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Stock Ratings / Communication Services / GAIA / earnings
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Gaia Inc. (Class A) (GAIA) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$1.45 0.00% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.45

Gaia Inc. (Class A) (GAIA) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 26/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $36.9M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GAIA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Gaia Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: GAIA) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 26/100 at a spot price of $1.45 (0.00% 1D, market cap $36.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, GAIA ranks #118 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GAIA compare to RDI and TOON in the Communication Services sector?
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Within the Communication Services sector (Movies/Entertainment), GAIA carries a Roarable E (26/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 87.1%, and ROIC of -5.0%. By comparison, RDI (Reading International Inc (Class A)) holds a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $37.3M) and TOON (Kartoon Studios Inc.) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $31.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GAIA leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while GAIA leads on capital efficiency (-5.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GAIA?
▼

Per GAIA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001089872), Gaia Inc. (Class A) generated $99.0M in revenue (+10.8% YoY), -$4.5M in net income, and -$377.0K in free cash flow against $154.6M in total assets and $5.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.45 (-0.19%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (26/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510026
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (3)Whales (8)SEC (8)Macro (6)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-14.5% Base Target
$5 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE GAIA RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GAIA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (26/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GAIA SCORES 26/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (31% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (31% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
18
Grade E$1.25+12% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
21
Grade E$1.40-1.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
23
Grade E$1.38+5.1% Next Q
Current
26
Grade E$1.45-10.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (18) → E (26)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GAIA Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While GAIA currently carries a cautious 26/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.40) and Max Pain ($1.52) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $5.40.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GAIA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GAIA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 26%NO 74%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~56 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.18 Expected Swing
$1.27 (-12.5%)Spot $1.45$1.63 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

GAIA Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 26/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 10.8%

Model Bullish Setup (26/100)Model Risk Weight (74/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$99.0M-$4.5M-$377.0K87.1%
FY 20242024-12-31$89.3M-$5.2M$1.9M86.1%
FY 20232023-12-31$80.4M-$5.6M$5.9M87.1%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GAIA)

  • ✓Walkthrough of GAIA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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GAIA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -53.53%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $1.44H $1.45L $1.44C $1.45VOL 79.3K
RES: $1.44SUP: $1.21SMA50: $1.40SMA200: $2.30
$4.36$3.49$2.63$1.76$0.89RES $1.44SUP $1.21$1.452026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GAIA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GAIA Butterfly Map → + Track GAIA →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +10.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GAIA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GAIA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GAIA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GAIA)

Communication Services Rank #118 of 132 ⚔️ RDI vs GAIA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (GAIA vs. RDI, TOON, CURI, RDIB)

Industry: Movies/Entertainment (14 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Gaia Inc. (Class A) (GAIA) ranks #118 by composite RQD confidence (26/100, grade E) and #107 by equity capitalization ($36.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GAIA leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while GAIA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -5.0% ROIC and 87.1% gross margin. CURI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 37/100 (D-) compared with GAIA at 26/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GAIA ACTIVE
Gaia Inc. (Class A)
E 26/100 — 87.1% -5.0% 0.00% $36.9M Benchmark Subject
RDI
Reading International Inc (Class A)
E 27/100 — — -35.0% -0.61% $37.3M /rdi-vs-gaia →
TOON
Kartoon Studios Inc.
E 31/100 — — -35.0% +1.64% $31.9M /toon-vs-gaia →
CURI
CuriosityStream Inc. (Class A)
D- 37/100 — — -24.9% -1.93% $153.7M /curi-vs-gaia →
RDIB
Reading International Inc (Class B)
E 21/100 — — -35.0% -2.87% $247.2M /rdib-vs-gaia →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001089872 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Gaia Inc. (Class A) (GAIA) reported GAAP revenue of $99.0M (+10.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $89.3M , and +23.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$4.5M, operating cash flow of $5.7M, and free cash flow of -$377.0K (-119.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, GAIA closed FY2025 with $154.6M in total assets against $5.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $99.0M -$4.5M $5.7M -$377.0K $154.6M $5.5M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $89.3M -$5.2M $6.9M $1.9M $141.2M $0
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $80.4M -$5.6M $5.9M $5.9M — —

3. GAIA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GAIA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Gaia Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: GAIA) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 26/100 at a spot price of $1.45 (0.00% 1D, market cap $36.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, GAIA ranks #118 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GAIA compare to RDI and TOON in the Communication Services sector?

Within the Communication Services sector (Movies/Entertainment), GAIA carries a Roarable E (26/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 87.1%, and ROIC of -5.0%. By comparison, RDI (Reading International Inc (Class A)) holds a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $37.3M) and TOON (Kartoon Studios Inc.) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $31.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GAIA leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while GAIA leads on capital efficiency (-5.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GAIA?

Per GAIA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001089872), Gaia Inc. (Class A) generated $99.0M in revenue (+10.8% YoY), -$4.5M in net income, and -$377.0K in free cash flow against $154.6M in total assets and $5.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GAIA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GAIA last traded at $1.45 (0.00% on volume of 130,995 shares), positioning the stock +3.57% above its 50-day simple moving average ($1.40) and -36.96% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.30). Across its 52-week range of $1.16 to $5.14, GAIA sits at the 7.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.27 to $1.63).

Direct Sub-Reports: GAIA RQD Cockpit GAIA 12M Forecast GAIA Earnings & Move GAIA Dividends & DRIP GAIA Insiders & 13F GAIA Whale Options GAIA Profit Sankey GAIA News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 26/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

GAIA — Gaia Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Gaia Inc. (Class A) (GAIA) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 26/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $1.45 (0.00% 1D, market capitalization $36.9M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (3/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -5.0%, gross margin of 87.1%, operating margin of -5.2%, and free cash flow yield of -1.03%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 0.20, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.06x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Gaia Inc. (Class A) (GAIA) is a NASDAQ-listed operating company in the Movies/Entertainment industry (Communication Services sector) with an equity market capitalization of $36.9M. The business operates with a gross margin of 87.1%, an operating margin of -5.2%, and a return on invested capital (ROIC) of -5% (free cash flow yield of -1.03%). Within the Movies/Entertainment peer group, investor evaluation centers on operating leverage, unit margin durability, and capital allocation efficiency across market cycles.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Gaia Inc. (Class A) (GAIA) reported $99.0M in annual revenue (up from $89.3M in FY2024, +10.8% YoY) and -$4.5M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($80.4M revenue, -$5.6M net income) through FY2025, GAIA scaled operating cash flow to $5.7M and free cash flow to -$377.0K, backed by $154.6M in total assets against $5.5M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 26/100): Established market leader in Communication Services with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -1.03% and institutional whale pillar of 8/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 3/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.16 – $5.14 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -5.2% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Movies/Entertainment (Communication Services), GAIA carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 87.1%.

  • Key Question #1: Can GAIA sustain or expand its -5.2% operating margin and -5.0% ROIC against Movies/Entertainment peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $99.0M and free cash flow of -$377.0K, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $5.5M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is GAIA's equity valuation to Communication Services capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

GAIA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Gaia Inc. (Class A) (GAIA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to GAIA Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GAIA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.45?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GAIA 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on GAIA:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.84 (+26.9%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Revenue grew from $80.4M in FY 2023 to $99.0M in FY 2025 and debt-to-equity is low at 0.06.

Revenue grew from $80.4M in FY 2023 to $99.0M in FY 2025 and debt-to-equity is low at 0.06.. When you look under the hood at GAIA, Fundamental Cash Engine is 1/20 with 87.1% gross margins and -5.0% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (8/20) has been quietly accumulating below $5.14. My 12M target is $1.84.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@MidwestValue Agree on the RQD 26/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $1.45 and keeping dry powder in case we test $1.35.

MU MultipleCompression RQD DEBATE OPENER • Valuation Discipline 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.16 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $1.45

ROIC is -5%, FCF yield is -1.03%, and the Altman Z-Score of 0.2 flags distress risk.

Fading this rally in GAIA at $1.45. ROIC is -5%, FCF yield is -1.03%, and the Altman Z-Score of 0.2 flags distress risk.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $1.45 (52-wk range $1.16–$5.14), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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