FRP Holdings Inc. (FRPH) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±5.8% Move

$18.75 -1.00% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.68

FRP Holdings Inc. (FRPH) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 28/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $360.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FRPH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, FRP Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: FRPH) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $18.75 (-1.00% 1D, market cap $360.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, FRPH ranks #1036 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FRPH compare to BOC and ARL in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), FRPH carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 114.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 1.3%. By comparison, BOC (Boston Omaha Corporation (Class A)) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.6%, cap $389.8M) and ARL (American Realty Investors Inc.) posts a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E 18.4x, ROIC -0.8%, cap $298.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARL leads on earnings multiple (18.4x) while FRPH leads on capital efficiency (1.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FRPH?
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Per FRPH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000844059), FRP Holdings Inc. generated $42.8M in revenue (+2.6% YoY), $3.2M in net income, and -$21.5M in free cash flow against $735.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.68 (-0.37%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (28/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510028
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (7)Whales (3)SEC (10)Macro (5)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-13.5% Base Target
$27 Bull$16 Base$13 Bear
📬 FREE FRPH RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FRPH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (28/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FRPH SCORES 28/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (36% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+7/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
36
Grade E$19.99-5.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
33
Grade E$18.90-1.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
31
Grade E$18.67+0.4% Next Q
Current
28
Grade E$18.75-10% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (36) → E (28)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FRPH Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While FRPH currently carries a cautious 28/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($20.61) and Max Pain ($19.69) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $27.03.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FRPH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FRPH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±5.8% Swing Band

±$1.09 Expected Swing
$17.66 (-5.8%)Spot $18.75$19.84 (+5.8%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

FRPH Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 28/100

Trailing EPS: $0.17 • YoY Revenue Growth: 2.6%

Model Bullish Setup (28/100)Model Risk Weight (72/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$42.8M$3.2M-$21.5M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$41.8M$6.4M-$22.2M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$41.5M$5.3M$33.0M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FRPH)

  • ✓Walkthrough of FRPH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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FRPH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -10.29%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $18.94H $18.94L $18.75C $18.75VOL 107.9K
RES: $19.02SUP: $18.08SMA50: $20.61SMA200: $22.37
$26.26$24.10$21.93$19.76$17.60RES $19.02SUP $18.08$18.752026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FRPH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FRPH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FRPH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FRPH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FRPH)

Financials Rank #1036 of 1096 ⚔️ BOC vs FRPH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (FRPH vs. BOC, ARL, OPI, TRC)

Industry: Real Estate (54 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, FRP Holdings Inc. (FRPH) ranks #1036 by composite RQD confidence (28/100, grade E) and #771 by equity capitalization ($360.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ARL leads on earnings valuation at 18.4x trailing P/E, while FRPH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 1.3% ROIC and — gross margin. TRC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 44/100 (D) compared with FRPH at 28/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FRPH ACTIVE
FRP Holdings Inc.
E 28/100 114.6x — 1.3% -1.00% $360.0M Benchmark Subject
BOC
Boston Omaha Corporation (Class A)
E 31/100 — — -0.6% -0.38% $389.8M /boc-vs-frph →
ARL
American Realty Investors Inc.
D- 38/100 18.4x — -0.8% +3.13% $298.0M /arl-vs-frph →
OPI
Office Properties Income Trust of
E 22/100 — — -30.9% -1.82% $295.9M /opi-vs-frph →
TRC
Tejon Ranch Co
D 44/100 — — -1.3% -2.27% $442.6M /trc-vs-frph →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000844059

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), FRP Holdings Inc. (FRPH) reported GAAP revenue of $42.8M (+2.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $41.8M , and +3.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $3.2M, operating cash flow of $29.7M, and free cash flow of -$21.5M (+3.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, FRPH closed FY2025 with $735.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $42.8M $3.2M $29.7M -$21.5M $735.1M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $41.8M $6.4M $29.0M -$22.2M $728.5M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $41.5M $5.3M $33.0M $33.0M — —

3. FRPH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FRPH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, FRP Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: FRPH) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $18.75 (-1.00% 1D, market cap $360.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, FRPH ranks #1036 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FRPH compare to BOC and ARL in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), FRPH carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 114.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 1.3%. By comparison, BOC (Boston Omaha Corporation (Class A)) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.6%, cap $389.8M) and ARL (American Realty Investors Inc.) posts a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E 18.4x, ROIC -0.8%, cap $298.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARL leads on earnings multiple (18.4x) while FRPH leads on capital efficiency (1.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FRPH?

Per FRPH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000844059), FRP Holdings Inc. generated $42.8M in revenue (+2.6% YoY), $3.2M in net income, and -$21.5M in free cash flow against $735.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FRPH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FRPH last traded at $18.75 (-1.00% on volume of 107,889 shares), positioning the stock -9.02% below its 50-day simple moving average ($20.61) and -16.18% below its 200-day simple moving average ($22.37). Across its 52-week range of $18.27 to $25.74, FRPH sits at the 6.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.8% ($17.66 to $19.84).

FRPH Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is FRPH's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, FRP Holdings Inc. (FRPH)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is FRPH stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±5.8% event move for FRPH, spanning a range between $17.66 and $19.84.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 28/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

FRPH — FRP Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:37:44Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, FRPH scores 28 out of 100 and receives a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 (ROIC 1.3%; FCF yield -5.9%), Whale 13F Flow at 3/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 3/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 5/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 3/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). Every pillar sits in the lower half of its range. The weakest signals are the cash engine, where the FCF yield is negative, and the ownership-flow pillars, which are both at 3/20. The balance sheet is the relatively stronger pillar but still scores only 10/20. For a prospective investor, the rating points to a stock whose current cash generation does not support its valuation, with limited positive signal from institutions or insiders. Per the market data, the P/E (TTM) of 114.6 and the ROIC of 1.3% indicate that the price is paid for earnings that are small relative to the share price. The rating is a quantitative summary of the supplied data and not a recommendation to act.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
18.94$363.6M114.6106.67.20.170%1.0$18.27 - $25.741.3%

Business

FRP Holdings Inc. (FRPH) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Financials sector and the Real Estate industry, per the company profile. Per the financials, the company reported revenue of $42.8M for FY 2025 and $41.8M for FY 2024. Source data does not describe its specific products, customer base, or revenue model beyond the sector and industry classification.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$42.8M$7.0M$3.2MN/A$-21.5MN/AN/A
FY 2024$41.8M$11.7M$6.4MN/A$-22.2M$148.6MN/A
FY 2023$41.5M$11.7M$5.3MN/A$33.0MN/AN/A

Per the market data, the operating margin is 16.4%, the net margin is 7.4%, and the ROIC is 1.3%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 3/9, and the Debt/Equity ratio is 0.5. Free cash flow was negative in FY 2025 and FY 2024 and positive in FY 2023. Net income declined from $6.4M in FY 2024 to $3.2M in FY 2025. Source data does not report debt levels for any period.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Earnings call scheduling (Stock Titan, CATALYST-adjacent, YELLOW): A call is set for 9 a.m. Nov. 5, after FRP Holdings expects to release results.
  • Q2 2026 earnings headline (GREEN, CATALYST): A headline describes a "Near-Breakeven Result as Shares Edge Lower," with the source attributed to a non-financial domain.
  • Risk-watch items (RED, RISK WATCH): Two Stock Traders Daily headlines are flagged RED under RISK WATCH; their content in the source is limited to headlines and generic summaries.
  • Market wire items (YELLOW): A Yahoo Finance comparison with AMREP and a Yahoo! Finance Canada quote page are tagged as MARKET WIRE with no specific fundamental content in the summaries.

The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports supply_chain as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply chain is NONE, no butterfly links are recorded, and no proprietary signals are present. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are not available in source data.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's specific properties, tenants, or revenue segments, given that the source data gives only the sector and industry labels?
  • What are the total cash and debt balances in FY 2025, since the financial records show N/A for both in that period?
  • Why did free cash flow remain negative in FY 2024 and FY 2025 when operating income was positive?
  • What does the reported near-breakeven Q2 2026 result consist of, and does it change the FY 2025 trend?
  • What institutional or insider activity underlies the 3/20 whale-flow and insider-conviction pillars, since the holders data is absent?

FRPH Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for FRP Holdings Inc. (FRPH) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FRPH Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FRPH Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $18.75?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FRPH 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FRPH:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $16.67 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is FRPH (E • RQD 28/100) a Buy at $18.94?

Welcome to the FRPH (FRP Holdings Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 28/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Real Estate. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (114.6x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $14.39 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $18.94

Pump the brakes on FRPH — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on FRPH, but look at what you are paying: 114.6x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless FRP Holdings Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $23.11 (+22.0%)
Spot @ $18.94

FRPH cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on FRPH, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Real Estate and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $18.94 (52-wk range $18.27 - $25.74), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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