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Farmland Partners Inc. (FPI) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$8.58 +1.78% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.59

Farmland Partners Inc. (FPI) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $360.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on FPI Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FPI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-03, Farmland Partners Inc. (NYSE: FPI) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $8.58 (+1.78% 1D, market cap $360.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, FPI ranks #796 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FPI compare to ABR and CHCT in the Financials sector?
▼

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), FPI carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.9%. By comparison, ABR (Arbor Realty Trust) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.6%, cap $349.9M) and CHCT (Community Healthcare Trust Incorporated) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E 73.3x, ROIC 1.2%, cap $378.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FPI leads on earnings multiple (12.2x) while FPI leads on capital efficiency (5.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FPI?
▼

Per FPI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001591670), Farmland Partners Inc. generated $52.2M in revenue (-10.4% YoY), $31.5M in net income, and $17.4M in free cash flow against $719.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.59 (+0.13%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 33.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510045
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D- · Rk D
Cash (10)Whales (3)SEC (10)Macro (9)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.8% Base Target
$14 Bull$8 Base$6 Bear
📬 FREE FPI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FPI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (45/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FPI SCORES 45/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 33.4% FCF Margin ($17.4M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
53
Grade C-$10.55-6.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
50
Grade C-$9.84+2.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
48
Grade D$10.13-15.3% Next Q
Current
45
Grade D$8.58-6.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (53) → D (45)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FPI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While FPI currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($10.40) and Max Pain ($9.01) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $13.89.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FPI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FPI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 45%NO 55%Trade / Inspect Odds →
RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERSOLD (<32)
30.630 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
3 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE5% OF RANGE
L: $8$8.58H: $13
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 10 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 16 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 19 / 40
MULTI-MODEL QUANT PANEL DELIBERATION

3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning on FPI

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (50)

5.9% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 4.54% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 3/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (42)

16/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 9/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like FPI
  • ✓Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FPI)

  • ✓Walkthrough of FPI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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FPI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -18.83%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-04O $8.43H $8.58L $8.43C $8.58VOL 1.51M
RES: $12.44SUP: $8.31SMA50: $10.40SMA200: $10.68
$11.96$10.98$10.00$9.02$8.05RES $12.44SUP $8.31$8.582026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FPI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 FPI Butterfly Map → + Track FPI →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
2.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -10.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FPI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FPI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FPI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FPI)

Financials Rank #796 of 1097 ⚔️ ABR vs FPI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (FPI vs. ABR, CHCT, LAND, XRN)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Farmland Partners Inc. (FPI) ranks #796 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #772 by equity capitalization ($360.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FPI leads on earnings valuation at 12.2x trailing P/E, while FPI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.9% ROIC and — gross margin. FPI currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 45/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FPI ACTIVE
Farmland Partners Inc.
D 45/100 12.2x — 5.9% +1.78% $360.2M Benchmark Subject
ABR
Arbor Realty Trust
D- 37/100 — — 5.6% -11.21% $349.9M /abr-vs-fpi →
CHCT
Community Healthcare Trust Incorporated
D- 43/100 73.3x — 1.2% +1.07% $378.2M /chct-vs-fpi →
LAND
Gladstone Land Corporation
D- 43/100 24.9x — 2.0% +0.14% $320.1M /land-vs-fpi →
XRN
Chiron Real Estate Inc.
D- 40/100 — — -1.4% +0.96% $405.9M /xrn-vs-fpi →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001591670 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Farmland Partners Inc. (FPI) reported GAAP revenue of $52.2M (-10.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $58.2M , and -9.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $31.5M, operating cash flow of $17.4M, and free cash flow of $17.4M (+8.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, FPI closed FY2025 with $719.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $52.2M $31.5M $17.4M $17.4M $719.1M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $58.2M $59.9M $16.1M $16.1M $869.6M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $57.5M $30.9M $12.9M $12.9M — —

3. FPI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FPI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Farmland Partners Inc. (NYSE: FPI) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $8.58 (+1.78% 1D, market cap $360.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, FPI ranks #796 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FPI compare to ABR and CHCT in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), FPI carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 12.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.9%. By comparison, ABR (Arbor Realty Trust) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.6%, cap $349.9M) and CHCT (Community Healthcare Trust Incorporated) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E 73.3x, ROIC 1.2%, cap $378.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FPI leads on earnings multiple (12.2x) while FPI leads on capital efficiency (5.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FPI?

Per FPI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001591670), Farmland Partners Inc. generated $52.2M in revenue (-10.4% YoY), $31.5M in net income, and $17.4M in free cash flow against $719.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FPI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FPI last traded at $8.58 (+1.78% on volume of 1,512,249 shares), positioning the stock -17.50% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.40) and -19.66% below its 200-day simple moving average ($10.68). Across its 52-week range of $8.35 to $13.23, FPI sits at the 4.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 30.6 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.7% ($7.92 to $9.24).

Direct Sub-Reports: FPI RQD Cockpit FPI 12M Forecast FPI Earnings & Move FPI Dividends & DRIP FPI Insiders & 13F FPI Whale Options FPI Profit Sankey FPI News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 45/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

FPI — Farmland Partners Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Farmland Partners Inc. (FPI) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 45/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $8.58 (+1.78% 1D, market capitalization $360.2M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 5.9%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of 4.54%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (9/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Farmland Partners Inc. (FPI) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Financials sector, Real Estate Investment Trusts industry, profile..4B. — for further business detail.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Farmland Partners Inc. (FPI) reported $52.2M in annual revenue (up from $58.2M in FY2024, -10.4% YoY) and $31.5M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($57.5M revenue, $30.9M net income) through FY2025, FPI scaled operating cash flow to $17.4M and free cash flow to $17.4M, backed by $719.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 45/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 4.54% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $8.35 – $13.23 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 12.2x trailing P/E against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Real Estate Investment Trusts (Financials), FPI carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can FPI sustain or expand its — operating margin and 5.9% ROIC against Real Estate Investment Trusts peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $52.2M and free cash flow of $17.4M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is FPI's 11.3x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

FPI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Farmland Partners Inc. (FPI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FPI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FPI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $8.58?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FPI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FPI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $11.04 (+31.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Insider conviction scores 13/20 and FCF rose from $16.1M to $17.4M while the stock trades at a 12.2 TTM P/E.

Don't sleep on FPI's setup in Financials. Insider conviction scores 13/20 and FCF rose from $16.1M to $17.4M while the stock trades at a 12.2 TTM P/E.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (45/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@MidwestValue Agree on the RQD 45/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $8.43 and keeping dry powder in case we test $7.84.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $6.66 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $8.43

Institutional flow scores only 4/20 and the stock fell -13.13% on heavy volume, with the RQD rating flagging distribution risk.

Fading this rally in FPI at $8.43. Institutional flow scores only 4/20 and the stock fell -13.13% on heavy volume, with the RQD rating flagging distribution risk.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $8.43 (52-wk range $8.35–$13.23), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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