery in operating economics, since current margins and returns are deeply negative. Valuation cannot be anchored to earnings multiples because P/E and EPS are not available in source data. The one-day move of 9.19% per the market data and the 52-week range of $2.23 - $20 indicate high price dispersion, so entry-price sensitivity is substantial. Any second-order ripple from the balance-sheet stress would be concentrated in financing conditions and dilution risk, but the source does not quantify either. This is an analytical read of the rating, not personalized financial advice.

Business

Per the profile section, Firy Inc. (Class A) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Technology sector and EDP Services industry, with a market capitalization of $0.2B. Per the market data, gross margin is 87.5%, indicating a high gross-margin profile. The source does not describe the products sold, the customer base, or the specific revenue model.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$104.5M	$-63.9M	$-70.4M	N/A	$-70.3M	$194.5M	$0.0M
FY 2024	$92.9M	$-46.5M	$-46.8M	N/A	$-7.7M	$271.9M	$125.7M
FY 2023	$152.1M	$-114.3M	$-101.4M	N/A	$-71.8M	N/A	N/A

Per the SEC financials, the company reported operating and net losses in each listed period, with revenue declining from $152.1M in FY 2023 to $104.5M in FY 2025. Per the market data, operating margin and net margin are both -60%, and ROIC is -35%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 0.2 and the Piotroski F-Score is 5/9. Per the SEC financials, debt was $0.0M at FY 2025 versus $125.7M at FY 2024, and cash was $194.5M at FY 2025 versus $271.9M at FY 2024.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Debt repayment: A headline reports FIRY will redeem the remaining $49.7 million of notes, completing full repayment of $300 million in debt. Per the SEC financials, reported debt at FY 2025 is $0.0M, consistent with this item.
Exit Games stake sale: Multiple headlines report a 10.5% stake in Exit Games sold for $55 million in cash, described as completing repayment of the original notes and as 22x the 2021 vintage average DPI.
Insider activity: A headline reports HR chief Nicole Marie Singleton had 2,823 shares withheld for vesting taxes. This is a tax-withholding event, not an open-market trade.
Derivatives: A headline references a FIRY Feb 2027 10.000 put contract.
Proprietary signals: Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, there are no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals in the source.

Risk watch items: the sources describe the stake sale and note repayment as completing debt retirement, but the source does not state the resulting cash position or operating impact after these transactions.

Open Questions

What is the company's revenue composition and what drove the decline from $152.1M in FY 2023 to $104.5M in FY 2025?
Does the Exit Games proceeds and debt retirement leave a cash position sufficient to fund operations, and what is the operating cash burn going forward?
What is the path to positive operating margins given the -60% operating margin in the source data?
Who are the institutional and insider holders, and what is the 13F and Form 4 activity behind the RQD pillar scores?
What explains the 52-week range of $2.23 - $20 and the 9.19% single-day move?

FIRY Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Firy Inc. (Class A) (FIRY) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FIRY Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 7h ago

FIRY to Redeem Remaining $49.7 Million of Notes, Completing Full Repayment of $300 Million Debt

Yahoo Finance report covering Firy Inc. (Class A) (FIRY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Kalkine • 10h ago

Firy (NYSE:FIRY) Stock: Exit Games Stake Sale Completes Repayment of Original Notes

Kalkine report covering Firy Inc. (Class A) (FIRY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 13h ago

Firy (FIRY) HR chief Nicole Marie Singleton had 2,823 shares withheld for vesting taxes.

Stock Titan report covering Firy Inc. (Class A) (FIRY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 16h ago

Firy Sells 10.5% Stake in Exit Games for $55 Million

TradingView report covering Firy Inc. (Class A) (FIRY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Business Wire • 19h ago

FIRY Sells Exit Games Stake for $55 Million in Cash, 22x the 2021 Vintage Average DPI

Business Wire report covering Firy Inc. (Class A) (FIRY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance UK • 22h ago

FIRY Feb 2027 10.000 put (FIRY270219P00010000) stock price, news, quote and history

Yahoo Finance UK report covering Firy Inc. (Class A) (FIRY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Skillz (NYSE:FIRY) Shares Down 0.2% - Here's What Happened

MarketBeat report covering Firy Inc. (Class A) (FIRY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

A 10,707-unit stock grant for Firy (FIRY) accounting chief vests over a year, subject to continued service.

Stock Titan report covering Firy Inc. (Class A) (FIRY) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FIRY Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $12.79?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FIRY 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $11.81 (-12.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is FIRY (D- • RQD 43/100) a Buy at $13.42?

Welcome to the FIRY (Firy Inc. (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 43/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in EDP Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $10.33 (-23.0%)

Spot @ $13.42

Pump the brakes on FIRY — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on FIRY, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 87.5% gross margins. Unless Firy Inc. (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $16.91 (+26.0%)

Spot @ $13.42

FIRY cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on FIRY, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in EDP Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $13.42 (52-wk range $2.23 - $20.00), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.