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Stock Ratings / Technology / FROG / news
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Why FROG Stock dropped -9.83% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$85.11 -9.83% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $83.44

JFrog Ltd. (FROG) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $11.64B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FROG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, JFrog Ltd. (NASDAQ: FROG) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $85.11 (-9.83% 1D, market cap $11.64B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 10/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, FROG ranks #152 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FROG compare to HUBS and FIG in the Technology sector?
▼

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), FROG carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 76.8%, and ROIC of -7.2%. By comparison, HUBS (HubSpot Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.3%, cap $11.71B) and FIG (Figma Inc.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $11.54B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PAYC leads on earnings multiple (25.9x) while PAYC leads on capital efficiency (11.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FROG?
▼

Per FROG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001800667), JFrog Ltd. generated $531.8M in revenue (+24.1% YoY), -$71.8M in net income, and $142.3M in free cash flow against $1.34B in total assets and $204.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $83.44 (-1.96%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 26.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510064
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw C- · Rk B-
Cash (13)Whales (13)SEC (16)Macro (12)CEO (10)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
$111 Bull$87 Base$68 Bear
📬 FREE FROG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FROG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FROG SCORES 64/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 16.24 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (20% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 26.8% FCF Margin ($142.3M FCF) & 76.8% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.52% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 10 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
72
Grade B$91.96+4.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
69
Grade B-$96.30+4.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
67
Grade B-$100.47-15.3% Next Q
Current
64
Grade C$85.11+1.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (72) → C (64)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the FROG Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 64/100 (C) score, FROG faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (+0.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 74.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($94.49) or 200D SMA ($72.38) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($87.41) toward Bear Floor ($68.18).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FROG• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FROG Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 64%NO 36%Trade / Inspect Odds →
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why FROG Stock dropped -9.83% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

JFrog Ltd. (FROG) dropped -9.83% to $85.11, trading at 71% of its 52-week range ($34.05 – $105.76). Solid 76.8% gross margin (-7% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 71% of its 52-week range ($34.05 – $105.76) with RSI-14 at 48 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $85.11 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 76.8% gross margin and $142.3M annual free cash flow.
Live FROG Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (FROG Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
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FROG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +61.87%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $98.83H $98.83L $85.11C $85.11VOL 2.13M
RES: $103.1SUP: $85.11SMA50: $94.49SMA200: $72.38
$110.1$92.18$74.27$56.36$38.45RES $103.1SUP $85.11$85.112026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FROG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 FROG Butterfly Map → + Track FROG →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
16.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +24.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FROG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FROG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FROG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FROG)

Technology Rank #152 of 715 ⚔️ HUBS vs FROG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (FROG vs. HUBS, FIG, PAYC, SAIL)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, JFrog Ltd. (FROG) ranks #152 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #140 by equity capitalization ($11.64B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PAYC leads on earnings valuation at 25.9x trailing P/E, while PAYC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.7% ROIC and 83.2% gross margin. PAYC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with FROG at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FROG ACTIVE
JFrog Ltd.
C 64/100 — 76.8% -7.2% -9.83% $11.64B Benchmark Subject
HUBS
HubSpot Inc.
C 65/100 — 83.8% 0.3% -0.59% $11.71B /hubs-vs-frog →
FIG
Figma Inc.
D+ 57/100 — 82.4% -35.0% +2.54% $11.54B /fig-vs-frog →
PAYC
Paycom Software Inc.
B- 70/100 25.9x 83.2% 11.7% +0.70% $11.91B /payc-vs-frog →
SAIL
SailPoint Inc.
C 65/100 — 64.5% -3.6% -8.88% $12.02B /sail-vs-frog →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001800667 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), JFrog Ltd. (FROG) reported GAAP revenue of $531.8M (+24.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $428.5M , and +52.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$71.8M, operating cash flow of $145.7M, and free cash flow of $142.3M (+32.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, FROG closed FY2025 with $1.34B in total assets against $204.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 16.24, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $531.8M -$71.8M $145.7M $142.3M $1.34B $204.3M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $428.5M -$69.2M $110.9M $107.8M $1.13B $160.4M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $349.9M -$61.3M $74.2M $58.4M $6.70B $1.57B

3. FROG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FROG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, JFrog Ltd. (NASDAQ: FROG) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $85.11 (-9.83% 1D, market cap $11.64B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 10/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, FROG ranks #152 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FROG compare to HUBS and FIG in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), FROG carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 76.8%, and ROIC of -7.2%. By comparison, HUBS (HubSpot Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.3%, cap $11.71B) and FIG (Figma Inc.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $11.54B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PAYC leads on earnings multiple (25.9x) while PAYC leads on capital efficiency (11.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FROG?

Per FROG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001800667), JFrog Ltd. generated $531.8M in revenue (+24.1% YoY), -$71.8M in net income, and $142.3M in free cash flow against $1.34B in total assets and $204.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FROG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FROG last traded at $85.11 (-9.83% on volume of 3,030,937 shares), positioning the stock -9.93% below its 50-day simple moving average ($94.49) and +17.59% above its 200-day simple moving average ($72.38). Across its 52-week range of $34.05 to $105.76, FROG sits at the 71.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($74.47 to $95.75).

Direct Sub-Reports: FROG RQD Cockpit FROG 12M Forecast FROG Earnings & Move FROG Dividends & DRIP FROG Insiders & 13F FROG Whale Options FROG Profit Sankey FROG News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 64/100 (C) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

FROG — JFrog Ltd.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

JFrog Ltd. (FROG) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 64/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $85.11 (-9.83% 1D, market capitalization $11.64B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -7.2%, gross margin of 76.8%, operating margin of -17.3%, and free cash flow yield of 1.17%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (13/20) + Insider Conviction (10/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (12/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 1.16x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 16.24, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.21x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

JFrog Ltd. (FROG) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, classified under Computer Software: Prepackaged Software per the company profile. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 76.8%, indicating a high-gross-margin software profile. — for further business detail.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), JFrog Ltd. (FROG) reported $531.8M in annual revenue (up from $428.5M in FY2024, +24.1% YoY) and -$71.8M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($349.9M revenue, -$61.3M net income) through FY2025, FROG scaled operating cash flow to $145.7M and free cash flow to $142.3M, backed by $1.34B in total assets against $204.3M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 64/100): Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. Free cash flow yield of 1.17% and institutional whale pillar of 13/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 13/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $34.05 – $105.76 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -17.3% operating margins and a 1.16x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are therefore — The only sector-level context is the Technology sector and Prepackaged Software industry classification, combined with the Beta of 1.16 from the market data.

  • Key Question #1: Can FROG sustain or expand its -17.3% operating margin and -7.2% ROIC against Computer Software: Prepackaged Software peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $531.8M and free cash flow of $142.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $204.3M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is FROG's 23.0x forward P/E multiple to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.16x)?

FROG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for JFrog Ltd. (FROG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FROG Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FROG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $85.11?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FROG 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FROG:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
TA TapeReader_Pro RQD DEBATE OPENER • Price Action & Volume Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $118.93 (+26.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet scores 16/20 with Altman Z 16.24 and Piotroski F 7/9, and revenue grew from $349.9M to $531.8M over FY 2023–FY 2

Long FROG at $94.39 targeting $118.93. Forensic balance sheet scores 16/20 with Altman Z 16.24 and Piotroski F 7/9, and revenue grew from $349.9M to $531.8M over FY 2023–FY 2025.. Institutional whale score is 13/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $34.05 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@TapeReader_Pro Agree on the RQD 64/100 quality, though with 1.16 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $94.39 and keeping dry powder in case we test $87.78.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $70.79 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $94.39

Operating margin of -17.3% and ROIC of -7.2% persist alongside a forward P/E of 23 and negative EPS of -0.58.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on FROG: Operating margin of -17.3% and ROIC of -7.2% persist alongside a forward P/E of 23 and negative EPS of -0.58.. At 23.0x forward P/E, even a small guidance miss in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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