flyExclusive Inc. (Class A) (FLYX) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$1.15 -6.50% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.13

flyExclusive Inc. (Class A) (FLYX) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 26/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $121.6M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on FLYX Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FLYX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, flyExclusive Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: FLYX) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 26/100 at a spot price of $1.15 (-6.50% 1D, market cap $121.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FLYX ranks #930 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FLYX compare to UP and SRFM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
▼

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Transportation Services), FLYX carries a Roarable E (26/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 15.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, UP (Wheels Up Experience Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (18/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $115.7M) and SRFM (Surf Air Mobility Inc.) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $100.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TOUR leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while TOUR leads on capital efficiency (1.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FLYX?
▼

Per FLYX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001843973), flyExclusive Inc. (Class A) generated $375.9M in revenue (+14.9% YoY), -$17.6M in net income, and -$24.3M in free cash flow against $440.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.13 (-1.36%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (26/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510026
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (5)Whales (5)SEC (8)Macro (5)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-14.8% Base Target
$9 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE FLYX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FLYX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (26/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FLYX SCORES 26/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (31% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+5/20 pts (19% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 15% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
34
Grade E$1.25-9.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
31
Grade E$1.13+7.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
29
Grade E$1.21-5% Next Q
Current
26
Grade E$1.15-10.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (34) → E (26)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FLYX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While FLYX currently carries a cautious 26/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.21) and Max Pain ($1.21) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $9.32.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FLYX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FLYX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.14 Expected Swing
$1.01 (-12.5%)Spot $1.15$1.29 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

FLYX Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 26/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 14.9%

Model Bullish Setup (26/100)Model Risk Weight (74/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$375.9M-$17.6M-$24.3M15%
FY 20242024-12-31$327.3M-$21.1M-$67.6M11.3%
FY 20232023-12-31$315.4M-$46.8M$8.7M15%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FLYX)

  • ✓Walkthrough of FLYX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
FLYX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -47.49%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $1.23H $1.23L $1.15C $1.15VOL 146.3K
RES: $1.42SUP: $1.07SMA50: $1.21SMA200: $1.91
$3.44$2.79$2.14$1.50$0.85RES $1.42SUP $1.07$1.152026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FLYX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +14.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FLYX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FLYX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FLYX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FLYX)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #930 of 1011 ⚔️ UP vs FLYX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (FLYX vs. UP, SRFM, PAL, TOUR)

Industry: Transportation Services (22 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, flyExclusive Inc. (Class A) (FLYX) ranks #930 by composite RQD confidence (26/100, grade E) and #740 by equity capitalization ($121.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TOUR leads on earnings valuation at 11.5x trailing P/E, while TOUR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 1.1% ROIC and 58.0% gross margin. TOUR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 39/100 (D-) compared with FLYX at 26/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FLYX ACTIVE
flyExclusive Inc. (Class A)
E 26/100 — 15.0% -35.0% -6.50% $121.6M Benchmark Subject
UP
Wheels Up Experience Inc. (Class A)
E 18/100 — 10.0% -35.0% 0.00% $115.7M /up-vs-flyx →
SRFM
Surf Air Mobility Inc.
D- 37/100 — — -35.0% -4.56% $100.3M /srfm-vs-flyx →
PAL
Proficient Auto Logistics Inc.
E 34/100 — — -11.6% +8.06% $73.4M /pal-vs-flyx →
TOUR
Tuniu Corporation
D- 39/100 11.5x 58.0% 1.1% +0.21% $51.2M /tour-vs-flyx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001843973

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), flyExclusive Inc. (Class A) (FLYX) reported GAAP revenue of $375.9M (+14.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $327.3M , and +19.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$17.6M, operating cash flow of $6.7M, and free cash flow of -$24.3M (+64.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, FLYX closed FY2025 with $440.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $375.9M -$17.6M $6.7M -$24.3M $440.0M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $327.3M -$21.1M -$10.9M -$67.6M $538.3M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $315.4M -$46.8M $8.7M $8.7M — —

3. FLYX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FLYX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, flyExclusive Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: FLYX) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 26/100 at a spot price of $1.15 (-6.50% 1D, market cap $121.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FLYX ranks #930 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FLYX compare to UP and SRFM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Transportation Services), FLYX carries a Roarable E (26/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 15.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, UP (Wheels Up Experience Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (18/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $115.7M) and SRFM (Surf Air Mobility Inc.) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $100.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TOUR leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while TOUR leads on capital efficiency (1.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FLYX?

Per FLYX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001843973), flyExclusive Inc. (Class A) generated $375.9M in revenue (+14.9% YoY), -$17.6M in net income, and -$24.3M in free cash flow against $440.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FLYX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FLYX last traded at $1.15 (-6.50% on volume of 146,343 shares), positioning the stock -4.96% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.21) and -39.79% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.91). Across its 52-week range of $1.05 to $8.88, FLYX sits at the 1.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.01 to $1.29).

FLYX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is FLYX's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, flyExclusive Inc. (Class A) (FLYX)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is FLYX stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for FLYX, spanning a range between $1.01 and $1.29.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 26/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

FLYX — flyExclusive Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:43:07Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, FLYX scores 27 out of 100, earning a letter grade of E and the verdict label "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The Fundamental Cash Engine pillar scores 5 out of 20, reflecting ROIC of -35% and an FCF yield of -18.65%, which indicates the business is currently not generating cash relative to its capital base or market value. The Whale 13F Flow pillar scores 6 out of 20 for institutional accumulation and options positioning, a weak reading. The Insider Conviction pillar scores 3 out of 20 based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow, the lowest pillar in the set and a signal that insiders are not showing conviction. The Macro Regime Fit pillar scores 5 out of 20 with a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity noted. The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scores 8 out of 20, citing an Altman Z of 0.2, a Piotroski F of 4 out of 9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. For a prospective investor, the pillar profile points to deteriorating cash generation, weak insider signaling, and balance sheet stress as the dominant considerations. Upside drivers would require a visible reversal in cash flow and insider behavior; the rating itself flags forensic risk as the primary concern. Valuation is difficult to assess from the source data because earnings-based multiples are unavailable, so the rating's risk framing rests mainly on cash and balance sheet metrics.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$375.9M$-47.2M$-17.6MN/A$-24.3M$29.3MN/A
FY 2024$327.3M$-82.8M$-21.1MN/A$-67.6M$31.7MN/A
FY 2023$315.4M$-37.3M$-46.8MN/A$8.7MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue grew from $315.4M in FY 2023 to $375.9M in FY 2025, while operating and net losses persisted across all reported periods. Per the market data, gross margin is 15%, operating margin is -12.6%, and net margin is -4.7%, with ROIC at -35%. The Altman Z-Score of 0.2 and Piotroski F-Score of 4 out of 9 are cited within the Roarable RQD rating's forensic balance sheet pillar. Debt/Equity is 0.5 per the same rating, and the source data does not provide a separate debt figure in the financials table.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news section, the feed contains six items, all related to FLYX. Five are tagged as market wire coverage from aggregator sources covering stock price and institutional positioning, with no substantive catalyst detail in their summaries. One headline, "flyExclusive adjusts share issuance in Jet.AI acquisition," references an acquisition-related share issuance, and another, "Jet.AI Announces Final flyExclusive Consideration: flyExclusive to Issue 1,544,575 Additional FLYX Shares," references 1,544,575 additional shares being issued as final consideration. A Seeking Alpha headline reads "flyExclusive Stock: Sell Despite Strong Turnaround." A price-action headline reports the shares slipping 1.72% to $1.14 while testing a lower support zone. The butterfly supply-chain graph reports no supply chain links and no proprietary signals. Risk watch items include the share issuance tied to the acquisition, the sell-side framing in one headline, and the lower support test.

Open Questions

  • What are the EPS, P/E, and EV/EBITDA figures, given that these fields are unavailable despite a positive reported revenue base?
  • What is the debt amount underlying the Debt/Equity of 0.5 cited in the RQD rating, since the financials table lists debt as N/A for all periods?
  • What is the cash position in FY 2023, and how does the FY 2025 FCF of $-24.3M compare with the FY 2024 FCF of $-67.6M in terms of trajectory?
  • What are the terms and total share count impact of the Jet.AI acquisition-related issuance?
  • What specific insider, 13F, or Congressional transactions drove the Insider Conviction and Whale 13F Flow pillar scores, given that holder data is absent?

FLYX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for flyExclusive Inc. (Class A) (FLYX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FLYX Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FLYX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.15?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FLYX 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FLYX:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.08 (-12.2%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is FLYX (E • RQD 27/100) a Buy at $1.23?

Welcome to the FLYX (flyExclusive Inc. (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 27/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Transportation Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.93 (-24.4%)
Spot @ $1.23

Pump the brakes on FLYX — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on FLYX, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 15.0% gross margins. Unless flyExclusive Inc. (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.44 (+17.1%)
Spot @ $1.23

FLYX cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on FLYX, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Transportation Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $1.23 (52-wk range $1.05 - $8.88), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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