National Beverage Corp. (FIZZ) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$35.30 +0.80% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $35.44

National Beverage Corp. (FIZZ) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (37% profit margin, 66% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B- β€’ BUY Cap $3.28B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FIZZ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, National Beverage Corp. (NASDAQ: FIZZ) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $35.30 (+0.80% 1D, market cap $3.28B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, FIZZ ranks #12 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FIZZ compare to COCO and SAM in the Consumer Staples sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Beverages (Production/Distribution)), FIZZ carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.9x, gross margin of 37.0%, and ROIC of 65.6%. By comparison, COCO (The Vita Coco Company Inc.) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 44.2x, ROIC 40.6%, cap $3.21B) and SAM (Boston Beer Company Inc.) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 18.4x, ROIC 18.4%, cap $2.01B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FIZZ leads on earnings multiple (17.9x) while FIZZ leads on capital efficiency (65.6% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FIZZ?
β–Ό

Per FIZZ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-05-02, CIK 0000069891), National Beverage Corp. generated $1.18B in revenue (-1.7% YoY), $183.6M in net income, and $156.1M in free cash flow against $792.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (37% profit margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $35.43 (+0.38%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) β€’ 13.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 68.1% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY β€’ B-
025507510070
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B Β· Rk C
Cash (17)Whales (12)SEC (14)Macro (12)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.4% Base Target
$44 Bull$37 Base$29 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE FIZZ RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FIZZ)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±6.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (70/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY FIZZ SCORES 70/100 (B-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 13.2% FCF Margin ($156.1M FCF) & 37% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (58.6) create a -8 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
62
Grade C+$32.15+8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
65
Grade C+$34.71+3.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
67
Grade B-$35.82-1.5% Next Q
Current
70
Grade B-$35.30+6.6% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C+ (62) β†’ B- (70)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the FIZZ Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 70/100 (B-) score, FIZZ faces multiple-compression risk if 17.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 34.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($32.30) or 200D SMA ($33.69) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($37.21) toward Bear Floor ($28.95).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FIZZβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œFIZZ Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 30, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 β€’ REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $307/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in FIZZ & A-Rated Leaders

  • βœ“12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on FIZZ and its top sector peer
  • βœ“Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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FIZZ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +1.64%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $34.27H $35.30L $34.27C $35.30VOL 307.5K
RES: $37.63SUP: $28.10SMA50: $32.30SMA200: $33.69
$38.86$36.18$33.50$30.82$28.14RES $37.63SUP $28.10$35.302026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FIZZ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
11.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FIZZ today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FIZZ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FIZZ today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FIZZ)

Consumer Staples Rank #12 of 146 βš”οΈ COCO vs FIZZ Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (FIZZ vs. COCO, SAM, CCU, PRMB)

Industry: Beverages (Production/Distribution) (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, National Beverage Corp. (FIZZ) ranks #12 by composite RQD confidence (70/100, grade B-) and #46 by equity capitalization ($3.28B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FIZZ leads on earnings valuation at 17.9x trailing P/E, while FIZZ leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 65.6% ROIC and 37.0% gross margin. SAM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with FIZZ at 70/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FIZZ ACTIVE
National Beverage Corp.
B- 70/100 17.9x 37.0% 65.6% +0.80% $3.28B Benchmark Subject
COCO
The Vita Coco Company Inc.
D+ 54/100 44.2x 36.5% 40.6% +3.93% $3.21B /coco-vs-fizz β†’
SAM
Boston Beer Company Inc.
B 72/100 18.4x 48.5% 18.4% +1.43% $2.01B /sam-vs-fizz β†’
CCU
Compania Cervecerias Unidas S.A.
D 45/100 β€” β€” β€” -0.96% $1.93B /ccu-vs-fizz β†’
PRMB
Primo Brands Corporation
D- 36/100 117.4x 30.3% 4.4% +1.39% $7.06B /prmb-vs-fizz β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2026-05-02 β€’ CIK 0000069891

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-05-02), National Beverage Corp. (FIZZ) reported GAAP revenue of $1.18B (-1.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.20B , and -0.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $183.6M, operating cash flow of $181.3M, and free cash flow of $156.1M (-8.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, FIZZ closed FY2025 with $792.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 13.84, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-05-02 $1.18B $183.6M $181.3M $156.1M $792.5M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2025-05-03 $1.20B $186.8M $206.7M $170.4M $594.0M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2024-04-27 $1.19B $176.7M $197.9M $197.9M β€” β€”

3. FIZZ Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FIZZ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, National Beverage Corp. (NASDAQ: FIZZ) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $35.30 (+0.80% 1D, market cap $3.28B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, FIZZ ranks #12 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FIZZ compare to COCO and SAM in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Beverages (Production/Distribution)), FIZZ carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.9x, gross margin of 37.0%, and ROIC of 65.6%. By comparison, COCO (The Vita Coco Company Inc.) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 44.2x, ROIC 40.6%, cap $3.21B) and SAM (Boston Beer Company Inc.) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 18.4x, ROIC 18.4%, cap $2.01B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FIZZ leads on earnings multiple (17.9x) while FIZZ leads on capital efficiency (65.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FIZZ?

Per FIZZ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-05-02, CIK 0000069891), National Beverage Corp. generated $1.18B in revenue (-1.7% YoY), $183.6M in net income, and $156.1M in free cash flow against $792.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (37% profit margin)β€”profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FIZZ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FIZZ last traded at $35.30 (+0.80% on volume of 278,099 shares), positioning the stock +9.29% above its 50-day simple moving average ($32.30) and +4.78% above its 200-day simple moving average ($33.69). Across its 52-week range of $28.97 to $38.21, FIZZ sits at the 68.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±6.1% ($33.15 to $37.45).

FIZZ Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Does FIZZ pay a dividend and is it safe?

National Beverage Corp. (FIZZ) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 70/100 (B-) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

FIZZ β€” National Beverage Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:23:43Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, FIZZ holds an RQD Score of 70 (letter grade B-, verdict "Roarable Buy β€” Sound Institutional Accumulation"). The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20 (ROIC 65.6%; FCF yield 4.76%); Whale 13F Flow 12/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction 15/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit 12/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet 14/20 (Altman Z 13.84; Piotroski F 5/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).

For a prospective investor, the strongest pillar is the cash engine, where high ROIC and a 4.76% FCF yield indicate strong capital efficiency relative to the market value implied in the market data. The insider and whale-flow pillars are moderate, meaning the accumulation signal is present but not dominant. The macro pillar is the most neutral: a Beta of 1.0 implies market-level sensitivity rather than a defensive or aggressive profile. Valuation tradeoffs are visible in the market data: a P/E (TTM) of 17.9 and Forward P/E of 16.6 indicate the market is pricing modest earnings growth expectations. Upside drivers would be sustained FCF generation and continued institutional accumulation; downside risks include a decline in reported revenue or earnings, which the financials show trending slightly lower across the three reported periods. This is an analytical framing, not personalized advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
35.02$3.28B17.916.611.81.960%1.0$28.97 - $38.2165.6%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$1180.6M$230.1M$183.6MN/A$156.1M$314.0MN/A
FY 2024$1201.4M$235.5M$186.8MN/A$170.4M$149.2MN/A
FY 2023$1191.7M$218.5M$176.7MN/A$197.9MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue moved from $1191.7M (FY 2023) to $1201.4M (FY 2024) to $1180.6M (FY 2025), while FCF declined from $197.9M to $156.1M across the same span. Reported operating margin is 19.5%, net margin is 15.6%, and gross margin is 37%, per the market data. ROIC is 65.6% per the market data and the Roarable RQD rating. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 13.84 and the Piotroski F-Score is 5/9, with Debt/Equity of 0.5. Reported cash rose to $314.0M in FY 2025 from $149.2M in FY 2024.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, six items reference FIZZ. Headlines include "National Beverage (FIZZ) Stock May Be Near Fair Value On Cash Flow" (Yahoo Finance, YELLOW), "National Beverage (NASDAQ:FIZZ) Shares Climb 5.5% - Still a Buy?" (MarketBeat, YELLOW), and "National Beverage Corp (FIZZ) Shares Surge 5.3% -- What GF Score of 77 Tells Investors" (GuruFocus, GREEN, labeled CATALYST). Other items include a TradingView estimates page, a Simply Wall St valuation piece, and a Stock Traders Daily rotational-strategy article, all classified YELLOW. Risk watch items are not separately itemized in the source. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, proprietary signals are none and supply-chain links are NONE.

Open Questions

  • What are the revenue drivers and product or channel mix behind the FY 2023–FY 2025 revenue trend?
  • What is the reported EPS and total debt for each fiscal period, given that these fields are N/A in the financials?
  • What specific insider and 13F transactions underpin the Insider Conviction and Whale Flow pillar scores?
  • What explains the FCF decline from $197.9M to $156.1M across the reported periods?
  • Are there any supply-chain or sector dependencies that the Butterfly graph did not capture?

FIZZ Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for National Beverage Corp. (FIZZ) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to FIZZ Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FIZZ Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $35.30?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FIZZ 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FIZZ:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $41.32 (+18.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is FIZZ (B- β€’ RQD 70/100) a Buy at $35.02?

Welcome to the FIZZ (National Beverage Corp.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 70/100 (Roarable Buy β€” Sound Institutional Accumulation) in Beverages (Production/Distribution). Bulls point to capital efficiency (65.6% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $26.62 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $35.02

Pump the brakes on FIZZ β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on FIZZ, but look at what you are paying: 17.9x trailing P/E with 37.0% gross margins. Unless National Beverage Corp. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $42.72 (+22.0%)
Spot @ $35.02

FIZZ cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on FIZZ, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Beverages (Production/Distribution) and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $35.02 (52-wk range $28.97 - $38.21), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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