Why FNRN Stock advanced +0.77% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$17.11 +0.77% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.10

First Northern Community Bancorp (FNRN) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 54/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $278.4M
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FNRN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, First Northern Community Bancorp (NASDAQ: FNRN) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $17.11 (+0.77% 1D, market cap $278.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, FNRN ranks #589 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FNRN compare to WNEB and BCBP in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Savings Institutions), FNRN carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 0.0%. By comparison, WNEB (Western New England Bancorp Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 18.5x, ROIC 6.2%, cap $282.2M) and BCBP (BCB Bancorp Inc. (NJ)) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.1%, cap $264.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, WSBF leads on earnings multiple (13.5x) while CZWI leads on capital efficiency (7.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FNRN?
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Per FNRN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001114927), First Northern Community Bancorp generated $0 in revenue, $21.1K in net income, and $5.2M in free cash flow against $1.91B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.10 (-0.05%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510054
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C+
Cash (9)Whales (9)SEC (13)Macro (14)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.8% Base Target
$20 Bull$17 Base$13 Bear
📬 FREE FNRN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FNRN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (54/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FNRN SCORES 54/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 70% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 51.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
46
Grade D$16.73-2.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
49
Grade D$16.36+2.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
51
Grade C-$16.80+1.8% Next Q
Current
54
Grade D+$17.11-0.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (46) → D+ (54)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FNRN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While FNRN currently carries a cautious 54/100 (D+) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (9/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($17.07) and Max Pain ($17.97) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $20.21.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FNRN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FNRN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why FNRN Stock advanced +0.77% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

First Northern Community Bancorp (FNRN) advanced +0.77% to $17.11, trading at 70% of its 52-week range ($12.15 – $19.25). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (0% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 70% of its 52-week range ($12.15 – $19.25) with RSI-14 at 51.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5.8% around $17.11 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $5.2M annual free cash flow.
Live FNRN Headlines & Catalysts
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FNRN)

  • ✓Walkthrough of FNRN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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FNRN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +0.41%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $16.78H $17.11L $16.78C $17.11VOL 81.4K
RES: $18.93SUP: $15.70SMA50: $17.07SMA200: $16.38
$19.69$17.86$16.02$14.18$12.34RES $18.93SUP $15.70$17.112026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FNRN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FNRN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FNRN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FNRN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FNRN)

Financials Rank #589 of 1096 ⚔️ WNEB vs FNRN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (FNRN vs. WNEB, BCBP, CZWI, WSBF)

Industry: Savings Institutions (33 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, First Northern Community Bancorp (FNRN) ranks #589 by composite RQD confidence (54/100, grade D+) and #827 by equity capitalization ($278.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WSBF leads on earnings valuation at 13.5x trailing P/E, while CZWI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.7% ROIC and — gross margin. WNEB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with FNRN at 54/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FNRN ACTIVE
First Northern Community Bancorp
D+ 54/100 — — 0.0% +0.77% $278.4M Benchmark Subject
WNEB
Western New England Bancorp Inc.
C 65/100 18.5x — 6.2% -0.78% $282.2M /wneb-vs-fnrn →
BCBP
BCB Bancorp Inc. (NJ)
D 46/100 — — -4.1% +2.90% $264.8M /bcbp-vs-fnrn →
CZWI
Citizens Community Bancorp Inc.
C 62/100 15.8x — 7.7% -1.01% $228.4M /czwi-vs-fnrn →
WSBF
Waterstone Financial Inc. (MD)
C- 60/100 13.5x — 7.6% -1.41% $356.5M /wsbf-vs-fnrn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001114927

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), First Northern Community Bancorp (FNRN) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $21.1K, operating cash flow of $6.9M, and free cash flow of $5.2M (-72.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, FNRN closed FY2025 with $1.91B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $21.1K $6.9M $5.2M $1.91B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 $20.0K $19.5M $19.2M $1.89B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $21.6K $27.3M $27.3M — —

3. FNRN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FNRN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, First Northern Community Bancorp (NASDAQ: FNRN) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $17.11 (+0.77% 1D, market cap $278.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, FNRN ranks #589 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FNRN compare to WNEB and BCBP in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Savings Institutions), FNRN carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 0.0%. By comparison, WNEB (Western New England Bancorp Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 18.5x, ROIC 6.2%, cap $282.2M) and BCBP (BCB Bancorp Inc. (NJ)) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.1%, cap $264.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, WSBF leads on earnings multiple (13.5x) while CZWI leads on capital efficiency (7.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FNRN?

Per FNRN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001114927), First Northern Community Bancorp generated $0 in revenue, $21.1K in net income, and $5.2M in free cash flow against $1.91B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FNRN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FNRN last traded at $17.11 (+0.77% on volume of 67,538 shares), positioning the stock +0.23% above its 50-day simple moving average ($17.07) and +4.46% above its 200-day simple moving average ($16.38). Across its 52-week range of $12.15 to $19.25, FNRN sits at the 69.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.8% ($16.12 to $18.10).

FNRN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is FNRN stock moving today?

Why FNRN Stock advanced +0.77% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (0% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 54/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

FNRN — First Northern Community Bancorp: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:39:21Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, FNRN scores 54 out of 100, a letter grade of D+, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The Fundamental Cash Engine pillar scores 9 of 20, reflecting ROIC of 0% and an FCF yield of 1.87%; for a prospective investor, this indicates the source data shows no measured return on invested capital and modest free cash flow relative to market value. The Whale 13F Flow pillar scores 9 of 20 for institutional accumulation and options positioning, suggesting limited institutional conviction in the data provided. The Insider Conviction pillar also scores 9 of 20 for SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow, indicating weak insider signal. The Macro Regime Fit pillar scores 14 of 20, with a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity as the inputs; this is the strongest pillar and reflects market-level rather than company-specific behavior. The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scores 13 of 20, supported by an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5. Upside drivers in this framework are limited to balance sheet stability and macro alignment; valuation tradeoffs are difficult to assess because P/E and EV/EBITDA are not available in source data, and the 2.7% dividend yield must be weighed against the 0% ROIC and 0% margins shown in the market data.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$0.0M$0.0MN/A$5.2M$145.6MN/A
FY 2024$0.0M$0.0M$0.0MN/A$19.2M$119.4MN/A
FY 2023$0.0M$0.0M$0.0MN/A$27.3MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials section, reported revenue, operating income, and net income are $0.0M across the listed periods, and EPS is N/A. Market data reports 0% gross, operating, and net margins and 0% ROIC. Altman Z-Score (2.5) and Piotroski F-Score (5/9) are cited only within the Roarable RQD rating; their component calculations are not available in source data. Debt/Equity of 0.5 is cited per the Roarable RQD rating. Reported FCF declined from $27.3M in FY 2023 to $5.2M in FY 2025, while reported cash rose from $119.4M in FY 2024 to $145.6M in FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, the most recent items are headlines describing Q3 earnings with modest growth (GuruFocus, flagged GREEN as a CATALYST), a report that the company expects more upgrade costs in Q4 following a banking software replacement at a bank (Stock Titan, GREEN, CATALYST), and a Simply Wall St report that the stock cooled despite a Q3 margin lift (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE). Additional items include a MarketBeat report that the share price broke above its 50-day moving average (YELLOW), a MarketScreener report on Q3 earnings results for the period ended September 30, 2026 (YELLOW), and a MarketBeat report on quarterly earnings results (YELLOW). Risk watch items from these headlines include the flagged Q4 upgrade cost expectation. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are the P/E (TTM), forward P/E, and EPS (TTM) figures, which are absent from the market data despite a reported net margin of 0%?
  • What specific revenue, net income, and debt amounts underlie the reported $0.0M figures and N/A debt entries?
  • What are the components behind the Altman Z-Score of 2.5 and Piotroski F-Score of 5/9?
  • What is the magnitude and timing of the Q4 banking software upgrade costs referenced in the news wire?
  • What institutional, insider, or analyst positioning exists, given that the holders and analyst data sections are empty?

FNRN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for First Northern Community Bancorp (FNRN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FNRN Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FNRN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $17.11?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FNRN 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FNRN:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $18.34 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is FNRN (D+ • RQD 54/100) a Buy at $16.98?

Welcome to the FNRN (First Northern Community Bancorp) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 54/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Savings Institutions. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $14.26 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $16.98

Pump the brakes on FNRN — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on FNRN, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless First Northern Community Bancorp expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $21.06 (+24.0%)
Spot @ $16.98

FNRN cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on FNRN, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Savings Institutions and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $16.98 (52-wk range $12.15 - $19.25), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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