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AVPT (70) FRSH (69) APPN (64) MNDY (63) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Fastly Inc. (FSLY) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$20.60 -10.88% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.16

Fastly Inc. (FSLY) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $3.68B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FSLY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Fastly Inc. (NASDAQ: FSLY) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $20.60 (-10.88% 1D, market cap $3.68B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, FSLY ranks #239 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FSLY compare to AVPT and FRSH in the Technology sector?
β–Ό

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), FSLY carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 57.1%, and ROIC of -8.8%. By comparison, AVPT (AvePoint Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 105.5x, ROIC 8.9%, cap $3.62B) and FRSH (Freshworks Inc.) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 21.3x, ROIC 1.5%, cap $3.84B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FRSH leads on earnings multiple (21.3x) while AVPT leads on capital efficiency (8.9% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FSLY?
β–Ό

Per FSLY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001517413), Fastly Inc. generated $624.0M in revenue (+14.8% YoY), -$121.7M in net income, and $65.8M in free cash flow against $1.50B in total assets and $323.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.16 (-2.15%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.04% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) β€’ 10.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 52.7% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D+
025507510058
Quant Analyst Panel Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D+ Β· Rk C-
Cash (12)Whales (10)SEC (12)Macro (12)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target
$37 Bull$21 Base$16 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE FSLY RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FSLY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY FSLY SCORES 58/100 (D+) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 10.5% FCF Margin ($65.8M FCF) & 57.1% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.66 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 8/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-10 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
66
Grade B-$25.00-6.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
63
Grade C+$23.30+16% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
61
Grade C$27.03-23.8% Next Q
Current
58
Grade D+$20.60+0% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: B- (66) β†’ D+ (58)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the FSLY Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, FSLY faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.04% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 54.6% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($24.54) or 200D SMA ($21.70) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($20.60) toward Bear Floor ($16.07).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FSLYβ€’ $4.8M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œFSLY Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 58%NO 42%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (FSLY)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for FSLY.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FSLY)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of FSLY's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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FSLY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -25.06%β–Ό SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-03O $25.64H $25.64L $20.60C $20.60VOL 5.99M
RES: $31.99SUP: $21.08SMA50: $24.54SMA200: $21.70
$34.14$28.46$22.78$17.11$11.43RES $31.99SUP $21.08$20.602026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FSLY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ FSLY Butterfly Map β†’ + Track FSLY β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
16.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +14.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FSLY today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FSLY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FSLY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FSLY)

Technology Rank #239 of 715 βš”οΈ AVPT vs FSLY Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (FSLY vs. AVPT, FRSH, APPN, MNDY)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Fastly Inc. (FSLY) ranks #239 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #234 by equity capitalization ($3.68B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FRSH leads on earnings valuation at 21.3x trailing P/E, while AVPT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.9% ROIC and 74.1% gross margin. AVPT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with FSLY at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FSLY ACTIVE
Fastly Inc.
D+ 58/100 β€” 57.1% -8.8% -10.88% $3.68B Benchmark Subject
AVPT
AvePoint Inc.
B- 70/100 105.5x 74.1% 8.9% -2.22% $3.62B /avpt-vs-fsly β†’
FRSH
Freshworks Inc.
C+ 69/100 21.3x 85.0% 1.5% -3.46% $3.84B /frsh-vs-fsly β†’
APPN
Appian Corporation
C 64/100 β€” 72.5% 0.2% -0.71% $3.52B /appn-vs-fsly β†’
MNDY
monday.com Ltd.
C 63/100 34.2x 89.2% -0.4% -0.36% $4.10B /mndy-vs-fsly β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001517413 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Fastly Inc. (FSLY) reported GAAP revenue of $624.0M (+14.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $543.7M , and +12.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$121.7M, operating cash flow of $94.4M, and free cash flow of $65.8M (+982.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, FSLY closed FY2025 with $1.50B in total assets against $323.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.66, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $624.0M -$121.7M $94.4M $65.8M $1.50B $323.3M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $543.7M -$158.1M $16.4M $6.1M $1.45B $337.6M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $554.5M -$133.1M $362.0K $362.0K $2.25B $525.7M

3. FSLY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FSLY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Fastly Inc. (NASDAQ: FSLY) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $20.60 (-10.88% 1D, market cap $3.68B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, FSLY ranks #239 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FSLY compare to AVPT and FRSH in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), FSLY carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 57.1%, and ROIC of -8.8%. By comparison, AVPT (AvePoint Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 105.5x, ROIC 8.9%, cap $3.62B) and FRSH (Freshworks Inc.) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 21.3x, ROIC 1.5%, cap $3.84B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FRSH leads on earnings multiple (21.3x) while AVPT leads on capital efficiency (8.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FSLY?

Per FSLY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001517413), Fastly Inc. generated $624.0M in revenue (+14.8% YoY), -$121.7M in net income, and $65.8M in free cash flow against $1.50B in total assets and $323.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FSLY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FSLY last traded at $20.60 (-10.88% on volume of 5,941,935 shares), positioning the stock -16.06% below its 50-day simple moving average ($24.54) and -5.07% below its 200-day simple moving average ($21.70). Across its 52-week range of $7.87 to $34.82, FSLY sits at the 47.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($18.02 to $23.18).

Direct Sub-Reports: FSLY RQD Cockpit FSLY 12M Forecast FSLY Earnings & Move FSLY Dividends & DRIP FSLY Insiders & 13F FSLY Whale Options FSLY Profit Sankey FSLY News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 58/100 (D+) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

FSLY β€” Fastly Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Fastly Inc. (FSLY) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 58/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $20.60 (-10.88% 1D, market capitalization $3.68B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -8.8%, gross margin of 57.1%, operating margin of -19.1%, and free cash flow yield of 1.61%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (10/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (12/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (12/20): Incorporates a 1.42x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.66, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.35x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Fastly Inc. (FSLY) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Technology sector and the Computer Software: Prepackaged Software industry. Per the market data, it reports a gross margin of 57.1%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Fastly Inc. (FSLY) reported $624.0M in annual revenue (up from $543.7M in FY2024, +14.8% YoY) and -$121.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($554.5M revenue, -$133.1M net income) through FY2025, FSLY scaled operating cash flow to $94.4M and free cash flow to $65.8M, backed by $1.50B in total assets against $323.3M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D+ β€’ RQD 58/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 1.61% and institutional whale pillar of 10/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 10/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $7.87 – $34.82 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins. Investors must weigh current valuation against -19.1% operating margins and a 1.42x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (Technology), FSLY carries a macro regime beta of 1.42 and gross margin of 57.1%.

  • Key Question #1: Can FSLY sustain or expand its -19.1% operating margin and -8.8% ROIC against Computer Software: Prepackaged Software peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $624.0M and free cash flow of $65.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $323.3M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is FSLY's 23.0x forward P/E multiple to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.42x)?

FSLY Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Fastly Inc. (FSLY) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to FSLY Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FSLY Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $20.60?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FSLY 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FSLY:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Swing & Catalyst Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $30.06 (+30.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Whale 13F Flow pillar scores 14/20 and the forensic balance sheet shows Piotroski F 8/9 and Altman Z 3

Here is why I am bullish on FSLY here at $23.12: Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Whale 13F Flow pillar scores 14/20 and the forensic balance sheet shows Piotroski F 8/9 and Altman Z 3.66, suggesting institutional interest and financial stability.. Compare FSLY's -19.1% operating margin and -8.8% ROIC against the rest of Computer Software: Prepackaged Software. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $21.96 are getting bought.

ArenaChamp_24 πŸ‚ BULL

@BreakoutHunter Agree on the RQD 58/100 quality, though with 1.42 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $23.12 and keeping dry powder in case we test $21.50.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $19.19 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $23.12

Per the market data, operating margin is -19.1% and ROIC is -8.8%, indicating the company is not yet earning positive returns on its op

Per the market data, operating margin is -19.1% and ROIC is -8.8%, indicating the company is not yet earning positive returns on its operating capital.. Look at the math on FSLY: paying 23.0x forward P/E for -8.8% ROIC and -19.1% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Computer Software: Prepackaged Software demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $20.35 before getting long.

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