Yahoo Finance report covering Federal Signal Corporation (FSS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why FSS Stock dropped -2.20% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Federal Signal Corporation (FSS) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is FSS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Federal Signal Corporation (NYSE: FSS) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $112.67 (-2.20% 1D, market cap $7.03B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FSS ranks #221 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does FSS compare to VFS and NIO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Manufacturing), FSS carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 28.5x, gross margin of 28.9%, and ROIC of 15.5%. By comparison, VFS (VinFast Auto Ltd.) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $8.05B) and NIO (NIO Inc. American) posts a E grade (17/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $8.32B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OSK leads on earnings multiple (11.4x) while FSS leads on capital efficiency (15.5% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FSS?
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Per FSS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000277509), Federal Signal Corporation generated $2.18B in revenue (+17.1% YoY), $246.6M in net income, and $227.1M in free cash flow against $2.39B in total assets and $454.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (29% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 10.4% FCF Margin ($227.1M FCF) & 28.9% Gross Margin
Altman Z-Score 6.61 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9
Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (51.3) create a -11 pt regime headwind
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the FSS Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 66/100 (C+) score, FSS faces multiple-compression risk if 28.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 26.4% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($115.07) or 200D SMA ($115.72) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($116.73) toward Bear Floor ($91.05).
Why FSS Stock dropped -2.20% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Federal Signal Corporation (FSS) dropped -2.20% to $112.67, trading at 34% of its 52-week range ($101.19 – $134.51). Solid 29% profit margin (16% return on capital), mixed timing at 29x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 34% of its 52-week range ($101.19 – $134.51) with RSI-14 at 51.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.3% around $112.67 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 28.9% gross margin and $227.1M annual free cash flow.
Seeking Alpha report covering Federal Signal Corporation (FSS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
marketscreener.com report covering Federal Signal Corporation (FSS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Federal Signal Corporation (FSS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Federal Signal Corporation (FSS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Federal Signal Corporation (FSS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Federal Signal Corporation (FSS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Federal Signal reported record third quarter 2026 results, with sales of US$655.5 million, net income of US$79.6 million, higher earnings per share, narrowed full year sales guidance, and a quarterly dividend of US$0.15
Event catalyst for Federal Signal shares Federal Signal (FSS) tightened its 2026 sales outlook to a range of US$2.61b to US$2.64b after reporting third quarter revenue of US$655.5m and net income of US$79.6m. At a share
Federal Signal (NYSE:FSS) reported record third quarter results, citing strong operational performance and solid demand across its portfolio. The business closed its acquisition of Global Vacuum Systems, adding liquid va
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (FSS Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
FSS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +17.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FSS today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FSS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FSS)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (FSS vs. VFS, NIO, OSK, XPEV)
Industry: Auto Manufacturing (28 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Federal Signal Corporation (FSS) ranks #221 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #219 by equity capitalization ($7.03B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, OSK leads on earnings valuation at 11.4x trailing P/E, while FSS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.5% ROIC and 28.9% gross margin. FSS currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 66/100 (C+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSS
ACTIVE
Federal Signal Corporation | C+ | 66/100 | 28.5x | 28.9% | 15.5% | -2.20% | $7.03B | Benchmark Subject |
| VFS VinFast Auto Ltd. | D- | 36/100 | — | -30.0% | -35.0% | -4.94% | $8.05B | /vfs-vs-fss → |
| NIO NIO Inc. American | E | 17/100 | — | 13.6% | -35.0% | -3.31% | $8.32B | /nio-vs-fss → |
| OSK Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Company) | C | 64/100 | 11.4x | 17.5% | 14.4% | +3.45% | $8.35B | /osk-vs-fss → |
| XPEV XPeng Inc. American | D+ | 52/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | -1.52% | $8.80B | /xpev-vs-fss → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000277509In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Federal Signal Corporation (FSS) reported GAAP revenue of $2.18B (+17.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.86B , and +26.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $246.6M, operating cash flow of $254.7M, and free cash flow of $227.1M (+19.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, FSS closed FY2025 with $2.39B in total assets against $454.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 6.61, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $2.18B | $246.6M | $254.7M | $227.1M | $2.39B | $454.8M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $1.86B | $216.3M | $231.3M | $190.7M | $1.77B | $260.6M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.72B | $157.4M | $194.4M | $116.9M | $3.87B | $905.1M |
3. FSS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs FSS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Federal Signal Corporation (NYSE: FSS) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $112.67 (-2.20% 1D, market cap $7.03B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FSS ranks #221 in composite RQD confidence.
How does FSS compare to VFS and NIO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Manufacturing), FSS carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 28.5x, gross margin of 28.9%, and ROIC of 15.5%. By comparison, VFS (VinFast Auto Ltd.) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $8.05B) and NIO (NIO Inc. American) posts a E grade (17/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $8.32B). Among the 5-stock peer group, OSK leads on earnings multiple (11.4x) while FSS leads on capital efficiency (15.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FSS?
Per FSS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000277509), Federal Signal Corporation generated $2.18B in revenue (+17.1% YoY), $246.6M in net income, and $227.1M in free cash flow against $2.39B in total assets and $454.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (29% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is FSS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
FSS last traded at $112.67 (-2.20% on volume of 539,265 shares), positioning the stock -2.09% below its 50-day simple moving average ($115.07) and -2.64% below its 200-day simple moving average ($115.72). Across its 52-week range of $101.19 to $134.51, FSS sits at the 34.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.3% ($104.45 to $120.89).
FSS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is FSS stock moving today?
Why FSS Stock dropped -2.20% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 29% profit margin (16% return on capital), mixed timing at 29x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
FSS — Federal Signal Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, FSS scores 66 out of 100, earning a C+ and the verdict "Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout." The five pillars are:
- Fundamental Cash Engine (17/20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 15.5% and an FCF yield of 3.23%. This is the strongest pillar and suggests the core operating business generates solid returns on capital, though the FCF yield implies the market is paying a premium for those cash flows.
- Whale 13F Flow (10/20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, institutional accumulation and options positioning score mid-range. The source data does not provide the underlying 13F holdings detail, so the drivers of this score cannot be independently verified here.
- Insider Conviction (15/20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow score moderately well. The underlying transaction records are not included in the source data.
- Macro Regime Fit (9/20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this is the weakest pillar, reflecting a beta of 1.04 and sector sensitivity. A prospective investor should note that the stock tends to move in line with the broader market and that this pillar pulls the overall score down.
- Forensic Balance Sheet (15/20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects an Altman Z-Score of 6.61, a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.31. These are strong forensic readings for the balance sheet.
Taken together, the investor implication is that the business quality and balance-sheet metrics are supportive, while macro sensitivity and the valuation (P/E TTM of 28.5 against a forward P/E of 23.9) represent the main tradeoffs. The "Watch for Breakout" language in the verdict implies the rating is near the threshold between neutral and more constructive readings, so the score alone does not indicate a directional call.
Snapshot
Business
Federal Signal Corporation is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector and Auto Manufacturing industry, per the profile section. Not available in source data: a description of specific products, end customers, or revenue model. The source data does not describe what the company sells, to whom, or how it earns revenue beyond the sector and industry classification.
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $2180.5M | $340.9M | $246.6M | N/A | $227.1M | $63.7M | $454.8M |
| FY 2024 | $1861.5M | $281.4M | $216.3M | N/A | $190.7M | $91.1M | $260.6M |
| FY 2023 | $1722.7M | $224.5M | $157.4M | N/A | $116.9M | N/A | $905.1M |
Per the SEC financials, revenue, operating income, net income, and free cash flow each rose across the three reported periods. Per the market data, gross margin is 28.9%, operating margin 15.6%, and net margin 11.3%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 15.5%, the Altman Z-Score is 6.61, and the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Debt/Equity is 0.31. Debt was $905.1M in FY 2023, $260.6M in FY 2024, and $454.8M in FY 2025, so the balance sheet moved in both directions across the period.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
Per the recent news section, the feed contains six items, all tagged to FSS:
- Two items report a dividend declaration of $0.15 per share (one from Yahoo Finance, one from TradingView).
- One marketscreener.com item reports Q3 adjusted EPS of $1.34 per share versus a FactSet estimate of $1.32.
- One Yahoo Finance item covers the Q3 earnings call highlights.
- One Seeking Alpha item carries the headline that the stock "Isn't Cheap Enough To Upgrade Even As Growth Impresses," which is a valuation-focused framing.
- One Simply Wall St item is a general stock analysis entry.
Per the news section, signal lights are mixed: one item is marked GREEN (the Seeking Alpha valuation piece, tagged CATALYST), and the remainder are YELLOW. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, there are no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Risk watch items per the news feed center on valuation sensitivity; the source data does not provide further detail.
Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples
Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Not available in source data: upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or named sector correlations. A prospective investor should note that the absence of mapped links means this brief cannot assess second-order dependencies or bottlenecks.
Open Questions
- What specific products and customers drive the $2180.5M FY 2025 revenue, and what is the revenue model?
- What are the underlying 13F holder positions and Form 4 insider transactions behind the whale and insider pillar scores?
- Why is FY 2023 cash recorded as N/A, and what is the cash position for the most recent period?
- What drives the EPS figures recorded as N/A across all three periods, given that EPS (TTM) is reported as 4.04?
- What analyst consensus rating and price targets exist, given that the analyst data section is empty?
FSS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Federal Signal Corporation (FSS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Federal Signal Corporation (FSS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Seeking Alpha report covering Federal Signal Corporation (FSS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
marketscreener.com report covering Federal Signal Corporation (FSS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Simply Wall St report covering Federal Signal Corporation (FSS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Federal Signal Corporation (FSS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
MarketBeat report covering Federal Signal Corporation (FSS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Stock Titan report covering Federal Signal Corporation (FSS) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Federal Signal reported record third quarter 2026 results, with sales of US$655.5 million, net income of US$79.6 million, higher earnings per share, narrowed full year sales guidance, and a quarterly dividend of US$0.15
FSS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $112.67?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is FSS (C+ • RQD 66/100) a Buy at $115.21?
Welcome to the FSS (Federal Signal Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 66/100 (Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in Auto Manufacturing. Bulls point to capital efficiency (15.5% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on FSS — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on FSS, but look at what you are paying: 28.5x trailing P/E with 28.9% gross margins. Unless Federal Signal Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
FSS cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on FSS, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Auto Manufacturing and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $115.21 (52-wk range $101.19 - $134.51), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.