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Why FSV Stock surged +4.70% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$151.79 +4.70% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $152.79

FirstService Corporation (FSV) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 69/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $6.33B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FSV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, FirstService Corporation (NASDAQ: FSV) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $151.79 (+4.70% 1D, market cap $6.33B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, FSV ranks #130 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FSV compare to COMP and TRNO in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), FSV carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.1%. By comparison, COMP (Compass Inc.) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -8.6%, cap $6.82B) and TRNO (Terreno Realty Corporation) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 17.8x, ROIC 8.4%, cap $7.14B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MRP leads on earnings multiple (11.4x) while CIGI leads on capital efficiency (22.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FSV?
▼

Per FSV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001637810), FirstService Corporation generated $946.6M in revenue (+0.2% YoY), $0 in net income, and $318.2M in free cash flow against $4.28B in total assets and $1.00B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $152.79 (+0.66%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 33.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 69/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+2.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 57.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510069
2-of-3 Quant Analysts Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw B · Rk C
Cash (16)Whales (12)SEC (15)Macro (11)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.9% Base Target
$188 Bull$159 Base$124 Bear
📬 FREE FSV RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FSV)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (69/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FSV SCORES 69/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 33.6% FCF Margin ($318.2M FCF) & 0% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (61.8) create a -9 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
61
Grade C$130.65+4.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
64
Grade C+$136.59+1.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
66
Grade B-$138.96+9.2% Next Q
Current
69
Grade C+$151.79+2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (61) → C+ (69)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the FSV Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 69/100 (C+) score, FSV faces multiple-compression risk if 23.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($135.75) or 200D SMA ($141.83) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($159.30) toward Bear Floor ($124.25).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FSV• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FSV Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 69%NO 31%Trade / Inspect Odds →
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why FSV Stock surged +4.70% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

FirstService Corporation (FSV) surged +4.70% to $151.79, trading at 68% of its 52-week range ($119.41 – $166.73). Solid steady margins (9% return on capital), mixed timing at 24x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 68% of its 52-week range ($119.41 – $166.73) with RSI-14 at 61.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6% around $151.79 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 0% gross margin and $318.2M annual free cash flow.
Live FSV Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo! Finance Canada • 1d ago
Stocks in play: FirstService Corporation

Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering FirstService Corporation (FSV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (FSV Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
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FSV // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +18.58%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $144.5H $151.8L $144.5C $151.8VOL 369.4K
RES: $148.1SUP: $125.7SMA50: $135.8SMA200: $141.8
$169.6$156.0$142.4$128.8$115.2RES $148.1SUP $125.7$151.82026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FSV Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 FSV Butterfly Map → + Track FSV →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
17.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FSV today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FSV. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FSV today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FSV)

Financials Rank #130 of 1097 ⚔️ COMP vs FSV Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (FSV vs. COMP, TRNO, CIGI, MRP)

Industry: Real Estate (54 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, FirstService Corporation (FSV) ranks #130 by composite RQD confidence (69/100, grade C+) and #238 by equity capitalization ($6.33B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MRP leads on earnings valuation at 11.4x trailing P/E, while CIGI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 22.1% ROIC and — gross margin. FSV currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 69/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FSV ACTIVE
FirstService Corporation
C+ 69/100 23.9x — 9.1% +4.70% $6.33B Benchmark Subject
COMP
Compass Inc.
D 47/100 — — -8.6% +4.67% $6.82B /comp-vs-fsv →
TRNO
Terreno Realty Corporation
D+ 58/100 17.8x — 8.4% +1.83% $7.14B /trno-vs-fsv →
CIGI
Colliers International Group Inc. Subordinate Voting Shares
C- 59/100 — — 22.1% +7.97% $4.94B /cigi-vs-fsv →
MRP
Millrose Properties Inc.
C 65/100 11.4x — 5.3% +4.64% $4.25B /mrp-vs-fsv →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001637810 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), FirstService Corporation (FSV) reported GAAP revenue of $946.6M (+0.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $945.0M ) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $445.9M, and free cash flow of $318.2M (+84.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, FSV closed FY2025 with $4.28B in total assets against $1.00B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $946.6M $0 $445.9M $318.2M $4.28B $1.00B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $945.0M $0 $285.7M $172.9M $4.19B $981.6M

3. FSV Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FSV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, FirstService Corporation (NASDAQ: FSV) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $151.79 (+4.70% 1D, market cap $6.33B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 15/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, FSV ranks #130 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FSV compare to COMP and TRNO in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), FSV carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.1%. By comparison, COMP (Compass Inc.) holds a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -8.6%, cap $6.82B) and TRNO (Terreno Realty Corporation) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 17.8x, ROIC 8.4%, cap $7.14B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MRP leads on earnings multiple (11.4x) while CIGI leads on capital efficiency (22.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FSV?

Per FSV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001637810), FirstService Corporation generated $946.6M in revenue (+0.2% YoY), $0 in net income, and $318.2M in free cash flow against $4.28B in total assets and $1.00B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FSV trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FSV last traded at $151.79 (+4.70% on volume of 192,015 shares), positioning the stock +11.82% above its 50-day simple moving average ($135.75) and +7.02% above its 200-day simple moving average ($141.83). Across its 52-week range of $119.41 to $166.73, FSV sits at the 68.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 61.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.0% ($142.68 to $160.90).

Direct Sub-Reports: FSV RQD Cockpit FSV 12M Forecast FSV Earnings & Move FSV Dividends & DRIP FSV Insiders & 13F FSV Whale Options FSV Profit Sankey FSV News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 69/100 (C+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

FSV — FirstService Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

FirstService Corporation (FSV) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 69/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $151.79 (+4.70% 1D, market capitalization $6.33B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (16/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 9.1%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 19.1%, and free cash flow yield of 5.04%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (12/20) + Insider Conviction (15/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (15/20): Incorporates a 1.09x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

FirstService Corporation (NASDAQ: FSV) is classified in the Financials sector and Real Estate industry. Per the market data, operating margin is 19.1% and net margin is 14.9%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), FirstService Corporation (FSV) reported $946.6M in annual revenue (up from $945.0M in FY2024, +0.2% YoY) and $0 in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2024 ($945.0M revenue, $0 net income) through FY2025, FSV scaled operating cash flow to $445.9M and free cash flow to $318.2M, backed by $4.28B in total assets against $1.00B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C+ • RQD 69/100): Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 16/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 12/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $119.41 – $166.73 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 23.9x trailing P/E and 15.7x EV/EBITDA against 19.1% operating margins and a 1.09x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The only sector context provided is the Financials sector and Real Estate industry classification and the beta of 1.09 per the market data.

  • Key Question #1: Can FSV sustain or expand its 19.1% operating margin and 9.1% ROIC against Real Estate peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $946.6M and free cash flow of $318.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $1.00B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is FSV's 20.1x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.09x)?

FSV Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for FirstService Corporation (FSV) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FSV Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FSV Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $151.79?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FSV 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FSV:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $187.02 (+29.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Strong cash generation with ROIC of 9.1%, a 5.04% FCF yield, and a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 support the fundamental case.

The street is overcomplicating FirstService Corporation (FSV). Strong cash generation with ROIC of 9.1%, a 5.04% FCF yield, and a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 support the fundamental case.. With an RQD score of 69/100 (C+) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 15/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $156.58.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@SiliconVal_Bull Agree on the RQD 69/100 quality, though with 1.09 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $144.98 and keeping dry powder in case we test $134.83.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $108.73 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $144.98

Beta of 1.09 and a trailing P/E of 23.9 leave the shares exposed to market swings and a premium valuation.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short FSV above $144.98. Beta of 1.09 and a trailing P/E of 23.9 leave the shares exposed to market swings and a premium valuation.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (16/20) and FCF yield (5.04%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $166.73.

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