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TRON (26) VEL (50) BTGO (40) QFIN (54) ⌘ Pro Terminal β†’

Gladstone Investment Corporation Business Development Company (GAIN) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$15.27 +0.73% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.26

Gladstone Investment Corporation Business Development Company (GAIN) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- β€’ RED ALERT Cap $603.7M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GAIN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-03, Gladstone Investment Corporation Business Development Company (NASDAQ: GAIN) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $15.27 (+0.73% 1D, market cap $603.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 6/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, GAIN ranks #951 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GAIN compare to TRON and VEL in the Financials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), GAIN carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 31.0%. By comparison, TRON (Tron Inc.) holds a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.9%, cap $604.8M) and VEL (Velocity Financial Inc.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 6.0x, ROIC 15.6%, cap $620.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, VEL leads on earnings multiple (6.0x) while GAIN leads on capital efficiency (31.0% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GAIN?
β–Ό

Per GAIN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001321741), Gladstone Investment Corporation Business Development Company generated $519.4M in revenue (+13.7% YoY), $184.8M in net income, and -$101.6M in free cash flow against $1.24B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.26 (-0.06%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 Β· D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ D-
025507510037
3-of-3 Quant Analysts Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR RQD RADARRw D- Β· Rk D-
Cash (9)Whales (8)SEC (10)Macro (4)CEO (6)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.4% Base Target
$18 Bull$14 Base$11 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE GAIN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GAIN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±3.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY GAIN SCORES 37/100 (D-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 2/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (47.5) create a -16 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
45
Grade D$15.32-3.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
42
Grade D$14.84+0.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
40
Grade D$14.93+2.3% Next Q
Current
37
Grade D-$15.27-8.1% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (45) β†’ D- (37)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GAIN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While GAIN currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($15.63) and Max Pain ($16.03) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $18.00.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GAINβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œGAIN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 37%NO 63%Trade / Inspect Odds β†’
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL β€’ FY 2025 (10-K)

How GAIN Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$0 (0% FCF Margin)
Revenue$519.4MGross Profit $270.1M (52%)Cost of Sales $249.3MOp Profit $0 (0%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $270.1MNet Profit$184.8M (35.6%)Tax/Other $0

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

β–  Revenueβ–  Net Profitβ–  Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $383.9M
FY24
Rev $456.9M
FY25
Rev $519.4M
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$519.4M52%0%$184.8M-$101.6M31%
FY 2024$456.9M52%0%$65.3M$16.3M31%
FY 2023$383.9M46.7%0%$85.3M-$69.9M31%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GAIN)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of GAIN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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GAIN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -9.27%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $15.27H $15.27L $15.16C $15.27VOL 191.3K
RES: $16.90SUP: $14.31SMA50: $15.63SMA200: $15.36
$17.35$16.48$15.60$14.73$13.86RES $16.90SUP $14.31$15.272026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GAIN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

πŸ¦‹ GAIN Butterfly Map β†’ + Track GAIN β†’
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +13.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GAIN today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GAIN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GAIN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GAIN)

Financials Rank #951 of 1097 βš”οΈ TRON vs GAIN Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (GAIN vs. TRON, VEL, BTGO, QFIN)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Gladstone Investment Corporation Business Development Company (GAIN) ranks #951 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #662 by equity capitalization ($603.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VEL leads on earnings valuation at 6.0x trailing P/E, while GAIN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 31.0% ROIC and β€” gross margin. QFIN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 54/100 (D+) compared with GAIN at 37/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GAIN ACTIVE
Gladstone Investment Corporation Business Development Company
D- 37/100 β€” β€” 31.0% +0.73% $603.7M Benchmark Subject
TRON
Tron Inc.
E 26/100 β€” β€” -0.9% +2.75% $604.8M /tron-vs-gain β†’
VEL
Velocity Financial Inc.
D 50/100 6.0x β€” 15.6% +2.67% $620.6M /vel-vs-gain β†’
BTGO
BitGo Holdings Inc. (Class A)
D- 40/100 β€” β€” β€” -3.39% $624.2M /btgo-vs-gain β†’
QFIN
Qfin Holdings Inc.
D+ 54/100 β€” β€” 27.2% +3.48% $629.5M /qfin-vs-gain β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2026-03-31 β€’ CIK 0001321741 β†—

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), Gladstone Investment Corporation Business Development Company (GAIN) reported GAAP revenue of $519.4M (+13.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $456.9M , and +35.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $184.8M, operating cash flow of -$101.6M, and free cash flow of -$101.6M (-723.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, GAIN closed FY2025 with $1.24B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-03-31 $519.4M $184.8M -$101.6M -$101.6M $1.24B β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2025-03-31 $456.9M $65.3M $16.3M $16.3M $1.09B β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2024-03-31 $383.9M $85.3M -$69.9M -$69.9M β€” β€”

3. GAIN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GAIN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Gladstone Investment Corporation Business Development Company (NASDAQ: GAIN) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $15.27 (+0.73% 1D, market cap $603.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 6/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, GAIN ranks #951 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GAIN compare to TRON and VEL in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), GAIN carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 31.0%. By comparison, TRON (Tron Inc.) holds a E grade (26/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.9%, cap $604.8M) and VEL (Velocity Financial Inc.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E 6.0x, ROIC 15.6%, cap $620.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, VEL leads on earnings multiple (6.0x) while GAIN leads on capital efficiency (31.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GAIN?

Per GAIN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001321741), Gladstone Investment Corporation Business Development Company generated $519.4M in revenue (+13.7% YoY), $184.8M in net income, and -$101.6M in free cash flow against $1.24B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GAIN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GAIN last traded at $15.27 (+0.73% on volume of 163,639 shares), positioning the stock -2.30% below its 50-day simple moving average ($15.63) and -0.59% below its 200-day simple moving average ($15.36). Across its 52-week range of $13.11 to $17.14, GAIN sits at the 53.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±3.5% ($14.74 to $15.80).

Direct Sub-Reports: GAIN RQD Cockpit GAIN 12M Forecast GAIN Earnings & Move GAIN Dividends & DRIP GAIN Insiders & 13F GAIN Whale Options GAIN Profit Sankey GAIN News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 37/100 (D-) βœ“ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

GAIN β€” Gladstone Investment Corporation Business Development Company: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2026-03-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Gladstone Investment Corporation Business Development Company (GAIN) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 37/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $15.27 (+0.73% 1D, market capitalization $603.7M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 31.0%, gross margin of β€”, operating margin of β€”, and free cash flow yield of -16.71%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (8/20) + Insider Conviction (6/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (4/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Gladstone Investment Corporation Business Development Company (GAIN) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Financials sector, Finance: Consumer Services industry. β€” The profile identifies the market capitalization as $0.6B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2026-03-31), Gladstone Investment Corporation Business Development Company (GAIN) reported $519.4M in annual revenue (up from $456.9M in FY2024, +13.7% YoY) and $184.8M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($383.9M revenue, $85.3M net income) through FY2025, GAIN scaled operating cash flow to -$101.6M and free cash flow to -$101.6M, backed by $1.24B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • πŸ‚ Primary Bull Case (D- β€’ RQD 37/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -16.71% and institutional whale pillar of 8/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 8/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $13.11 – $17.14 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against β€” operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies are β€” Sector correlation data is β€” Second-order bottlenecks cannot be identified from the provided sources.

  • Key Question #1: Can GAIN sustain or expand its β€” operating margin and 31.0% ROIC against Finance: Consumer Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $519.4M and free cash flow of -$101.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is GAIN's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

GAIN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Gladstone Investment Corporation Business Development Company (GAIN) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to GAIN Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GAIN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $15.27?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GAIN 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on GAIN:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Fundamental Long-Only πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $17.74 (+17.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

A 31% ROIC and 9.4% dividend yield signal strong capital efficiency and income appeal at a $15.27 price.

The street is overcomplicating Gladstone Investment Corporation Business Development Company (GAIN). A 31% ROIC and 9.4% dividend yield signal strong capital efficiency and income appeal at a $15.27 price.. With an RQD score of 37/100 (D-) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $16.37.

CapAlloc_Nerd πŸ‚ BULL

@MeanReversion_88 Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Finance: Consumer Services. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

ME MeanReversion_88 RQD DEBATE OPENER β€’ Quantitative Statistical Arb 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $11.67 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $15.16

A -16.71% FCF yield, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and a 4/20 macro regime score point to a weak cash engine and fragile balance sheet.

Careful chasing GAIN at $15.16. A -16.71% FCF yield, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and a 4/20 macro regime score point to a weak cash engine and fragile balance sheet.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 0.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $11.67 on multiple compression.

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