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Comfort Systems USA Inc. (FIX) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$1,200.14 -2.64% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1,192.16

Comfort Systems USA Inc. (FIX) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $43.13B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on FIX Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FIX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Comfort Systems USA Inc. (NYSE: FIX) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $1,200.14 (-2.64% 1D, market cap $43.13B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, FIX ranks #168 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FIX compare to EME and PWR in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Engineering & Construction), FIX carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 45.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.5%. By comparison, EME (EMCOR Group Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 23.9x, ROIC 27.5%, cap $29.75B) and PWR (Quanta Services Inc.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 89.8x, ROIC 8.4%, cap $93.53B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EME leads on earnings multiple (23.9x) while IESC leads on capital efficiency (34.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FIX?
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Per FIX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001035983), Comfort Systems USA Inc. generated $1.83B in revenue (-73.9% YoY), $1.02B in net income, and $1.03B in free cash flow against $6.44B in total assets and $139.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1,192.10 (-0.67%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 56.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510055
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Cash (14)Whales (7)SEC (15)Macro (8)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.3% Base Target
$2178 Bull$1184 Base$923 Bear
📬 FREE FIX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FIX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FIX SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 8.06 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 56.3% FCF Margin ($1.03B FCF) & 22% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
63
Grade C+$1,541.68-9.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
60
Grade C$1,401.27-4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
58
Grade C$1,345.77-10.8% Next Q
Current
55
Grade D+$1,200.14-0.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (63) → D+ (55)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the FIX Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, FIX faces multiple-compression risk if 45.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 45x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($1,542.81) or 200D SMA ($1,608.27) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($1,183.94) toward Bear Floor ($923.47).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FIX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FIX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 55%NO 45%Trade / Inspect Odds →
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

FIX Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (FIX)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on FIX. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FIX)

  • ✓Walkthrough of FIX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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FIX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -36.57%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $1,326.2H $1,326.2L $1,200.1C $1,200.1VOL 765.7K
RES: $1,767.7SUP: $1,063.8SMA50: $1,542.8SMA200: $1,608.3
$2,145.2$1,850.3$1,555.5$1,260.6$965.8RES $1,767.7SUP $1,063.8$1,200.12026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FIX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 FIX Butterfly Map → + Track FIX →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
33.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -73.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FIX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FIX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FIX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FIX)

Industrials Rank #168 of 486 ⚔️ EME vs FIX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (FIX vs. EME, PWR, IESC, ENGS)

Industry: Engineering & Construction (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Comfort Systems USA Inc. (FIX) ranks #168 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #40 by equity capitalization ($43.13B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EME leads on earnings valuation at 23.9x trailing P/E, while IESC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 34.7% ROIC and 25.5% gross margin. EME currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 60/100 (C-) compared with FIX at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FIX ACTIVE
Comfort Systems USA Inc.
D+ 55/100 45.4x — 4.5% -2.64% $43.13B Benchmark Subject
EME
EMCOR Group Inc.
C- 60/100 23.9x 19.3% 27.5% +0.47% $29.75B /eme-vs-fix →
PWR
Quanta Services Inc.
D+ 57/100 89.8x 15.0% 8.4% +0.07% $93.53B /pwr-vs-fix →
IESC
IES Holdings Inc.
D+ 58/100 29.8x 25.5% 34.7% -4.80% $8.38B /iesc-vs-fix →
ENGS
Energys Group Limited
D 44/100 — 20.4% — +1.33% $245.4M /engs-vs-fix →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001035983 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Comfort Systems USA Inc. (FIX) reported GAAP revenue of $1.83B (-73.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $7.03B , and -64.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.02B, operating cash flow of $1.19B, and free cash flow of $1.03B (+39.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, FIX closed FY2025 with $6.44B in total assets against $139.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 8.06, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.83B $1.02B $1.19B $1.03B $6.44B $139.1M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $7.03B $522.4M $849.1M $738.0M $4.71B $62.3M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $5.21B $323.4M $639.6M $405.3M $25.52B $5.97B

3. FIX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FIX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Comfort Systems USA Inc. (NYSE: FIX) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $1,200.14 (-2.64% 1D, market cap $43.13B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 11/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, FIX ranks #168 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FIX compare to EME and PWR in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Engineering & Construction), FIX carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 45.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.5%. By comparison, EME (EMCOR Group Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 23.9x, ROIC 27.5%, cap $29.75B) and PWR (Quanta Services Inc.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 89.8x, ROIC 8.4%, cap $93.53B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EME leads on earnings multiple (23.9x) while IESC leads on capital efficiency (34.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FIX?

Per FIX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001035983), Comfort Systems USA Inc. generated $1.83B in revenue (-73.9% YoY), $1.02B in net income, and $1.03B in free cash flow against $6.44B in total assets and $139.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FIX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FIX last traded at $1,200.14 (-2.64% on volume of 536,056 shares), positioning the stock -22.21% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1,542.81) and -25.38% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1,608.27). Across its 52-week range of $841.66 to $2,073.99, FIX sits at the 29.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.1% ($1,066.92 to $1,333.36).

Direct Sub-Reports: FIX RQD Cockpit FIX 12M Forecast FIX Earnings & Move FIX Dividends & DRIP FIX Insiders & 13F FIX Whale Options FIX Profit Sankey FIX News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 55/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

FIX — Comfort Systems USA Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Comfort Systems USA Inc. (FIX) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 55/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $1,200.14 (-2.64% 1D, market capitalization $43.13B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 4.5%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 11.4%, and free cash flow yield of 2.22%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (7/20) + Insider Conviction (11/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (15/20): Incorporates a 1.13x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 8.06, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.06x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Comfort Systems USA Inc. Is listed on the NYSE in the Industrials sector and the Engineering & Construction industry,. Per the market data, gross margin is reported as 0%, operating margin as 11.4%, and net margin as 55.8%. — for how the company makes money or to whom it sells.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Comfort Systems USA Inc. (FIX) reported $1.83B in annual revenue (up from $7.03B in FY2024, -73.9% YoY) and $1.02B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($5.21B revenue, $323.4M net income) through FY2025, FIX scaled operating cash flow to $1.19B and free cash flow to $1.03B, backed by $6.44B in total assets against $139.1M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 55/100): Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Free cash flow yield of 2.22% and institutional whale pillar of 7/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $841.66 – $2,073.99 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 45.4x trailing P/E and 95.0x EV/EBITDA against 11.4% operating margins and a 1.13x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies: — Sector correlations beyond the Industrials / Engineering & Construction classification: — Second-order bottlenecks: — The beta of 1.13 is the only quantified macro sensitivity in the source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can FIX sustain or expand its 11.4% operating margin and 4.5% ROIC against Engineering & Construction peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.83B and free cash flow of $1.03B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $139.1M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is FIX's 42.2x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.13x)?

FIX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Comfort Systems USA Inc. (FIX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FIX Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FIX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1,200.14?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FIX 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FIX:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1,442.21 (+17.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet scores 15/20 with an Altman Z-Score of 8.06, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.06.

The street is overcomplicating Comfort Systems USA Inc. (FIX). Forensic balance sheet scores 15/20 with an Altman Z-Score of 8.06, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.06.. With an RQD score of 55/100 (D+) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 15/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $1331.27.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — FIX's 15/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $949.15 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $1,232.66

ROIC of 4.5% and an FCF yield of 2.22% sit against a P/E (TTM) of 45.4 and EV/EBITDA of 95.

I respect the product at Comfort Systems USA Inc., but the stock at $1232.66 is a different story. ROIC of 4.5% and an FCF yield of 2.22% sit against a P/E (TTM) of 45.4 and EV/EBITDA of 95.. FCF yield is 2.22% and RQD sits at 55/100 (D+) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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