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Deep Fission Inc. (FISN) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$2.55 -4.49% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.52

Deep Fission Inc. (FISN) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $157.3M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on FISN Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FISN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Deep Fission Inc. (NASDAQ: FISN) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $2.55 (-4.49% 1D, market cap $157.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 116 tracked Utilities issuers, FISN ranks #92 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FISN compare to ONEN and ELLO in the Utilities sector?
▼

Within the Utilities sector (Electric Utilities: Central), FISN carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, ONEN (ONE Nuclear Energy Inc.) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E 39.3x, ROIC -35.0%, cap $136.4M) and ELLO (Ellomay Capital Ltd (Israel)) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $281.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ONEN leads on earnings multiple (39.3x) while ONEN leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FISN?
▼

Per FISN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001918102), Deep Fission Inc. generated $10.4M in revenue (+7676.4% YoY), $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $24.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.52 (-1.00%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 42.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510041
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D- · Rk D
Cash (10)Whales (3)SEC (13)Macro (6)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.8% Base Target
$20 Bull$2 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE FISN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FISN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (41/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FISN SCORES 41/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (32% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 42.5% FCF Margin ($4.4M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
49
Grade D$4.01-29.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
46
Grade D$2.81-4.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
44
Grade D$2.69-5.2% Next Q
Current
41
Grade D-$2.55-7.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (49) → D- (41)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FISN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While FISN currently carries a cautious 41/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.37) and Max Pain ($2.68) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $19.95.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FISN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FISN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
35.630 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
7 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE3% OF RANGE
L: $2$2.55H: $19
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 10 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 12 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 19 / 40
MULTI-MODEL QUANT PANEL DELIBERATION

2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning on FISN

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (50)

14.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (30)

12/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 6/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like FISN
  • ✓Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FISN)

  • ✓Walkthrough of FISN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
FISN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -82.49%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $3.04H $3.04L $2.55C $2.55VOL 451.7K
RES: $5.94SUP: $1.18SMA50: $5.37SMA200: $7.56
$20.18$15.28$10.38$5.48$0.58RES $5.94SUP $1.18$2.552026-06-182026-07-232026-08-262026-09-302026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FISN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7676.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FISN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FISN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FISN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FISN)

Utilities Rank #92 of 116 ⚔️ ONEN vs FISN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (FISN vs. ONEN, ELLO, GFUZ, HDRN)

Industry: Electric Utilities: Central (56 Tracked Issuers)

Across 116 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Deep Fission Inc. (FISN) ranks #92 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #99 by equity capitalization ($157.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ONEN leads on earnings valuation at 39.3x trailing P/E, while ONEN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and — gross margin. ELLO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 46/100 (D) compared with FISN at 41/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FISN ACTIVE
Deep Fission Inc.
D- 41/100 — — — -4.49% $157.3M Benchmark Subject
ONEN
ONE Nuclear Energy Inc.
E 28/100 39.3x — -35.0% +1.59% $136.4M /onen-vs-fisn →
ELLO
Ellomay Capital Ltd (Israel)
D 46/100 — — — +0.99% $281.2M /ello-vs-fisn →
GFUZ
General Fusion Group Ltd.
E 29/100 — — -35.0% +1.33% $381.9M /gfuz-vs-fisn →
HDRN
Hadron Energy Inc.
D 45/100 — — — +0.03% $47.2M /hdrn-vs-fisn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001918102 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Deep Fission Inc. (FISN) reported GAAP revenue of $10.4M (+7676.4% vs. FY2023 revenue of $133.3K ) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, FISN closed FY2025 with $24.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $10.4M $0 — — $24.7M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $133.3K -$47.6K -$46.3K -$46.3K — —

3. FISN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FISN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Deep Fission Inc. (NASDAQ: FISN) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $2.55 (-4.49% 1D, market cap $157.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 116 tracked Utilities issuers, FISN ranks #92 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FISN compare to ONEN and ELLO in the Utilities sector?

Within the Utilities sector (Electric Utilities: Central), FISN carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, ONEN (ONE Nuclear Energy Inc.) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E 39.3x, ROIC -35.0%, cap $136.4M) and ELLO (Ellomay Capital Ltd (Israel)) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $281.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ONEN leads on earnings multiple (39.3x) while ONEN leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FISN?

Per FISN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001918102), Deep Fission Inc. generated $10.4M in revenue (+7676.4% YoY), $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $24.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FISN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FISN last traded at $2.55 (-4.49% on volume of 353,154 shares), positioning the stock -52.51% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.37) and -66.27% below its 200-day simple moving average ($7.56). Across its 52-week range of $2.10 to $19.00, FISN sits at the 2.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.23 to $2.87).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 41/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

FISN — Deep Fission Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Deep Fission Inc. (FISN) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 41/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $2.55 (-4.49% 1D, market capitalization $157.3M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of N/A, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Deep Fission Inc. (FISN) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Utilities sector, specifically Electric Utilities: Central. The profile describes the company as operating in this industry with a market capitalization of $0.2B. The source does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Deep Fission Inc. (FISN) reported $10.4M in annual revenue (up from $133.3K in FY2023, +7676.4% YoY) and $0 in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($133.3K revenue, -$47.6K net income) through FY2025, FISN scaled operating cash flow to $0 and free cash flow to $0, backed by $24.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 41/100): Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $2.10 – $19.00 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

There are no upstream or downstream links and no proprietary signals recorded. Upstream/downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore — The only sector context provided is the Utilities / Electric Utilities: Central classification and a beta of 1.0. Investors should note the absence of mapped dependencies as a gap in the analysis rather than as evidence of independence.

  • Key Question #1: Can FISN sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against Electric Utilities: Central peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $10.4M and free cash flow of $0, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is FISN's equity valuation to Utilities capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

FISN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Deep Fission Inc. (FISN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FISN Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FISN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.55?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FISN 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FISN:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
TA TapeReader_Pro RQD DEBATE OPENER • Price Action & Volume Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $3.31 (+24.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet scores 13/20 (Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 6/9, Debt/Equity 0.5) and $23.7M in reported cash provide the strongest

Here is why I am bullish on FISN here at $2.67: Forensic balance sheet scores 13/20 (Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 6/9, Debt/Equity 0.5) and $23.7M in reported cash provide the strongest offset to weak earnings.. Compare FISN's 0.0% operating margin and 0.0% ROIC against the rest of Electric Utilities: Central. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $2.54 are getting bought.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@RiskArb_Desk Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Electric Utilities: Central. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.06 (-22.8%)
Spot @ $2.67

Zero reported revenue, margins, ROIC, and FCF yield, combined with a Whale/13F flow score of 3/20 and a Kansas 'money pit' critique, le

Careful chasing FISN at $2.67. Zero reported revenue, margins, ROIC, and FCF yield, combined with a Whale/13F flow score of 3/20 and a Kansas 'money pit' critique, leave the stock without earnings or institutional support.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 0.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $2.06 on multiple compression.

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