Why FUN Stock dropped -2.60% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$7.48 -2.60% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.43

Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (FUN) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 33/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $765.3M
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FUN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (NYSE: FUN) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $7.48 (-2.60% 1D, market cap $765.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FUN ranks #840 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FUN compare to ACEL and RSVR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), FUN carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 91.3%, and ROIC of -19.3%. By comparison, ACEL (Accel Entertainment Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 17.8x, ROIC 15.7%, cap $917.5M) and RSVR (Reservoir Media Inc.) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 80.8x, ROIC 3.8%, cap $632.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACEL leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while ACEL leads on capital efficiency (15.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FUN?
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Per FUN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001999001), Six Flags Entertainment Corporation generated $3.10B in revenue (+14.4% YoY), -$1.55B in net income, and $327.5M in free cash flow against $7.80B in total assets and $5.17B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.43 (-0.66%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 10.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (33/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510033
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk E
Cash (12)Whales (4)SEC (9)Macro (3)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.2% Base Target
$28 Bull$7 Base$5 Bear
📬 FREE FUN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FUN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (33/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FUN SCORES 33/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (36% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 10.6% FCF Margin ($327.5M FCF) & 91.3% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+9/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (32.8) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
41
Grade D$10.20-22.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
38
Grade E$7.86-1.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
36
Grade E$7.71-3% Next Q
Current
33
Grade E$7.48-8.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (41) → E (33)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FUN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While FUN currently carries a cautious 33/100 (E) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($11.47) and Max Pain ($7.85) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $27.59.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FUN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FUN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why FUN Stock dropped -2.60% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (FUN) dropped -2.60% to $7.48, trading at 4% of its 52-week range ($6.6 – $26.28). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-19% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 4% of its 52-week range ($6.6 – $26.28) with RSI-14 at 32.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $7.48 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 91.3% gross margin and $327.5M annual free cash flow.
Live FUN Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FUN)

  • ✓Walkthrough of FUN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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FUN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -57.64%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $7.68H $7.68L $7.48C $7.48VOL 4.16M
SUP: $5.70SMA50: $11.47SMA200: $16.85
$27.66$21.95$16.24$10.54$4.83SUP $5.70$7.482026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FUN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +14.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FUN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FUN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FUN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FUN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #840 of 1011 ⚔️ ACEL vs FUN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (FUN vs. ACEL, RSVR, FBYD, LUCK)

Industry: Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (FUN) ranks #840 by composite RQD confidence (33/100, grade E) and #536 by equity capitalization ($765.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ACEL leads on earnings valuation at 17.8x trailing P/E, while ACEL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.7% ROIC and — gross margin. ACEL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 57/100 (D+) compared with FUN at 33/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FUN ACTIVE
Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
E 33/100 — 91.3% -19.3% -2.60% $765.3M Benchmark Subject
ACEL
Accel Entertainment Inc.
D+ 57/100 17.8x — 15.7% +0.53% $917.5M /acel-vs-fun →
RSVR
Reservoir Media Inc.
D+ 54/100 80.8x 64.7% 3.8% -0.73% $632.3M /rsvr-vs-fun →
FBYD
Falcon's Beyond Global Inc. (Class A)
E 28/100 — — -22.8% -9.91% $930.1M /fbyd-vs-fun →
LUCK
Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation (Class A)
E 21/100 — — 7.7% -0.25% $552.1M /luck-vs-fun →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001999001

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (FUN) reported GAAP revenue of $3.10B (+14.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.71B , and +72.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$1.55B, operating cash flow of $327.5M, and free cash flow of $327.5M (-12.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, FUN closed FY2025 with $7.80B in total assets against $5.17B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $3.10B -$1.55B $327.5M $327.5M $7.80B $5.17B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.71B -$206.7M $373.4M $373.4M $9.13B $4.72B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.80B $124.6M $325.7M $325.7M — —

3. FUN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FUN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (NYSE: FUN) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $7.48 (-2.60% 1D, market cap $765.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FUN ranks #840 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FUN compare to ACEL and RSVR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), FUN carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 91.3%, and ROIC of -19.3%. By comparison, ACEL (Accel Entertainment Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 17.8x, ROIC 15.7%, cap $917.5M) and RSVR (Reservoir Media Inc.) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 80.8x, ROIC 3.8%, cap $632.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACEL leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while ACEL leads on capital efficiency (15.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FUN?

Per FUN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001999001), Six Flags Entertainment Corporation generated $3.10B in revenue (+14.4% YoY), -$1.55B in net income, and $327.5M in free cash flow against $7.80B in total assets and $5.17B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FUN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FUN last traded at $7.48 (-2.60% on volume of 4,160,499 shares), positioning the stock -34.79% below its 50-day simple moving average ($11.47) and -55.61% below its 200-day simple moving average ($16.85). Across its 52-week range of $6.60 to $26.28, FUN sits at the 4.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 32.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($6.54 to $8.42).

FUN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is FUN stock moving today?

Why FUN Stock dropped -2.60% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-19% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 33/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

FUN — Six Flags Entertainment Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:32:53Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, FUN scores 33 out of 100 and receives a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 (ROIC of -19.3%; FCF yield of 0%); Whale 13F Flow at 4/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 5/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 3/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 9/20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 5/9; Debt/Equity 8.5). The weakest pillars are Macro Regime Fit and Whale 13F Flow, while the Fundamental Cash Engine is held back by negative ROIC and a 0% FCF yield. For a prospective investor, the rating signals that the composite evidence leans negative: returns on invested capital are negative, the balance sheet carries a high Debt/Equity reading, and institutional and insider flow scores are low. Upside arguments would need to rest on factors outside the sourced metrics, which this dossier does not establish. This is an analytical summary, not personalized financial advice.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$3100.3M$-1375.0M$-1549.5MN/A$327.5M$91.1M$5166.1M
FY 2024$2708.9M$310.5M$-206.7MN/A$373.4M$83.2M$4723.1M
FY 2023$1798.7M$306.2M$124.6MN/A$325.7MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $1798.7M in FY 2023 to $3100.3M in FY 2025, while operating income swung from $306.2M to $-1375.0M and net income moved to $-1549.5M in FY 2025. Per the market data, gross margin is 91.3%, operating margin is -44.4%, and net margin is -50%, with ROIC at -19.3%. Per the forensic balance sheet pillar, Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 5/9, and Debt/Equity is 8.5. Reported debt of $5166.1M against cash of $91.1M in FY 2025 indicates a heavily leveraged posture.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the news wire, the headline "Six Flags Entertainment Corporation Stock 12‑Month Price Target Cut to $20.79, Implies 72% Upside" is tagged RISK WATCH. Per the news wire, a Seeking Alpha item reports a 14% decline after a fatal roller coaster incident, and a National Law Review item reports a 14.4% drop triggering a securities fraud investigation by BFA Law; both are flagged as risk items. A scheduled event is a third-quarter 2026 results announcement on November 5 with an 8 AM EST earnings call, tagged MARKET WIRE. Per the news wire, a Simply Wall St analysis and a MarketBeat item citing an average target price of $21.50 are also present. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no upstream or downstream links are recorded and the supply chain is listed as NONE, so no supply-chain dependencies can be mapped from the source data. Sector correlations beyond the Consumer Discretionary classification are not available in source data. A prospective investor should watch how the November 5 earnings release interacts with the fatal-incident and securities-investigation headlines already in the news wire, since those items are the only sourced second-order event risks.

Open Questions

  • What are the forward earnings and EV/EBITDA multiples, which are absent from the source data and needed to assess valuation against the $7.68 price?
  • What is the scope and status of the securities fraud investigation referenced in the news wire, and what financial exposure might it carry?
  • What drove the revenue increase alongside the sharp operating and net losses in FY 2025, and what portion is non-recurring?
  • How is the $5166.1M debt load serviced, and what are its maturities and covenant terms?
  • What are the consensus rating and the analyst price target dispersion, given that the analyst data section is empty?

FUN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (FUN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FUN Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FUN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $7.48?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FUN 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FUN:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $6.76 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is FUN (E • RQD 33/100) a Buy at $7.68?

Welcome to the FUN (Six Flags Entertainment Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 33/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $6.07 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $7.68

Pump the brakes on FUN — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on FUN, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 91.3% gross margins. Unless Six Flags Entertainment Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $8.76 (+14.1%)
Spot @ $7.68

FUN cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on FUN, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $7.68 (52-wk range $6.60 - $26.28), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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