Fulgent Genetics Inc. (FLGT) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$20.62 -4.89% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.40

Fulgent Genetics Inc. (FLGT) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 31/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $567.4M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FLGT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Fulgent Genetics Inc. (NASDAQ: FLGT) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $20.62 (-4.89% 1D, market cap $567.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, FLGT ranks #756 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FLGT compare to YDES and LMRI in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Medical Specialities), FLGT carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 40.6%, and ROIC of -6.8%. By comparison, YDES (YD Bio Limited) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -20.0%, cap $420.7M) and LMRI (Lumexa Imaging Holdings Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.10B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FLGT leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while FLGT leads on capital efficiency (-6.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FLGT?
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Per FLGT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001674930), Fulgent Genetics Inc. generated $322.7M in revenue (+13.8% YoY), -$60.5M in net income, and -$124.2M in free cash flow against $1.21B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.40 (-1.07%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (31/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510031
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (5)Whales (8)SEC (7)Macro (8)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.2% Base Target
$33 Bull$18 Base$14 Bear
📬 FREE FLGT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FLGT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (31/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FLGT SCORES 31/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (26% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8.1% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+8/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 41% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 48.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
39
Grade E$21.06-3.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
36
Grade E$20.33+1.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
34
Grade E$20.70-0.4% Next Q
Current
31
Grade E$20.62-9.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (39) → E (31)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FLGT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While FLGT currently carries a cautious 31/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($20.83) and Max Pain ($21.65) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $32.59.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FLGT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FLGT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your FLGT Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $20.62: 485.0 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $14.13
$6,853
$-3,147 (-31.5%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $18.11
$8,783
$-1,217 (-12.2%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $32.59
$15,805
+$5,805 (+58.1%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$1974%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$3169%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$1658%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FLGT)

  • ✓Walkthrough of FLGT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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FLGT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +36.38%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $21.68H $21.68L $20.62C $20.62VOL 201.4K
RES: $23.85SUP: $19.75SMA50: $20.83SMA200: $19.30
$23.38$20.88$18.38$15.88$13.37RES $23.85SUP $19.75$20.622026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FLGT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +13.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FLGT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FLGT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FLGT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FLGT)

Health Care Rank #756 of 1016 ⚔️ YDES vs FLGT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (FLGT vs. YDES, LMRI, CSTL, BDSX)

Industry: Medical Specialities (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Fulgent Genetics Inc. (FLGT) ranks #756 by composite RQD confidence (31/100, grade E) and #422 by equity capitalization ($567.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FLGT leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while FLGT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -6.8% ROIC and 40.6% gross margin. CSTL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 62/100 (C) compared with FLGT at 31/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FLGT ACTIVE
Fulgent Genetics Inc.
E 31/100 — 40.6% -6.8% -4.89% $567.4M Benchmark Subject
YDES
YD Bio Limited
D 44/100 — 28.1% -20.0% +1.19% $420.7M /ydes-vs-flgt →
LMRI
Lumexa Imaging Holdings Inc.
D+ 53/100 — — — -2.73% $1.10B /lmri-vs-flgt →
CSTL
Castle Biosciences Inc.
C 62/100 — 79.4% -9.3% -3.51% $1.14B /cstl-vs-flgt →
BDSX
Biodesix Inc.
D- 40/100 — — -35.0% -5.93% $245.4M /bdsx-vs-flgt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001674930

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Fulgent Genetics Inc. (FLGT) reported GAAP revenue of $322.7M (+13.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $283.5M , and +11.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$60.5M, operating cash flow of -$101.6M, and free cash flow of -$124.2M (-545.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, FLGT closed FY2025 with $1.21B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.44, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $322.7M -$60.5M -$101.6M -$124.2M $1.21B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $283.5M -$42.7M $21.1M -$19.3M $1.22B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $289.2M -$167.8M $27.0M $27.0M — —

3. FLGT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FLGT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Fulgent Genetics Inc. (NASDAQ: FLGT) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $20.62 (-4.89% 1D, market cap $567.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, FLGT ranks #756 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FLGT compare to YDES and LMRI in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Medical Specialities), FLGT carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 40.6%, and ROIC of -6.8%. By comparison, YDES (YD Bio Limited) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -20.0%, cap $420.7M) and LMRI (Lumexa Imaging Holdings Inc.) posts a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.10B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FLGT leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while FLGT leads on capital efficiency (-6.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FLGT?

Per FLGT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001674930), Fulgent Genetics Inc. generated $322.7M in revenue (+13.8% YoY), -$60.5M in net income, and -$124.2M in free cash flow against $1.21B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FLGT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FLGT last traded at $20.62 (-4.89% on volume of 201,384 shares), positioning the stock -1.01% below its 50-day simple moving average ($20.83) and +6.84% above its 200-day simple moving average ($19.30). Across its 52-week range of $13.46 to $31.04, FLGT sits at the 40.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.1% ($18.95 to $22.29).

FLGT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is FLGT's 12-month stock price target?

Fulgent Genetics Inc. (FLGT) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $18.11 (-12.2% from $20.62), with a bull-case target of $32.59 and a bear-case floor of $14.13.

Is FLGT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates FLGT E (Strong Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 31/100.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 31/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

FLGT — Fulgent Genetics Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:34:39Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, FLGT scores 35 out of 100 with a letter grade of D- and a verdict label of "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 5/20 (ROIC of -6.8% and FCF yield of -20.82%), Whale 13F Flow at 12/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 3/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 8/20 (Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 7/20 (Altman Z-Score of 4.44, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, Debt/Equity of 0.5). For a prospective investor, the weakest pillars are cash generation and insider conviction. Negative ROIC and deeply negative FCF yield indicate the business is not currently converting capital into cash returns, so any upside case depends on a future operating turnaround that the source data does not quantify. The strongest pillar relative to its weight is the Forensic Balance Sheet, where the Altman Z-Score and a Debt/Equity of 0.5 suggest limited near-term solvency pressure, though a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 signals weak fundamental quality. Valuation tradeoffs are difficult to assess because P/E and EV/EBITDA are not available in source data. Upside drivers would need to come from revenue recovery and margin repair; the 52-week range of $13.46 - $31.04 and the current price of $21.68 show a wide trading band that reflects volatility rather than a stable earnings base.

Business

Fulgent Genetics Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Health Care sector and the Medical Specialities industry, per the profile section. The source data does not describe its specific products, customer base, or revenue model. Market capitalization is listed at $0.6B per the profile. Revenue scale is reported in the SEC financials, with FY 2025 revenue of $322.7M.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$322.7M$-91.1M$-60.5MN/A$-124.2M$50.2MN/A
FY 2024$283.5M$-73.9M$-42.7MN/A$-19.3M$55.1MN/A
FY 2023$289.2M$-195.5M$-167.8MN/A$27.0MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, the company reported operating losses in all three periods, with FY 2025 operating income of $-91.1M. Per the market data, the gross margin is 40.6%, the operating margin is -28.2%, and the net margin is -18.8%, with ROIC at -6.8%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 4.44 and the Piotroski F-Score is 3/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.5. Cash declined from $55.1M in FY 2024 to $50.2M in FY 2025 while FCF was negative in both years.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, the most recent items are MarketBeat and Yahoo Finance reports noting a 6.5% share decline and a break below the 50-day moving average, both flagged YELLOW. A scheduled event is the announcement of third quarter 2026 financial results on Thursday, November 5, 2026. Form 4 filings for Chief Scientific Officer Hanlin Gao (filed for October 26) also appear in the wire. Risk watch items include the share price weakness and the negative FCF trend. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's core products and revenue segments, given that the source describes only the sector and industry classification?
  • What is the reported EPS and forward earnings expectation, since P/E and EPS fields are unavailable?
  • What is the debt balance behind the stated Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5, since the debt field is N/A across all periods?
  • What is driving the FY 2025 FCF decline to $-124.2M, and what capital expenditure or working capital factors contributed?
  • What are the results and guidance from the upcoming third quarter 2026 report, and how will they affect the operating loss trend?

FLGT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Fulgent Genetics Inc. (FLGT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FLGT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FLGT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $20.62?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FLGT 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FLGT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $19.08 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is FLGT (D- • RQD 35/100) a Buy at $21.68?

Welcome to the FLGT (Fulgent Genetics Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 35/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Medical Specialities. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $17.56 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $21.68

Pump the brakes on FLGT — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on FLGT, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 40.6% gross margins. Unless Fulgent Genetics Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $27.53 (+27.0%)
Spot @ $21.68

FLGT cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on FLGT, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Medical Specialities and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $21.68 (52-wk range $13.46 - $31.04), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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