Freedom Holding Corp. (FRHC) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±7.6% Move

$187.00 +1.81% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $187.25

Freedom Holding Corp. (FRHC) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $11.93B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FRHC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Freedom Holding Corp. (NASDAQ: FRHC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $187.00 (+1.81% 1D, market cap $11.93B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 4/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, FRHC ranks #636 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FRHC compare to SEIC and JEF in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service), FRHC carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 76.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.0%. By comparison, SEIC (SEI Investments Company) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 17.4x, ROIC 24.2%, cap $12.26B) and JEF (Jefferies Financial Group Inc.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 7.9x, ROIC 6.0%, cap $10.59B). Among the 5-stock peer group, JEF leads on earnings multiple (7.9x) while SEIC leads on capital efficiency (24.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FRHC?
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Per FRHC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0000924805), Freedom Holding Corp. generated $2.19B in revenue (+9.3% YoY), $153.3M in net income, and -$13.5M in free cash flow against $12.38B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $187.26 (+0.14%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510050
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Cash (7)Whales (17)SEC (13)Macro (9)CEO (4)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target
$213 Bull$180 Base$141 Bear
📬 FREE FRHC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FRHC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FRHC SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+17/20 pts (34% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.6% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
42
Grade D$168.01+3.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
45
Grade D$173.48+0.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
47
Grade D$174.04+7.4% Next Q
Current
50
Grade D$187.00-1.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (42) → D (50)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FRHC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While FRHC currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($171.25) and Max Pain ($196.35) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $212.72.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FRHC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FRHC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 29, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±7.6% Swing Band

±$14.21 Expected Swing
$172.79 (-7.6%)Spot $187.00$201.21 (+7.6%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

FRHC Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 50/100

Trailing EPS: $2.40 • YoY Revenue Growth: 9.3%

Model Bullish Setup (50/100)Model Risk Weight (50/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252026-03-31$2.19B$153.3M-$13.5M52%
FY 20242025-03-31$2.00B$76.3M$1.60B52%
FY 20232024-03-31$1.65B$379.1M-$1.06B52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FRHC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of FRHC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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FRHC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +32.96%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $183.7H $187.0L $183.7C $187.0VOL 218.2K
RES: $187.2SUP: $170.3SMA50: $171.3SMA200: $149.1
$192.1$174.2$156.3$138.4$120.5RES $187.2SUP $170.3$187.02026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FRHC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +9.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FRHC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FRHC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FRHC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FRHC)

Financials Rank #636 of 1096 ⚔️ SEIC vs FRHC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (FRHC vs. SEIC, JEF, FUTU, SF)

Industry: Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service (64 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Freedom Holding Corp. (FRHC) ranks #636 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #166 by equity capitalization ($11.93B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, JEF leads on earnings valuation at 7.9x trailing P/E, while SEIC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 24.2% ROIC and — gross margin. SEIC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with FRHC at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FRHC ACTIVE
Freedom Holding Corp.
D 50/100 76.4x — 11.0% +1.81% $11.93B Benchmark Subject
SEIC
SEI Investments Company
B- 70/100 17.4x — 24.2% -1.25% $12.26B /seic-vs-frhc →
JEF
Jefferies Financial Group Inc.
D+ 58/100 7.9x — 6.0% -6.16% $10.59B /jef-vs-frhc →
FUTU
Futu Holdings Limited
C 63/100 9.8x — 10.2% -2.98% $13.80B /futu-vs-frhc →
SF
Stifel Financial Corporation
D+ 56/100 16.0x — 3.4% -2.44% $10.07B /sf-vs-frhc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0000924805

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), Freedom Holding Corp. (FRHC) reported GAAP revenue of $2.19B (+9.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.00B , and +33.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $153.3M, operating cash flow of $185.2M, and free cash flow of -$13.5M (-100.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, FRHC closed FY2025 with $12.38B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-03-31 $2.19B $153.3M $185.2M -$13.5M $12.38B —
FY2024 (FY) 2025-03-31 $2.00B $76.3M $1.68B $1.60B $9.14B —
FY2023 (FY) 2024-03-31 $1.65B $379.1M -$1.06B -$1.06B — —

3. FRHC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FRHC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Freedom Holding Corp. (NASDAQ: FRHC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $187.00 (+1.81% 1D, market cap $11.93B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 4/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, FRHC ranks #636 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FRHC compare to SEIC and JEF in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service), FRHC carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 76.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.0%. By comparison, SEIC (SEI Investments Company) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 17.4x, ROIC 24.2%, cap $12.26B) and JEF (Jefferies Financial Group Inc.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 7.9x, ROIC 6.0%, cap $10.59B). Among the 5-stock peer group, JEF leads on earnings multiple (7.9x) while SEIC leads on capital efficiency (24.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FRHC?

Per FRHC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0000924805), Freedom Holding Corp. generated $2.19B in revenue (+9.3% YoY), $153.3M in net income, and -$13.5M in free cash flow against $12.38B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FRHC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FRHC last traded at $187.00 (+1.81% on volume of 218,175 shares), positioning the stock +9.20% above its 50-day simple moving average ($171.25) and +25.40% above its 200-day simple moving average ($149.12). Across its 52-week range of $107.97 to $187.79, FRHC sits at the 99.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 65.4 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.6% ($172.79 to $201.21).

FRHC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is FRHC's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Freedom Holding Corp. (FRHC)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 29, 2026.

How much is FRHC stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±7.6% event move for FRHC, spanning a range between $172.79 and $201.21.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 50/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

FRHC — Freedom Holding Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:15:46Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, FRHC scores 47 out of 100, a D grade, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 (ROIC 11%; FCF yield -0.12%), Whale 13F Flow at 12/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 4/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 11/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 5/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).

For a prospective investor, the weakest pillar is insider conviction, and the cash engine is also weak: the negative FCF yield means the company is not currently generating free cash relative to its valuation. The forensic balance sheet is the strongest pillar, with a middling Altman Z-Score, a Piotroski F-Score of 5 out of 9, and moderate leverage. Upside drivers in this framework are institutional accumulation and balance sheet resilience. The main valuation tradeoff is that the stock trades at a P/E (TTM) of 76.4 and a forward P/E of 71.1, which the rating's cash-generation pillars do not support. Beta of 1.0 means the stock is expected to move roughly with the broader market, so the rating's macro pillar contributes modestly rather than as a distinct risk.

Business

Per the profile, Freedom Holding Corp. (FRHC) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Financials sector, Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service industry. The source data does not describe its products, customer base, or revenue model beyond this classification. Its market capitalization is $11.7B per the market data section.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$2191.3M$0.0M$153.3MN/A$-13.5M$869.2MN/A
FY 2024$2004.2M$0.0M$76.3MN/A$1600.2M$577.9MN/A
FY 2023$1647.3M$0.0M$379.1MN/A$-1064.4MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $1647.3M (FY 2023) to $2191.3M (FY 2025), while net income moved from $379.1M to $153.3M over the same span. Per the market data section, the net margin is 7%, and gross and operating margins are each reported as 0%. The source reports ROIC of 11%, an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, a Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5. FCF was negative in FY 2025 (-$13.5M) and FY 2023 (-$1064.4M), positive in FY 2024 ($1600.2M).

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

The news wire contains six items, all tagged to FRHC and all flagged YELLOW with the impact label MARKET WIRE. Headlines reference a Yahoo Finance Canada quote and history page; a claim that the stock could be 64% overvalued following a greenest-companies recognition; a GuruFocus note that the stock is up 4.6% while GF Value suggests it is overvalued; a Stock Titan item on a planned Kazakhstan cloud for 2027; a MarketBeat note that the stock set a new 52-week high; and a Simply Wall St piece questioning whether the stock is already priced high. The butterfly supply-chain graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply chain status is NONE, with no butterfly links. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations beyond the sector and industry classification, and second-order bottlenecks are not available in source data. The only sector-level context is the Financials / Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service classification.

Open Questions

  • What is the company's business mix and revenue breakdown, given that the source data gives only a sector classification?
  • Why are operating income, gross margin, and EPS reported as zero or N/A across all periods?
  • What is the debt level and cash position for FY 2023 and FY 2024, where the source reports N/A?
  • What drove the swing in net income from $379.1M (FY 2023) to $76.3M (FY 2024) before recovering to $153.3M (FY 2025)?
  • Does the FY 2024 FCF of $1600.2M reflect recurring cash generation, given the negative FCF in the other two periods?

FRHC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Freedom Holding Corp. (FRHC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FRHC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FRHC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $187.00?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FRHC 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FRHC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $201.96 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is FRHC (D • RQD 47/100) a Buy at $187.00?

Welcome to the FRHC (Freedom Holding Corp.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 47/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (76.4x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $157.08 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $187.00

Pump the brakes on FRHC — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on FRHC, but look at what you are paying: 76.4x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Freedom Holding Corp. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $222.53 (+19.0%)
Spot @ $187.00

FRHC cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on FRHC, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $187.00 (52-wk range $107.98 - $187.79), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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